7 resultados para two-part tariff
em AMS Tesi di Dottorato - Alm@DL - Università di Bologna
Resumo:
Spatial prediction of hourly rainfall via radar calibration is addressed. The change of support problem (COSP), arising when the spatial supports of different data sources do not coincide, is faced in a non-Gaussian setting; in fact, hourly rainfall in Emilia-Romagna region, in Italy, is characterized by abundance of zero values and right-skeweness of the distribution of positive amounts. Rain gauge direct measurements on sparsely distributed locations and hourly cumulated radar grids are provided by the ARPA-SIMC Emilia-Romagna. We propose a three-stage Bayesian hierarchical model for radar calibration, exploiting rain gauges as reference measure. Rain probability and amounts are modeled via linear relationships with radar in the log scale; spatial correlated Gaussian effects capture the residual information. We employ a probit link for rainfall probability and Gamma distribution for rainfall positive amounts; the two steps are joined via a two-part semicontinuous model. Three model specifications differently addressing COSP are presented; in particular, a stochastic weighting of all radar pixels, driven by a latent Gaussian process defined on the grid, is employed. Estimation is performed via MCMC procedures implemented in C, linked to R software. Communication and evaluation of probabilistic, point and interval predictions is investigated. A non-randomized PIT histogram is proposed for correctly assessing calibration and coverage of two-part semicontinuous models. Predictions obtained with the different model specifications are evaluated via graphical tools (Reliability Plot, Sharpness Histogram, PIT Histogram, Brier Score Plot and Quantile Decomposition Plot), proper scoring rules (Brier Score, Continuous Rank Probability Score) and consistent scoring functions (Root Mean Square Error and Mean Absolute Error addressing the predictive mean and median, respectively). Calibration is reached and the inclusion of neighbouring information slightly improves predictions. All specifications outperform a benchmark model with incorrelated effects, confirming the relevance of spatial correlation for modeling rainfall probability and accumulation.
Resumo:
Wave breaking is an important coastal process, influencing hydro-morphodynamic processes such as turbulence generation and wave energy dissipation, run-up on the beach and overtopping of coastal defence structures. During breaking, waves are complex mixtures of air and water (“white water”) whose properties affect velocity and pressure fields in the vicinity of the free surface and, depending on the breaker characteristics, different mechanisms for air entrainment are usually observed. Several laboratory experiments have been performed to investigate the role of air bubbles in the wave breaking process (Chanson & Cummings, 1994, among others) and in wave loading on vertical wall (Oumeraci et al., 2001; Peregrine et al., 2006, among others), showing that the air phase is not negligible since the turbulent energy dissipation involves air-water mixture. The recent advancement of numerical models has given valuable insights in the knowledge of wave transformation and interaction with coastal structures. Among these models, some solve the RANS equations coupled with a free-surface tracking algorithm and describe velocity, pressure, turbulence and vorticity fields (Lara et al. 2006 a-b, Clementi et al., 2007). The single-phase numerical model, in which the constitutive equations are solved only for the liquid phase, neglects effects induced by air movement and trapped air bubbles in water. Numerical approximations at the free surface may induce errors in predicting breaking point and wave height and moreover, entrapped air bubbles and water splash in air are not properly represented. The aim of the present thesis is to develop a new two-phase model called COBRAS2 (stands for Cornell Breaking waves And Structures 2 phases), that is the enhancement of the single-phase code COBRAS0, originally developed at Cornell University (Lin & Liu, 1998). In the first part of the work, both fluids are considered as incompressible, while the second part will treat air compressibility modelling. The mathematical formulation and the numerical resolution of the governing equations of COBRAS2 are derived and some model-experiment comparisons are shown. In particular, validation tests are performed in order to prove model stability and accuracy. The simulation of the rising of a large air bubble in an otherwise quiescent water pool reveals the model capability to reproduce the process physics in a realistic way. Analytical solutions for stationary and internal waves are compared with corresponding numerical results, in order to test processes involving wide range of density difference. Waves induced by dam-break in different scenarios (on dry and wet beds, as well as on a ramp) are studied, focusing on the role of air as the medium in which the water wave propagates and on the numerical representation of bubble dynamics. Simulations of solitary and regular waves, characterized by both spilling and plunging breakers, are analyzed with comparisons with experimental data and other numerical model in order to investigate air influence on wave breaking mechanisms and underline model capability and accuracy. Finally, modelling of air compressibility is included in the new developed model and is validated, revealing an accurate reproduction of processes. Some preliminary tests on wave impact on vertical walls are performed: since air flow modelling allows to have a more realistic reproduction of breaking wave propagation, the dependence of wave breaker shapes and aeration characteristics on impact pressure values is studied and, on the basis of a qualitative comparison with experimental observations, the numerical simulations achieve good results.
Resumo:
This thesis reports a study on the seismic response of two-dimensional squat elements and their effect on the behavior of building structures. Part A is devoted to the study of unreinforced masonry infills, while part B is focused on reinforced concrete sandwich walls. Part A begins with a comprehensive review of modelling techniques and code provisions for infilled frame structures. Then state-of-the practice techniques are applied for a real case to test the ability of actual modeling techniques to reproduce observed behaviors. The first developments towards a seismic-resistant masonry infill system are presented. Preliminary design recommendations for the seismic design of the seismic-resistant masonry infill are finally provided. Part B is focused on the seismic behavior of a specific reinforced concrete sandwich panel system. First, the results of in-plane psuudostatic cyclic tests are described. Refinements to the conventional modified compression field theory are introduced in order to better simulate the monotonic envelope of the cyclic response. The refinements deal with the constitutive model for the shotcrete in tension and the embedded bars. Then the hysteretic response of the panels is studied according to a continuum damage model. Damage state limits are identified. Design recommendations for the seismic design of the studied reinforced concrete sandwich walls are finally provided.
Resumo:
The data presented in this thesis was generated using molecular biology, protein chemistry and X-ray crystallography techniques. However, while the methodologies employed are essentially the same, the research work presented here refers to two different proteins, which are part of different research projects in the laboratory. For this reason, the content of this thesis is divided in two independent parts, each provided with an introduction and a general overview of the research topic and state-ofthe- art, a materials and methods section discussing the techniques used and the protocols followed, and a section where the results are presented and discussed in detail. The first half of the thesis deals with the structural characterization of the complex between human E-cadherin and three different small molecule potential inhibitors identified via a fragment-based drug discovery (FBDD) screening campaign that was conducted using a library of commercially available small fluorinated chemical fragments. For this screening phase, we used 19F-NMR as readout. The NMR experiments were done by our collaborator Dr. Marina Veronesi at the D3 PharmaChemistry division of the Italian Institute of Technology (IIT) in Genova (Italy). Functional cell adhesion assays to validate the inhibitory effects of the fragments thus identified were carried out in collaboration with Prof. Frédéric André at the University of Marseille (France). The second half of the thesis describes the structural characterization of Plasmodium falciparum Choline Kinase (PfChoK), an important pharmaceutical target in the fight against malaria, as well as the biochemical characterization of a library of potential inhibitors of PfChoK. These inhibitors were synthetized in the group of Prof. Luisa Carlota López-Cara at the Department of Pharmaceutical and Organic Chemistry of the University of Granada (Spain) in the framework of an ongoing collaboration between the two groups.
Resumo:
With the entry into force of the latest Italian Building Code (NTC 2008, 2018), innovative criteria were provided, especially for what concerns the seismic verifications of large infrastructures. In particular, for buildings considered as strategic, such as large dams, a seismotectonic study of the site was declared necessary, which involves a re-assessment of the basic seismic hazard. This PhD project fits into this context, being part of the seismic re-evaluation process of large dams launched on a national scale following the O.P.C.M. 3274/2003, D.L. 79/2004. A full seismotectonic study in the region of two large earth dams in Southern Italy was carried out. We identified and characterized the structures that could generate earthquakes in our study area, together with the definition of the local seismic history. This information was used for the reassessment of the basic seismic hazard, using probabilistic seismic hazard assessment approaches. In recent years, fault-based models for the seismic hazard assessment have been proposed all over the world as a new emerging methodology. For this reason, we decided to test the innovative SHERIFS approach on our study area. The occasion of the seismotectonic study gave also the opportunity to focus on the characteristics of the seismic stations that provided the data for the study itself. In the context of the work presented here, we focused on the 10 stations that had been active for the longest time and we carried out a geophysical characterization, the data of which merged into a more general study on the soil-structure interaction at seismic stations and on the ways in which it could affect the SHA. Lastly, an additional experimental study on the two dams and their associated minor structures is also presented, aimed at defining their main dynamic parameters, useful for subsequent dynamic structural and geotechnical studies.
Resumo:
The present manuscript focuses on out of equilibrium physics in two dimensional models. It has the purpose of presenting some results obtained as part of out of equilibrium dynamics in its non perturbative aspects. This can be understood in two different ways: the former is related to integrability, which is non perturbative by nature; the latter is related to emergence of phenomena in the out of equilibirum dynamics of non integrable models that are not accessible by standard perturbative techniques. In the study of out of equilibirum dynamics, two different protocols are used througout this work: the bipartitioning protocol, within the Generalised Hydrodynamics (GHD) framework, and the quantum quench protocol. With GHD machinery we study the Staircase Model, highlighting how the hydrodynamic picture sheds new light into the physics of Integrable Quantum Field Theories; with quench protocols we analyse different setups where a non-perturbative description is needed and various dynamical phenomena emerge, such as the manifistation of a dynamical Gibbs effect, confinement and the emergence of Bloch oscillations preventing thermalisation.
Resumo:
Proteins, the most essential biological macromolecules, are involved in nearly every aspect of life. The elucidation of their three-dimensional structures through X-ray analysis has significantly contributed to our understanding of fundamental mechanisms in life processes. However, the obstacle of obtaining high-resolution protein crystals remains significant. Thus, searching for materials that can effectively induce nucleation of crystals is a promising and active field. This thesis work characterizes and prepares albumin nanoparticles as heterogeneous nucleants for protein crystallization. These stable Bovine Serum Albumin nanoparticles were synthesized via the desolvation method, purified efficiently, and characterized in terms of dimension, morphology, and secondary structure. The ability of BSA-NPs to induce macromolecule nucleation was tested on three model proteins, exhibiting significant results, with larger NPs inducing more nucleation. The second part of this work focuses on the structural study, mainly through X-ray crystallography, of five chloroplast and cytosolic enzymes involved in the fundamental cellular processes of two photosynthetic organisms, Chlamydomonas reinhardtii and Arabidopsis thaliana. The structures of three enzymes involved in the Calvin-Benson-Bassham Cycle, phosphoribulokinase, troseposphatisomerase, and ribulosiophosphate epimerase from Chlamydomonas reinhardtii, were solved to investigate their catalytic and regulatory mechanisms. Additionally, the structure of nitrosylated-CrTPI made it possible to identify Cys14 as a target for nitrosylation, and the crystallographic structure of CrRPE was solved for the first time, providing insights into its catalytic and regulatory properties. Finally, the structure of S-nitrosoglutathione reductase, AtGSNOR, was compared with that of AtADH1, revealing differences in their catalytic sites. Overall, seven crystallographic structures, including partially oxidized CrPRK, CrPRK/ATP, CrPRK/ADP/Ru5P, CrTPI-nitrosylated, apo-CrRPE, apo-AtGSNOR, and AtADH1-NADH, were solved and are yet to be deposited in the PDB.