Development of parallelizable flood inundation models for large scale analysis

Flood disasters are a major cause of fatalities and economic losses, and several studies indicate that global flood risk is currently increasing. In order to reduce and mitigate the impact of river flood disasters, the current trend is to integrate existing structural defences with non structural measures. This calls for a wider application of advanced hydraulic models for flood hazard and risk mapping, engineering design, and flood forecasting systems. Within this framework, two different hydraulic models for large scale analysis of flood events have been developed. The two models, named CA2D and IFD-GGA, adopt an integrated approach based on the diffusive shallow water equations and a simplified finite volume scheme. The models are also designed for massive code parallelization, which has a key importance in reducing run times in large scale and high-detail applications. The two models were first applied to several numerical cases, to test the reliability and accuracy of different model versions. Then, the most effective versions were applied to different real flood events and flood scenarios. The IFD-GGA model showed serious problems that prevented further applications. On the contrary, the CA2D model proved to be fast and robust, and able to reproduce 1D and 2D flow processes in terms of water depth and velocity. In most applications the accuracy of model results was good and adequate to large scale analysis. Where complex flow processes occurred local errors were observed, due to the model approximations. However, they did not compromise the correct representation of overall flow processes. In conclusion, the CA model can be a valuable tool for the simulation of a wide range of flood event types, including lowland and flash flood events.

Studio prospettico osservazionale sull'interruzione volontaria farmacologica di gravidanza: fattori predittivi di dolore pelvico durante il trattamento

INTRODUZIONE Pochi studi in Letteratura hanno indagato la correlazione tra la sintomatologia dolorosa associata all’interruzione farmacologica di gravidanza (IVG) e i livelli d’ansia pre-trattamento. L’obiettivo primario del nostro studio è stato di valutare la correlazione tra la sintomatologia dolorosa in corso di IVG farmacologica e i livelli d’ansia pre-trattamento. Inoltre, sono stati indagati i fattori predittivi di dolore e la correlazione con l’epoca gestazionale. MATERIALI E METODI È stato condotto uno studio osservazionale, prospettico, multicentrico presso l’Unità Operativa di Ostetricia e Ginecologia dell’Azienda USL e presso l’Unità Operativa di Ginecologia dell’IRCCS Sant’Orsola Malpighi di Bologna. Sono state incluse le pazienti sottoposte a IVG farmacologica tra giugno 2021 e novembre 2021, che rispettassero i criteri di inclusione ed esclusione. Sono stati somministrati 5 questionari (GHQ-12, GAD-7, STAI-6, VAS) e raccolti i dati anamnestici ed ecografici. I potenziali fattori di rischio sono stati, quindi, selezionati per l’inclusione nell'analisi di regressione multivariata. RISULTATI Delle 242 pazienti incluse, il 38,0% ha riferito una sintomatologia dolorosa severa (VAS >70). Dall’analisi di regressione multivariata, la dismenorrea intensa è risultata essere il fattore di rischio più forte per il dolore (OR = 6,30, IC 95% 2,66 – 14,91), seguita da alti livelli di ansia valutati mediante il punteggio del GHQ-12 > 9 (OR = 3,33, IC 95% 1,43 – 7,76). Al contrario, la nostra analisi ha confermato che un precedente parto vaginale rappresentava una caratteristica protettiva contro il dolore (OR 0,26, IC 95% 0,14 – 0,50). CONCLUSIONI Nel nostro studio alti livelli d’ansia pre-trattamento e la dismenorrea sono associati ad intensa sintomatologia dolorosa, mentre il parto vaginale è risultato protettivo. L’IVG farmacologica è una metodica efficace e sicura, ma spesso associata a sintomatologia dolorosa. È quindi fondamentale delineare fattori di predittivi di dolore ed individuare le pazienti a maggior rischio a cui somministrare un’idonea terapia antalgica.

Improved ground motion intensity measures for reliability-based demand analysis of structures

In Performance-Based Earthquake Engineering (PBEE), evaluating the seismic performance (or seismic risk) of a structure at a designed site has gained major attention, especially in the past decade. One of the objectives in PBEE is to quantify the seismic reliability of a structure (due to the future random earthquakes) at a site. For that purpose, Probabilistic Seismic Demand Analysis (PSDA) is utilized as a tool to estimate the Mean Annual Frequency (MAF) of exceeding a specified value of a structural Engineering Demand Parameter (EDP). This dissertation focuses mainly on applying an average of a certain number of spectral acceleration ordinates in a certain interval of periods, Sa,avg (T1,…,Tn), as scalar ground motion Intensity Measure (IM) when assessing the seismic performance of inelastic structures. Since the interval of periods where computing Sa,avg is related to the more or less influence of higher vibration modes on the inelastic response, it is appropriate to speak about improved IMs. The results using these improved IMs are compared with a conventional elastic-based scalar IMs (e.g., pseudo spectral acceleration, Sa ( T(¹)), or peak ground acceleration, PGA) and the advanced inelastic-based scalar IM (i.e., inelastic spectral displacement, Sdi). The advantages of applying improved IMs are: (i ) "computability" of the seismic hazard according to traditional Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA), because ground motion prediction models are already available for Sa (Ti), and hence it is possibile to employ existing models to assess hazard in terms of Sa,avg, and (ii ) "efficiency" or smaller variability of structural response, which was minimized to assess the optimal range to compute Sa,avg. More work is needed to assess also "sufficiency" and "scaling robustness" desirable properties, which are disregarded in this dissertation. However, for ordinary records (i.e., with no pulse like effects), using the improved IMs is found to be more accurate than using the elastic- and inelastic-based IMs. For structural demands that are dominated by the first mode of vibration, using Sa,avg can be negligible relative to the conventionally-used Sa (T(¹)) and the advanced Sdi. For structural demands with sign.cant higher-mode contribution, an improved scalar IM that incorporates higher modes needs to be utilized. In order to fully understand the influence of the IM on the seismis risk, a simplified closed-form expression for the probability of exceeding a limit state capacity was chosen as a reliability measure under seismic excitations and implemented for Reinforced Concrete (RC) frame structures. This closed-form expression is partuclarly useful for seismic assessment and design of structures, taking into account the uncertainty in the generic variables, structural "demand" and "capacity" as well as the uncertainty in seismic excitations. The assumed framework employs nonlinear Incremental Dynamic Analysis (IDA) procedures in order to estimate variability in the response of the structure (demand) to seismic excitations, conditioned to IM. The estimation of the seismic risk using the simplified closed-form expression is affected by IM, because the final seismic risk is not constant, but with the same order of magnitude. Possible reasons concern the non-linear model assumed, or the insufficiency of the selected IM. Since it is impossibile to state what is the "real" probability of exceeding a limit state looking the total risk, the only way is represented by the optimization of the desirable properties of an IM.

Archaeological Baltic amber: degradation mechanisms and conservation measures

The aim of this project was to achieve a deep understanding of the mechanisms by which Baltic amber degrades, in order to develop techniques for preventive conservation of archaeological amber objects belonging to the National Museum of Denmark’s collections. To examine deterioration of Baltic amber, a starting point was to identify and monitor surface and bulk properties which are affected during degradation. The way to operate consisted of the use of accelerated ageing to initiate degradation of raw Baltic amber samples in different conditions of relative humidity, oxygen exposure or pH and, successively, of the use of non/micro-destructive techniques to identify and quantify changes in visual, chemical and structural properties. A large piece of raw Baltic amber was used to prepare several test samples for two different kinds of accelerated ageing: thermal-ageing and photo-ageing. During the ageing, amber samples were regularly examined through several analytical techniques related to different information: appearance/colour change by visual examination, photography and colorimetry; chemical change by infrared spectroscopy, Raman spectroscopy and elemental analysis; rate of oxidation by oxygen measurement; qualitative analysis of released volatiles by gas chromatography – mass spectrometry. The obtained results were analysed through both critical evaluation and statistical study. After the interpretation of the achieved data, the main relations between amber and environmental factors during the degradation process became clearer and it was possible to identify the major pathways by which amber degrades, such as hydrolysis of esters into alcohols and carboxylic acids, thermal-oxidation and photo-oxidation of terpenoid components, depolymerisation and decomposition of the chemical structure. At the end it was possible to suggest a preventive conservation strategy based on the control of climatic, atmospheric and lighting parameters in the environment where Baltic amber objects are stored and displayed.

Preclinical neuroblastoma models for a pharmacological study of a new MYCN oncogene inhibitor

Background. Neuroblastoma is the most deadly solid tumor of childhood. In the 25% of cases it is associated with MYCN amplification (MA), resulting in the disregulation of several genes involved in cancer progression, chemotherapy resistance and poor prognosis causing the disregulation of several genes involved in cancer progression and chemotherapy resistance and resulting in a poor prognosis. Moreover, in this contest, therapy-related p53 mutations are frequently found in relapsed cases conferring an even stronger aggressiveness. For this reason, the actual therapy requires new antitumor molecules. Therefore, rapid, accurate, and reproducible preclinical models are needed to evaluate the evolution of the different subtypes and the efficacy of new pharmacological strategies. Procedures. We report the real-time tumorigenesis of MA Neuroblastoma mouse models: transgenic TH-MYCN mice and orthotopic xenograft models with either p53wt or p53mut, by non-invasive micro PET and bioluminescent imaging, respectively. Characterization of MYCN amplification and expression was performed on every collected sample. We tested the efficacy of a new MYCN inhibitor in vitro and in vivo. Results. MicroPET in TH-MYCN mice permitted the identification of Neuroblastoma at an early stage and offered a sensitive method to follow metabolic progression of tumors. The MA orthotopic model harboring multitherapy-related p53 mutations showed a shorter latency and progression and a stronger aggressiveness respect to the p53wt model. The presence of MA and overexpression was confirmed in each model and we saw a better survival in the TH-MYCN homozigous mice treated with the inhibitor. Conclusions. The mouse models obtained show characteristics of non-invasiveness, rapidity and sensitivity that make them suitable for the in vivo preclinical study of MA-NB. In particular, our firstly reported p53mut BLI xenograft orthotopic mouse model offers the possibility to evaluate the role of multitherapy-related p53 mutations and to validate new p53 independent therapies for this highly aggressive Neuroblastoma subtype. Moreover, we have shown potential clinical suitability of an antigene strategy through its cellular and molecular activity, ability to specifically inhibit transcription and in vivo efficacy with no evidence of toxicity.

Non invasive assessment of right ventricle in patients with operated tetralogy of Fallot

The objective of this study was to evaluate right ventricular function in patients with right ventricular volume overload in patients with (tetralogy of Fallot, and pulmonary atresia + VSD ) underwent corrective surgery; with echocardiography measure that can be easily applied; and to study the relationship between ProBNP and the contractile function of the right ventricle, dilated right atrium, and the consequences of pulmonary insufficiency . Methods: The study included 50 patients (50% males, mean age 30.64 ± 13.30 years) with prior cardiac surgical intervention of TDF (90%) or pulmonary atresia + VSD (10%). (49 pz) have performed a cardiac MRI and clinical evaluation, (47 pz) echocardiogram, (48 pz) ECG, (34 pz) a cardiopulmonary exercise testing, (29 pz) a dosage of ProBNP. Results: The S-wave velocity (p <0.0001), the TAPSE (p <0.0001) correlated significantly with RVEF estimated by cardiac MRI. The VO2 max was 27.93 ± 12.91 ml / kg / min, 15% of patients had VE/VCO2 The peak> 35. ProBNP correlated positively and significantly with the area of the right atrium (p = 0.0001), and negative and significant with VO2 max (p = 0.04). Those who have increased pulmonary insufficiency (PVR fraction> 30%) have a significantly increased RVED volume (p = 0.01), reduced VO2 max (p = 0.04), and lower ejection fraction of LV (p = 0.02) than the group of patients with PVR ≤ 30. Conclusion: The TAPSE and S-wave velocity are fundamental and may become the technique of choice for routine assessment of RV systolic function in adult patients with TOF. The monitoring of the Pro BNP is probably a choice, given the simplicity and their information that correlate with the test cardiopulmonary. In view of the ventricular-ventricular interaction, so measures to maintain or restore the functioning of the pulmonary valve could preserve biventricular function.

Multidimensional Measures of Firm Competitiveness: a Model-Based Approach

The concept of competitiveness, for a long time considered as strictly connected to economic and financial performances, evolved, above all in recent years, toward new, wider interpretations disclosing its multidimensional nature. The shift to a multidimensional view of the phenomenon has excited an intense debate involving theoretical reflections on the features characterizing it, as well as methodological considerations on its assessment and measurement. The present research has a twofold objective: going in depth with the study of tangible and intangible aspect characterizing multidimensional competitive phenomena by assuming a micro-level point of view, and measuring competitiveness through a model-based approach. Specifically, we propose a non-parametric approach to Structural Equation Models techniques for the computation of multidimensional composite measures. Structural Equation Models tools will be used for the development of the empirical application on the italian case: a model based micro-level competitiveness indicator for the measurement of the phenomenon on a large sample of Italian small and medium enterprises will be constructed.

La moltiplicazione relazionale dei non imparentati. Un'etnografia delle attese di genitorialità e filiazione intorno alla categoria giuridica di "minore straniero non accompagnato" in Italia.

Sulla spinta dell’approvazione della legge italiana 47/2017 “Disposizioni in materia di misure di protezione dei minori stranieri non accompagnati”, questo lavoro è teso ad affrontare le complesse aspettative genitoriali e parentali sviluppatesi intorno al processo di categorizzazione MSNA di cui questa legge è diventata approdo giuridico. Le controverse aspettative di accompagnamento legatesi alla denominazione di “non accompagnato”, prese come aspetto scontato e assiomatico in molta parte della letteratura scientifica che utilizza l’acronimo, sono state qui intese come un nodo ambiguo e questionabile. Attraverso una ricerca e una metodologia antropologico-etnografica queste rappresentazioni contradditorie sono esplorate a partire da un “crocevia di campi” da queste interessati in un territorio amministrativo dell’Italia Settentrionale variamente frequentato tra 2018 e 2021. Insieme ad ambienti, metodi e sfide della ricerca locale, una prima sezione situa storicamente e contestualmente la categoria MSNA come fenomeno in sé piuttosto che come efficace espressione descrittiva di soggetti. Le due sezioni successive, dedicate rispettivamente alla neo-realtà di tutela volontaria e a quella di una comunità socio-educativa/di tipo familiare rivolta a persone di minore età, interrogano invece questi ambienti come spazi e tempi di elaborazione prima e negoziazione poi di rappresentazioni e pratiche relazionali e parentali molteplici.