The number and timing of time -dependent covariate measurements for the Cox regression model

The problem of analyzing data with updated measurements in the time-dependent proportional hazards model arises frequently in practice. One available option is to reduce the number of intervals (or updated measurements) to be included in the Cox regression model. We empirically investigated the bias of the estimator of the time-dependent covariate while varying the effect of failure rate, sample size, true values of the parameters and the number of intervals. We also evaluated how often a time-dependent covariate needs to be collected and assessed the effect of sample size and failure rate on the power of testing a time-dependent effect.^ A time-dependent proportional hazards model with two binary covariates was considered. The time axis was partitioned into k intervals. The baseline hazard was assumed to be 1 so that the failure times were exponentially distributed in the ith interval. A type II censoring model was adopted to characterize the failure rate. The factors of interest were sample size (500, 1000), type II censoring with failure rates of 0.05, 0.10, and 0.20, and three values for each of the non-time-dependent and time-dependent covariates (1/4,1/2,3/4).^ The mean of the bias of the estimator of the coefficient of the time-dependent covariate decreased as sample size and number of intervals increased whereas the mean of the bias increased as failure rate and true values of the covariates increased. The mean of the bias of the estimator of the coefficient was smallest when all of the updated measurements were used in the model compared with two models that used selected measurements of the time-dependent covariate. For the model that included all the measurements, the coverage rates of the estimator of the coefficient of the time-dependent covariate was in most cases 90% or more except when the failure rate was high (0.20). The power associated with testing a time-dependent effect was highest when all of the measurements of the time-dependent covariate were used. An example from the Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program Cooperative Research Group is presented. ^

The Role of Acidic Fibroblast Growth Factor and Fibroblast Growth Factor Receptor 4 in High Grade Serous Carcinoma

Background: High grade serous carcinoma whether ovarian, tubal or primary peritoneal, continues to be the most lethal gynecologic malignancy in the USA. Although combination chemotherapy and aggressive surgical resection has improved survival in the past decade the majority of patients still succumb to chemo-resistant disease recurrence. It has recently been reported that amplification of 5q31-5q35.3 is associated with poor prognosis in patients with high grade serous ovarian carcinoma. Although the amplicon contains over 50 genes, it is notable for the presence of several members of the fibroblast growth factor signaling axis. In particular acidic fibroblast growth factor (FGF1) has been demonstrated to be one of the driving genes in mediating the observed prognostic effect of the amplicon in ovarian cancer patients. This study seeks to further validate the prognostic value of fibroblast growth receptor 4 (FGFR4), another candidate gene of the FGF/FGFR axis located in the same amplicon. The emphasis will be delineating the role the FGF1/FGFR4 signaling axis plays in high grade serous ovarian carcinoma; and test the feasibility of targeting the FGF1/FGFR4 axis therapeutically. Materials and Methods: Spearman and Pearson correlation studies on data generated from array CGH and transcriptome profiling analyses on 51 microdissected tumor samples were used to identify genes located on chromosome 5q31-35.3 that showed significant correlation between DNA and mRNA copy numbers. Significant correlation between FGF1 and FGFR4 DNA copy numbers was further validated by qPCR analysis on DNA isolated from 51 microdissected tumor samples. Immunolocalization and quantification of FGFR4 expression were performed on paraffin embedded tissue samples from 183 cases of high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma. The expression was then correlated with clinical data to assess impact on survival. The expression of FGF1 and FGFR4 in vitro was quantified by real-time PCR and western blotting in six high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma cell lines and compared to those in human ovarian surface epithelial cells to identify overexpression. The effect of FGF1 on these cell lines after serum starvation was quantified for in vitro cellular proliferation, migration/invasion, chemoresistance and survival utilizing a combination of commercially available colorimetric, fluorometric and electrical impedance assays. FGFR4 expression was then transiently silenced via siRNA transfection and the effects on response to FGF1, cellular proliferation, and migration were quantified. To identify relevant cellular pathways involved, responsive cell lines were transduced with different transcription response elements using the Cignal-Lenti reporter system and treated with FGF1 with and without transient FGFR4 knock down. This was followed by western blot confirmation for the relevant phosphoproteins. Anti-FGF1 antibodies and FGFR trap proteins were used to attempt inhibition of FGF mediated phenotypic changes and relevant signaling in vitro. Orthotopic intraperitoneal tumors were established in nude mice using serous cell lines that have been previously transfected with luciferase expressing constructs. The mice were then treated with FGFR trap protein. Tumor progression was then followed via bioluminescent imaging. The FGFR4 gene from 52 clinical samples was sequenced to screen for mutations. Results: FGFR4 DNA and mRNA copy numbers were significantly correlated and FGFR4 DNA copy number was significantly correlated with that of FGF1. Survival of patients with high FGFR4 expressing tumors was significantly shorter that those with low expression(median survival 28 vs 55 month p< 0.001) In a multivariate cox regression model FGFR expression significantly increased risk of death (HR 2.1, p<0.001). FGFR4 expression was significantly higher in all cell lines tested compared to HOSE, OVCA432 cell line in particular had very high expression suggesting amplification. FGF1 was also particularly overexpressed in OVCA432. FGF1 significantly increased cell survival after serum deprivation in all cell lines. Transient knock down of FGFR4 caused significant reduction in cell migration and proliferation in vitro and significantly decreased the proliferative effects of FGF1 in vitro. FGFR1, FGFR4 traps and anti-FGF1 antibodies did not show activity in vitro. OVCA432 transfected with the cignal lenti reporter system revealed significant activation of MAPK, NFkB and WNT pathways, western blotting confirmed the results. Reverse phase protein array (RPPA) analysis also showed activation of MAPK, AKT, WNT pathways and down regulation of E Cadherin. FGFR trap protein significantly reduced tumor growth in vivo in an orthotopic mouse model. Conclusions: Overexpression and amplification of several members of the FGF signaling axis present on the amplicon 5q31-35.3 is a negative prognostic indicator in high grade serous ovarian carcinoma and may drive poor survival associated with that amplicon. Activation of The FGF signaling pathway leads to downstream activation of MAPK, AKT, WNT and NFkB pathways leading to a more aggressive cancer phenotype with increased tumor growth, evasion of apoptosis and increased migration and invasion. Inhibition of FGF pathway in vivo via FGFR trap protein leads to significantly decreased tumor growth in an orthotopic mouse model.

The prognostic significance of sialyl-Tn antigen in women treated with adjuvant chemotherapy for breast cancer

Background and purpose. Sialyl-Tn(STn) represents an aberrantly glycosylated mucin epitope which is expressed in breast cancer and other adenocarcinomas and is an important target for the development of novel immunotherapeutic approaches. It is a marker of adverse prognosis in colon and ovarian cancer, but information about its prognostic impact in breast cancer is limited. The primary aim of the present study was to investigate the influence of STn expression on outcome of invasive breast cancer in 207 women who received anthracyline-containing adjuvant chemotherapy in a prospective clinical trial.^ Methods. Expression of STn was determined by an immunohistochemical procedure using the B72.3 monoclonal antibody. The extent of staining was determined by two observers using a 0 through 4 point scale, with 0 representing $<$5% of cells staining; 1: 5-25%; 2: 26-50%; 3: 51-75%; and 4: $>$75%. Intraobserver and interobserver agreement was.78-.92 (kappa). Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional regression survival analyses were used to compare STn-negative and STn-positive patients.^ Results. Forty-eight (23%) of the 207 specimens demonstrated positive staining of STn. With a median follow-up of five years, STn-positivity was associated with a higher 5-year recurrence-free survival time than STn-negativity (67% vs. 80%, respectively; p = 0.03). STn expression was significantly associated with menopausal status (p = 0.04) but not other conventional prognostic markers. The risk of breast cancer recurrence and death was assessed by multivariate Cox regression analyses with adjustment for lymph node status, tumor size, menopausal status, hormone receptor status, nuclear grade, S-phase fraction and ploidy. In the final multivariate model for recurrence-free survival, the three factors that showed prognostic significance were: lymph node status (hazard ratio (HR) 3.04, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.08-8.49), STn expression (HR 2.02, 95% CI 1.09-3.73), and tumor size (HR 1.96, 95% CI 1.05-3.64). STn was also associated with worse overall survival (HR 2.16, 95% CI 0.95-4.92) in multivariate analysis.^ Conclusion. STn antigen was shown to be a predictor of poor outcome in breast cancer. This tumor-associated antigen may be a valuable marker for identifying individuals at high risk of developing recurrent disease who may benefit from adjuvant therapy targeted at STn following definitive local therapy. Further study is needed to clarify the biologic and prognostic role of STn in breast cancer. ^

HIV-related malignancies: A community-based study using a linkage of cancer registry and HIV registry data

Background. Increased incidence of cancer is documented in immunosuppressed transplant patients. Likewise, as survival increases for persons infected with the Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV), we expect their incidence of cancer to increase. The objective of this study was to examine the current gender specific spectrum of cancer in an HIV infected cohort (especially malignancies not currently associated with Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS)) in relation to the general population.^ Methods. Cancer incidence data was collected for residents of Harris County, Texas who were diagnosed with a malignancy between 1975 and 1994. This data was linked to HIV/AIDS registry data to identify malignancies in an HIV infected cohort of 14,986 persons. A standardized incidence ratio (SIR) analysis was used to compare incidence of cancer in this cohort to that in the general population. Risk factors such as mode of HIV infection, age, race and gender, were evaluated for contribution to the development of cancer within the HIV cohort, using Cox regression techniques.^ Findings. Of those in the HIV infected cohort, 2289 persons (15%) were identified as having one or more malignancies. The linkage identified 29.5% of these malignancies (males 28.7% females 60.9%). HIV infected men and women had incidences of cancer that were 16.7 (16.1, 17.3) and 2.9 (2.3, 3.7) times that expected for the general population of Harris County, Texas, adjusting for age. Significant SIR's were observed for the AIDS-defining malignancies of Kaposi's sarcoma, non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, primary lymphoma of the brain and cancer of the cervix. Additionally, significant SIR's for non-melanotic skin cancer in males, 6.9 (4.8, 9.5) and colon cancer in females, 4.0 (1.1, 10.2) were detected. Among the HIV infected cohort, race/ethnicity of White (relative risk 2.4 with 95% confidence intervals 2.0, 2.8) or Spanish Surname, 2.2 (1.9, 2.7) and an infection route of male to male sex, with, 3.0 (1.9, 4.9) or without, 3.4 (2.1, 5.5) intravenous drug use, increased the risk of having a diagnosis of an incident cancer.^ Interpretation. There appears to be an increased risk of developing cancer if infected with the HIV. In addition to the malignancies routinely associated with HIV infection, there appears to be an increased risk of being diagnosed with non-melanotic skin cancer in males and colon cancer in females. ^

Factors associated with diabetes in tuberculosis patients in Harris County, Texas 1995--2004

Objective. To determine the prevalence and factors associated with diabetes in tuberculosis patients in Harris County, Texas. ^ Background. Tuberculosis and diabetes mellitus are two diseases of immense public health significance. Various epidemiologic studies have established an association between the two conditions. While many studies have identified factors associated with the conditions individually, few have looked at factors associated with their co-occurrence particularly in the United States. Furthermore, most of those studies are hospital-based and may not be representative of the population. The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence and distribution of diabetes among tuberculosis patients in Harris County, Texas and to identify the factors associated with diabetes in tuberculosis. ^ Methods. A population-based case control study was performed using secondary data from the Houston Tuberculosis Initiative (HTI) collected from October 1995 to September 2004. Socio-demographic characteristics and clinical variables were compared between tuberculosis patients with diabetes and non-diabetic tuberculosis patients. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify associations. Survival at 180 days post tuberculosis diagnosis was assessed by Cox regression. ^ Results. The prevalence of diabetes among the tuberculosis (TB) population was 14.4%. The diabetics (cases) with a mean age 53 ± 13.3 years were older than the non-diabetics (controls) with a mean age of 39 ± 18.5 years (p<0.001). Socio-demographic variables that were independently associated with the risk of diabetes were age (OR 1.04, p<0.001) and Hispanic ethnicity (OR 2.04, p<0.001). Diabetes was associated with an increased risk of pulmonary tuberculosis disease (OR 1.33, p<0.028). Among individuals with pulmonary TB, diabetes was associated with positive sputum acid-fast bacilli (AFB) smear (OR 1.47, p<0.005) and culture (OR 1.83, p<0.018). Diabetics were more likely to have cavitary lung disease than non-diabetics (OR 1.50, p<0.002). After adjustment for age and HIV status, the risk of dying within 180 days of TB diagnosis was significantly increased in the diabetics (HR 1.51, p<0.002). ^ Conclusion. Diabetes mellitus was more prevalent in our tuberculosis patients than in the general population. The tuberculous diabetic may be more infectious and has a higher risk of death. It is therefore imperative to screen diabetics for TB and TB patients for diabetes. ^

Gastric cancer survival amongst Hispanics- A Hispanic paradox? A case series study using the SEER 1973--2005 data registry

Stomach cancer is the fourth most common cancer in the world, and ranked 16th in the US in 2008. The age-adjusted rates among Hispanics were 2.8 times that of non-Hispanic Whites in 1998-2002. In spite of that, previous research has found that Hispanics with non-cardia adenocarcinoma of the stomach have a slightly better survival than non-Hispanic Whites. However, such previous research did not include a comparison with African-Americans, and it was limited to data released for the years 1973-2000 in the nine original Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Cancer Registries. This finding was interpreted as related to the Hispanic Paradox, a phenomenon that refers to the fact that Hispanics in the USA tend to paradoxically have substantially better health than other ethnic groups in spite of what their aggregate socio-economic indicators would predict. We extended such research to the SEER 17 Registry, 1973-2005, with varying years of diagnosis per registry, and compared the survival of non-cardia adenocarcinoma of the stomach according to ethnicity (Hispanics, non-Hispanic Whites and African-Americans), while controlling for age, gender, marital status, stage of disease and treatment using Cox regression survival analysis. We found that Hispanic ethnicity by itself did not confer an advantage on survival from non-cardia adenocarcinoma of the stomach, but that being born abroad was independently associated with the apparent 'Hispanic Paradox' previously reported, and that such advantage was seen among foreign born persons across all race/ethnic groups.^

A retrospective cohort study of the duration of hepatitis B vaccine immunity and associated factors in pediatric dialysis patients

Dialysis patients are at high risk for hepatitis B infection, which is a serious but preventable disease. Prevention strategies include the administration of the hepatitis B vaccine. Dialysis patients have been noted to have a poor immune response to the vaccine and lose immunity more rapidly. The long term immunogenicity of the hepatitis B vaccine has not been well defined in pediatric dialysis patients especially if administered during infancy as a routine childhood immunization.^ Purpose. The aim of this study was to determine the median duration of hepatitis B immunity and to study the effect of vaccination timing and other cofactors on the duration of hepatitis B immunity in pediatric dialysis patients.^ Methods. Duration of hepatitis B immunity was determined by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Comparison of stratified survival analysis was performed using log-rank analysis. Multivariate analysis by Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios for the effect of timing of vaccine administration and other covariates on the duration of hepatitis B immunity.^ Results. 193 patients (163 incident patients) had complete data available for analysis. Mean age was 11.2±5.8 years and mean ESRD duration was 59.3±97.8 months. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the total median overall duration of immunity (since the time of the primary vaccine series) was 112.7 months (95% CI: 96.6, 124.4), whereas the median overall duration of immunity for incident patients was 106.3 months (95% CI: 93.93, 124.44). Incident patients had a median dialysis duration of hepatitis B immunity equal to 37.1 months (95% CI: 24.16, 72.26). Multivariate adjusted analysis showed that there was a significant difference between patients based on the timing of hepatitis B vaccination administration (p<0.001). Patients immunized after the start of dialysis had a hazard ratio of 6.13 (2.87, 13.08) for loss of hepatitis B immunity compared to patients immunized as infants (p<0.001).^ Conclusion. This study confirms that patients immunized after dialysis onset have an overall shorter duration of hepatitis B immunity as measured by hepatitis B antibody titers and after the start of dialysis, protective antibody titer levels in pediatric dialysis patients wane rapidly compared to healthy children.^

Survival of gastrointestinal and stromal tumor patients at UT M.D. Anderson Cancer Center

Objective. Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumors (GISTs) are rare mesenchymal tumors of the gastrointestinal (GI) tract with spindled cell, epithelioid, or occasionally pleomorphic morphology. The primary objective of this paper is to describe the demographic and clinical characteristics and survival among GIST patients registered at the University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center (MDACC). ^ Methods. This cohort study includes 783 consecutive patients diagnosed with GIST from 1995 to 2007. Demographic, clinical and survival information were obtained from the MDACC cancer registry. ^ Statistical Analysis. Kaplan-Meier survival curves, univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis were conducted to estimate survival and identify prognostic clinical factors associated with survival. Results. The age at diagnosis of MDACC GIST cases ranged from 17 to 91 with a mean of 57 years and a male-to-female ratio of 1.3:1. The racial distribution was whites 77%, African-Americans 9.5%, Hispanics 9.3% and other races 4.2%. Fifty per cent of the GISTs arose from stomach, 35% small intestine, 7% retroperitoneal space, 6% colorectal and 2% were omentum and mesentery. About half of the tumors were less than 10 cm in size. Fifty eight per cent of the tumors were localized whereas 36% were metastatic. MDACC GIST patients were generally comparable to SEER patients, but, on the average, were 7 years younger than SEER patients and were predominantly whites. ^ Stratification of 783 GIST cases by year of diagnosis based on the introduction of imatinib treatment in 2000 revealed that 60% of the GIST cases were first diagnosed between 2000 and 2007 whereas, 40% were first diagnosed between 1995 and 1999. There was a significant difference between the two cohorts in the distribution of race, GIST symptom, tumor size, tumor site, and stage of the tumor at diagnosis. The 1- and 5-year survival was 93% and 59% in the 1995–2007 cohort. Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified age at diagnosis (p<0.001), female sex (p=0.047), tumor size (p=0.07), multiple cancers (p=0.002), and GIST diagnosed between 2000 and 2007 (p<0.001) were significantly associated with survival. Approximately, 58% of the cases were treated with imatinib whereas 42% did not receive imatinib in 2000–2005 cohort. There was a significant difference in survival between imatinib and non-imatinib groups and in the distribution of tumor size categories, stage of the tumor at diagnosis and cancers before the diagnosis of GIST. The 1- and 5-year survival for imatinib patients was 99% and 73% and was 91% and 63% for non-imatinib patients. Multivariate Cox regression analysis of the 2000–2007 cohort identified, age at diagnosis and tumor stage as possible prognostic factors associated with survival.^

The role of cardiovascular comorbidities in ovarian cancer survival

Objective. One facet of cancer care that often goes ignored is comorbidities, or diseases that exist in concert with cancer. Comorbid conditions may affect survival by influencing treatment decisions and prognosis. The purpose of this secondary data analysis was to identify whether a history of cardiovascular comorbidities among ovarian cancer patients influenced survival time at the University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center. The parent study, Project Peace, has a longitudinal design with an embedded randomized efficacy study which seeks to improve detection of depressive disorders in ovarian, peritoneal, and fallopian tube cancers. ^ Methods. Survival time was calculated for the 249 ovarian cancer patients abstracted by Project Peace staff. Cardiovascular comorbidities were documented as present, based upon information from medical records in addition to self reported comorbidities in a baseline study questionnaire. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to compare survival time among patients with a presence or absence of particular cardiovascular comorbidities. Cox Regression proportional models accounted for multivariable factors such as age, staging, family history of cardiovascular comorbidities, and treatment. ^ Results. Among our patient population, there was a statistically significant relationship between shorter survival time and a history of thrombosis, pericardial disease/tamponade, or COPD/pulmonary hypertension. Ovarian cancer patients with a history of thrombosis lived approximately half as long as patients without thrombosis (58.06 months vs. 121.55 months; p=.001). In addition, patients who suffered from pericardial disease/tamponade had poorer survival than those without a history of pericardial disease/tamponade (48 months vs. 80.07 months; p=.002). Ovarian cancer patients with a history of COPD or pulmonary hypertension had a median survival of 60.2 months, while the median survival for patients without these comorbidities was 80.2 months (p=.014). ^ Conclusion. Especially because of its relatively lower survival rate, greater emphasis needs to be placed on the potential influence of cardiovascular comorbid conditions in ovarian cancer.^

Adherence to adjuvant chemotherapy and post-treatment surveillance in a large community-based cohort of patients with colon cancer

The objective of this dissertation was to determine the initiation and completion rates of adjuvant chemotherapy, its toxicity and the compliance rates of post-treatment surveillance for elderly patients with colon cancer using the linked Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results – Medicare database.^ The first study assessed the initiation and completion rate of 5-fluorouracil-based adjuvant chemotherapy and its relationship with patient characteristics. Of the 12,265 patients diagnosed with stage III colon adenocarcinoma in 1991-2005, 64.4% received adjuvant chemotherapy within 3-months after tumor resection and 40% of them completed the treatment. Age, marital status, and comorbidity score were significant predictors for chemotherapy initiation and completion.^ The second study estimated the incidence rate of toxicity-related endpoints among stage III colon adenocarcinoma patients treated with chemotherapy in 1991-2005. Of the 12,099 patients, 63.9% underwent chemotherapy and had volume depletion disorder (3-month cumulative incidence rate [CIR]=9.1%), agranulocytosis (CIR=3.4%), diarrhea (CIR=2.4%), nausea and vomiting (CIR=2.3%). Cox regression analysis confirmed such association (HR=2.76; 95% CI=2.42-3.15). The risk of ischemic heart diseases was slightly associated with chemotherapy (HR=1.08), but significantly among patients aged <75 with no comorbidity (HR=1.70). ^ The third study determined the adherence rate of follow-up cares among patients diagnosed with stage I-III colon adenocarcinoma in 2000 - June 2002. We identified 7,348 patients with a median follow-up of 59 months. The adherence rate was 83.9% for office visits, 29.4% for CEA tests, and 74.3% for colonoscopy. Overall, 25.2% met the recommended post-treatment care. Younger age at diagnosis, white race, married, advanced stage, fewer comorbidities, and chemotherapy use were significantly associated with guideline adherence.^ In conclusions, not all colon cancer patients received chemotherapy. Receiving chemotherapy was associated with increased risk of developing gastrointestinal, hematological and cardiac toxicities. Patients were more likely to comply with the schedule for office visits and colonoscopy but failed in CEA tests. ^

Thrombolytic therapy for acute myocardial infarction: A cohort study to evaluate a selective approach to invasive diagnosis and therapy. The Corpus Christi Heart Project

Coronary perfusion with thrombolytic therapy and selective reperfusion by percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA) were examined in the Corpus Christi Heart Project, a population-based surveillance program for hospitalized acute myocardial infarction (MI) patients in a biethnic community of Mexican-Americans (MAs) and non-Hispanic whites (NHWs). Results were based on 250 (12.4%) patients who received thromobolytic therapy in a cohort of 2011 acute MI cases. Out of these 107 (42.8%) underwent PTCA with a mean follow-up of 25 months. There were 186 (74.4%) men and 64 (25.6%) women; 148 (59.2%) were NHWs, 86 (34.4%) were MAs. Thrombolysis and PTCA were performed less frequently in women than in men, and less frequently in MAs than in NHWs.^ According to the coronary reperfusion interventions used, patients were divided in two groups, those that received no-PTCA (57.2%) and the other that underwent PTCA (42.8%) after thrombolysis. The case-fatality rate was higher in no-PTCA patients than in the PTCA (7.7% versus 5.6%), as was mortality at one year (16.2% versus 10.5%). Reperfusion was successful in 48.0% in the entire cohort and (51.4% versus 45.6%) in the PTCA and no-PTCA groups. Mortality in the successful reperfusion patients was 5.0% compared to 22.3% in the unsuccessful reperfusion group (p = 0.00016, 95% CI: 1.98-11.6).^ Cardiac catheterization was performed in 86.4% thrombolytic patients. Severe stenosis ($>$75%) obstruction was present most commonly in the left descending artery (52.8%) and in the right coronary artery (52.8%). The occurrence of adverse in-hospital clinical events was higher in the no-PTCA as compared to the PTCA and catheterized patients with the exception of reperfusion arrythmias (p = 0.140; Fisher's exact test p = 0.129).^ Cox regression analysis was used to study the relationship between selected variables and mortality. Apart from successful reperfusion, age group (p = 0.028, 95% CI: 2.1-12.42), site of acute MI index (p = 0.050) and ejection-fraction (p = 0.052) were predictors of long-term survival. The ejection-fraction in the PTCA group was higher than (median 78% versus 53%) in the no-PTCA group. Assessed by logistic regression analysis history of high cholesterol ($>$200mg/dl) and diabetes mellites did have significant prognostic value (p = 0.0233; p = 0.0318) in long-term survival irrespective of treatment status.^ In conclusion, the results of this study support the idea that the use of PTCA as a selective intervention following thrombolysis improves survival of patients with acute MI. The use of PTCA in this setting appears to be safe. However, we can not exclude the possibility that some of these results may have occurred due to the exclusion from PTCA of high risk patients (selection bias). ^

Role of {\it Mycobacterium avium-intracellulare\/} complex infection in AIDS mortality

Disseminated MAC (dMAC) is the third most prevalent opportunistic infection in AIDS patients. In order to understand the role MAC infection plays in affecting survival of AIDS patients, a cohort of 203 suspected dMAC veterans seen at the Houston Veterans Affairs Medical Center between August 14, 1987 and December 31, 1991 were analyzed. The criteria for suspected dMAC infection was HIV+ men having a CD4+ level $\le$200 cells/mm$\sp3,$ on zidovudine treatment $\ge$1 month and who had any of the following: (a) a confirmed respiratory MAC infection, (b) fever $\ge$101$\sp\circ\rm F$ for $\ge$48 hours, (c) unexplained weight loss of 10 lbs or $\ge$10% BW over 3 months or (d) Hgb $\le$7.5 g/dl or decrease in Hgb $\ge$3.0 g/dl, while on 500-600 mg/day AZT. The study was conducted before the commencement of an effective MAC anti-mycobacterial therapy, so the true course of MAC infection was seen without the confounder of a therapeutic regimen. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression survival analysis was used to compare 45 MAC culture positive and 118 MAC culture negative veterans. The 1 year survival rate of veterans with documented dMAC infection was 0.37 compared to 0.50 for veterans not acquiring dMAC infection. Significant differences between subgroups were also seen with the variables: PCP prophylaxis, the AIDS indicator disease Candida esophagitis, CD4+ lymphocyte level, CD4 percent lymphocyte level, WBC level, Hgb and Hct levels. Using multivariate modeling, it was determined that PCP prophylaxis (RR = 6.12, CI 2.24-16.68) was a predictor of survival and both CD4% lymphocytes $\le$6.0% (RR = 0.33, CI 0.17-0.68) and WBC level $\le$3000 cells/mm$\sp3$ (RR = 0.60, CI 0.39-0.93) were predictors of mortality. CD4+ level $\le$50 cells/mm$\sp3$ was not a significant predictor of mortality. Although MAC culture status was a significant predictor of mortality in the univariate model, a positive dMAC culture was not a significant predictor of AIDS mortality in the multivariate model. A positive dMAC culture, however, did affect mortality in a stratified analysis when baseline laboratory values were: CD8+ lymphocytes $>$600 cells/mm$\sp3,$ Hgb $>$11.0 g/dl, Hct $>$31.0% and WBC level $>$3000 cells/mm$\sp3.$ ^

The use of invasive myocardial revascularization procedures following myocardial infarction and the effectiveness of these procedures in the biethnic community of Nueces County, Texas, 1988--1991

High levels of poverty and unemployment, and low levels of health insurance coverage may pose barriers to obtaining cardiac care by Mexican Americans. We undertook this study to investigate differences in the use of invasive myocardial revascularization procedures received within the 4-month period following hospitalization for a myocardial infarction (MI) between Mexican Americans and non-Hispanic whites in the Corpus Christi Heart Project (CCHP). The CCHP is a population-based surveillance program for hospitalized MI, percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA), and aortocoronary bypass surgery (ACBS). Medical record data were available for 1706 patients identified over a three-year period. Mexican Americans had significantly lower rates of receiving a PTCA following MI than non-Hispanic Whites (RR: 0.56, 95% CI: 0.44-0.70). No meaningful ethnic difference was seen in the rates of ACBS use. History of PTCA use appeared to interact with ethnicity. Among patients without a history of PTCA use, Mexican Americans were less likely to receive a PTCA than non-Hispanic whites (RR: 0.59; 95% CI: 0.46-0.76). Among patients with a history of PTCA use, however, Mexican Americans were more likely to receive a PTCA than non-Hispanic whites (RR: 1.47; 95% CI: 0.75-2.87).^ Differences in the effectiveness of a first-time PTCA and first-time ACBS between Mexican Americans and non-Hispanic whites in the CCHP were also investigated. Mexican Americans were more likely to receive a 2nd PTCA (RR: 1.56, 95% CI: 1.11-2.17) and suffer a subsequent MI (RR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.03-1.96) following a first-time PTCA than non-Hispanic whites. No meaningful ethnic differences were found in the rates of death and rates of ACBS following a first-time PTCA. Also, no significant ethnic differences were found in the rates of any of the events following a first-time ACBS. After adjusting for potential demographic, socioeconomic, clinical and angiographic confounders using Cox regression analysis, Mexican Americans were still more likely to receive a 2nd PTCA (HR: 1.38; 95% CI: 0.99-1.93) following a first-time PTCA than non-Hispanic whites. A significant difference in the rates of a subsequent MI following a first-time PTCA persisted (HR: 1.39, 95% CI: 1.01-1.93). (Abstract shortened by UMI.) ^

Potential role of statins as immunomodulators in pneumococcal pneumonia

Background: Mortality in pneumococcal pneumonia remains as high as 20%, and most deaths occur within the first two weeks of hospitalization despite eradication of the causative organisms by antimicrobials in the first 24 hours. An inflammatory response rather than active infection could be responsible for this early mortality. Statins have been shown to have potent immunomodulatory activity in vitro. We investigated whether there was decreased severity or improved outcome in patients who were receiving statins at the time they were admitted for pneumococcal pneumonia. ^ Methods: Patients seen at the Michael E. DeBakey Veterans Affairs Medical Center in Houston, Texas from January, 2000 to June, 2010 with a diagnosis of pneumococcal pneumonia were included in this retrospective cohort study. Electronic medical records were reviewed to record demographic characteristics, comorbidities, laboratory values and statin use at the time of admission. Severity of pneumonia was determined using the Pneumonia Outcomes Research Team (PORT) classification. Uni- and multivariate Cox regression was used to evaluate survival. We adjusted for all variables in the multivariate model if they were significant in the univariate model at p<0.05. ^ Results: Of 347 patients admitted for pneumococcal pneumonia, 90 (25.9%) were taking statins at the time of presentation. Patients in the statin group were older (age: 68.0±9.7 vs. 62.5±12.3 years, p<0.001) and had higher prevalence of diabetes, coronary artery disease and kidney disease (p<0.05 for each comparison). Liver disease and alcohol consumption were less prevalent among statin users (p<0.05). The PORT scores were normally distributed in both groups with statin users having higher mean scores at admission as compared to patients not on statins (108±32 vs. 96±32, p = 0.002). The Cox proportional hazard analyses, adjusted for age, comorbidities, length of stay and PORT scores, showed a significantly reduced risk of mortality among statin users at 14 days (HR: 0.39; 0.15-0.98, p=0.045), 20 days (0.35; 0.14- 0.88, p=0.03) and 30 days(0.41; 0.17-0.95, p=0.01) after presentation. ^ Conclusion: Statin use is associated with improved clinical outcomes in patients with pneumococcal pneumonia.^

Trastuzumab use and risk of congestive heart failure in older breast cancer patients

Trastuzumab is a humanized-monoclonal antibody, developed specifically for HER2-neu over-expressed breast cancer patients. Although highly effective and well tolerated, it was reported associated with Congestive Heart Failure (CHF) in clinical trial settings (up to 27%). This leaves a gap where, Trastuzumab-related CHF rate in general population, especially older breast cancer patients with long term treatment of Trastuzumab remains unknown. This thesis examined the rates and risk factors associated with Trastuzumab-related CHF in a large population of older breast cancer patients. A retrospective cohort study using the existing Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) and Medicare linked de-identified database was performed. Breast cancer patients ≥ 66 years old, stage I-IV, diagnosed in 1998-2007, fully covered by Medicare but no HMO within 1-year before and after first diagnosis month, received 1st chemotherapy no earlier than 30 days prior to diagnosis were selected as study cohort. The primary outcome of this study is a diagnosis of CHF after starting chemotherapy but none CHF claims on or before cancer diagnosis date. ICD-9 and HCPCS codes were used to pool the claims for Trastuzumab use, chemotherapy, comorbidities and CHF claims. Statistical analysis including comparison of characteristics, Kaplan-Meier survival estimates of CHF rates for long term follow up, and Multivariable Cox regression model using Trastuzumab as a time-dependent variable were performed. Out of 17,684 selected cohort, 2,037 (12%) received Trastuzumab. Among them, 35% (714 out of 2037) were diagnosed with CHF, compared to 31% (4784 of 15647) of CHF rate in other chemotherapy recipients (p<.0001). After 10 years of follow-up, 65% of Trastuzumab users developed CHF, compared to 47% in their counterparts. After adjusting for patient demographic, tumor and clinical characteristics, older breast cancer patients who used Trastuzumab showed a significantly higher risk in developing CHF than other chemotherapy recipients (HR 1.69, 95% CI 1.54 - 1.85). And this risk is increased along with the increment of age (p-value < .0001). Among Trastuzumab users, these covariates also significantly increased the risk of CHF: older age, stage IV, Non-Hispanic black race, unmarried, comorbidities, Anthracyclin use, Taxane use, and lower educational level. It is concluded that, Trastuzumab users in older breast cancer patients had 69% higher risk in developing CHF than non-Trastuzumab users, much higher than the 27% increase reported in younger clinical trial patients. Older age, Non-Hispanic black race, unmarried, comorbidity, combined use with Anthracycline or Taxane also significantly increase the risk of CHF development in older patients treated with Trastuzumab. ^