12 resultados para 2447: modelling and forecasting
em AMS Tesi di Laurea - Alm@DL - Università di Bologna
Resumo:
ABSTRACT Il presente lavoro vuole introdurre la problematica del rigonfiamento del terreno a seguito di grandi scavi in argilla. Il sollevamento del terreno dopo lo scavo può passare inosservato ma sono numerosi i casi in cui il rigonfiamento dura per molti anni e addirittura decenni, Shell Centre, London, Lion Yard, Cambridge, Bell Common, London, ecc. Questo rigonfiamento il più delle volte è impedito dalla presenza di fondazioni, si genera quindi una pressione distribuita che se non considerata in fase di progetto può portare alla fessurazione della fondazione stessa. L’anima del progetto è la modellazione e l’analisi del rigonfiamento di grandi scavi in argilla, confrontando poi i risultati con i dati reali disponibili in letteratura. L’idea del progetto nasce dalla difficoltà di ottenere stime e previsioni attendibili del rigonfiamento a seguito di grandi scavi in argilla sovraconsolidata. Inizialmente ho esaminato la teoria e i fattori che influenzano il grado e la velocità del rigonfiamento, quali la rigidezza, permeabilità, fessurazione, struttura del suolo, etc. In seguito ho affrontato lo studio del comportamento rigonfiante di argille sovraconsolidate a seguito di scarico tensionale (scavi), si è evidenziata l’importanza di differenziare il rigonfiamento primario e il rigonfiamento secondario dovuto al fenomeno del creep. Il tema centrale del progetto è l’analisi numerica tramite Flac di due grandi scavi in argilla, Lion Yard, Cambridge, e, Bell Common, London. Attraverso una dettagliata analisi parametrica sono riuscito a trovare i migliori parametri che modellano il comportamento reale nei due casi in esame, in questo modo è possibile arrivare a stime e previsioni attendibili del fenomeno rigonfiante del terreno a seguito di grandi scavi. Gli scavi modellati Lion Yard e Bell Common sono rispettivamente in Gault Clay e London Clay, grazie a famosi recenti articoli scientifici sono riuscito a evidenziare la principali propietà che diversificano i due terreni in esame, tali propietà sono estremamente differenti dalle normali caratteristiche considerate per la progettazione in presenza di terreno argilloso; sono così riuscito a implementare i migliori parametri per descrivere il comportamento dei due terreni nei diversi modelli. Ho inoltre studiato l’interazione terreno-struttura, la pressione esercitata dal rigonfiamento del terreno è strettamente funzione delle caratteristiche di connesione tra fondazione superficiale e muro di sostegno, tale pressione non deve essere ignorata in fase progettuale poichè può raggiungere importanti valori. Nello scavo di Lion Yard, considerando la presenza delle fondazioni profonde ho evidenziato il fatto che il rigonfiamento crea una forza distribuita di taglio tra i pali di fondazione ed il terreno, anche tale sollecitazione dovrebbe essere considerata ai fini della progettazione. La problematica non si ferma solo sull’interazione terreno-fondazioni, infatti durante gli scavi di importanti fondazioni londinesi lo scarico tensionale ha creato uno spostamento significativo positivo verso la superfice di tratti di tunnel della metropolita, questo fenomeno può creare seri problemi di sicurezza nella rete dei trasporti pubblici. Infine sono stati messi a confronto i risultati del programma Flac con quelli di metodi semplificati, ho trovato che utilizzando il metodo iterativo di O’Brien i risultati sono simili alla realtà e il tempo di calcolo è molto inferiore di quello richiesto utilizzando Flac, 2-3 giorni. In conclusione posso affermare che grazie ad una dettagliata analisi parametrica è stato possibile stimare il rigonfiamento del terreno, argilla sovraconsolidata, nei due casi analizzati.
Resumo:
The aim of the work is to conduct a finite element model analysis on a small – size concrete beam and on a full size concrete beam internally reinforced with BFRP exposed at elevated temperatures. Experimental tests performed at Kingston University have been used to compare the results from the numerical analysis for the small – size concrete beam. Once the behavior of the small – size beam at room temperature is investigated and switching to the heating phase reinforced beams are tested at 100°C, 200°C and 300°C in loaded condition. The aim of the finite element analysis is to reflect the three – point bending test adopted into the oven during the exposure of the beam at room temperature and at elevated temperatures. Performance and deformability of reinforced beams are straightly correlated to the material properties and a wide analysis on elastic modulus and coefficient of thermal expansion is given in this work. Develop a good correlation between the numerical model and the experimental test is the main objective of the analysis on the small – size concrete beam, for both modelling the aim is also to estimate which is the deterioration of the material properties due to the heating process and the influence of different parameters on the final result. The focus of the full – size modelling which involved the last part of this work is to evaluate the effect of elevated temperatures, the material deterioration and the deflection trend on a reinforced beam characterized by a different size. A comparison between the results from different modelling has been developed.
Resumo:
Systems Biology is an innovative way of doing biology recently raised in bio-informatics contexts, characterised by the study of biological systems as complex systems with a strong focus on the system level and on the interaction dimension. In other words, the objective is to understand biological systems as a whole, putting on the foreground not only the study of the individual parts as standalone parts, but also of their interaction and of the global properties that emerge at the system level by means of the interaction among the parts. This thesis focuses on the adoption of multi-agent systems (MAS) as a suitable paradigm for Systems Biology, for developing models and simulation of complex biological systems. Multi-agent system have been recently introduced in informatics context as a suitabe paradigm for modelling and engineering complex systems. Roughly speaking, a MAS can be conceived as a set of autonomous and interacting entities, called agents, situated in some kind of nvironment, where they fruitfully interact and coordinate so as to obtain a coherent global system behaviour. The claim of this work is that the general properties of MAS make them an effective approach for modelling and building simulations of complex biological systems, following the methodological principles identified by Systems Biology. In particular, the thesis focuses on cell populations as biological systems. In order to support the claim, the thesis introduces and describes (i) a MAS-based model conceived for modelling the dynamics of systems of cells interacting inside cell environment called niches. (ii) a computational tool, developed for implementing the models and executing the simulations. The tool is meant to work as a kind of virtual laboratory, on top of which kinds of virtual experiments can be performed, characterised by the definition and execution of specific models implemented as MASs, so as to support the validation, falsification and improvement of the models through the observation and analysis of the simulations. A hematopoietic stem cell system is taken as reference case study for formulating a specific model and executing virtual experiments.
Resumo:
L’azoto è uno dei prodotti principali dell’industria chimica, utilizzato principalmente per assicurare un sicuro stoccaggio di composti infiammabili. Generatori con sistemi PSA sono spesso più economici della tradizionale distillazione criogenica. I processi PSA utilizzano una colonna a letto fisso, riempita con materiale adsorbente, che adsorbe selettivamente un componente da una miscela gassosa. L’ossigeno diffonde molto più velocemente dell'azoto nei pori di setacci molecolari carboniosi. Oltre ad un ottimo materiale adsorbente, anche il design è fondamentale per la performance di un processo PSA. La fase di adsorbimento è seguita da una fase di desorbimento. Il materiale adsorbente può essere quindi riutilizzato nel ciclo seguente. L’assenza di un simulatore di processo ha reso necessario l’uso di dati sperimentali per sviluppare nuovi processi. Un tale approccio è molto costoso e lungo. Una modellazione e simulazione matematica, che consideri tutti i fenomeni di trasporto, è richiesta per una migliore comprensione dell'adsorbente sia per l'ottimizzazione del processo. La dinamica della colonna richiede la soluzione di insiemi di PDE distribuite nel tempo e nello spazio. Questo lavoro è stato svolto presso l'Università di Scienze Applicate - Münster, Germania. Argomento di questa tesi è la modellazione e simulazione di un impianto PSA per la produzione di azoto con il simulatore di processo Aspen Adsorption con l’obiettivo di permettere in futuro ottimizzazioni di processo affidabili, attendibili ed economiche basate su computazioni numeriche. E' discussa l’ottimizzazione di parametri, dati cinetici, termodinamici e di equilibrio. Il modello è affidabile, rigoroso e risponde adeguatamente a diverse condizioni al contorno. Tuttavia non è ancora pienamente soddisfacente poiché manca una rappresentazione adeguata della cinetica ovvero dei fenomeni di trasporto di materia. La messa a punto del software permetterà in futuro di indagare velocemente nuove possibilità di operazione.
Resumo:
A new method for the evaluation of the efficiency of parabolic trough collectors, called Rapid Test Method, is investigated at the Solar Institut Jülich. The basic concept is to carry out measurements under stagnation conditions. This allows a fast and inexpensive process due to the fact that no working fluid is required. With this approach, the temperature reached by the inner wall of the receiver is assumed to be the stagnation temperature and hence the average temperature inside the collector. This leads to a systematic error which can be rectified through the introduction of a correction factor. A model of the collector is simulated with COMSOL Multipyisics to study the size of the correction factor depending on collector geometry and working conditions. The resulting values are compared with experimental data obtained at a test rig at the Solar Institut Jülich. These results do not match with the simulated ones. Consequentially, it was not pos-sible to verify the model. The reliability of both the model with COMSOL Multiphysics and of the measurements are analysed. The influence of the correction factor on the rapid test method is also studied, as well as the possibility of neglecting it by measuring the receiver’s inner wall temperature where it receives the least amount of solar rays. The last two chapters analyse the specific heat capacity as a function of pressure and tem-perature and present some considerations about the uncertainties on the efficiency curve obtained with the Rapid Test Method.
Resumo:
An analysis and a subsequent solution is here presented. This document is about a groin design able to contrast the erosion actions given by waves in Lido di Dante. Advantages will be visible also for Fiumi Uniti's inlet, in the north side of the shoreline. Beach future progression and growth will be subjected to monitoring actions in the years after groin construction. The resulting effects of the design will have a positive impact not only on the local fauna and environment, but also, a naturalistic appeal will increase making new type of tourists coming not only for recreational purposes. The design phase is focused on possible design alternatives and their features. Particular interest is given to scouring phenomena all around the groin after its construction. Groin effects will impact not only on its south side, instead they will cause an intense erosion process on the downdrift front. Here, many fishing hut would be in danger, thus a beach revetment structure is needed to avoid any future criticality. In addiction, a numerical model based on a generalized shoreline change numerical model, also known as GENESIS, has been applied to the study area in order to perform a simplistic analysis of the shoreline and its future morphology. Critical zones are visible in proximity of the Fiumi Uniti's river inlet, where currents from the sea and the river itself start the erosion process that is affecting Lido di Dante since mid '80s, or even before. The model is affected by several assumptions that make results not to be interpreted as a real future trend of the shore. Instead the model allows the user to have a more clear view about critical processes induced by monochromatic inputed waves. In conclusion, the thesis introduce a wide analysis on a complex erosion process that is affecting many shoreline nowadays. A groin design is seen as a hard solution it is considered to be the only means able to decrease the rate of erosion.
Resumo:
Currently making digital 3D models and replicas of the cultural heritage assets play an important role in the preservation and having a high detail source for future research and intervention. In this dissertation, it is tried to assess different methods for digital surveying and making 3D replicas of cultural heritage assets in different scales of size. The methodologies vary in devices, software, workflow, and the amount of skill that is required. The three phases of the 3D modelling process are data acquisition, modelling, and model presentation. Each of these sections is divided into sub-sections and there are several approaches, methods, devices, and software that may be employed, furthermore, the selection process should be based on the operation's goal, available facilities, the scale and properties of the object or structure to be modeled, as well as the operators' expertise and experience. The most key point to remember is that the 3D modelling operation should be properly accurate, precise, and reliable; therefore, there are so many instructions and pieces of advice on how to perform 3D modelling effectively. It is an attempt to compare and evaluate the various ways of each phase in order to explain and demonstrate their differences, benefits, and drawbacks in order to serve as a simple guide for new and/or inexperienced users.
Resumo:
The scope of this project is to study the effectiveness of building information modelling (BIM) in performing life cycle assessment in a building. For the purposes of the study will be used “Revit” which is a BIM software and Tally which is an LCA tool integrated in Revit. The project is divided in six chapters. The first chapter consists of a theoretical introduction into building information modelling and its connection to life cycle assessment. The second chapter describes the characteristics of building information modelling (BIM). In addition, a comparison has been made with the traditional architectural, engineering and construction business model and the benefits to shift into BIM. In the third chapter it will be a review of the most well-known and available BIM software in the market. In chapter four life cycle assessment (LCA) will be described in general and later on specifically for the purpose of the case study that will be used in the following chapter. Moreover, the tools that are available to perform an LCA will be reviewed. Chapter five will present the case study that consists of a model in a BIM software (Revit) and the LCA performed by Tally, an LCA tool integrated into Revit. In the last chapter will be a discussion of the results that were obtained, the limitation and the possible future improvement in performing life cycle assessment (LCA) in a BIM model.
Resumo:
Numerical modelling and simulations are needed to develop and test specific analysis methods by providing test data before BIRDY would be launched. This document describes the "satellite data simulator" which is a multi-sensor, multi-spectral satellite simulator produced especially for the BIRDY mission which could be used as well to analyse data from other satellite missions providing energetic particles data in the Solar system.
Resumo:
This report studied the effect of crumb rubber in the asphalt mixture. The mixtures were also having limestone filler as a modifier. Mastic and mortar (mastic-fine aggregate system) mixture having different quantities of crumb rubber and limestone filler modifiers have been tested in order to find the best rutting resistance combination with an acceptable stiffness. The rheological tests on bituminous mastics and mortars have done in the laboratories in Nottingham Transport Engineering Centre (NTEC) and University of Bologna (DICAM). In the second chapter, an extensive literature review about the binders, additives, asphalt mixtures, various modelling and testing methods have been reviewed. In the third chapter, the physical and rheological properties of the binders have been investigated using both traditional devices and DSRs. The forth chapter is dedicated to finding the behaviour of the modified mastics (Binder-modifier system) with different combinations. Five different combinations of crumb rubber and limestone filler mastic tested with various methods using Dynamic Shear Rheometers. In the fifth chapter, in order to find the effect of the modifiers in the rheological properties of the complete asphalt mixture, the fine aggregates added to the same mastic combinations. In this phase, the behaviour of the system so-called mortar; binder, rubber, filler and fine aggregates) has been studied using the DSR device and the traditional tests. The results show that using fine crumb rubber reduces the thermo sensibility of the mastic (Binder Bitumen System) and improves its elasticity. Limestone filler in the other hand increases the mixture stiffness at high Frequencies. Another important outcome of this research was that the rheological properties of the mortars were following the same trend of the mastics, therefore study the rheological properties of the mastic gives an upright estimation of the mortar.
Resumo:
Tsunamis are rare events. However, their impact can be devastating and it may extend to large geographical areas. For low-probability high-impact events like tsunamis, it is crucial to implement all possible actions to mitigate the risk. The tsunami hazard assessment is the result of a scientific process that integrates traditional geological methods, numerical modelling and the analysis of tsunami sources and historical records. For this reason, analysing past events and understanding how they interacted with the land is the only way to inform tsunami source and propagation models, and quantitatively test forecast models like hazard analyses. The primary objective of this thesis is to establish an explicit relationship between the macroscopic intensity, derived from historical descriptions, and the quantitative physical parameters measuring tsunami waves. This is done first by defining an approximate estimation method based on a simplified 1D physical onshore propagation model to convert the available observations into one reference physical metric. Wave height at the coast was chosen as the reference due to its stability and independence of inland effects. This method was then implemented for a set of well-known past events to build a homogeneous dataset with both macroseismic intensity and wave height. By performing an orthogonal regression, a direct and invertible empirical relationship could be established between the two parameters, accounting for their relevant uncertainties. The target relationship is extensively tested and finally applied to the Italian Tsunami Effect Database (ITED), providing a homogeneous estimation of the wave height for all existing tsunami observations in Italy. This provides the opportunity for meaningful comparison for models and simulations, as well as quantitatively testing tsunami hazard models for the Italian coasts and informing tsunami risk management initiatives.
Resumo:
Although Recovery is often defined as the less studied and documented phase of the Emergency Management Cycle, a wide literature is available for describing characteristics and sub-phases of this process. Previous works do not allow to gain an overall perspective because of a lack of systematic consistent monitoring of recovery utilizing advanced technologies such as remote sensing and GIS technologies. Taking into consideration the key role of Remote Sensing in Response and Damage Assessment, this thesis is aimed to verify the appropriateness of such advanced monitoring techniques to detect recovery advancements over time, with close attention to the main characteristics of the study event: Hurricane Katrina storm surge. Based on multi-source, multi-sensor and multi-temporal data, the post-Katrina recovery was analysed using both a qualitative and a quantitative approach. The first phase was dedicated to the investigation of the relation between urban types, damage and recovery state, referring to geographical and technological parameters. Damage and recovery scales were proposed to review critical observations on remarkable surge- induced effects on various typologies of structures, analyzed at a per-building level. This wide-ranging investigation allowed a new understanding of the distinctive features of the recovery process. A quantitative analysis was employed to develop methodological procedures suited to recognize and monitor distribution, timing and characteristics of recovery activities in the study area. Promising results, gained by applying supervised classification algorithms to detect localization and distribution of blue tarp, have proved that this methodology may help the analyst in the detection and monitoring of recovery activities in areas that have been affected by medium damage. The study found that Mahalanobis Distance was the classifier which provided the most accurate results, in localising blue roofs with 93.7% of blue roof classified correctly and a producer accuracy of 70%. It was seen to be the classifier least sensitive to spectral signature alteration. The application of the dissimilarity textural classification to satellite imagery has demonstrated the suitability of this technique for the detection of debris distribution and for the monitoring of demolition and reconstruction activities in the study area. Linking these geographically extensive techniques with expert per-building interpretation of advanced-technology ground surveys provides a multi-faceted view of the physical recovery process. Remote sensing and GIS technologies combined to advanced ground survey approach provides extremely valuable capability in Recovery activities monitoring and may constitute a technical basis to lead aid organization and local government in the Recovery management.