7 resultados para scoring

em AMS Tesi di Dottorato - Alm@DL - Università di Bologna


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Objective: To investigate the prognostic significance of ST-segment elevation (STE) in aVR associated with ST-segment depression (STD) in other leads in patients with non-STE acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS). Background: In NSTE-ACS patients, STD has been extensively associated with severe coronary lesions and poor outcomes. The prognostic role of STE in aVR is uncertain. Methods: We enrolled 888 consecutive patients with NSTE-ACS. They were divided into two groups according to the presence or not on admission ECG of aVR STE≥ 1mm and STD (defined as high risk ECG pattern). The primary and secondary endpoints were: in-hospital cardiovascular (CV) death and the rate of culprit left main disease (LMD). Results: Patients with high risk ECG pattern (n=121) disclosed a worse clinical profile compared to patients (n=575) without [median GRACE (Global-Registry-of-Acute-Coronary-Events) risk score =142 vs. 182, respectively]. A total of 75% of patients underwent coronary angiography. The rate of in-hospital CV death was 3.9%. On multivariable analysis patients who had the high risk ECG pattern showed an increased risk of CV death (OR=2.88, 95%CI 1.05-7.88) and culprit LMD (OR=4.67,95%CI 1.86-11.74) compared to patients who had not. The prognostic significance of the high risk ECG pattern was maintained even after adjustment for the GRACE risk score (OR = 2.28, 95%CI:1.06-4.93 and OR = 4.13, 95%CI:2.13-8.01, for primary and secondary endpoint, respectively). Conclusions: STE in aVR associated with STD in other leads predicts in-hospital CV death and culprit LMD. This pattern may add prognostic information in patients with NSTE-ACS on top of recommended scoring system.

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Osteoarthritis (OA) or degenerative joint disease (DJD) is a pathology which affects the synovial joints and characterised by a focal loss of articular cartilage and subsequent bony reaction of the subcondral and marginal bone. Its etiology is best explained by a multifactorial model including: age, sex, genetic and systemic factors, other predisposing diseases and functional stress. In this study the results of the investigation of a modern identified skeletal collection will be presented. In particular, we will focus on the relationship between the presence of OA at various joints. The joint modifications have been analysed using a new methodology that allows the scoring of different degrees of expression of the features considered. Materials and Methods The sample examined comes from the Sassari identified skeletal collection (part of “Frassetto collections”). The individuals were born between 1828 and 1916 and died between 1918 and 1932. Information about sex and age is known for all the individuals. The occupation is known for 173 males and 125 females. Data concerning the occupation of the individuals indicate a preindustrial and rural society. OA has been diagnosed when eburnation (EB) or loss of morphology (LM) were present, or when at least two of the following: marginal lipping (ML), esostosis (EX) or erosion (ER), were present. For each articular surface affected a “mean score” was calculated, reflecting the “severity” of the alterations. A further “score” was calculated for each joint. In the analysis sexes and age classes were always kept separate. For the statistical analyses non parametric test were used. Results The results show there is an increase of OA with age in all the joints analyzed and in particular around 50 years and 60 years. The shoulder, the hip and the knee are the joints mainly affected with ageing while the ankle is the less affected; the correlation values confirm this result. The lesion which show the major correlation with age is the ML. In our sample males are more frequently and more severely affected by OA than females, particularly at the superior limbs, while hip and knee are similarly affected in the two sexes. Lateralization shows some positive results in particular in the right shoulder of males and in various articular surfaces especially of the superior limb of both males and females; articular surfaces and joints are quite always lateralized to the right. Occupational analyses did not show remarkable results probably because of the homogeneity of the sample; males although performing different activities are quite all employed in stressful works. No highest prevalence of knee and hip OA was found in farm-workers respect to the other males. Discussion and Conclusion In this work we propose a methodology to score the different features, necessary to diagnose OA, that allows the investigation of the severity of joint degeneration. This method is easier than the one proposed by Buikstra and Ubelaker (1994), but in the same time allows a quite detailed recording of the features. Epidemiological results can be interpreted quite simply and they are in accordance with other studies; more difficult is the interpretation of the occupational results because many questions concerning the activities performed by the individuals of the collection during their lifespan cannot be solved. Because of this, caution is suggested in the interpretation of bioarcheological specimens. With this work we hope to contribute to the discussion on the puzzling problem of the etiology of OA. The possibility of studying identified skeletons will add important data to the description of osseous features of OA, enriching the medical documentation, based on different criteria. Even if we are aware that the clinical diagnosis is different from the palaeopathological one we think our work will be useful in clarifying some epidemiological as well as pathological aspects of OA.

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Hypocretin 1 and 2 (HCRT, also called Orexin A and B) are neuropeptides released by neurons in the lateral hypothalamus. HCRT neurons widely project to the entire neuroaxis. HCRT neurons have been reported to participate in various hypothalamic physiological processes including cardiovascular functions, wake-sleep cycle, and they may also influence metabolic rate and the regulation of body temperature. HCRT neurons are lost in narcolepsy, a rare neurological disorder, characterized by excessive daytime sleepiness, cataplexy, sleep fragmentation and occurrence of sleep-onset rapid-eye-movement episodes. We investigated whether HCRT neurons mediate the sleep-dependent cardiovascular adaptations to changes in ambient temperature (Ta). HCRT-ataxin3 transgenic mice with genetic ablation of HCRT neurons (n = 11) and wild-type controls (n = 12) were instrumented with electrodes for sleep scoring and a telemetric blood pressure (BP) transducer (DSI, Inc.). Simultaneous sleep and BP recordings were performed on mice undisturbed and freely-behaving at 20 °C, 25 °C, and 30 °C for 48 hours at each Ta. Analysis of variance of BP indicated a significance of the main effects of wake-sleep state and Ta, their interaction effect, and the wake-sleep state x mouse strain interaction effect. BP increased with decreasing Ta. This effect of Ta on BP was significantly lower in rapid-eye-movement sleep (REMS) than either in non-rapid-eye-movement sleep (NREMS) or wakefulness regardless of the mouse strain. BP was higher in wakefulness than either in NREMS or REMS. This effect of sleep on BP was significantly reduced in mice lacking HCRT neurons at each Ta, particularly during REMS. These data suggest that HCRT neurons play a critical role in mediating the effects of sleep but not those of Ta on BP in mice. HCRT neurons may thus be part of the central neural pathways which mediate the phenomenon of blood pressure dipping on passing from wakefulness to sleep.

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Nell’ambito della patologia gastroenterica del suino sono comprese alcune malattie sostenute da batteri spirillari gram negativi, di cui sono disponibili numerose trattazioni riguardanti, soprattutto, l'aspetto epidemiologico e patogenetico. Per alcuni di questi agenti microbici, e per le relative manifestazioni patologiche, poco si conosce nel cinghiale selvatico, animale correlato filogeneticamente al suino domestico, ma compreso in un’ecologia completamente differente. Da queste premesse è nato un approccio di ricerca e studio del comportamento di questi microrganismi in una metapopolazione di cinghiali, abbattuti durante il piano di controllo della popolazione densità-dipendente nel Parco dei Gessi e Calanchi dell’Abbadessa (BO), cercando di rapportare le conoscenze riportate in letteratura sul suino domestico con quanto è scaturito dalle indagini condotte sul cinghiale selvatico. In particolare è stata indagata con metodica immunoistochimica la presenza di Lawsonia intracellularis, patogeno del suino responsabile di Enterite Proliferativa (EP), in secondo luogo sono state condotte indagini batteriologiche e istologiche da stomaco e intestino, finalizzate all’isolamento di microrganismi spirillari dei generi Campylobacter e Helicobacter, da correlare all’eventuale presenza di lesioni infiammatorie e ulcerative gastriche o enteriche valutate secondo sistemi a punteggio ottenuti dalla bibliografia o realizzati in base alla tipologia di infiltrato cellulare e alla sua localizzazione. In ultimo, a fini comparativi con uno studio condotto nel 2002-2004 nello steso Parco Regionale, sono stati monitorati i livelli di antibioticoresistenza di indicatori fecali usando metodiche internazionali standardizzate (Escherichia coli e Enterococcus faecium.) nonché su un numero significativo di isolati di Campylobacter lanienae, per ottenere indicazioni preliminari sull’andamento nei 10 anni trascorsi dello stato di inquinamento da farmaco del Parco stesso. I risultati ottenuti permettono di ampliare le conoscenze sulla flora enterica del cinghiale selvatico e pongono questioni di sicurezza pubblica sulla gestione dei mammiferi selvatici.

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Spatial prediction of hourly rainfall via radar calibration is addressed. The change of support problem (COSP), arising when the spatial supports of different data sources do not coincide, is faced in a non-Gaussian setting; in fact, hourly rainfall in Emilia-Romagna region, in Italy, is characterized by abundance of zero values and right-skeweness of the distribution of positive amounts. Rain gauge direct measurements on sparsely distributed locations and hourly cumulated radar grids are provided by the ARPA-SIMC Emilia-Romagna. We propose a three-stage Bayesian hierarchical model for radar calibration, exploiting rain gauges as reference measure. Rain probability and amounts are modeled via linear relationships with radar in the log scale; spatial correlated Gaussian effects capture the residual information. We employ a probit link for rainfall probability and Gamma distribution for rainfall positive amounts; the two steps are joined via a two-part semicontinuous model. Three model specifications differently addressing COSP are presented; in particular, a stochastic weighting of all radar pixels, driven by a latent Gaussian process defined on the grid, is employed. Estimation is performed via MCMC procedures implemented in C, linked to R software. Communication and evaluation of probabilistic, point and interval predictions is investigated. A non-randomized PIT histogram is proposed for correctly assessing calibration and coverage of two-part semicontinuous models. Predictions obtained with the different model specifications are evaluated via graphical tools (Reliability Plot, Sharpness Histogram, PIT Histogram, Brier Score Plot and Quantile Decomposition Plot), proper scoring rules (Brier Score, Continuous Rank Probability Score) and consistent scoring functions (Root Mean Square Error and Mean Absolute Error addressing the predictive mean and median, respectively). Calibration is reached and the inclusion of neighbouring information slightly improves predictions. All specifications outperform a benchmark model with incorrelated effects, confirming the relevance of spatial correlation for modeling rainfall probability and accumulation.

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The arousal scoring in Obstructive Sleep Apnea Syndrome (OSAS) is important to clarify the impact of the disease on sleep but the currently applied American Academy of Sleep Medicine (AASM) definition may underestimate the subtle alterations of sleep. The aims of the present study were to evaluate the impact of respiratory events on cortical and autonomic arousal response and to quantify the additional value of cyclic alternating pattern (CAP) and pulse wave amplitude (PWA) for a more accurate detection of respiratory events and sleep alterations in OSAS patients. A retrospective revision of 19 polysomnographic recordings of OSAS patients was carried out. Analysis was focused on quantification of apneas (AP), hypopneas (H) and flow limitation (FL) events, and on investigation of cerebral and autonomic activity. Only 41.1% of FL events analyzed in non rapid eye movement met the AASM rules for the definition of respiratory event-related arousal (RERA), while 75.5% of FL events ended with a CAP A phase. The dual response (EEG-PWA) was the most frequent response for all subtypes of respiratory event with a progressive reduction from AP to H and FL. 87.7% of respiratory events with EEG activation showed also a PWA drop and 53,4% of the respiratory events without EEG activation presented a PWA drop. The relationship between the respiratory events and the arousal response is more complex than that suggested by the international classification. In the estimation of the response to respiratory events, the CAP scoring and PWA analysis can offer more extensive information compared to the AASM rules. Our data confirm also that the application of PWA scoring improves the detection of respiratory events and could reduce the underestimation of OSAS severity compared to AASM arousal.