Design of experiment in drug development: optimal allocations in multi-arm clinical trials and design space for multi-step processes

In this thesis, we deal with the design of experiments in the drug development process, focusing on the design of clinical trials for treatment comparisons (Part I) and the design of preclinical laboratory experiments for proteins development and manufacturing (Part II). In Part I we propose a multi-purpose design methodology for sequential clinical trials. We derived optimal allocations of patients to treatments for testing the efficacy of several experimental groups by also taking into account ethical considerations. We first consider exponential responses for survival trials and we then present a unified framework for heteroscedastic experimental groups that encompasses the general ANOVA set-up. The very good performance of the suggested optimal allocations, in terms of both inferential and ethical characteristics, are illustrated analytically and through several numerical examples, also performing comparisons with other designs proposed in the literature. Part II concerns the planning of experiments for processes composed of multiple steps in the context of preclinical drug development and manufacturing. Following the Quality by Design paradigm, the objective of the multi-step design strategy is the definition of the manufacturing design space of the whole process and, as we consider the interactions among the subsequent steps, our proposal ensures the quality and the safety of the final product, by enabling more flexibility and process robustness in the manufacturing.

From fall-risk assessment to fall detection: inertial sensors in the clinical routine and daily life

Falls are caused by complex interaction between multiple risk factors which may be modified by age, disease and environment. A variety of methods and tools for fall risk assessment have been proposed, but none of which is universally accepted. Existing tools are generally not capable of providing a quantitative predictive assessment of fall risk. The need for objective, cost-effective and clinically applicable methods would enable quantitative assessment of fall risk on a subject-specific basis. Tracking objectively falls risk could provide timely feedback about the effectiveness of administered interventions enabling intervention strategies to be modified or changed if found to be ineffective. Moreover, some of the fundamental factors leading to falls and what actually happens during a fall remain unclear. Objectively documented and measured falls are needed to improve knowledge of fall in order to develop more effective prevention strategies and prolong independent living. In the last decade, several research groups have developed sensor-based automatic or semi-automatic fall risk assessment tools using wearable inertial sensors. This approach may also serve to detect falls. At the moment, i) several fall-risk assessment studies based on inertial sensors, even if promising, lack of a biomechanical model-based approach which could provide accurate and more detailed measurements of interests (e.g., joint moments, forces) and ii) the number of published real-world fall data of older people in a real-world environment is minimal since most authors have used simulations with healthy volunteers as a surrogate for real-world falls. With these limitations in mind, this thesis aims i) to suggest a novel method for the kinematics and dynamics evaluation of functional motor tasks, often used in clinics for the fall-risk evaluation, through a body sensor network and a biomechanical approach and ii) to define the guidelines for a fall detection algorithm based on a real-world fall database availability.

Prediction Nomogram for 68Ga-PSMA-11 PET/CT in different clinical settings of PSA failure after radical treatment for Prostate Cancer

Objective The objective of this study was to develop a clinical nomogram to predict gallium-68 prostate-specific membrane antigen positron emission tomography/computed tomography (68Ga-PSMA-11-PET/CT) positivity in different clinical settings of PSA failure. Materials and methods Seven hundred three (n = 703) prostate cancer (PCa) patients with confirmed PSA failure after radical therapy were enrolled. Patients were stratified according to different clinical settings (first-time biochemical recurrence [BCR]: group 1; BCR after salvage therapy: group 2; biochemical persistence after radical prostatectomy [BCP]: group 3; advanced stage PCa before second-line systemic therapies: group 4). First, we assessed 68Ga-PSMA-11-PET/CT positivity rate. Second, multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to determine predictors of positive scan. Third, regression-based coefficients were used to develop a nomogram predicting positive 68Ga-PSMA-11-PET/CT result and 200 bootstrap resamples were used for internal validation. Fourth, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to identify the most informative nomogram’s derived cut-off. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was implemented to quantify nomogram’s clinical benefit. Results 68Ga-PSMA-11-PET/CT overall positivity rate was 51.2%, while it was 40.3% in group 1, 54% in group 2, 60.5% in group 3, and 86.9% in group 4 (p < 0.001). At multivariable analyses, ISUP grade, PSA, PSA doubling time, and clinical setting were independent predictors of a positive scan (all p ≤ 0.04). A nomogram based on covariates included in the multivariate model demonstrated a bootstrap-corrected accuracy of 82%. The nomogram-derived best cut-off value was 40%. In DCA, the nomogram revealed clinical net benefit of > 10%. Conclusions This novel nomogram proved its good accuracy in predicting a positive scan, with values ≥ 40% providing the most informative cut-off in counselling patients to 68Ga-PSMA-11-PET/CT. This tool might be important as a guide to clinicians in the best use of PSMA-based PET imaging.

Emotions in legal decisions: the construction of objective narratives in Italian criminal trials

Drawing on ethnographic data collected in Italian courts and prosecution offices, this dissertation offers new perspectives on legal decision-making by highlighting the importance of emotions for constructing and evaluating legal narratives. Focusing on criminal cases, it describes and dissects how judges and prosecutors use emotions in reflection and action tied to lay narratives and legal constraints. The analysis shows that legal professionals engage in different types of emotional dynamics when dealing with stories; first, they develop gut feelings, which are either endorsed or kept at distance by means of emotional reflexivity, to comply with legal ideals of objectivity and impartiality. Second, empathy emerges as a crucial tool to direct the interaction with lay people and to interpret legal prerequisites, such as credibility, and intent. Finally, the dissertation shows that lay stories lead legal professionals to become passionate and committed towards the correct application of the law, the restoration of the moral order, and the achievement of justice. In light of the empirical findings, this thesis strives to develop a theoretical understanding of legal decision-making as narrative work that includes emotional dynamics consistent with rational, objective action.

Studio del ruolo della Protein chinasi B/Akt nella migrazione di Cellule Staminali Mesenchimali umane

Le cellule staminali/stromali mesenchimali umane (hMSC) sono attualmente applicate in diversi studi clinici e la loro efficacia è spesso legata alla loro capacità di raggiungere il sito d’interesse. Poco si sa sul loro comportamento migratorio e i meccanismi che ne sono alla base. Perciò, questo studio è stato progettato per comprendere il comportamento migratorio delle hMSC e il coinvolgimento di Akt, nota anche come proteina chinasi B. L’espressione e la fosforilazione della proteinchinasi Akt è stata studiata mediante Western blotting. Oltre al time-lapse in vivo imaging, il movimento cellulare è stato monitorato sia mediante saggi tridimensionali, con l’uso di transwell, che mediante saggi bidimensionali, attraverso la tecnica del wound healing. Le prove effettuate hanno rivelato che le hMSC hanno una buona capacità migratoria. E’ stato osservato che la proteinchinasi B/Akt ha elevati livelli basali di fosforilazione in queste cellule. Inoltre, la caratterizzazione delle principali proteine di regolazione ed effettrici, a monte e a valle di Akt, ha permesso di concludere che la cascata di reazioni della via di segnale anche nelle hMSC segue un andamento canonico. Specifici inibitori farmacologici sono stati utilizzati per determinare il potenziale meccanismo coinvolto nella migrazione cellulare e nell'invasione. L’inibizione della via PI3K/Akt determina una significativa riduzione della migrazione. L’utilizzo di inibitori farmacologici specifici per le singole isoforme di Akt ha permesso di discriminare il ruolo diverso di Akt1 e Akt2 nella migrazione delle hMSC. E’ stato infatti dimostrato che l'inattivazione di Akt2, ma non quella di Akt1, diminuisce significativamente la migrazione cellulare. Nel complesso i risultati ottenuti indicano che l'attivazione di Akt2 svolge un ruolo critico nella migrazione della hMSC; ulteriori studi sono necessari per approfondire la comprensione del fenomeno. La dimostrazione che l’isoforma Akt2 è necessaria per la chemiotassi diretta delle hMSC, rende questa chinasi un potenziale bersaglio farmacologico per modulare la loro migrazione.

Development of new chemical entities to target neuroinflammatory pathways.

Neuroinflammatory pathways are main culprits of neurodegenerative diseases' onset and progression, including Alzheimer’s disease (AD). On this basis, several anti-inflammatory drugs were repurposed in clinical trials. However, they have failed, probably because neuroinflammation is a complex network, still not fully understood. From these evidences, this thesis focused on the design and synthesis of new chemical entities as potential neuroinflammatory drugs or chemical probes. Projects 1 and 2 aimed to multi-target-directed ligand (MTDL) development to target neuroinflammation in AD. Polypharmacology by MTDLs is considered one of the most promising strategies to face the multifactorial nature of neurodegenerative diseases. Particularly, Project 1 took inspiration from a cromolyn-ibuprofen drug combination polypharmacological approach, which was recently investigated in AD clinical trials. Based on that, two cromolyn-(S)-ibuprofen codrug series were designed and synthesized. Parent drugs were combined via linking or fusing strategies in 1:2 or 1:1 ratio, by means of hydrolyzable bonds. Project 2 started from a still ongoing AD clinical trial on investigational drug neflamapimod. It is a selective inhibitor of p38α-MAPK, a kinase strictly involved in neuroinflammatory pathways. On the other side, rasagiline, an anti-Parkinson drug, was also repurposed as AD treatment. Indeed, rasagiline’s propargylamine fragment demonstrated to be responsible not only for the MAO-B selective inhibition, but also for the neuroprotective activity. Thus, to synergistically combine these two effects into single-molecules, a small set of neflamapimod-rasagiline hybrids was developed. In the end BMX, a poorly investigated kinase, which seems to be involved in pro-inflammatory mediator production, was explored for the development of new chemical probes. High-quality chemical probes are a powerful tool in target validation and starting points for the development of new drug candidates. Thus, Project 3 focused on the design and synthesis of two series of optimized BMX covalent inhibitors as selective chemical probes.

Neuro-ophthalmological and electrophysiological characterization of mitochondrial diseases.

Aims and methods: 1) characterization of patients with Dominant Optic Atrophy (DOA) associated with mutations in AFG3L2 and ACO2 genes in comparison with classical OPA1-DOA; 2) characterization of patients with mtDNA mutations causing MELAS and MERRF syndromes and correlation with heteroplasmy; 3) longitudinal evaluation of subacute m.11778G>A/MTND4 Leber’s Hereditary Optic Neuropathy (LHON) patients co-treated with rAAV2/2-ND4 gene therapy and idebenone. We performed a comprehensive neuro-ophthalmological assessment coupled with electrophysiological examination. Results: 1) We described and compared 23 ACO2 and 13 AFG3L2 patients with 72 OPA1 patients. All patients presented temporally predominant optic atrophy, with ACO2 showing higher RNFL and GCL thicknesses at OCT, while AFG3L2 was virtually-indistinguishable from OPA1. 2) Retinopathy was the most common manifestation in 17/33 MELAS patients, conversely, optic atrophy was the most common finding in 7/8 MERRF patients. Correlation of heteroplasmy with neuro-ophthalmological parameters failed to disclose any significance in MELAS, while it negatively correlated with OCT parameters in MERRF. 3) We compared modifications in visual acuity, OCT and electrophysiological parameters at 3 timepoints in 9 LHON patients. We observed significant decrease of RNFL thickness and reduction of PhNR amplitude. Visual acuity improved of about -0.37 LogMAR, correlating significantly with time from onset and from injection, but not with idebenone therapy duration. Discussion: 1) ACO2 seems associated to better preservation of retinal ganglion cells, depending on a different pathogenic mechanism involving mtDNA maintenance, as opposed to AFG3L2 which is involved in OPA1 processing. 2) MELAS and MERRF patients presented with a clearly distinct ocular phenotype, possibly reflecting a selective susceptibility of different retinal cell types to global energy defect or oxidative stress. 3) Follow up of LHON patients treated with gene therapy confirmed the deterioration in OCT and electrophysiological parameters, while the amount of visual improvement was similar to the one observed in recent clinical trials.