Assimilation of Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) satellite data in a regional numerical weather prediction model using a one-dimensional variational approach

The quality of temperature and humidity retrievals from the infrared SEVIRI sensors on the geostationary Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) satellites is assessed by means of a one dimensional variational algorithm. The study is performed with the aim of improving the spatial and temporal resolution of available observations to feed analysis systems designed for high resolution regional scale numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. The non-hydrostatic forecast model COSMO (COnsortium for Small scale MOdelling) in the ARPA-SIM operational configuration is used to provide background fields. Only clear sky observations over sea are processed. An optimised 1D–VAR set-up comprising of the two water vapour and the three window channels is selected. It maximises the reduction of errors in the model backgrounds while ensuring ease of operational implementation through accurate bias correction procedures and correct radiative transfer simulations. The 1D–VAR retrieval quality is firstly quantified in relative terms employing statistics to estimate the reduction in the background model errors. Additionally the absolute retrieval accuracy is assessed comparing the analysis with independent radiosonde and satellite observations. The inclusion of satellite data brings a substantial reduction in the warm and dry biases present in the forecast model. Moreover it is shown that the retrieval profiles generated by the 1D–VAR are well correlated with the radiosonde measurements. Subsequently the 1D–VAR technique is applied to two three–dimensional case–studies: a false alarm case–study occurred in Friuli–Venezia–Giulia on the 8th of July 2004 and a heavy precipitation case occurred in Emilia–Romagna region between 9th and 12th of April 2005. The impact of satellite data for these two events is evaluated in terms of increments in the integrated water vapour and saturation water vapour over the column, in the 2 meters temperature and specific humidity and in the surface temperature. To improve the 1D–VAR technique a method to calculate flow–dependent model error covariance matrices is also assessed. The approach employs members from an ensemble forecast system generated by perturbing physical parameterisation schemes inside the model. The improved set–up applied to the case of 8th of July 2004 shows a substantial neutral impact.

System innovation and life cycle thinking in packaging value chain: the circularity of plastics.

Compared to other, plastic materials have registered a strong acceleration in production and consumption during the last years. Despite the existence of waste management systems, plastic_based materials are still a pervasive presence in the environment, with negative consequences on marine ecosystem and human health. The recycling is still challenging due to the growing complexity of product design, the so-called overpackaging, the insufficient and inadequate recycling infrastructure, the weak market of recycled plastics and the high cost of waste treatment and disposal. The Circular economy package, the European Strategy for plastics in a circular economy and the recent European Green Deal include very ambitious programmes to rethink the entire plastic value chain. As regards packaging, all plastic packaging will have to be 100% recyclable (or reusable) and 55% recycled by 2030. Regions are consequently called upon to set up a robust plan able to fit the European objectives. It takes on greater importance in Emilia Romagna where the Packaging valley is located. This thesis supports the definition of a strategy aimed to establish an after-use plastics economy in the region. The PhD work has set the basis and the instruments to establish the so-called Circularity Strategy with the aim to turn about 92.000t of plastic waste into profitable secondary resources. System innovation, life cycle thinking and participative backcasting method have allowed to deeply analyse the current system, orientate the problem and explore sustainable solutions through a broad stakeholder participation. A material flow analysis, accompanied by a barrier analysis, has supported the identification of the gaps between the present situation and the 2030 scenario. Eco-design for and from recycling (and a mass _based recycling rate (based on the effective amount of plastic wastes turned into secondary plastics), valorized by a value_based indicator, are the key-points of the action plan.

Life Cycle Thinking for sustainability assessment and decision-making in selected food supply chains in Costa Rica

The Agenda 2030 contains 17 integrated Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). SDG 12 for Sustainable Consumption and Production (SCP) promotes the efficient use of resources through a systemic change that decouples economic growth from environmental degradation. The Food Systems (FS) pillar in SDG 12 entails paramount relevance due to its interconnection to many other SDGs, and even when being a crucial world food supplier, the Latin American and Caribbean (LAC) Region struggles with environmental and social externalities, low investment in agriculture, inequity, food insecurity, poverty, and migration. Life Cycle Thinking (LCT) was regarded as a pertinent approach to identify hotspots and trade-offs, and support decision-making process to aid LAC Region countries as Costa Rica to diagnose sustainability and overcome certain challenges. This thesis aimed to ‘evaluate the sustainability of selected products from food supply chains in Costa Rica, to provide inputs for further sustainable decision-making, through the application of Life Cycle Thinking’. To do this, Life Cycle Assessment (LCA), Life Cycle Costing (LCC), and Social Life Cycle Assessment (S-LCA) evaluated the sustainability of food-waste-to-energy alternatives, and the production of green coffee, raw milk and leafy vegetables, and identified environmental, social and cost hotspots. This approach also proved to be a useful component of decision-making and policy-making processes together with other methods. LCT scientific literature led by LAC or Costa Rican researchers is still scarce; therefore, this research contributed to improve capacities in the use of LCT in this context, while offering potential replicability of the developed frameworks in similar cases. Main limitations related to the representativeness and availability of primary data; however, future research and extension activities are foreseen to increase local data availability, capacity building, and the discussion of potential integration through Life Cycle Sustainability Assessment (LCSA).

Variational and learning models for image and time series inverse problems

Inverse problems are at the core of many challenging applications. Variational and learning models provide estimated solutions of inverse problems as the outcome of specific reconstruction maps. In the variational approach, the result of the reconstruction map is the solution of a regularized minimization problem encoding information on the acquisition process and prior knowledge on the solution. In the learning approach, the reconstruction map is a parametric function whose parameters are identified by solving a minimization problem depending on a large set of data. In this thesis, we go beyond this apparent dichotomy between variational and learning models and we show they can be harmoniously merged in unified hybrid frameworks preserving their main advantages. We develop several highly efficient methods based on both these model-driven and data-driven strategies, for which we provide a detailed convergence analysis. The arising algorithms are applied to solve inverse problems involving images and time series. For each task, we show the proposed schemes improve the performances of many other existing methods in terms of both computational burden and quality of the solution. In the first part, we focus on gradient-based regularized variational models which are shown to be effective for segmentation purposes and thermal and medical image enhancement. We consider gradient sparsity-promoting regularized models for which we develop different strategies to estimate the regularization strength. Furthermore, we introduce a novel gradient-based Plug-and-Play convergent scheme considering a deep learning based denoiser trained on the gradient domain. In the second part, we address the tasks of natural image deblurring, image and video super resolution microscopy and positioning time series prediction, through deep learning based methods. We boost the performances of supervised, such as trained convolutional and recurrent networks, and unsupervised deep learning strategies, such as Deep Image Prior, by penalizing the losses with handcrafted regularization terms.

Inside standard and hyperspectral low-dose CT variational imaging: parameter identification and material decomposition

The main contribution of this thesis is the proposal of novel strategies for the selection of parameters arising in variational models employed for the solution of inverse problems with data corrupted by Poisson noise. In light of the importance of using a significantly small dose of X-rays in Computed Tomography (CT), and its need of using advanced techniques to reconstruct the objects due to the high level of noise in the data, we will focus on parameter selection principles especially for low photon-counts, i.e. low dose Computed Tomography. For completeness, since such strategies can be adopted for various scenarios where the noise in the data typically follows a Poisson distribution, we will show their performance for other applications such as photography, astronomical and microscopy imaging. More specifically, in the first part of the thesis we will focus on low dose CT data corrupted only by Poisson noise by extending automatic selection strategies designed for Gaussian noise and improving the few existing ones for Poisson. The new approaches will show to outperform the state-of-the-art competitors especially in the low-counting regime. Moreover, we will propose to extend the best performing strategy to the hard task of multi-parameter selection showing promising results. Finally, in the last part of the thesis, we will introduce the problem of material decomposition for hyperspectral CT, which data encodes information of how different materials in the target attenuate X-rays in different ways according to the specific energy. We will conduct a preliminary comparative study to obtain accurate material decomposition starting from few noisy projection data.