A Phase Space Box-counting based Method for Arrhythmia Prediction from Electrocardiogram Time Series

Arrhythmia is one kind of cardiovascular diseases that give rise to the number of deaths and potentially yields immedicable danger. Arrhythmia is a life threatening condition originating from disorganized propagation of electrical signals in heart resulting in desynchronization among different chambers of the heart. Fundamentally, the synchronization process means that the phase relationship of electrical activities between the chambers remains coherent, maintaining a constant phase difference over time. If desynchronization occurs due to arrhythmia, the coherent phase relationship breaks down resulting in chaotic rhythm affecting the regular pumping mechanism of heart. This phenomenon was explored by using the phase space reconstruction technique which is a standard analysis technique of time series data generated from nonlinear dynamical system. In this project a novel index is presented for predicting the onset of ventricular arrhythmias. Analysis of continuously captured long-term ECG data recordings was conducted up to the onset of arrhythmia by the phase space reconstruction method, obtaining 2-dimensional images, analysed by the box counting method. The method was tested using the ECG data set of three different kinds including normal (NR), Ventricular Tachycardia (VT), Ventricular Fibrillation (VF), extracted from the Physionet ECG database. Statistical measures like mean (μ), standard deviation (σ) and coefficient of variation (σ/μ) for the box-counting in phase space diagrams are derived for a sliding window of 10 beats of ECG signal. From the results of these statistical analyses, a threshold was derived as an upper bound of Coefficient of Variation (CV) for box-counting of ECG phase portraits which is capable of reliably predicting the impeding arrhythmia long before its actual occurrence. As future work of research, it was planned to validate this prediction tool over a wider population of patients affected by different kind of arrhythmia, like atrial fibrillation, bundle and brunch block, and set different thresholds for them, in order to confirm its clinical applicability.

Fractal sets and their applications in medicine

La geometria euclidea risulta spesso inadeguata a descrivere le forme della natura. I Frattali, oggetti interrotti e irregolari, come indica il nome stesso, sono più adatti a rappresentare la forma frastagliata delle linee costiere o altri elementi naturali. Lo strumento necessario per studiare rigorosamente i frattali sono i teoremi riguardanti la misura di Hausdorff, con i quali possono definirsi gli s-sets, dove s è la dimensione di Hausdorff. Se s non è intero, l'insieme in gioco può riconoscersi come frattale e non presenta tangenti e densità in quasi nessun punto. I frattali più classici, come gli insiemi di Cantor, Koch e Sierpinski, presentano anche la proprietà di auto-similarità e la dimensione di similitudine viene a coincidere con quella di Hausdorff. Una tecnica basata sulla dimensione frattale, detta box-counting, interviene in applicazioni bio-mediche e risulta utile per studiare le placche senili di varie specie di mammiferi tra cui l'uomo o anche per distinguere un melanoma maligno da una diversa lesione della cute.

Analysis of aircraft load spectrum by means of flight simulator

Damage tolerance analysis is a quite new methodology based on prescribed inspections. The load spectra used to derive results of these analysis strongly influence the final defined inspections programs that for this reason must be as much as possible representative of load acting on the considered structural component and at the same time, obtained reducing both cost and time. The principal purpose of our work is in improving the actual condition developing a complete numerical Damage Tolerance analysis, able to prescribe inspection programs on typical aircraft critical components, respecting DT regulations, starting from much more specific load spectrum then those actually used today. In particular, these more specific load spectrum to design against fatigue have been obtained through an appositively derived flight simulator developed in a Matlab/Simulink environment. This dynamic model has been designed so that it can be used to simulate typical missions performing manually (joystick inputs) or completely automatic (reference trajectory need to be provided) flights. Once these flights have been simulated, model’s outputs are used to generate load spectrum that are then processed to get information (peaks, valleys) to perform statistical and/or comparison consideration with other load spectrum. However, also much more useful information (loads amplitude) have been extracted from these generated load spectrum to perform the previously mentioned predictions (Rainflow counting method is applied for this purpose). The entire developed methodology works in a complete automatic way, so that, once some specified input parameters have been introduced and different typical flights have been simulated both, manually or automatically, it is able to relate the effects of these simulated flights with the reduction of residual strength of the considered component.

Geometria frattale: analisi della lacunarita cerebrale in MRI

La geometria frattale descrive la complessità strutturale di oggetti che presentano, entro certi limiti, invarianza a fattori di scala. Obiettivo di questa tesi è l’analisi di indici frattali della morfologia cerebrale e cerebellare da immagini di risonanza magnetica (MRI) pesate T1 e della loro correlazione con l’età. A tale scopo sono state analizzate la dimensione frattale (D0) e la lacunarità (λs), indice di eterogeneità strutturale, della sostanza grigia (GM) e bianca (WM), calcolate mediante algoritmi di box counting e di differential gliding box, implementati in linguaggio C++, e regressione lineare con scelta automatica delle scale spaziali. Gli algoritmi sono stati validati su fantocci 3D ed è stato proposto un metodo per compensare la dipendenza di λs dalle dimensioni dell’immagine e dalla frazione di immagine occupata. L’analisi frattale è stata applicata ad immagini T1 a 3T del dataset ICBM (International Consortium for Brain Mapping) composto da 86 soggetti (età 19-85 anni). D0 e λs sono state rispettivamente 2.35±0.02 (media±deviazione standard) e 0.41±0.05 per la GM corticale, 2.34±0.03 e 0.35±0.05 per la WM cerebrale, 2.19±0.05 e 0.17±0.02 per la GM cerebellare, 1.95±0.06 e 0.30±0.04 per la WM cerebellare. Il coefficiente di correlazione lineare tra età e D0 della GM corticale è r=−0.38 (p=0.003); tra età e λs, r=0.72 (p<0.001) (mostrando che l’eterogeneità strutturale aumenta con l’invecchiamento) e tra età e λs compensata rispetto al volume della GM cerebrale (GMV), r=0.51 (p<0.001), superiore in valore assoluto a quello tra età e GMV (r=−0.45, p<0.001). In un modello di regressione lineare multipla, dove l’età è stata modellata da D0, λ e GMV della GM corticale, λs è risultato l’unico predittore significativo (r parziale=0.62, p<0.001). La lacunarità λs è un indice sensibile alle variazioni strutturali dovute all’invecchiamento cerebrale e si candida come biomarcatore nella valutazione della complessità cerebrale nelle malattie neurodegenerative.