Influence of Anchoring on Miscarriage Risk Perception Associated with Amniocentesis

INFLUENCE OF ANCHORING ON MISCARRIAGE RISK PERCEPTION ASSOCIATED WITH AMNIOCENTESIS Publication No. ___________ Regina Nuccio, BS Supervisory Professor: Claire N. Singletary, MS, CGC Amniocentesis is the most common invasive procedure performed during pregnancy (Eddleman, et al., 2006). One important factor that women consider when making a decision about amniocentesis is the risk of miscarriage associated with the procedure. People use heuristics such as anchoring, the action of using a prior belief regarding the magnitude of risk as a frame of reference for new information to be synthesized, to better understand risks that they encounter in their lives. This study aimed to determine a woman’s perception of miscarriage risk associated with amniocentesis before and after a genetic counseling session and to determine what factors are most likely to anchor a woman’s perception of miscarriage risk associated with amniocentesis. Most women perceived the risk as low or average pre-counseling and were likely to indicate the numeric risk of amniocentesis as <1% risk. A higher percentage of patients correctly identified the numeric risk as <1% post-counseling when compared to pre-counseling. However, the majority of patients’ feeling about the risk perception did not change after the genetic counseling session (60%), regardless of how they perceived the risk before discussing amniocentesis with a genetic counselor. Those whose risk perception did change after discussing amniocentesis with a genetic counselor showed a decreased risk perception (p<0.0001). Of the multitude of factors studied, only two showed significance: having a friend or relative with a personal or family history of a genetic disorder was associated with a lower risk perception (p=0.001) and having a child already was associated with a lower risk perception (p=0.038). The lack of significant factors may reflect the uniqueness of each patient’s heuristic framework and reinforces the importance of genetic counseling to elucidate individual concerns.

MECHANISMS OF SPECIES DIFFERENCES IN BRAIN ACETYLCHOLINESTERASE SENSITIVITY TO ORGANOPHOSPHATE INHIBITION

In vitro incubation of acetylcholinesterase from brain tissue of several species with organophosphate compounds indicated that the concentrations required to inhibit 50% of acetylcholinesterase activity (IC(,50)) differed from species to species for the same compound (Murphy, et al., 1968; Andersen, et al., 1972, 1977 and 1978).^ The hypothesis that non-specific binding proteins (Lauwerys and Murphy, 1969a,b) exerts a protective effect on acetylcholinesterase, and thus cause the differences observed in IC(,50) studies was tested by a ('3)H-DFP binding experiment. It was found that differences in the amount of non-specific binding protein cannot explain the observed differences observed in IC(,50) studies.^ An alternative hypothesis, that acetylcholinesterase from different species have different affinities for binding and/or different rates of phosphorylation by organophosphate insecticides was tested by determining the apparent affinity constant (k(,a)) and apparent rate of phosphorylation (k(,p)). Kinetic studies indicated that acetylcholinesterases from different species have different sensitivities to inhibition by organophosphate insecticides, and the differences are due to different affinities for binding and/or different rates of phosphorylation by the same organophosphate compound.^ Studies of the spontaneous reactivation of acetylcholinesterase after inhibition by organophosphate insecticides also indicated that acetylcholinesterases from different species have different rates and extents of spontaneous reactivation. This further substantiates the hypothesis that acetylcholinesterases from different species have different kinetic characteristics with respect to organophosphate insecticides inhibition.^ Eleven paraoxon analogs were synthesized for a quantitative structure-activity relationship study. It was found that the electron-withdrawing power ((sigma)) and hydrophobicity ((PARAGR)) of the substituent are important in determining the anti-cholinesterase activity of paraoxon analogs. Thus, predictions of species differences in acetylcholinesterase sensitivities to paraoxon analogs can be made if the physicochemical parameters ((sigma) and (PARAGR)) of the substituents are known.^ In another approach, i.e. enzyme modeling, the sensitivity of rat brain acetylcholinesterase to organophosphate insecticides was used as the independent variable to predict the sensitivities of acetylcholinesterases from other species to the same compound. Regression equations were derived for each species based on nineteen organophosphate insecticides studied. It was found, that in addition to paraoxon analogs, this method is also applicable to other organophosphate compounds with wide variations in structure. Thus, the sensitivities of acetylcholinesterases from other species can also be predicted from the sensitivity of rat brain acetylcholinesterase. ^

A model for use by local public health departments to evaluate pandemic influenza plans

The events of the 1990's and early 2000's demonstrated the need for effective planning and response to natural and man-made disasters. One of those potential natural disasters is pandemic flu. Once defined, the CDC stated that program, or plan, effectiveness is improved through the process of program evaluation. (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 1999) Program evaluation should be accomplished not only periodically, but in the course of routine administration of the program. (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 1999) Accomplishing this task for a "rare, but significant event" is challenging. (Herbold, John R., PhD., 2008) To address this challenge, the RAND Corporation (under contract to the CDC) developed the "Facilitated Look-Backs" approach that was tested and validated at the state level. (Aledort et al., 2006).^ Nevertheless, no comprehensive and generally applicable pandemic influenza program evaluation tool or model is readily found for use at the local public health department level. This project developed such a model based on the "Facilitated Look-Backs" approach developed by RAND Corporation. (Aledort et al., 2006) Modifications to the RAND model included stakeholder additions, inclusion of all six CDC program evaluation steps, and suggestions for incorporating pandemic flu response plans in seasonal flu management implementation. Feedback on the model was then obtained from three LPHD's—one rural, one suburban, and one urban. These recommendations were incorporated into the final model. Feedback from the sites also supported the assumption that this model promotes the effective and efficient evaluation of both pandemic flu and seasonal flu response by reducing redundant evaluations of pandemic flu plans, seasonal flu plans, and funding requirement accountability. Site feedback also demonstrated that the model is comprehensive and flexible, so it can be adapted and applied to different LPHD needs and settings. It also stimulates evaluation of the major issues associated with pandemic flu planning. ^ The next phase in evaluating this model should be to apply it in a program evaluation of one or more LPHD's seasonal flu response that incorporates pandemic flu response plans.^

Food advertisements during children's television programming in 2007: Comparison with ads in 1994 and the 2005 dietary recommendations

Childhood overweight and obesity are two major public health problems that are of economic and medical concern in the world today (Lobstein, Baur, & Uauy, 2004). Overweight conditions in childhood are important because they are widely prevalent, serious, and carry lifetime consequences for health and well being (Lobstein et al., 2004). Several studies have shown an association between television viewing and obesity in all age groups (Caroli, Argentieri, Cardone, & Masi, 2004; Harper, 2006; Vandewater & Huang, 2006; Wiecha et al., 2006). One mechanism that potentially links television viewing to childhood obesity is food advertising (Story, 2003). ^ The purpose of this study was to examine the types of foods advertised on children's television programming and to determine if there have been any changes in the number and types of commercials over the last 13 years. In addition, the food content of the advertisements was compared to the 2005 Dietary Guidelines to determine if the foods targeted were consistent with the current recommendations. Finally, each television network was analyzed individually to determine any differences between advertising on cable and regular programming. ^ A descriptive analysis was conducted on the most commonly advertised commercials during children's television programming on Saturday morning from 7 a.m. to 10:30 a.m. A total of 10 major television networks were viewed on three different Saturday mornings during June and July 2007. Commercial advertising accounted for approximately 19% of children's total viewing time. Of the 3,185 commercials, 28.5% were for foods, 67.7% were for non-food items, and 3.8% were PSAs. On average, there were 30 commercial advertisements and PSAs per hour, of which approximately nine were for food. ^ Of the 907 food advertisements, 72.0% were for foods classified in the fats, oils, and sugar group. The next largest group (17.3%) was for restaurant food of which 15.3% were for unhealthy/fast food restaurant fare. The most frequently advertised food product on Saturday morning television was regular cereal, accounting for 43.9% of all food advertisements. ^ Cable and regular programming stations varied slightly in the amount, length, and category of commercials. Cable television had about 50% less commercials and PSAs (1098) than regular programming (2087), but only had approximately 150 minutes less total commercial and PSA time; therefore, cable, in general, had longer commercials than regular programming. Overall, cable programming had more advertisements encouraging increased physical activity and positive nutrition behavior with less commercials focusing on the fats, oils, and sugar groups, compared to regular programming. ^ During the last 13 years, food advertisements have not improved, despite the recent IOM report on marketing foods to children (Institute of Medicine-Committee on Food Marketing and the Diets of Children and Youth, 2005), although the frequency of food advertisements has improved slightly. Children are now viewing an average of one food advertisement every 7 minutes, compared to one food advertisement every 5 minutes in 1994 (Kotz & Story, 1994). Therefore, manufacturers are putting a greater emphasis on advertising other products to children. Despite the recent attention to the issue of marketing unhealthy foods to children through television advertisements, not much progress has been noted since 1994. Further advocacy and regulatory issues concerning the content of advertisements during Saturday morning TV need to be explored. ^

Plasma homocysteine levels and Alzheimer's Disease: A systematic review

Objective. To systematically review studies published in English on the relationship between plasma total homocysteine (Hcy) levels and the clinical and/or postmortem diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease (AD) in subjects who are over 60 years old.^ Method. Medline, PubMed, PsycINFO and Academic Search Premier, were searched by using the keywords "homocysteine", "Alzheimer disease" and "dementia", and "cognitive disorders". In addition, relevant articles in PubMed using the "related articles" link and by cross-referencing were identified. The study design, study setting and study population, sample size, the diagnostic criteria of the National Institute of Neurological and Communicative Disorders and Stroke (NINCDS) and the Alzheimer's Disease and Related Disorders Association (ADRDA), and description of how Hcy levels were measured or defined had to have been clearly stated. Empirical investigations reporting quantitative data on the epidemiology of the relationship between plasma total Hcy (exposure factor) and AD (outcome) were included in the systematic review.^ Results. A total of 7 studies, which included a total of 2,989 subjects, out of 388 potential articles met the inclusion criteria: four case control and three cohort studies were identified. All 7 studies had association statistics, such as the odds ratio (OR), the relative rates (RR), and the hazard ratio (HR) of AD, examined using multivariate and logistic regression analyses. Three case - comparison studies: Clarke et al. (1998) (OR: 4.5, 95% CI.: 2.2 - 9.2); McIlroy et al. (2002) (OR: 2.9, 95% CI.: 1.00–8.1); Quadri et al. (2004) (OR: 3.7, 95% CI.: 1.1 - 13.1), and two cohort studies: Seshadri et al. (2002) (RR: 1.8, 95% CI.: 1.3 - 2.5); Ravaglia et al. (2005) (HR: 2.1, 95% CI.: 1.7 - 3.8) found a significant association between serum total Hcy and AD. One case-comparison study, Miller et al. (2002) (OR: 2.2, 95% C.I.: 0.3 -16), and one cohort study, Luchsinger et al. (2004) (HR: 1.4, 95% C.I.: 0.7 - 2.3) failed to reject H0.^ Conclusions. The purpose of this review is to provide a thorough analysis of studies that examined the relationship between Hcy levels and AD. Five studies showed a positive statistically significant association between elevated total Hcy values and AD but the association was not statistically significant in two studies. Further research is needed in order to establish evidence of the strong, consistent association between serum total Hcy and AD as well as the presence of the appropriate temporal relationship. To answer these questions, it is important to conduct more prospective studies that examine the occurrence of AD in individuals with and without elevated Hcy values at baseline. In addition, the international standardization of measurements and cut-off points for plasma Hcy levels across laboratories is a critical issue to be addressed for the conduct of future studies on the topic.^

Validity of using item response theory to analyze data from the Work Limitations Questionnaire

The Work Limitations Questionnaire (WLQ) is used to determine the amount of work loss and productivity which stem from certain health conditions, including rheumatoid arthritis and cancer. The questionnaire is currently scored using methodology from Classical Test Theory. Item Response Theory, on the other hand, is a theory based on analyzing item responses. This study wanted to determine the validity of using Item Response Theory (IRT), to analyze data from the WLQ. Item responses from 572 employed adults with dysthymia, major depressive disorder (MDD), double depressive disorder (both dysthymia and MDD), rheumatoid arthritis and healthy individuals were used to determine the validity of IRT (Adler et al., 2006).^ PARSCALE, which is IRT software from Scientific Software International, Inc., was used to calculate estimates of the work limitations based on item responses from the WLQ. These estimates, also known as ability estimates, were then correlated with the raw score estimates calculated from the sum of all the items responses. Concurrent validity, which claims a measurement is valid if the correlation between the new measurement and the valid measurement is greater or equal to .90, was used to determine the validity of IRT methodology for the WLQ. Ability estimates from IRT were found to be somewhat highly correlated with the raw scores from the WLQ (above .80). However, the only subscale which had a high enough correlation for IRT to be considered valid was the time management subscale (r = .90). All other subscales, mental/interpersonal, physical, and output, did not produce valid IRT ability estimates.^ An explanation for these lower than expected correlations can be explained by the outliers found in the sample. Also, acquiescent responding (AR) bias, which is caused by the tendency for people to respond the same way to every question on a questionnaire, and the multidimensionality of the questionnaire (the WLQ is composed of four dimensions and thus four different latent variables) probably had a major impact on the IRT estimates. Furthermore, it is possible that the mental/interpersonal dimension violated the monotonocity assumption of IRT causing PARSCALE to fail to run for these estimates. The monotonicity assumption needs to be checked for the mental/interpersonal dimension. Furthermore, the use of multidimensional IRT methods would most likely remove the AR bias and increase the validity of using IRT to analyze data from the WLQ.^