Nerve root sedimentation sign: evaluation of a new radiological sign in lumbar spinal stenosis

Retrospective case-referent study.

Early mortality and loss to follow-up in HIV-infected children starting antiretroviral therapy in Southern Africa

Many HIV-infected children in Southern Africa have been started on antiretroviral therapy (ART), but loss to follow up (LTFU) can be substantial. We analyzed mortality in children retained in care and in all children starting ART, taking LTFU into account.

Virologic failure and second-line antiretroviral therapy in children in South Africa--the IeDEA Southern Africa collaboration

Background: With expanding pediatric antiretroviral therapy (ART) access, children will begin to experience treatment failure and require second-line therapy. We evaluated the probability and determinants of virologic failure and switching in children in South Africa. Methods: Pooled analysis of routine individual data from children who initiated ART in 7 South African treatment programs with 6-monthly viral load and CD4 monitoring produced Kaplan-Meier estimates of probability of virologic failure (2 consecutive unsuppressed viral loads with the second being >1000 copies/mL, after ≥24 weeks of therapy) and switch to second-line. Cox-proportional hazards models stratified by program were used to determine predictors of these outcomes. Results: The 3-year probability of virologic failure among 5485 children was 19.3% (95% confidence interval: 17.6 to 21.1). Use of nevirapine or ritonavir alone in the initial regimen (compared with efavirenz) and exposure to prevention of mother to child transmission regimens were independently associated with failure [adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval): 1.77 (1.11 to 2.83), 2.39 (1.57 to 3.64) and 1.40 (1.02 to 1.92), respectively]. Among 252 children with ≥1 year follow-up after failure, 38% were switched to second-line. Median (interquartile range) months between failure and switch was 5.7 (2.9-11.0). Conclusions: Triple ART based on nevirapine or ritonavir as a single protease inhibitor seems to be associated with a higher risk of virologic failure. A low proportion of virologically failing children were switched.

Circulating transforming growth factor-beta in Marfan syndrome

BACKGROUND: Marfan syndrome (MFS) is caused by mutations in the fibrillin-1 gene and dysregulation of transforming growth factor-beta (TGF-beta). Recent evidence suggests that losartan, an angiotensin II type 1 blocker that blunts TGF-beta activation, may be an effective treatment for MFS. We hypothesized that dysregulation of TGF-beta might be mirrored in circulating TGF-beta concentrations. METHODS AND RESULTS: Serum obtained from MFS mutant mice (Fbn1(C1039G/+)) treated with losartan was analyzed for circulating TGF-beta1 concentrations and compared with those from placebo-treated and wild-type mice. Aortic root size was measured by echocardiography. Data were validated in patients with MFS and healthy individuals. In mice, circulating total TGF-beta1 concentrations increased with age and were elevated in older untreated Fbn1(C1039G/+) mice compared with wild-type mice (P=0.01; n=16; mean+/-SEM, 115+/-8 ng/mL versus n=17; mean+/-SEM, 92+/-4 ng/mL). Losartan-treated Fbn1(C1039G/+) mice had lower total TGF-beta1 concentrations compared with age-matched Fbn1(C1039G/+) mice treated with placebo (P=0.01; n=18; 90+/-5 ng/mL), and circulating total TGF-beta1 levels were indistinguishable from those of age-matched wild-type mice (P=0.8). Correlation was observed between circulating TGF-beta1 levels and aortic root diameters in Fbn1(C1039G/+) and wild-type mice (P=0.002). In humans, circulating total TGF-beta1 concentrations were elevated in patients with MFS compared with control individuals (P<0.0001; n=53; 15+/-1.7 ng/mL versus n=74; 2.5+/-0.4 ng/mL). MFS patients treated with losartan (n=55) or beta-blocker (n=80) showed significantly lower total TGF-beta1 concentrations compared with untreated MFS patients (P< or =0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Circulating TGF-beta1 concentrations are elevated in MFS and decrease after administration of losartan, beta-blocker therapy, or both and therefore might serve as a prognostic and therapeutic marker in MFS.

Prognosis of Children with HIV-1 Infection Starting Antiretroviral Therapy in Southern Africa: A Collaborative Analysis of Treatment Programs

BACKGROUND: Prognostic models for children starting antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Africa are lacking. We developed models to estimate the probability of death during the first year receiving ART in Southern Africa. METHODS: We analyzed data from children ≤10 years old who started ART in Malawi, South Africa, Zambia or Zimbabwe from 2004-2010. Children lost to follow-up or transferred were excluded. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality in the first year of ART. We used Weibull survival models to construct two prognostic models: one with CD4%, age, WHO clinical stage, weight-for-age z-score (WAZ) and anemia and one without CD4%, because it is not routinely measured in many programs. We used multiple imputation to account for missing data. RESULTS: Among 12655 children, 877 (6.9%) died in the first year of ART. 1780 children were lost to follow-up/transferred and excluded from main analyses; 10875 children were included. With the CD4% model probability of death at 1 year ranged from 1.8% (95% CI: 1.5-2.3) in children 5-10 years with CD4% ≥10%, WHO stage I/II, WAZ ≥-2 and without severe anemia to 46.3% (95% CI: 38.2-55.2) in children <1 year with CD4% <5%, stage III/IV, WAZ< -3 and severe anemia. The corresponding range for the model without CD4% was 2.2% (95% CI: 1.8-2.7) to 33.4% (95% CI: 28.2-39.3). Agreement between predicted and observed mortality was good (C-statistics=0.753 and 0.745 for models with and without CD4% respectively). CONCLUSION: These models may be useful to counsel children/caregivers, for program planning and to assess program outcomes after allowing for differences in patient disease severity characteristics.