Multitemporal analysis of satellite imagery: implementation of a land evolution model in ALCS (ATSR LAND CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM)

In this report it was designed an innovative satellite-based monitoring approach applied on the Iraqi Marshlands to survey the extent and distribution of marshland re-flooding and assess the development of wetland vegetation cover. The study, conducted in collaboration with MEEO Srl , makes use of images collected from the sensor (A)ATSR onboard ESA ENVISAT Satellite to collect data at multi-temporal scales and an analysis was adopted to observe the evolution of marshland re-flooding. The methodology uses a multi-temporal pixel-based approach based on classification maps produced by the classification tool SOIL MAPPER ®. The catalogue of the classification maps is available as web service through the Service Support Environment Portal (SSE, supported by ESA). The inundation of the Iraqi marshlands, which has been continuous since April 2003, is characterized by a high degree of variability, ad-hoc interventions and uncertainty. Given the security constraints and vastness of the Iraqi marshlands, as well as cost-effectiveness considerations, satellite remote sensing was the only viable tool to observe the changes taking place on a continuous basis. The proposed system (ALCS – AATSR LAND CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM) avoids the direct use of the (A)ATSR images and foresees the application of LULCC evolution models directly to „stock‟ of classified maps. This approach is made possible by the availability of a 13 year classified image database, conceived and implemented in the CARD project (http://earth.esa.int/rtd/Projects/#CARD).The approach here presented evolves toward an innovative, efficient and fast method to exploit the potentiality of multi-temporal LULCC analysis of (A)ATSR images. The two main objectives of this work are both linked to a sort of assessment: the first is to assessing the ability of modeling with the web-application ALCS using image-based AATSR classified with SOIL MAPPER ® and the second is to evaluate the magnitude, the character and the extension of wetland rehabilitation.

Automatic classification of stellar orbits in axisymmetric potentials

Within the classification of orbits in axisymmetric stellar systems, we present a new algorithm able to automatically classify the orbits according to their nature. The algorithm involves the application of the correlation integral method to the surface of section of the orbit; fitting the cumulative distribution function built with the consequents in the surface of section of the orbit, we can obtain the value of its logarithmic slope m which is directly related to the orbit’s nature: for slopes m ≈ 1 we expect the orbit to be regular, for slopes m ≈ 2 we expect it to be chaotic. With this method we have a fast and reliable way to classify orbits and, furthermore, we provide an analytical expression of the probability that an orbit is regular or chaotic given the logarithmic slope m of its correlation integral. Although this method works statistically well, the underlying algorithm can fail in some cases, misclassifying individual orbits under some peculiar circumstances. The performance of the algorithm benefits from a rich sampling of the traces of the SoS, which can be obtained with long numerical integration of orbits. Finally we note that the algorithm does not differentiate between the subtypes of regular orbits: resonantly trapped and untrapped orbits. Such distinction would be a useful feature, which we leave for future work. Since the result of the analysis is a probability linked to a Gaussian distribution, for the very definition of distribution, some orbits even if they have a certain nature are classified as belonging to the opposite class and create the probabilistic tails of the distribution. So while the method produces fair statistical results, it lacks in absolute classification precision.