A multi-objective genetic algorithm optimisation using variable speed pumps in water distribution systems

Due to its practical importance and inherent complexity, the optimisation of distribution networks for supplying drinking water has been the subject of extensive study for the past 30 years. The optimization is governed by sizing the pipes in the water distribution network (WDN) and / or optimises specific parts of the network such as pumps, tanks etc. or try to analyse and optimise the reliability of a WDN. In this thesis, the author has analysed two different WDNs (Anytown City and Cabrera city networks), trying to solve and optimise a multi-objective optimisation problem (MOOP). The main two objectives in both cases were the minimisation of Energy Cost (€) or Energy consumption (kWh), along with the total Number of pump switches (TNps) during a day. For this purpose, a decision support system generator for Multi-objective optimisation used. Its name is GANetXL and has been developed by the Center of Water System in the University of Exeter. GANetXL, works by calling the EPANET hydraulic solver, each time a hydraulic analysis has been fulfilled. The main algorithm used, was a second-generation algorithm for multi-objective optimisation called NSGA_II that gave us the Pareto fronts of each configuration. The first experiment that has been carried out was the network of Anytown city. It is a big network with a pump station of four fixed speed parallel pumps that are boosting the water dynamics. The main intervention was to change these pumps to new Variable speed driven pumps (VSDPs), by installing inverters capable to diverse their velocity during the day. Hence, it’s been achieved great Energy and cost savings along with minimisation in the number of pump switches. The results of the research are thoroughly illustrated in chapter 7, with comments and a variety of graphs and different configurations. The second experiment was about the network of Cabrera city. The smaller WDN had a unique FS pump in the system. The problem was the same as far as the optimisation process was concerned, thus, the minimisation of the energy consumption and in parallel the minimisation of TNps. The same optimisation tool has been used (GANetXL).The main scope was to carry out several and different experiments regarding a vast variety of configurations, using different pump (but this time keeping the FS mode), different tank levels, different pipe diameters and different emitters coefficient. All these different modes came up with a large number of results that were compared in the chapter 8. Concluding, it should be said that the optimisation of WDNs is a very interested field that has a vast space of options to deal with. This includes a large number of algorithms to choose from, different techniques and configurations to be made and different support system generators. The researcher has to be ready to “roam” between these choices, till a satisfactory result will convince him/her that has reached a good optimisation point.

Analisi multi-obiettivo in ottica lean-green della reverse logistics dei veicoli a fine vita (ELV)

La gestione del fine vita dei prodotti è un argomento di interesse attuale per le aziende; sempre più spesso l’imprese non possono più esimersi dall’implementare un efficiente sistema di Reverse Logistics. Per rispondere efficacemente a queste nuove esigenze diventa fondamentale ampliare i tradizionali sistemi logistici verso tutte quelle attività svolte all’interno della Reverse Logitics. Una gestione efficace ed efficiente dell’intera supply chain è un aspetto di primaria importanza per un’azienda ed incide notevolmente sulla sua competitività; proprio per perseguire questo obiettivo, sempre più aziende promuovono politiche di gestione delle supply chain sia Lean che Green. L’obiettivo di questo lavoro, nato dalle esigenze descritte sopra, è quello di applicare un modello innovativo che consideri sia politiche di gestione Lean, che dualmente politiche Green, alla gestione di una supply chain del settore automotive, comprendente anche le attività di gestione dei veicoli fuori uso (ELV). Si è analizzato per prima cosa i principi base e gli strumenti utilizzati per l’applicazione della Lean Production e del Green supply chain management e in seguito si è analizzato le caratteristiche distintive della Reverse Logistics e in particolare delle reti che trattano i veicoli a fine vita. L’obiettivo finale dello studio è quello di elaborare e implementare, tramite l’utilizzo del software AMPL, un modello di ottimizzazione multi-obiettivo (MOP- Multi Objective Optimization) Lean e Green a una Reverse Supply Chain dei veicoli a fine vita. I risultati ottenuti evidenziano che è possibile raggiungere un ottimo compromesso tra le due logiche. E' stata effettuata anche una valutazione economica dei risultati ottenuti, che ha evidenziato come il trade-off scelto rappresenti anche uno degli scenari con minor costi.

A framework for risk analysis in automotive cybersecurity

We address the problem of automotive cybersecurity from the point of view of Threat Analysis and Risk Assessment (TARA). The central question that motivates the thesis is the one about the acceptability of risk, which is vital in taking a decision about the implementation of cybersecurity solutions. For this purpose, we develop a quantitative framework in which we take in input the results of risk assessment and define measures of various facets of a possible risk response; we then exploit the natural presence of trade-offs (cost versus effectiveness) to formulate the problem as a multi-objective optimization. Finally, we develop a stochastic model of the future evolution of the risk factors, by means of Markov chains; we adapt the formulations of the optimization problems to this non-deterministic context. The thesis is the result of a collaboration with the Vehicle Electrification division of Marelli, in particular with the Cybersecurity team based in Bologna; this allowed us to consider a particular instance of the problem, deriving from a real TARA, in order to test both the deterministic and the stochastic framework in a real world application. The collaboration also explains why in the work we often assume the point of view of a tier-1 supplier; however, the analyses performed can be adapted to any other level of the supply chain.

Distributed collision-free traffic management via vertex cover for multi-vehicle systems

In this thesis, we state the collision avoidance problem as a vertex covering problem, then we consider a distributed framework in which a team of cooperating Unmanned Vehicles (UVs) aim to solve this optimization problem cooperatively to guarantee collision avoidance between group members. For this purpose, we implement a distributed control scheme based on a robust Set-Theoretic Model Predictive Control ( ST-MPC) strategy, where the problem involves vehicles with independent dynamics but with coupled constraints, to capture required cooperative behavior.

New integer programming models for balanced multi-country kep

Le persone che soffrono di insufficienza renale terminale hanno due possibili trattamenti da affrontare: la dialisi oppure il trapianto di organo. Nel caso volessero seguire la seconda strada, oltre che essere inseriti nella lista d'attesa dei donatori deceduti, possono trovare una persona, come il coniuge, un parente o un amico, disposta a donare il proprio rene. Tuttavia, non sempre il trapianto è fattibile: donatore e ricevente possono, infatti, presentare delle incompatibilità a livello di gruppo sanguigno o di tessuto organico. Come risposta a questo tipo di problema nasce il KEP (Kidney Exchange Program), un programma, ampiamente avviato in diverse realtà europee e mondiali, che si occupa di raggruppare in un unico insieme le coppie donatore/ricevente in questa stessa situazione al fine di operare e massimizzare scambi incrociati di reni fra coppie compatibili. Questa tesi approffondisce tale questione andando a valutare la possibilità di unire in un unico insieme internazionale coppie donatore/ricevente provenienti da più paesi. Lo scopo, naturalmente, è quello di poter ottenere un numero sempre maggiore di trapianti effettuati. Lo studio affronta dal punto di vista matematico problematiche legate a tale collaborazione: i paesi che eventualmente accettassero di partecipare a un simile programma, infatti, devono avere la garanzia non solo di ricavarne un vantaggio, ma anche che tale vantaggio sia equamente distribuito fra tutti i paesi partecipanti.

Distributed non-cooperative robust economic predictive control for dynamically coupled linear systems.

In this thesis, a tube-based Distributed Economic Predictive Control (DEPC) scheme is presented for a group of dynamically coupled linear subsystems. These subsystems are components of a large scale system and control inputs are computed based on optimizing a local economic objective. Each subsystem is interacting with its neighbors by sending its future reference trajectory, at each sampling time. It solves a local optimization problem in parallel, based on the received future reference trajectories of the other subsystems. To ensure recursive feasibility and a performance bound, each subsystem is constrained to not deviate too much from its communicated reference trajectory. This difference between the plan trajectory and the communicated one is interpreted as a disturbance on the local level. Then, to ensure the satisfaction of both state and input constraints, they are tightened by considering explicitly the effect of these local disturbances. The proposed approach averages over all possible disturbances, handles tightened state and input constraints, while satisfies the compatibility constraints to guarantee that the actual trajectory lies within a certain bound in the neighborhood of the reference one. Each subsystem is optimizing a local arbitrary economic objective function in parallel while considering a local terminal constraint to guarantee recursive feasibility. In this framework, economic performance guarantees for a tube-based distributed predictive control (DPC) scheme are developed rigorously. It is presented that the closed-loop nominal subsystem has a robust average performance bound locally which is no worse than that of a local robust steady state. Since a robust algorithm is applying on the states of the real (with disturbances) subsystems, this bound can be interpreted as an average performance result for the real closed-loop system. To this end, we present our outcomes on local and global performance, illustrated by a numerical example.

LQG control policy design against agent identity privacy problem

This thesis project studies the agent identity privacy problem in the scalar linear quadratic Gaussian (LQG) control system. For the agent identity privacy problem in the LQG control, privacy models and privacy measures have to be established first. It depends on a trajectory of correlated data rather than a single observation. I propose here privacy models and the corresponding privacy measures by taking into account the two characteristics. The agent identity is a binary hypothesis: Agent A or Agent B. An eavesdropper is assumed to make a hypothesis testing on the agent identity based on the intercepted environment state sequence. The privacy risk is measured by the Kullback-Leibler divergence between the probability distributions of state sequences under two hypotheses. By taking into account both the accumulative control reward and privacy risk, an optimization problem of the policy of Agent B is formulated. The optimal deterministic privacy-preserving LQG policy of Agent B is a linear mapping. A sufficient condition is given to guarantee that the optimal deterministic privacy-preserving policy is time-invariant in the asymptotic regime. An independent Gaussian random variable cannot improve the performance of Agent B. The numerical experiments justify the theoretic results and illustrate the reward-privacy trade-off. Based on the privacy model and the LQG control model, I have formulated the mathematical problems for the agent identity privacy problem in LQG. The formulated problems address the two design objectives: to maximize the control reward and to minimize the privacy risk. I have conducted theoretic analysis on the LQG control policy in the agent identity privacy problem and the trade-off between the control reward and the privacy risk.Finally, the theoretic results are justified by numerical experiments. From the numerical results, I expected to have some interesting observations and insights, which are explained in the last chapter.

Smart sampling approaches for Decision-Focused Learning

Many real-word decision- making problems are defined based on forecast parameters: for example, one may plan an urban route by relying on traffic predictions. In these cases, the conventional approach consists in training a predictor and then solving an optimization problem. This may be problematic since mistakes made by the predictor may trick the optimizer into taking dramatically wrong decisions. Recently, the field of Decision-Focused Learning overcomes this limitation by merging the two stages at training time, so that predictions are rewarded and penalized based on their outcome in the optimization problem. There are however still significant challenges toward a widespread adoption of the method, mostly related to the limitation in terms of generality and scalability. One possible solution for dealing with the second problem is introducing a caching-based approach, to speed up the training process. This project aims to investigate these techniques, in order to reduce even more, the solver calls. For each considered method, we designed a particular smart sampling approach, based on their characteristics. In the case of the SPO method, we ended up discovering that it is only necessary to initialize the cache with only several solutions; those needed to filter the elements that we still need to properly learn. For the Blackbox method, we designed a smart sampling approach, based on inferred solutions.

Feasibility study and flow scheduling optimization of a multi-product pipeline system

The first goal of this study is to analyse a real-world multiproduct onshore pipeline system in order to verify its hydraulic configuration and operational feasibility by constructing a simulation model step by step from its elementary building blocks that permits to copy the operation of the real system as precisely as possible. The second goal is to develop this simulation model into a user-friendly tool that one could use to find an “optimal” or “best” product batch schedule for a one year time period. Such a batch schedule could change dynamically as perturbations occur during operation that influence the behaviour of the entire system. The result of the simulation, the ‘best’ batch schedule is the one that minimizes the operational costs in the system. The costs involved in the simulation are inventory costs, interface costs, pumping costs, and penalty costs assigned to any unforeseen situations. The key factor to determine the performance of the simulation model is the way time is represented. In our model an event based discrete time representation is selected as most appropriate for our purposes. This means that the time horizon is divided into intervals of unequal lengths based on events that change the state of the system. These events are the arrival/departure of the tanker ships, the openings and closures of loading/unloading valves of storage tanks at both terminals, and the arrivals/departures of trains/trucks at the Delivery Terminal. In the feasibility study we analyse the system’s operational performance with different Head Terminal storage capacity configurations. For these alternative configurations we evaluated the effect of different tanker ship delay magnitudes on the number of critical events and product interfaces generated, on the duration of pipeline stoppages, the satisfaction of the product demand and on the operative costs. Based on the results and the bottlenecks identified, we propose modifications in the original setup.

Design for uncertainty of aerospace structures

The aim of this work is to present a general overview of state-of-the-art related to design for uncertainty with a focus on aerospace structures. In particular, a simulation on a FCCZ lattice cell and on the profile shape of a nozzle will be performed. Optimization under uncertainty is characterized by the need to make decisions without complete knowledge of the problem data. When dealing with a complex problem, non-linearity, or optimization, two main issues are raised: the uncertainty of the feasibility of the solution and the uncertainty of the objective value of the function. In the first part, the Design Of Experiments (DOE) methodologies, Uncertainty Quantification (UQ), and then Uncertainty optimization will be deepened. The second part will show an application of the previous theories on through a commercial software. Nowadays multiobjective optimization on high non-linear problem can be a powerful tool to approach new concept solutions or to develop cutting-edge design. In this thesis an effective improvement have been reached on a rocket nozzle. Future work could include the introduction of multi scale modelling, multiphysics approach and every strategy useful to simulate as much possible real operative condition of the studied design.

Multi-mode communications in near field exploiting OAM properties

This dissertation analyzes the exploitation of the orbital angular momentum (OAM) of the electromagnetic waves with large intelligent surfaces in the near-field region and line-of-sight conditions, in light of the holographic MIMO communication concept. Firstly, a characterization of the OAM-based communication problem is presented, and the relationship between OAM-carrying waves and communication modes is discussed. Then, practicable strategies for OAM detection using large intelligent surfaces and optimization methods based on beam focusing are proposed. Numerical results characterize the effectiveness of OAM with respect to other strategies, also including the proposed detection and optimization methods. It is shown that OAM waves constitute a particular choice of communication modes, i.e., an alternative basis set, which is sub-optimum with respect to optimal basis functions that can be derived by solving eigenfunction problems. Moreover, even the joint utilization of OAM waves with focusing strategies led to the conclusion that no channel capacity achievements can be obtained with these transmission techniques.

SmartForge: An event-driven architecture for simulator-based process optimization

In the metal industry, and more specifically in the forging one, scrap material is a crucial issue and reducing it would be an important goal to reach. Not only would this help the companies to be more environmentally friendly and more sustainable, but it also would reduce the use of energy and lower costs. At the same time, the techniques for Industry 4.0 and the advancements in Artificial Intelligence (AI), especially in the field of Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL), may have an important role in helping to achieve this objective. This document presents the thesis work, a contribution to the SmartForge project, that was performed during a semester abroad at Karlstad University (Sweden). This project aims at solving the aforementioned problem with a business case of the company Bharat Forge Kilsta, located in Karlskoga (Sweden). The thesis work includes the design and later development of an event-driven architecture with microservices, to support the processing of data coming from sensors set up in the company's industrial plant, and eventually the implementation of an algorithm with DRL techniques to control the electrical power to use in it.