Multitemporal analysis of satellite imagery: implementation of a land evolution model in ALCS (ATSR LAND CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM)

In this report it was designed an innovative satellite-based monitoring approach applied on the Iraqi Marshlands to survey the extent and distribution of marshland re-flooding and assess the development of wetland vegetation cover. The study, conducted in collaboration with MEEO Srl , makes use of images collected from the sensor (A)ATSR onboard ESA ENVISAT Satellite to collect data at multi-temporal scales and an analysis was adopted to observe the evolution of marshland re-flooding. The methodology uses a multi-temporal pixel-based approach based on classification maps produced by the classification tool SOIL MAPPER ®. The catalogue of the classification maps is available as web service through the Service Support Environment Portal (SSE, supported by ESA). The inundation of the Iraqi marshlands, which has been continuous since April 2003, is characterized by a high degree of variability, ad-hoc interventions and uncertainty. Given the security constraints and vastness of the Iraqi marshlands, as well as cost-effectiveness considerations, satellite remote sensing was the only viable tool to observe the changes taking place on a continuous basis. The proposed system (ALCS – AATSR LAND CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM) avoids the direct use of the (A)ATSR images and foresees the application of LULCC evolution models directly to „stock‟ of classified maps. This approach is made possible by the availability of a 13 year classified image database, conceived and implemented in the CARD project (http://earth.esa.int/rtd/Projects/#CARD).The approach here presented evolves toward an innovative, efficient and fast method to exploit the potentiality of multi-temporal LULCC analysis of (A)ATSR images. The two main objectives of this work are both linked to a sort of assessment: the first is to assessing the ability of modeling with the web-application ALCS using image-based AATSR classified with SOIL MAPPER ® and the second is to evaluate the magnitude, the character and the extension of wetland rehabilitation.

A framework for risk analysis in automotive cybersecurity

We address the problem of automotive cybersecurity from the point of view of Threat Analysis and Risk Assessment (TARA). The central question that motivates the thesis is the one about the acceptability of risk, which is vital in taking a decision about the implementation of cybersecurity solutions. For this purpose, we develop a quantitative framework in which we take in input the results of risk assessment and define measures of various facets of a possible risk response; we then exploit the natural presence of trade-offs (cost versus effectiveness) to formulate the problem as a multi-objective optimization. Finally, we develop a stochastic model of the future evolution of the risk factors, by means of Markov chains; we adapt the formulations of the optimization problems to this non-deterministic context. The thesis is the result of a collaboration with the Vehicle Electrification division of Marelli, in particular with the Cybersecurity team based in Bologna; this allowed us to consider a particular instance of the problem, deriving from a real TARA, in order to test both the deterministic and the stochastic framework in a real world application. The collaboration also explains why in the work we often assume the point of view of a tier-1 supplier; however, the analyses performed can be adapted to any other level of the supply chain.

Characterization of microplastics ingested by marine benthos - a methodological and field-experimental study

Microplastics have become ubiquitous pollutants in the marine environment. Ingestion of microplastics by a wide range of marine organisms has been recorded both in laboratory and field studies. Despite growing concern for microplastics, few studies have evaluated their concentrations and distribution in wild populations. Further, there is a need to identify cost-effective standardized methodologies for microplastics extraction and analysis in organisms. In this thesis I present: (i) the results of a multi-scale field sampling to quantify and characterize microplastics occurrence and distribution in 4 benthic marine invertebrates from saltmarshes along the North Adriatic Italian coastal lagoons; (ii) a comparison of the effects and cost-effectiveness of two extraction protocols for microplastics isolation on microfibers and on wild collected organisms; (iii) the development of a novel field- based technique to quantify and characterize the microplastic uptake rates of wild and farmed populations of mussels (Mytilus galloprovincialis) through the analysis of their biodeposits. I found very low and patchy amounts of microplastics in the gastrointestinal tracts of sampled organisms. The omnivorous crab Carcinus aestuarii was the species with the highest amounts of microplastics, but there was a notable variation among individuals. There were no substantial differences between enzymatic and alkaline extraction methods. However, the alkaline extraction was quicker and cheaper. Biodeposit traps proved to be an effective method to estimate mussel ingestion rates. However their performance differed significantly among sites, suggesting that the method, as currently designed, is sensible to local environmental conditions. There were no differences in the ingestion rates of microplastics between farmed and wild mussels. The estimates of microplastic ingestion and the validated procedures for their extraction provide a strong basis for future work on microplastic pollution.