Estimation of the ephemerides and gravity fields of the Galilean moons through orbit determination of the JUICE mission

Jupiter and its moons are a complex dynamical system that include several phenomenon like tides interactions, moon's librations and resonances. One of the most interesting characteristics of the Jovian system is the presence of the Laplace resonance, where the orbital periods of Ganymede, Europa and Io maintain a 4:2:1 ratio respectively. It is interesting to study the role of the Laplace Resonance in the dynamic of the system, especially regarding the dissipative nature of the tidal interaction between Jupiter and its closest moon, Io. Numerous theories have been proposed regarding the orbital evolution of the Galilean satellites, but they disagree about the amount of dissipation of the system, therefore about the magnitude and the direction of the evolution of the system, mainly because of the lack of experimental data. The future JUICE space mission is a great opportunity to solve this dispute. JUICE is an ESA (European Space Agency) L-class mission (the largest category of missions in the ESA Cosmic Vision) that, at the beginning of 2030, will be inserted in the Jovian system and that will perform several flybys of the Galilean satellites, with the exception of Io. Subsequently, during the last part of the mission, it will orbit around Ganymede for nine months, with a possible extension of the mission. The data that JUICE will collect during the mission will have an exceptional accuracy, allowing to investigate several aspects of the dynamics the system, especially, the evolution of Laplace Resonance of the Galilean moons and its stability. This thesis will focus on the JUICE mission, in particular in the gravity estimation and orbit reconstruction of the Galilean satellites during the Jovian orbital phase using radiometric data. This is accomplished through an orbit determination technique called multi-arc approach, using the JPL's orbit determination software MONTE (Mission-analysis, Operations and Navigation Tool-kit Environment).

A Comparative Analysis of Dynamical Models for Tidal Dissipation in Natural Satellite Ephemerides

The study of the tides of a celestial bodies can unveil important information about their interior as well as their orbital evolution. The most important tidal parameter is the Love number, which defines the deformation of the gravity field due to an external perturbing body. Tidal dissipation is very important because it drives the secular orbital evolution of the natural satellites, which is even more important in the case of the the Jupiter system, where three of the Galilean moons, Io, Europa and Ganymede, are locked in an orbital resonance where the ratio of their mean motions is 4:2:1. This is called Laplace resonance. Tidal dissipation is described by the dissipation ratio k2/Q, where Q is the quality factor and it describes the dampening of a system. The goal of this thesis is to analyze and compare the two main tidal dynamical models, Mignard's model and gravity field variation model, to understand the differences between each model with a main focus on the single-moon case with Io, which can help also understanding better the differences between the two models without over complicating the dynamical model. In this work we have verified and validated both models, we have compared them and pinpointed the main differences and features that characterize each model. Mignard's model treats the tides directly as a force, while the gravity field variation model describes the tides with a change of the spherical harmonic coefficients. Finally, we have also briefly analyzed the difference between the single-moon case and the two-moon case, and we have confirmed that the governing equations that describe the change of semi-major axis and eccentricity are not good anymore when more moons are present.

Ephemeris generation of the Galilean moons by using VLBI observations in support to stellar occultations

Stellar occultations are the most accurate Earth-based astronomy technique to obtain the lateral position of celestial bodies, in the case of natural satellites, their accuracy also depends on the central body to which the satellite orbits. The main goal of this thesis work is to analyze if and how very long baseline interferometry (VLBI) measurements of a body like Jupiter can be used in support to stellar occultations of its natural satellites by reducing the planetary uncertainty at the time of the occultation. In particular, we analyzed the events of the stellar occultations of Callisto (15.01.2024) and Io (02.04.2021). The stellar occultation of Callisto has been predicted and simulated using the stellar occultation reduction analysis (SORA) toolkit while the stellar occultation of Io has been already studied by Morgado et al. We then simulated the VLBI data of Jupiter according to the current JUNO trajectories. The required observation were then used as input of an estimation to which then we performed a covariance analysis on the estimated parameters to retrieve the formal errors (1 − σ uncertainties) at each epoch of the propagation. The results show that the addition of the VLBI slightly improves the uncertainty of Callisto even when Jupiter knowledge is worse while for Io we observed that the VLBI data is especially crucial in the scenario of an a priori uncertainty in Jupiter state of about 10km. Here we can have improvements of the estimated initial states of Io of about 70m, 230m and 900m to the radial, along-track and cross-track directions respectively. Moreover, we have also obtained the propagated errors of the two moons in terms of right ascension and declination which both show uncertainties in the mas level at the occultation time. Finally, we simulated Io and Europa together and we observed that at the time of the stellar occultation of Europa the along-track component of Io is constrained, confirming the coupling between the two inner moons.