17 resultados para Méthodes de Monte Carlo par chaîne de Markov


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Despite the success of the ΛCDM model in describing the Universe, a possible tension between early- and late-Universe cosmological measurements is calling for new independent cosmological probes. Amongst the most promising ones, gravitational waves (GWs) can provide a self-calibrated measurement of the luminosity distance. However, to obtain cosmological constraints, additional information is needed to break the degeneracy between parameters in the gravitational waveform. In this thesis, we exploit the latest LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Gravitational Wave Transient Catalog (GWTC-3) of GW sources to constrain the background cosmological parameters together with the astrophysical properties of Binary Black Holes (BBHs), using information from their mass distribution. We expand the public code MGCosmoPop, previously used for the application of this technique, by implementing a state-of-the-art model for the mass distribution, needed to account for the presence of non-trivial features, i.e. a truncated power law with two additional Gaussian peaks, referred to as Multipeak. We then analyse GWTC-3 comparing this model with simpler and more commonly adopted ones, both in the case of fixed and varying cosmology, and assess their goodness-of-fit with different model selection criteria, and their constraining power on the cosmological and population parameters. We also start to explore different sampling methods, namely Markov Chain Monte Carlo and Nested Sampling, comparing their performances and evaluating the advantages of both. We find concurring evidence that the Multipeak model is favoured by the data, in line with previous results, and show that this conclusion is robust to the variation of the cosmological parameters. We find a constraint on the Hubble constant of H0 = 61.10+38.65−22.43 km/s/Mpc (68% C.L.), which shows the potential of this method in providing independent constraints on cosmological parameters. The results obtained in this work have been included in [1].

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In this thesis, we explore constraints which can be put on the primordial power spectrum of curvature perturbations beyond the scales probed by anisotropies of the cosmic microwave background and galaxy surveys. We exploit present and future measurements of CMB spectral distortions, and their synergy with CMB anisotropies, as well existing and future upper limits on the stochastic background of gravitational waves. We derive for the first time phenomenological templates that fit small-scale bumps in the primordial power spectrum generated in multi-field models of inflation. By using such templates, we study for the first time imprints of primordial peaks on anisotropies and spectral distortions of the cosmic microwave background and we investigate their contribution to the stochastic background of gravitational waves. Through a Monte Carlo Markov Chain analysis we infer for the first time the constraints on the amplitude, the width and the location of such bumps using Planck and FIRAS data. We also forecast how a future spectrometer like PIXIE could improve FIRAS boundaries. The results derived in this thesis have implications for the possibility of primordial black holes from inflation.