Analysis of the Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone Numa from a numerical model simulation

I Medicane sono rari cicloni che si sviluppano sul Mar Mediterraneo e presentano caratteristiche dei cicloni tropicali, come la forma a spirale delle bande di nubi, un occhio privo di venti e nubi, venti intensi nella banda che circonda l’occhio e la presenza di un nucleo caldo. Nel presente lavoro, è stata compiuta un’analisi del Medicane Numa, verificatosi nel novembre del 2017, utilizzando gli output della simulazione del modello RAMS-ISAC. L’obiettivo di questa tesi è l’identificazione e la descrizione delle caratteristiche tropicali di Numa, focalizzandosi sulla descrizione dei diversi stadi di sviluppo del ciclone. Il sistema di bassa pressione è stato identificato utilizzando la pressione sul livello del mare, mentre l’anomalia termica e il vento orizzontale hanno permesso una descrizione della struttura del Medicane e del suo nucleo caldo. Un’illustrazione della struttura a spirale delle bande di nubi e dell’occhio è stata ottenuta con il grafico dei rapporti di mescolanza delle idrometeore di nubi e pioggia. Questi parametri hanno consentito di ricavare il diametro dell’occhio, pari a 75 km, mentre il diametro del Medicane è risultato 230 km. Numa ha registrato una velocità massima del vento in superficie di 20 m/s nella banda adiacente all’occhio del ciclone. Il diagramma di Hart dello spazio delle fasi del ciclone ha confermato la natura simil-tropicale di Numa e ne ha descritto l’evoluzione, identificando la transizione da sistema a caratteri tropicali a sistema ibrido. La traiettoria nello spazio delle fasi ha consentito l’identificazione delle sottofasi dell’evoluzione di Numa, confermate dai grafici dell’evoluzione temporale dei parametri menzionati in precedenza. L’analisi ha mostrato il ruolo cruciale della presenza di una struttura organizzata nel determinare l’intensità e la durata delle caratteristiche tropicali. Tutti i parametri hanno evidenziato la simmetria della struttura durante la persistente fase matura di Numa.

Thermal structure and dynamical modeling of a Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone

In the present work, a detailed analysis of a Mediterranean TLC occurred in January 2014 has been conducted. The author is not aware of other studies regarding this particular event at the publication of this thesis. In order to outline the cyclone evolution, observational data, including weather-stations data, satellite data, radar data and photographic evidence, were collected at first. After having identified the cyclone path and its general features, the GLOBO, BOLAM and MOLOCH NWP models, developed at ISAC-CNR (Bologna), were used to simulate the phenomenon. Particular attention was paid on the Mediterranean phase as well as on the Atlantic phase, since the cyclone showed a well defined precursor up to 3 days before the minimum formation in the Alboran Sea. The Mediterranean phase has been studied using different combinations of GLOBO, BOLAM and MOLOCH models, so as to evaluate the best model chain to simulate this kind of phenomena. The BOLAM and MOLOCH models showed the best performance, by adjusting the path erroneously deviated in the National Centre for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) and ECMWF operational models. The analysis of the cyclone thermal phase shown the presence of a deep-warm core structure in many cases, thus confirming the tropical-like nature of the system. Furthermore, the results showed high sensitivity to initial conditions in the whole lifetime of the cyclone, while the Sea Surface Temperature (SST) modification leads only to small changes in the Adriatic phase. The Atlantic phase has been studied using GLOBO and BOLAM model and with the aid of the same methodology already developed. After tracing the precursor, in the form of a low-pressure system, from the American East Coast to Spain, the thermal phase analysis was conducted. The parameters obtained showed evidence of a deep-cold core asymmetric structure during the whole Atlantic phase, while the first contact with the Mediterranean Sea caused a sudden transition to a shallow-warm core structure. The examination of Potential Vorticity (PV) 3-dimensional structure revealed the presence of a PV streamer that individually formed over Greenland and eventually interacted with the low-pressure system over the Spanish coast, favouring the first phase of the cyclone baroclinic intensification. Finally, the development of an automated system that tracks and studies the thermal phase of Mediterranean cyclones has been encouraged. This could lead to the forecast of potential tropical transition, against with a minimum computational investment.

Analisi modellistica di un intenso ciclone di tipo tropicale nel Mediterraneo (7-8 novembre 2014): predicibilità, caratteristiche termodinamiche e confronto con osservazioni da satellite

Il lavoro di tesi riguarda lo studio dettagliato di un ciclone di tipo tropicale (tropical like cyclone, TLC) verificatosi nel Canale di Sicilia nel novembre 2014, realizzato attraverso un'analisi modellistica effettuata con i modelli BOLAM e MOLOCH (sviluppati presso il CNR-ISAC di Bologna) e il confronto con osservazioni. Nel primo capitolo è fornita una descrizione generale dei cicloni tropicali e dei TLC, indicando come la formazione di questi ultimi sia spesso il risultato dell'evoluzione di cicloni extratropicali baroclini nel Mediterraneo; sono identificate le aree geografiche con i periodi dell'anno maggiormente soggetti all'influenza di questi fenomeni, riportando un elenco dei principali TLC verificatisi nel Mediterraneo negli utlimi tre decenni e lo stato dell'arte sullo studio di questi eventi. Nel secondo capitolo sono descritte le modalità di implementazione delle simulazioni effettuate per il caso di studio e presentati i principali prodotti dell'analisi modellistica e osservazioni da satellite. Il terzo capitolo si apre con la descrizione della situazione sinottica e l'analisi osservativa con immagini Meteosat e rilevazioni radar che hanno permesso di ricostruire la traiettoria osservata del TLC. In seguito, viene dapprima fornito l'elenco completo delle simulazioni numeriche, quindi sono presentati alcuni dei più importanti risultati ottenuti, dai quali emerge che la previsione della traiettoria e intensità del TLC differisce notevolmente dalle osservazioni. Tenendo conto della bassa predicibilità che ha caratterizzato l'evento, nel quarto capitolo è descritto il metodo usato per ricostruire in maniera ottimale la traiettoria, utilizzando spezzoni da varie simulazioni, che ha permesso un confronto più realistico con i dati osservati e un'analisi dei processi fisici. Nel quinto capitolo sono riportati i principali risultati di alcuni test mirati a valutare l'impatto di aspetti legati all'implementazione delle simulazioni e ad altre forzanti fisiche.

Catch and by-catch analyses of tropical tuna fishery in the Gulf of Guinea from 2010 to 2012.

Canned tuna is one of the most widespread and recognizable fish commodities in the world. Over all oceans 80% of the total tuna catches are caught by purse seine fishery and in tropical waters their target species are: yellowfin (Thunnus albacares), bigeye (Thunnus obesus) and skipjack (Katsuwonus pelamis). Even if this fishing gear is claimed to be very selective, there are high levels of by-catch especially when operating under Fish Aggregating Devices (FADs). The main problem is underestimation of by-catch data. In order to solve this problem the scientific community has developed many specific programs (e.g. Observe Program) to collect data about both target species and by-catch with observers onboard. The purposes of this study are to estimate the quantity and composition of target species and by-catch by tuna purse seiner fishery operating in tropical waters and to underline a possible seasonal variability in the by-catch ratio (tunas versus by-catch). Data were collected with the French scientific program ”Observe” on board of the French tuna purse seiner “Via Avenir” during a fishing trip in the Gulf of Guinea (C-E Atlantic) from August to September 2012. Furthermore some by-catch specimens have been sampled to obtain more information about size class composition. In order to achieve those purposes we have shared our data with the French Institute of Research for the Development (IRD), which has data collected by observers onboard in the same study area. Yellowfin tuna results to be the main specie caught in all trips considered (around 71% of the total catches) especially on free swimming schools (FSC) sets. Instead skipjack tuna is the main specie caught under FADs. Different percentages of by-catch with the two fishing modes are observed: the by-catch incidence is higher on FADs sets (96.5% of total by-catch) than on FSC sets (3.5%) and the main category of by-catch is little-tuna (73%). When pooling data for both fishing sets used in purse seine fishery the overall by-catch/catch ratio is 5%, a lower level than in other fishing gears like long-lining and trawling.

Temporal variation of genetic diversity and differentiation of albacore, Thunnus alalunga, in the Mediterranean Sea

This study is on albacore (Thunnus alalunga, Bonnaterre 1788), an epi- and mesopelagic oceanic tuna species cosmopolitan in the tropical and temperate waters of all oceans including the Mediterranean Sea, extending in a broad band between 40°N and 40°S. What it’s known about albacore population structure is based on different studies that used fisheries data, RFLP, mtDNA control region and nuDNA markers, blood lectins analysis, individual tags and microsatellite. At the moment, for T. alalunga six management units are recognized: the North Pacific, South Pacific, Indian, North Atlantic, South Atlantic and Mediterranean stocks. In this study I have done a temporal and spatial comparison of genetic variability between different Mediterranean populations of Thunnus alalunga matching an historical dataset ca. from 1920s composed of 43 individuals divided in 3 populations (NADR, SPAIN and CMED) with a modern dataset composed of 254 individuals and 7 populations (BAL, CYP, LIG, TYR, TUR, ADR, ALB). The investigation was possible using a panel of 94 nuclear SNPs, built specifically for the target species at the University of Basque Country UPV/EHU. First analysis done was the Hardy-Weinberg, then the number of clusters (K) was determined using STRUCTURE and to assess the genetic variability, allele frequencies, the average number of alleles per locus, expected (He) and observed (Ho) heterozygosis, and the index of polymorphism (P) was used the software Genetix. Historical and modern samples gives different results, showing a clear loss of genetic diversity over time leading to a single cluster in modern albacore instead of the two found in historical samples. What this study reveals is very important for conservation concerns, and additional research endeavours are needed.

Mineralogy and Geochemistry of Phosporite Deposits from Tropic Seamount (NE Tropical Atlantic Ocean)

Marine phosphorite deposits can form in a variety of environments, and despite of similar P contents, their mineralogy can change substantially. Seamount phosphorites are increasingly recognized for their P resources and are known to concentrate rare earth elements (REEs) and yttrium (Y) during early diagenetic formation, much more than continental-margin phosphorite deposits. Their importance is increasing in terms of economic potential but have always been studied for paleoenvironmental reconstruction purposes. The Canary Island Seamount Province (CISP) has been extensively studied for its Fe-Mn crusts and nodules deposits, but to date there has not been any systematic study on the phosphorite substrate rocks. This study aims at characterizing the mineralogy and geochemistry of the Tropic seamount phosphorites and offer insights into their mechanisms of formation. The Tropic seamount is a guyot that presents a variety of depositional environments. Two types of phosphorite slabs were identified: (1) a massive facies with oxic enrichments of Mn, Cr, Co, Ni and Cu located on the summit edges and flanks, and (2) a complex facies with suboxic-to-anoxic enrichments of U and V observed on the phosphorites located on the summit of the guyot. Both phosphorite types experienced advanced phosphatization (P2O5 between 24 and 31 wt.%, 3-4 wt.% of F). Differences in uptake of rare earth elements + yttrium (REY) and variations in mineralogy (e.g., presence of foraminifera vs. rounded glauconite grains, carbonate fragments or bioclasts) between the two types, allow phosphorites that formed in upwelling, nutrient-rich and oxic-suboxic environments to be distinguished from those which formed in suboxic-anoxic organic-poor environments. A potential combined ore deposit (Fe-Mn crusts + phosphorites) with high REY contents, like the seamount phosphorites analyzed in this study (ΣREY=870 μg/g on average), could help supply the resources needed for green-tech and high-tech applications.