2 resultados para Prediction algorithms

em AMS Tesi di Laurea - Alm@DL - Università di Bologna


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The final goal of the thesis should be a real-world application in the production test data environment. This includes the pre-processing of the data, building models and visualizing the results. To do this, different machine learning models, outlier prediction oriented, should be investigated using a real dataset. Finally, the different outlier prediction algorithms should be compared, and their performance discussed.

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Sales prediction plays a huge role in modern business strategies. One of it's many use cases revolves around estimating the effects of promotions. While promotions generally have a positive effect on sales of the promoted product, they can also have a negative effect on those of other products. This phenomenon is calles sales cannibalisation. Sales cannibalisation can pose a big problem to sales forcasting algorithms. A lot of times, these algorithms focus on sales over time of a single product in a single store (a couple). This research focusses on using knowledge of a product across multiple different stores. To achieve this, we applied transfer learning on a neural model developed by Kantar Consulting to demo an approach to estimating the effect of cannibalisation. Our results show a performance increase of between 10 and 14 percent. This is a very good and desired result, and Kantar will use the approach when integrating this test method into their actual systems.