3 resultados para unintended consequences

em Central European University - Research Support Scheme


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This project considered the second stage of transforming local administration and public service management to reflect democratic forms of government. In Hungary in the second half of the 1990s more and more public functions delegated to local governments have been handed over to the private or civil sectors. This has led to a relative decrease of municipal functions but not of local governments' responsibilities, requiring them to change their orientation and approach to their work so as to be effective in their new roles of managing these processes rather than traditional bureaucratic administration. Horvath analysed the Anglo-Saxon, French and German models of self-government, identifying the differing aspects emphasised in increasing the private sector's role in the provision of public services, and the influence that this process has on the system of public administration. He then highlighted linkages between actors and local governments in Hungary, concluding that the next necessary step is to develop institutional mechanisms, financial incentives and managerial practices to utilise the full potential of this process. Equally important is the need for conscious avoidance of restrictive barriers and unintended consequences, and for local governments to confront the social conflicts that have emerged in parallel with privatisation. A further aspect considered was a widening of the role of functional governance at local level in the field of human services. A number of different special purpose bodies have been set up in Hungary, but the results of their work are unclear and Horvath feels that this institutionalisation of symbiosis is not the right path in Hungary today. He believes that the change from local government to local governance will require the formulation of specific public policy, the relevance of which can be proven by processes supported with actions.

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This study summarises all the accessible data on old German chemical weapons dumped in the Baltic Sea. Mr. Goncharov formulated a concept of ecological impact evaluation of chemical warfare agents (CWA) on the marine environment and structured a simulation model adapted to the specific character of the hydrological condition and hydrobiological subjects of the Bornholm Deep. The mathematical model he has created describes the spreading of contaminants by currents and turbulence in the near bottom boundary layer. Parameters of CWA discharge through corrosion of canisters were given for various kinds of bottom sediments with allowance for current velocity. He created a method for integral estimations and a computer simulation model and completed a forecast for CWA "Mustard", which showed that in normal hydrometeorological conditions there are local toxic plumes drifting along the bottom for a distance of up to several kilometres. With storm winds the toxic plumes from separate canisters interflow and lengthen and can reach fishery areas near Bornholm Island. When salt water from the North Sea flows in, the length of toxic zones can increase up to and over 100 kilometres and toxic water masses can spread into the northern Baltic. On this basis, Mr. Goncharov drew up recommendations to reduce dangers for human ecology and proposed the creation of a special system for the forecasting and remote sensing of the environmental conditions of CWA burial places.

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The Chernobyl tragedy was the biggest accident since the beginning of the nuclear power industry. The aim of this study was to determine the role of immunological mechanisms in the development of autoimmune disorders (thyroiditis and cataract) and cancers among those workers who participated in clean-up operations in 1986. Blood samples from 165 clean-up workers aged 30-65 from Minsk and Kiev who underwent prophylactic medical examinations and from 80 healthy donors were investigated for the presence of autoimmune reactions and the appearance of onco-foetal antigens. The sera of clean-up workers were found to include the thyroid gland antigen, auto-antibodies to thyroid gland and eye antigens, and immune complexes which are normally absent or found in much lower quantities. The appearance of the clinically unmanifested thyroid gland antigen made it possible to generate a concept describing the mechanism for induction and long-term maintenance of auto-antibody production in an organism after irradiation. Lymphocytes from clean-up workers showed normally absent onco-foetal antigens (PSG and CEA). The data obtained indicate that clean-up workers represent a high risk group for autoimmune and cancer diseases. Immunological findings reveal the long-lasting effects of low doses of irradiation and may be used in prognosis and monitoring of human health.