3 resultados para Markov decision process (POMDP)

em AMS Tesi di Laurea - Alm@DL - Università di Bologna


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Nowadays communication is switching from a centralized scenario, where communication media like newspapers, radio, TV programs produce information and people are just consumers, to a completely different decentralized scenario, where everyone is potentially an information producer through the use of social networks, blogs, forums that allow a real-time worldwide information exchange. These new instruments, as a result of their widespread diffusion, have started playing an important socio-economic role. They are the most used communication media and, as a consequence, they constitute the main source of information enterprises, political parties and other organizations can rely on. Analyzing data stored in servers all over the world is feasible by means of Text Mining techniques like Sentiment Analysis, which aims to extract opinions from huge amount of unstructured texts. This could lead to determine, for instance, the user satisfaction degree about products, services, politicians and so on. In this context, this dissertation presents new Document Sentiment Classification methods based on the mathematical theory of Markov Chains. All these approaches bank on a Markov Chain based model, which is language independent and whose killing features are simplicity and generality, which make it interesting with respect to previous sophisticated techniques. Every discussed technique has been tested in both Single-Domain and Cross-Domain Sentiment Classification areas, comparing performance with those of other two previous works. The performed analysis shows that some of the examined algorithms produce results comparable with the best methods in literature, with reference to both single-domain and cross-domain tasks, in $2$-classes (i.e. positive and negative) Document Sentiment Classification. However, there is still room for improvement, because this work also shows the way to walk in order to enhance performance, that is, a good novel feature selection process would be enough to outperform the state of the art. Furthermore, since some of the proposed approaches show promising results in $2$-classes Single-Domain Sentiment Classification, another future work will regard validating these results also in tasks with more than $2$ classes.

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Many real-word decision- making problems are defined based on forecast parameters: for example, one may plan an urban route by relying on traffic predictions. In these cases, the conventional approach consists in training a predictor and then solving an optimization problem. This may be problematic since mistakes made by the predictor may trick the optimizer into taking dramatically wrong decisions. Recently, the field of Decision-Focused Learning overcomes this limitation by merging the two stages at training time, so that predictions are rewarded and penalized based on their outcome in the optimization problem. There are however still significant challenges toward a widespread adoption of the method, mostly related to the limitation in terms of generality and scalability. One possible solution for dealing with the second problem is introducing a caching-based approach, to speed up the training process. This project aims to investigate these techniques, in order to reduce even more, the solver calls. For each considered method, we designed a particular smart sampling approach, based on their characteristics. In the case of the SPO method, we ended up discovering that it is only necessary to initialize the cache with only several solutions; those needed to filter the elements that we still need to properly learn. For the Blackbox method, we designed a smart sampling approach, based on inferred solutions.

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The purpose of this thesis is to clarify the role of non-equilibrium stationary currents of Markov processes in the context of the predictability of future states of the system. Once the connection between the predictability and the conditional entropy is established, we provide a comprehensive approach to the definition of a multi-particle Markov system. In particular, starting from the well-known theory of random walk on network, we derive the non-linear master equation for an interacting multi-particle system under the one-step process hypothesis, highlighting the limits of its tractability and the prop- erties of its stationary solution. Lastly, in order to study the impact of the NESS on the predictability at short times, we analyze the conditional entropy by modulating the intensity of the stationary currents, both for a single-particle and a multi-particle Markov system. The results obtained analytically are numerically tested on a 5-node cycle network and put in correspondence with the stationary entropy production. Furthermore, because of the low dimensionality of the single-particle system, an analysis of its spectral properties as a function of the modulated stationary currents is performed.