Explaining the Long-Term Trend in Violent Crime: A Heuristic Scheme and Some Methodological Considerations

There has been a discontinuous but fairly persistent long-term decline in homicide rates in core European countries since about 1500. Since the 1950s, however, we observe an upward trend in violent crime not only in Europe but in almost all of the economically advanced nations that combine democratic political structures with free-market economies. The paper presents an explanatory scheme designed to account for both, the long decline and its apparent reversal. The theoretical model draws heavily upon ideas taken from the sociological work of Emile Durkheim and Norbert Elias—with some modifications and extensions. It seeks to integrate sociological and historical perspectives and to give due weight to both, structural and developmental forces. A key hypothesis is that the pacifying effects of the erosion of traditional collectivism can only be maintained to the extent by which “cooperative individualism” dominates over against the forces of “disintegrative individualism.” Some suggestions are made concerning the selection of appropriate indicators and the handling of methodological problems related to causal attribution.

Modernity Strikes Back? A Historical Perspective on the Latest Increase in Interpersonal Violence (1960-1990)

There is a plethora of criminological explanations why criminal violence increased during the three decades between the early 1960s and the early 1990s. This paper argues that most available interpretations are lacking in three respects: they lack a historical perspective that anchors the three critical decades in a wider understanding of long-term trends; they take the nation-state as their unit of analysis and disregard important commonalities across the Western world; and they pay insufficient attention to different trends in broad categories of physical violence.This paper therefore takes a macro-level and long-term perspective on violent crime, focussing on European homicide during the past 160 years. It demonstrates that the period of increase was preceded by a long-term decline and convergence of homicide rates from the 1840s to the 1950s. Also, it shows that both the decline and the increase primarily resulted from temporal variation in the likelihood of physical aggression between men in public space. It argues that explanations of these common trends need to take into account broad long-term cultural change common to Western societies. In particular, the paper suggests that shifts in culturally transmitted and institutionally embedded ideals of the conduct of life may provide an explanation for long-term change in levels of interpersonal violence.

Klassifizierung der Methoden eines Ganzheitlichen Produktionssystems unter Berücksichtigung der Anforderungen indirekter Bereiche

Seit den 50er Jahren des Zwanzigsten Jahrhunderts erfährt das Konzept der schlanken Produktion stetig Erweiterungen und Renaissancen [Fau09]. Zielt das Ursprungskonzept noch überwiegend auf eine Effizienzsteigerung im Bereich der Fertigung ab, so werden im Rahmen eines Ganzheitlichen Produktionssystems verstärkt auch die indirekten Bereiche, wie z. B. Konstruktion, Forschung und Entwicklung, Planung oder Vertrieb einbezogen. Im folgenden Beitrag werden die Rahmenbedingungen eines Produktionssystems im indirekten Bereich dargestellt und Empfehlungen hinsichtlich einer strukturellen Erweiterung aktuell bestehender Ordnungsrahmen gegeben.