ICE Emissions Estimation through Machine-learning techniques to support real-world R&D experiments

The emissions estimation, both during homologation and standard driving, is one of the new challenges that automotive industries have to face. The new European and American regulation will allow a lower and lower quantity of Carbon Monoxide emission and will require that all the vehicles have to be able to monitor their own pollutants production. Since numerical models are too computationally expensive and approximated, new solutions based on Machine Learning are replacing standard techniques. In this project we considered a real V12 Internal Combustion Engine to propose a novel approach pushing Random Forests to generate meaningful prediction also in extreme cases (extrapolation, very high frequency peaks, noisy instrumentation etc.). The present work proposes also a data preprocessing pipeline for strongly unbalanced datasets and a reinterpretation of the regression problem as a classification problem in a logarithmic quantized domain. Results have been evaluated for two different models representing a pure interpolation scenario (more standard) and an extrapolation scenario, to test the out of bounds robustness of the model. The employed metrics take into account different aspects which can affect the homologation procedure, so the final analysis will focus on combining all the specific performances together to obtain the overall conclusions.

Effects of Paramuricea clavata (Risso, 1826) (Anthozoa: Plexauridae) forests on settlement of benthic species: an experimental approach

Rationale: Coralligenous habitat is considered the second most important subtidal “hot spot” of species diversity in the Mediterranean Sea after the Posidonia oceanica meadows. It can be defined as a typical Mediterranean biogenic hard bottom, mainly produced by the accumulation of calcareous encrusting algae that, together with other builder organisms, form a multidimensional framework with a high micro-spatial variability. The development of this habitat depends on physical factors (i.e. light, hydrodynamism, nutrients, etc.), but also biologic interactions can play a relevant role in structuring the benthic assemblages. This great environmental heterogeneity allows several different assemblages to coexist in a reduced space. One of the most beautiful is that characterised by the Mediterranean gorgonian Paramuricea clavata (Risso, 1826) that can contribute to above 40% of total biomass of the community and brings significant structural complexity into the coralligenous habitat. In sites moderately exposed to waves and currents, P. clavata can form high-density populations (up to 60 colonies m-2) between 20 – 70 m in depth. Being a suspension feeder, where it forms dense populations, P. clavata plays a significant role in transferring energy from planktonic to benthic system. The effects of the branched colonies of P. clavata could be comparable to those of the forests on land. They can affect the micro scale hydrodynamism and light, promoting or inhibiting the growth of other species. Unfortunately, gorgonians are threatened by several anthropogenic disturbance factors (i.e. fishing, pollution, tourism) and by climatic anomalies, linked to the global changes, that are responsible of thermal stress, development of mucilage and enhanced pathogens activity, leading to mass mortality events in last decades. Till now, the possible effects of gorgonian forest loss are largely unknown. Our goal was to analyse the ecological role of these sea fan forests on the coralligenous benthic assemblages. Experimental setup and main results: The influence of P. clavata in the settlement and recruitment of epibenthic organisms was analysed by a field experiment carried out in two randomly selected places: Tavolara island and Portofino promontory. The experiment consisted in recreate the presence and absence of the gorgonian forest on recruitment panels, arranged in four plots per type (forested and non-forested), interspersed each other, and deployed at the same depth. On every forested panel 3 gorgonian colonies about 20 cm height were grafted with the use of Eppendorf tubes and epoxy resin bicomponent simulating a density of 190 sea fans per m-2. This density corresponds to a mean biomass of 825 g DW m-2,3 which is of the same order of magnitude of the natural high-density populations. After about 4 months, the panels were collected and analysed in laboratory in order to estimate the percent cover of all the species that have colonized the substrata. The gorgonian forest effects were tested by multivariate and univariate permutational analyses of the variance (PERMANOVA). Recruited assemblages largely differed between the two study sites, probably due to different environmental conditions including water quality and turbidity. On overall, the presence of P. clavata reduced the settlement and recruitment of several algae: the shadow caused by the gorgonian might reduce light availability and therefore their growth. This effect might be greater in places where the waters are on average more clear, since at Portofino it is less visible and could be masked by the high turbidity of the water. The same pattern was registered for forams, more abundant outside gorgonian forest, probably linked with algal distribution, shadowing effect or alimentary competition. The last one hypothesis could be valid also for serpulids polychaetes that growth mainly on non-forested panels. An opposite trend, was showed by a species of bryozoan and by an hydroid that is facilitated by the presence of P. clavata, probably because it attenuates irradiance level and hydrodynamism. Species diversity was significantly reduced by the presence of P. clavata forests at both sites. This seems in contrast with what we expected, but the result may be influenced by the large algal component on non-forested panels. The analysis confirmed the presence of differences in the species diversity among plots and between sites respectively due to natural high variability of the coralligenous system and to different local environment conditions. The reduction of species diversity due to the presence of gorgonians appeared related to a worst evenness rather than to less species richness. With our experiment it is demonstrated that the presence of P. clavata forests can significantly alter local coralligenous assemblages patterns, promoting or inhibiting the recruitment of some species, modifying trophic relationships and adding heterogeneity and complexity to the habitat. Moreover, P. clavata could have a stabilising effect on the coralligenous assemblages.

Implementazione di un codice di calcolo random close per un propellente solido

L’impacchettamento risulta essere importante in molti settori industriali, come il settore minerario, farmaceutico e soprattutto il settore spaziale, in quanto permette di massimizzare il grado di riempimento del propellente solido di un razzo ottenendo prestazioni migliori e notevoli vantaggi economici. Il lavoro di tesi presentato nel seguente elaborato consiste nello studio dell’impacchettamento casuale, in particolare il caso Random Close Packing, di un propellente solido; per fare ciò è stato implementato un codice in ambiente C++ presso l’hangar della Scuola di Ingegneria ed Architettura con sede a Forlì. L’obiettivo principale era quello di trovare la granulometria delle particelle di perclorato di ammonio e delle particelle di alluminio tali da minimizzare gli spazi lasciati vuoti dalle particelle stesse.

Crystallization and morphology of the PLLA phase within random poly (L-lactide-ran-ɛ-caprolactone)

This work has mainly focused on the poly (L-lactide) (PLLA) which is a material for multiple applications with performances comparable to those of petrochemical polymers (PP, PS, PET, etc. ...), readily recyclable and also compostable. However, PLLA has certain shortcomings that limit its applications. It is a brittle, hard polymer with a very low elongation at break, hydrophobic, exhibits low crystallization kinetics and takes a long time to degrade. The properties of PLLA may be modified by copolymerization (random, block, and graft) of L-lactide monomers with other co-monomers. In this thesis it has been studied the crystallization and morphology of random copolymers poly (L-lactide-ran-ε-caprolactone) with different compositions of the two monomers since the physical, mechanical, optical and chemical properties of a material depend on this behavior. Thermal analyses were performed by differential scanning calorimetry (DSC) and thermogravimetry (TGA) to observe behaviors due to the different compositions of the copolymers. The crystallization kinetics and morphology of poly (L-lactide-ran-ε-caprolactone) was investigated by polarized light optical microscopy (PLOM) and differential scanning calorimetry (DSC). Their thermal behavior was observed with crystallization from melt. It was observed that with increasing amounts of PCL in the copolymer, there is a decrease of the thermal degradation. Studies on the crystallization kinetics have shown that small quantities of PCL in the copolymer increase the overall crystallization kinetics and the crystal growth rate which decreases with higher quantities of PCL.

Studio e implementazione di un modello random-close per propellenti solidi

L'obiettivo di questo lavoro di tesi è quello di implementare un codice di calcolo, attraverso l'algoritmo di Lubachevsky-Stillinger, in modo da poter prevedere la frazione volumetrica occupata dalle particelle solide che costituiscono il grain negli endoreattori a propellente solido. Particolare attenzione verrà rivolta al problema dell'impacchettamento sferico random (Random-Close Packing) che tale algoritmo cerca di modellare, e le ipotesi per cui tale modellazione può essere applicata al tipo di problema proposto. Inoltre saranno descritte le procedure effettuate per l'ottenimento dei risultati numerici delle simulazioni e la loro motivazione, oltre ai limiti del modello utilizzato e alle migliorie apportate per un'esecuzione più efficiente e veloce.

Progetto vhdl di un nucleo di calcolo per misure di impedenza basate su segnali pseudo-random

In questo elaborato si affronta il progetto di un nucleo di calcolo per misure d'impedenza sulla pelle tramite l'utilizzo di segnali pseudo-random. La misura viene effettuata applicando il segnale casuale all'impedenza per ottenere la risposta impulsiva tramite un'operazione di convoluzione. Il nucleo di calcolo è stato implementato in VHDL.

Fluctuation properties in random walks on networks and simple integrate and fire models

In questa tesi si è studiato l’insorgere di eventi critici in un semplice modello neurale del tipo Integrate and Fire, basato su processi dinamici stocastici markoviani definiti su una rete. Il segnale neurale elettrico è stato modellato da un flusso di particelle. Si è concentrata l’attenzione sulla fase transiente del sistema, cercando di identificare fenomeni simili alla sincronizzazione neurale, la quale può essere considerata un evento critico. Sono state studiate reti particolarmente semplici, trovando che il modello proposto ha la capacità di produrre effetti "a cascata" nell’attività neurale, dovuti a Self Organized Criticality (auto organizzazione del sistema in stati instabili); questi effetti non vengono invece osservati in Random Walks sulle stesse reti. Si è visto che un piccolo stimolo random è capace di generare nell’attività della rete delle fluttuazioni notevoli, in particolar modo se il sistema si trova in una fase al limite dell’equilibrio. I picchi di attività così rilevati sono stati interpretati come valanghe di segnale neurale, fenomeno riconducibile alla sincronizzazione.

Mission synthesis of sine-on-random excitations for accelerated vibration qualification testing

In most real-life environments, mechanical or electronic components are subjected to vibrations. Some of these components may have to pass qualification tests to verify that they can withstand the fatigue damage they will encounter during their operational life. In order to conduct a reliable test, the environmental excitations can be taken as a reference to synthesize the test profile: this procedure is referred to as “test tailoring”. Due to cost and feasibility reasons, accelerated qualification tests are usually performed. In this case, the duration of the original excitation which acts on the component for its entire life-cycle, typically hundreds or thousands of hours, is reduced. In particular, the “Mission Synthesis” procedure lets to quantify the induced damage of the environmental vibration through two functions: the Fatigue Damage Spectrum (FDS) quantifies the fatigue damage, while the Maximum Response Spectrum (MRS) quantifies the maximum stress. Then, a new random Power Spectral Density (PSD) can be synthesized, with same amount of induced damage, but a specified duration in order to conduct accelerated tests. In this work, the Mission Synthesis procedure is applied in the case of so-called Sine-on-Random vibrations, i.e. excitations composed of random vibrations superimposed on deterministic contributions, in the form of sine tones typically due to some rotating parts of the system (e.g. helicopters, engine-mounted components, …). In fact, a proper test tailoring should not only preserve the accumulated fatigue damage, but also the “nature” of the excitation (in this case the sinusoidal components superimposed on the random process) in order to obtain reliable results. The classic time-domain approach is taken as a reference for the comparison of different methods for the FDS calculation in presence of Sine-on-Random vibrations. Then, a methodology to compute a Sine-on-Random specification based on a mission FDS is presented.

On the recurrence of random walks in Lévy random environments

This thesis investigates one-dimensional random walks in random environment whose transition probabilities might have an infinite variance. The ergodicity of the dynamical system ''from the point of view of the particle'' is proved under the assumptions of transitivity and existence of an absolutely continuous steady state on the space of the environments. We show that, if the average of the local drift over the environments is summable and null, then the RWRE is recurrent. We provide an example satisfying all the hypotheses.

Stationary states in random walks on networks

In this thesis we dealt with the problem of describing a transportation network in which the objects in movement were subject to both finite transportation capacity and finite accomodation capacity. The movements across such a system are realistically of a simultaneous nature which poses some challenges when formulating a mathematical description. We tried to derive such a general modellization from one posed on a simplified problem based on asyncronicity in particle transitions. We did so considering one-step processes based on the assumption that the system could be describable through discrete time Markov processes with finite state space. After describing the pre-established dynamics in terms of master equations we determined stationary states for the considered processes. Numerical simulations then led to the conclusion that a general system naturally evolves toward a congestion state when its particle transition simultaneously and we consider one single constraint in the form of network node capacity. Moreover the congested nodes of a system tend to be located in adjacent spots in the network, thus forming local clusters of congested nodes.