The role of cardiovascular comorbidities in ovarian cancer survival

Objective. One facet of cancer care that often goes ignored is comorbidities, or diseases that exist in concert with cancer. Comorbid conditions may affect survival by influencing treatment decisions and prognosis. The purpose of this secondary data analysis was to identify whether a history of cardiovascular comorbidities among ovarian cancer patients influenced survival time at the University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center. The parent study, Project Peace, has a longitudinal design with an embedded randomized efficacy study which seeks to improve detection of depressive disorders in ovarian, peritoneal, and fallopian tube cancers. ^ Methods. Survival time was calculated for the 249 ovarian cancer patients abstracted by Project Peace staff. Cardiovascular comorbidities were documented as present, based upon information from medical records in addition to self reported comorbidities in a baseline study questionnaire. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to compare survival time among patients with a presence or absence of particular cardiovascular comorbidities. Cox Regression proportional models accounted for multivariable factors such as age, staging, family history of cardiovascular comorbidities, and treatment. ^ Results. Among our patient population, there was a statistically significant relationship between shorter survival time and a history of thrombosis, pericardial disease/tamponade, or COPD/pulmonary hypertension. Ovarian cancer patients with a history of thrombosis lived approximately half as long as patients without thrombosis (58.06 months vs. 121.55 months; p=.001). In addition, patients who suffered from pericardial disease/tamponade had poorer survival than those without a history of pericardial disease/tamponade (48 months vs. 80.07 months; p=.002). Ovarian cancer patients with a history of COPD or pulmonary hypertension had a median survival of 60.2 months, while the median survival for patients without these comorbidities was 80.2 months (p=.014). ^ Conclusion. Especially because of its relatively lower survival rate, greater emphasis needs to be placed on the potential influence of cardiovascular comorbid conditions in ovarian cancer.^

Early life risk factors and puberty implications for cancer prevention

Earlier age at puberty is a known risk factor for breast cancer and suspected to influence prostate cancer; yet few studies have assessed early life risk factors for puberty. The overall objectives was to determine the relationship between birth-weight-for-gestational-age (BWGA), weight gain in infancy and pubertal status in girls and boys at 10.8 and 11.8 years and who were born of preeclamptic (PE) and normotensive (NT) mothers. Data for this study were collected from hospital and public health medical records and at a follow-up visit at 10.8 and 11.8 years for girls and boys, respectively. We used stratified analysis and multivariable logistic regression modeling to assess effect measure modifier and to determine the relationship between BWGA, weight gain in infancy and childhood and pubertal status, respectively. ^ There was no difference in the relationship between BWGA and pubertal status by maternal PE status for girls and boys; however, there was a non-significant increase in the odds of having been born small-for-gestational-age (SGA) in girls who were pubertal for breast or pubic hair Tanner stage 2+ compared to those who B1 or PH1. In contrast, boys who were pubertal for genital and pubic hair Tanner stage 2+ had lower odds of having been born SGA than those who were prepubertal for G1 or PH1. ^ In girls who were pubertal for breast development, the odds of having gained one additional unit SD for weight was highest between 3 to 6 months and 6-12 months for those who were B2+ vs. B1. For pubic hair development, weight gain between 6-12 months had the greatest effect for girls of PE mothers only. In boys, there were no statistically significant associations between weight gain and genital Tanner stage at any of the intervals; however, weight gain between 3-6 months did affect pubic hair tanner stage in boys of NT mothers. This study provide important evidence regarding the role of SGA and weight gain at specific age intervals on puberty; however, larger studies need to shed light on modifiable exposures for behavioral interventions in pregnancy, postpartum and in childhood.^

Familial component of epilepsy in cleft lip and palate

It is well recognized that offspring of women with epilepsy who are taking anticonvulsant medications have an increased incidence of clefting abnormalities. This increase has been attributed to the teratogenic effects of anticonvulsant medications but an alternative explanation involving a genetic association of epilepsy and clefting has also been proposed. Five family studies attempting to resolve this controversy have been inconclusive either because of study design or analytic limitations. This family study was designed to determine whether epilepsy aggregates in families ascertained by an individual with a clefting disorder. The Mayo Clinic medical linkage registry was used to identify individuals with cleft lip with or without cleft palate and cleft palate in southeast Minnesota from 1935-1986. Only those cases who were 15 years or younger during this period were included in the study. The proband's parents and descendants of their parents, including the proband's sibs, children, grandchildren, niece/nephews, grandnieces/nephews, halfsibs and spouses were also identified and all of their medical records were reviewed for seizure disorders. The standardized morbidity ratios for epilepsy of 0.9 (95% CI 0.2-2.6) observed for first degree relatives (excluding parents) and 0.0 for second degree relatives were not increased. The SMRs ranged from 0.7-2.2 for the individual relative types (parents 1.5, sibs 0.7, children 2.2, probands 1.1, spouses 2.0) and were also not increased. These results do not support the suggestions of some that clefting and epilepsy aggregate together in families. ^

The impact of traditional psychiatric services and case management services on the functioning of people with schizophrenia: A cross-national study in Nova Scotia and Texas

The purpose of this study was to determine the impact of traditional psychiatric services with case management services on the functioning of people with schizophrenia. Traditional services were defined as routine clinic services consisting of medication follow-along, psychotherapy, and support services. Case management consisted of activities involved in linking, planning, and monitoring services for the outpatient client who has schizophrenia. The target population was adult schizophrenics who had been receiving outpatient clinic services for a minimum of six months. Structured interviews were conducted using standardized scales (e.g., Quality of Life, Self-Efficacy, and Brief Symptom Inventory) with 78 outpatient client volunteers from two sites: Nova Scotia (Canada) and Texas (USA). The researcher tested for differences in psychiatric symptomatology, recidivism, and quality of life for persons with schizophrenia receiving traditional psychiatric services in Nova Scotia and traditional plus case management services in Texas. Data were collected from the structured interviews and medical records review forms. Types of services were blocked into low and high levels of Intensity (frequency x minutes) and compared to determine the relative contribution of each. Finally, the role of clients' self-efficacy was tested as an intervening variable. Although the findings did not support the hypotheses in the direction anticipated, there were some interesting and useful results. From the Nova Scotia site, clients who received low levels of services were hospitalized less compared to the Texas site. The more psychotic a patient was the higher their involvement in medication follow-along and the more monitoring they received. The more psychotherapy received, the lower the reported satisfaction with social relationships. Of particular interest is the role that self-efficacy played in improved client outcomes. Although self-efficacy scores were related to improved functioning, the mechanism for this still needs to be clarified through subsequent research. ^

Cigarette smoking and cervical intraepithelial neoplasia among colposcopy patients

Epidemiologic and biochemical evidence suggest that smoking is an independent risk factor for cervical neoplasia; however, only two studies have adjusted by the potential confounding effect of human papillomavirus (HPV). To determine the association between self-reported current cigarette smoking and cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN), we conducted a case-control study that controlled for HPV infection and other reported risk factors. The medical records of all new patients referred to the University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center (UTMDACC) Colposcopy Clinic were reviewed. The study population (n = 564) consisted of all white, black, and Hispanic non-pregnant women who were residents of Texas, and had no history of treatment for cervical neoplasia. Cases (n = 313) included women diagnosed at the UTMDACC with CIN; while controls (n = 251) included those patients diagnosed at the colposcopy clinic as non-CIN (negative 47%, inflammation or atypia 25%, and koilocytosis 27%). Diagnosis was based on a colposcopically directed biopsy in 95% of the subjects, and all subjects were tested for HPV by dot blot hybridization. The crude odds ratio for cigarette smoking and CIN was 1.37 (95% CI 0.97-1.95); however, after adjusting for HPV, age, education, race, number of sexual partners, and age at first sexual intercourse, the odds ratio decreased to 0.91 (95% CI 0.61-1.41). A higher crude odds ratio was observed with CIN 3 (OR = 1.75, 95% CI 1.08-2.83), but this effect also disappeared after adjustment (OR = 1.06, 95% CI 0.57-1.96). Similar results were observed when controlling only for HPV: OR = 1.11 (95% CI 0.77-1.59) for CIN combined and 1.25 (95% CI 0.76-2.08) for CIN 3. These findings suggest that cigarette smoking is not an independent risk factor for CIN in this population, and that HPV may be an important confounding factor for this association. ^

A case-control study to identify risk factors for preterm labor in Colorado Springs, Colorado

The study objectives were to determine risk factors for preterm labor (PTL) in Colorado Springs, CO, with emphasis on altitude and psychosocial factors, and to develop a model that identifies women at high risk for PTL. Three hundred and thirty patients with PTL were matched to 460 control patients without PTL using insurance category as an indirect measure of social class. Data were gathered by patient interview and review of medical records. Seven risk groups were compared: (1) Altitude change and travel; (2) Psychosocial ((a) child, sexual, spouse, alcohol and drug abuse; (b) neuroses and psychoses; (c) serious accidents and injuries; (d) broken home (maternal parental separation); (e) assault (physical and sexual); and (f) stress (emotional, domestic, occupational, financial and general)); (3) demographic; (4) maternal physical condition; (5) Prenatal care; (6) Behavioral risks; and (7) Medical factors. Analysis was by logistic regression. Results demonstrated altitude change before or after conception and travel during pregnancy to be non-significant, even after adjustment for potential confounding variables. Five significant psychosocial risk factors were determined: Maternal sex abuse (p = 0.006), physical assault (p = 0.025), nervous breakdown (p = 0.011), past occupational injury (p = 0.016), and occupational stress (p = 0.028). Considering all seven risk groups in the logistic regression, we chose a logistic model with 11 risk factors. Two risk factors were psychosocial (maternal spouse abuse and past occupational injury), 1 was pertinent to maternal physical condition ($\le$130 lbs. pre-pregnancy weight), 1 to prenatal care ($\le$10 prenatal care visits), 2 pertinent to behavioral risks ($>$15 cigarettes per day and $\le$30 lbs. weight gain) and 5 medical factors (abnormal genital culture, previous PTB, primiparity, vaginal bleeding and vaginal discharge). We conclude that altitude change is not a risk factor for PTL and that selected psychosocial factors are significant risk factors for PTL. ^

The use of the computerized and revised vital record in conducting etiologic studies on neural tube defects

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the adequacy of computerized vital records in Texas for conducting etiologic studies on neural tube defects (NTDs), using the revised and expanded National Centers for Health Statistics vital record forms introduced in Texas in 1989.^ Cases of NTDs (anencephaly and spina bifida) among Harris County (Houston) residents were identified from the computerized birth and death records for 1989-1991. The validity of the system was then measured against cases ascertained independently through medical records and death certificates. The computerized system performed poorly in its identification of NTDs, particularly for anencephaly, where the false positive rate was 80% with little or no improvement over the 3-year period. For both NTDs the sensitivity and predictive value positive of the tapes were somewhat higher for Hispanic than non-Hispanic mothers.^ Case control studies were conducted utilizing the tape set and the independently verified data set, using controls selected from the live birth tapes. Findings varied widely between the data sets. For example, the anencephaly odds ratio for Hispanic mothers (vs. non-Hispanic) was 1.91 (CI = 1.38-2.65) for the tape file, but 3.18 (CI = 1.81-5.58) for verified records. The odds ratio for diabetes was elevated for the tape set (OR = 3.33, CI = 1.67-6.66) but not for verified cases (OR = 1.09, CI = 0.24-4.96), among whom few mothers were diabetic. It was concluded that computerized tapes should not be solely relied on for NTD studies.^ Using the verified cases, Hispanic mother was associated with spina bifida, and Hispanic mother, teen mother, and previous pregnancy terminations were associated with anencephaly. Mother's birthplace, education, parity, and diabetes were not significant for either NTD.^ Stratified analyses revealed several notable examples of statistical interaction. For anencephaly, strong interaction was observed between Hispanic origin and trimester of first prenatal care.^ The prevalence was 3.8 per 10,000 live births for anencephaly and 2.0 for spina bifida (5.8 per 10,000 births for the combined categories). ^

Health status of Saudi women, the case of Yanbu al-Sinaiya

Detailed data on the health status of Saudi women are lacking. This cross sectional study attempts to provide a comprehensive description of the health status of Saudi females between the ages of 15-45 residing in Yanbu Al-Siniyah. The purpose is to assess women's needs for health services. The health status indicators are chronic tracer conditions, reported symptoms and multidimensional functioning levels. The generic functioning instrument of the Medical Outcome Study was used to estimate physical, social, and role functioning; degree of pain and health perceptions. The information was obtained by interviewing subjects and abstracting facts from their medical records. The results show functioning scores are in the "well health" range for physical, social, role and pain. Crowding and education have an equal or stronger effect of reducing functioning levels than the diagnosed tracer conditions. The highest prevalence conditions having a definite functional impact and diagnosed adequately in primary care are anemia, urinary tract infection, hemorrhoids, rheumatoid arthritis, caries and gingivitis. Reported symptoms strongly reducing function levels in this study are dyspnea, heart pain, incontinence, eye and skin problems, and joint ache. The impact of the reliability and validity of the measures used and other limitations of the results are discussed. Finally, some policy implications and suggestions for future study are presented. ^

Incidence of breast cancer in first-degree female relatives of men with newly diagnosed prostate cancer

Prostate cancer is the most common incident cancer and the second leading cause of death in men in the United States. Although numerous attempts have been made to identify risk factors associated with prostate cancer, the results have been inconsistent and conflicting. The only established risk factors are age and ethnicity. A positive family history of prostate cancer has also been shown to increase the risk two- to three-fold among close relatives.^ There are several similarities between breast and prostate cancer that make the relationship between the two of interest. (1) Histologically, both cancers are predominantly adenocarcinomas, (2) both organs have a sexual and/or reproductive role, (3) both cancers occur in hormone-responsive tissue, (4) therapy often consists of hormonal manipulation, (5) worldwide distribution patterns of prostate and breast cancer are positively correlated.^ A family history study was conducted to evaluate the aggregation of prostate cancer and co-aggregation of breast cancer in 149 patients referred to The University of Texas, M.D. Anderson Cancer Center with newly diagnosed prostate cancer. All patients were white, less than 75 years of age at diagnosis and permanent residents of the United States. Through a personal interview with the proband, family histories were collected on 1,128 first-degree relatives. Cancer diagnoses were verified through medical records or death certificate. Standardized incidence ratios were calculated using a computer program by Monson incorporating data from Connecticut Tumor Registry.^ In this study, familial aggregation of prostate cancer was verified only among the brothers, not among fathers. Although a statistically significant excess of breast cancer was not found, the increased point estimates in mothers, sisters and daughters are consistent with a co-aggregation hypothesis. Rather surprising was the finding of a seven-fold increased risk of prostate cancer and a three-fold increased risk of breast cancer among siblings in the presence of a maternal history of any cancer. Larger family history studies including high risk (African-Americans) and lower-risk groups (Hispanics) and incorporating molecular genetic evaluations should be conducted to determine if genetic differences play a role in the differential incidence rates across ethnic groups. ^

THE INCIDENCE OF PELVIC ENDOMETRIOSIS IN ROCHESTER, MINNESOTA, 1970-1979

The primary objectives of the study were to measure the incidence of pelvic endometriosis among white females of reproductive age (15-49 years) in Rochester, Minnesota, during the period 1970-1979 and to determine the risk of endometriosis by age, marital status, nun status, and educational attainment in this population. An historical prospective design was used. Incident (newly diagnosed) cases were identified from community medical records, and person-years of risk in the study population were estimated from census data.^ Almost two-thirds of the incident cases had surgically verified endometriosis, while the remainder were diagnosed by clinical findings alone. Incidence rates were prepared first with histologically confirmed cases only and then with the successive inclusion of less certain cases: surgically visualized, clinically probable, and clinically possible. On this basis, overall incidence rates were 108.8 to 246.9 newly diagnosed cases per 100,000 person-years. The incidence of pelvic endometriosis was lowest for women 15-19 years of age, increased markedly through age 44, and then declined for women 45-49 years of age. A significantly greater risk of pelvic endometriosis in never married women was detected only when the numerator was limited to histologically confirmed cases. Among never married women 20-49 years of age, no significant difference in the risk of pelvic endometriosis by nun status was detected, but a trend toward a lower incidence in nuns was observed. Women with education beyond high school had a significantly higher incidence of endometriosis than women with less education.^ Cases in the four diagnostic groups differed greatly by age and marital status but were similar with respect to virtually all other characteristics, once age differences were considered. Reproductive history characteristics described included: age of menarche; history of menopause; total pregnancies; ages of first pregnancy, marriage, and sexual intercourse; years from menarche to first intercourse; years of ovulatory cycling; difficulty becoming pregnant; and delay of the first pregnancy by choice. How these characteristics of incident cases differ from those of women free of endometriosis needs to be studied in future research. ^

A COMPARISON OF COUNTY HOSPITAL UTILIZATION BEFORE AND AFTER INTERVENTION BY THE HOSPITAL'S ALCOHOLISM SERVICES PROGRAM

This study examines the reduction in hospital utilization of 393 public hospital patients who were referred to the hospital's alcoholism screening program for intervention. The 393 patients were the total patient population of the alcoholism screening program for the period of September through December, 1982. Medical records of these patients were investigated to assess the total number of hospital days six months before and six months after intervention. The findings support the hypothesis of decreased utilization. The total number of hospital days for 393 patients before intervention of the alcoholism program was 3,458, with a mean length of stay of 8.80 days. The total number of hospital days after intervention was 458 days, with a mean length of stay of 6.50 days. The average individual difference (decrease) was 7.63 days for one year. From a total of 393 patients counseled by the alcoholism program, 106 (27%) went to treatment for their alcoholism. Other aims were to examine the referral sources (physicians, nurses, social workers and the MAST); study the impact of familial history of alcoholism on referrals, and explore the MAST scores of patients successfully referred. Implications of the study are that it would benefit the public hospital, with their disproportionate numbers of alcoholics, to intervene in the behavioral patterns of alcoholism. Such intervention would be a factor in reducing the overall hospitalization of the alcoholic. ^

DIABETIC RETINOPATHY IN NON-INSULIN-DEPENDENT DIABETES MELLITUS IN BLACK WOMEN: A DESCRIPTIVE STUDY OF RISK FACTORS

This cross-sectional study examines the prevalence of selected potential risk factors by stage of diabetic retinopathy (DR) among Black American women with non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (NIDDM) followed at a university diabetes clinic. DR was assessed by ophthalmoscopy and five-field retinography, and graded on counts of microaneurysms, hemorrhages and/or exudates, and presence of proliferative DR. Prevalence of other vascular diseases was assessed from medical records. Potential risk factors included age, known duration of diabetes, type of hypoglycemic treatment, concentrations of random capillary blood glucose, glycosylated hemoglobin, urine protein and fibrinogen, body mass index, and blood pressure. Prevalence of these risk factors is reported for three categories: No DR, mild background DR, severe background or proliferative DR (including surgically treated DR). Duration, age at diagnosis and treatment of diabetes, concentration of urine protein and average blood glucose, hypertension and cardiovascular disease were significantly associated with DR in univariate analysis. The covariance analysis employed stratification on duration, age at diagnosis and therapy of diabetes. The highest DR scores were calculated for those diagnosed before age 45, regardless of duration, therapy, or average blood glucose. Only individuals diagnosed before age 45 had high blood glucose concentrations in all categories of duration. These findings suggest that in this clinic population of Black women, those diagnosed with NIDDm before age 45 who eventually required insulin treatment were at the greatest risk of developing DR and that longterm poor glucose control is a contributing factor. These results suggest that greater emphasis be placed on this subgroup in allocating the limited resources available to improve the quality of glucose regulation, particularly through measures affecting compliance behavior.^ Findings concerning the association of DR with concentration of blood glucose and urine protein, blood pressure/hypertension and weight were compared with those reported from American Indian and Mexican American populations of the Southwestern United States where prevalence of NIDDM, hypertension and obesity is also high. Additional comparative analyses are outlined to substantiate the preliminary finding that there are systematic differences between these ethnic populations. ^

Potential role of statins as immunomodulators in pneumococcal pneumonia

Background: Mortality in pneumococcal pneumonia remains as high as 20%, and most deaths occur within the first two weeks of hospitalization despite eradication of the causative organisms by antimicrobials in the first 24 hours. An inflammatory response rather than active infection could be responsible for this early mortality. Statins have been shown to have potent immunomodulatory activity in vitro. We investigated whether there was decreased severity or improved outcome in patients who were receiving statins at the time they were admitted for pneumococcal pneumonia. ^ Methods: Patients seen at the Michael E. DeBakey Veterans Affairs Medical Center in Houston, Texas from January, 2000 to June, 2010 with a diagnosis of pneumococcal pneumonia were included in this retrospective cohort study. Electronic medical records were reviewed to record demographic characteristics, comorbidities, laboratory values and statin use at the time of admission. Severity of pneumonia was determined using the Pneumonia Outcomes Research Team (PORT) classification. Uni- and multivariate Cox regression was used to evaluate survival. We adjusted for all variables in the multivariate model if they were significant in the univariate model at p<0.05. ^ Results: Of 347 patients admitted for pneumococcal pneumonia, 90 (25.9%) were taking statins at the time of presentation. Patients in the statin group were older (age: 68.0±9.7 vs. 62.5±12.3 years, p<0.001) and had higher prevalence of diabetes, coronary artery disease and kidney disease (p<0.05 for each comparison). Liver disease and alcohol consumption were less prevalent among statin users (p<0.05). The PORT scores were normally distributed in both groups with statin users having higher mean scores at admission as compared to patients not on statins (108±32 vs. 96±32, p = 0.002). The Cox proportional hazard analyses, adjusted for age, comorbidities, length of stay and PORT scores, showed a significantly reduced risk of mortality among statin users at 14 days (HR: 0.39; 0.15-0.98, p=0.045), 20 days (0.35; 0.14- 0.88, p=0.03) and 30 days(0.41; 0.17-0.95, p=0.01) after presentation. ^ Conclusion: Statin use is associated with improved clinical outcomes in patients with pneumococcal pneumonia.^

Costs and quality of medication reconciliation practice in primary care clinics

Medication reconciliation, with the aim to resolve medication discrepancy, is one of the Joint Commission patient safety goals. Medication errors and adverse drug events that could result from medication discrepancy affect a large population. At least 1.5 million adverse drug events and $3.5 billion of financial burden yearly associated with medication errors could be prevented by interventions such as medication reconciliation. This research was conducted to answer the following research questions: (1a) What are the frequency range and type of measures used to report outpatient medication discrepancy? (1b) Which effective and efficient strategies for medication reconciliation in the outpatient setting have been reported? (2) What are the costs associated with medication reconciliation practice in primary care clinics? (3) What is the quality of medication reconciliation practice in primary care clinics? (4) Is medication reconciliation practice in primary care clinics cost-effective from the clinic perspective? Study designs used to answer these questions included a systematic review, cost analysis, quality assessments, and cost-effectiveness analysis. Data sources were published articles in the medical literature and data from a prospective workflow study, which included 150 patients and 1,238 medications. The systematic review confirmed that the prevalence of medication discrepancy was high in ambulatory care and higher in primary care settings. Effective strategies for medication reconciliation included the use of pharmacists, letters, a standardized practice approach, and partnership between providers and patients. Our cost analysis showed that costs associated with medication reconciliation practice were not substantially different between primary care clinics using or not using electronic medical records (EMR) ($0.95 per patient per medication in EMR clinics vs. $0.96 per patient per medication in non-EMR clinics, p=0.78). Even though medication reconciliation was frequently practiced (97-98%), the quality of such practice was poor (0-33% of process completeness measured by concordance of medication numbers and 29-33% of accuracy measured by concordance of medication names) and negatively (though not significantly) associated with medication regimen complexity. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios for concordance of medication number per patient per medication and concordance of medication names per patient per medication were both 0.08, favoring EMR. Future studies including potential cost-savings from medication features of the EMR and potential benefits to minimize severity of harm to patients from medication discrepancy are warranted. ^

Predictors of HIV-1 slow progression among vertically infected children in Botswana

HIV-1 infected children display a highly variable rate of progression to AIDS. Data about reasons underlying the variable progression to AIDS among vertically-infected children is sparse, and the few studies that have examined this important question have almost exclusively been done in the developed world. This is despite the fact that Sub-Saharan Africa is home to over 90% of all HIV infected children around the world.^ The main objective of this study was to examine predictors of HIV-1 slow progression among vertically infected children in Botswana, using a case control design. Cases (slow progressors) and controls (rapid progressors) were drawn from medical records of HIV-1 infected children being followed up for routine care and treatment at the BBCCCOE between February 2003 and February 2011. Univariate and Multivariate Logistic Regression Analyses were performed to identify independent predictors of slow disease progression and control for confounding respectively. ^ The study population comprised of 152 cases and 201 controls with ages ranging from 6 months to 16 years at baseline. Low baseline HIV-1 RNA viral load was the strongest independent predictor of slow progression (adjusted OR = 5.52, 95% CI = 2.75-11.07; P <0.001). Other independent predictors of slow disease progression identified were: lack of history of PMTCT with single dose Nevirapine plus Zidovudine (adjusted OR = 4.45, 95% CI = 1.45-13.69; P = 0.009) and maternal vital status (alive) (adjusted OR = 2.46, 95% CI = 1.51-4.01; P < 0.00 ).^ The results of this study may help clinicians and policy-makers in resource-limited settings to identify, at baseline, which children are at highest risk of rapid progression to AIDS and thus prioritize them for immediate intervention with HAART and other measures that would mitigate disease progression. At the same time HAART may be delayed among children who are at lower risk of disease progression. This would enable the highly affected, yet impoverished, Sub-Saharan African countries to use their scarce resources more efficiently which may in turn ensure that their National Antiretroviral Therapy Programs become more sustainable. Delaying HAART among the low-risk children would also lower the occurrence of adverse drug reactions associated with antiretroviral drugs exposure.^ Keywords. Slow Progressors, Rapid Progressors, HIV-1, Predictors, Children, Vertical Transmission, Sub-Saharan Africa^