The assessment of change in rural landscape and the analysis of the driving forces. Proposal of a spatial model for the rural built environment

The presented study carried out an analysis on rural landscape changes. In particular the study focuses on the understanding of driving forces acting on the rural built environment using a statistical spatial model implemented through GIS techniques. It is well known that the study of landscape changes is essential for a conscious decision making in land planning. From a bibliography review results a general lack of studies dealing with the modeling of rural built environment and hence a theoretical modelling approach for such purpose is needed. The advancement in technology and modernity in building construction and agriculture have gradually changed the rural built environment. In addition, the phenomenon of urbanization of a determined the construction of new volumes that occurred beside abandoned or derelict rural buildings. Consequently there are two types of transformation dynamics affecting mainly the rural built environment that can be observed: the conversion of rural buildings and the increasing of building numbers. It is the specific aim of the presented study to propose a methodology for the development of a spatial model that allows the identification of driving forces that acted on the behaviours of the building allocation. In fact one of the most concerning dynamic nowadays is related to an irrational expansion of buildings sprawl across landscape. The proposed methodology is composed by some conceptual steps that cover different aspects related to the development of a spatial model: the selection of a response variable that better describe the phenomenon under study, the identification of possible driving forces, the sampling methodology concerning the collection of data, the most suitable algorithm to be adopted in relation to statistical theory and method used, the calibration process and evaluation of the model. A different combination of factors in various parts of the territory generated favourable or less favourable conditions for the building allocation and the existence of buildings represents the evidence of such optimum. Conversely the absence of buildings expresses a combination of agents which is not suitable for building allocation. Presence or absence of buildings can be adopted as indicators of such driving conditions, since they represent the expression of the action of driving forces in the land suitability sorting process. The existence of correlation between site selection and hypothetical driving forces, evaluated by means of modeling techniques, provides an evidence of which driving forces are involved in the allocation dynamic and an insight on their level of influence into the process. GIS software by means of spatial analysis tools allows to associate the concept of presence and absence with point futures generating a point process. Presence or absence of buildings at some site locations represent the expression of these driving factors interaction. In case of presences, points represent locations of real existing buildings, conversely absences represent locations were buildings are not existent and so they are generated by a stochastic mechanism. Possible driving forces are selected and the existence of a causal relationship with building allocations is assessed through a spatial model. The adoption of empirical statistical models provides a mechanism for the explanatory variable analysis and for the identification of key driving variables behind the site selection process for new building allocation. The model developed by following the methodology is applied to a case study to test the validity of the methodology. In particular the study area for the testing of the methodology is represented by the New District of Imola characterized by a prevailing agricultural production vocation and were transformation dynamic intensively occurred. The development of the model involved the identification of predictive variables (related to geomorphologic, socio-economic, structural and infrastructural systems of landscape) capable of representing the driving forces responsible for landscape changes.. The calibration of the model is carried out referring to spatial data regarding the periurban and rural area of the study area within the 1975-2005 time period by means of Generalised linear model. The resulting output from the model fit is continuous grid surface where cells assume values ranged from 0 to 1 of probability of building occurrences along the rural and periurban area of the study area. Hence the response variable assesses the changes in the rural built environment occurred in such time interval and is correlated to the selected explanatory variables by means of a generalized linear model using logistic regression. Comparing the probability map obtained from the model to the actual rural building distribution in 2005, the interpretation capability of the model can be evaluated. The proposed model can be also applied to the interpretation of trends which occurred in other study areas, and also referring to different time intervals, depending on the availability of data. The use of suitable data in terms of time, information, and spatial resolution and the costs related to data acquisition, pre-processing, and survey are among the most critical aspects of model implementation. Future in-depth studies can focus on using the proposed model to predict short/medium-range future scenarios for the rural built environment distribution in the study area. In order to predict future scenarios it is necessary to assume that the driving forces do not change and that their levels of influence within the model are not far from those assessed for the time interval used for the calibration.

Dimensionamento di invasi per il controllo dei deflussi nei bacini urbanizzati

Urbanization is a continuing phenomenon in all the world. Grasslands, forests, etc. are being continually changed to residential, commercial and industrial complexes, roads and streets, and so on. One of the side effects of urbanization with which engineers and planners must deal with, is the increase of peak flows and volumes of runoff from rainfall events. As a result, the urban drainage and flood control systems must be designed to accommodate the peak flows from a variety of storms that may occur. Usually the peak flow, after development, is required not to exceed what would have occurred from the same storm under conditions existing prior to development. In order to do this it is necessary to design detention storage to hold back runoff and to release it downstream at controlled rates. In the first part of the work have been developed various simplified formulations that can be adopted for the design of stormwater detention facilities. In order to obtain a simplified hydrograph were adopted two approaches: the kinematic routing technique and the linear reservoir schematization. For the two approaches have been also obtained other two formulations depending if the IDF (intensity-duration-frequency) curve is described with two or three parameters. Other formulations have been developed taking into account if the outlet have a constant discharge or it depends on the water level in the pond. All these formulations can be easily applied when are known the characteristics of the drainage system and maximum discharge that these is in the outlet and has been defined a Return Period which characterize the IDF curve. In this way the volume of the detention pond can be calculated. In the second part of the work have been analyzed the design of detention ponds adopting continuous simulation models. The drainage systems adopted for the simulations, performed with SWMM5, are fictitious systems characterized by different sizes, and different shapes of the catchments and with a rainfall historical time series of 16 years recorded in Bologna. This approach suffers from the fact that continuous record of rainfall is often not available and when it is, the cost of such modelling can be very expensive, and that the majority of design practitioners are not prepared to use continuous long term modelling in the design of stormwater detention facilities. In the third part of the work have been analyzed statistical and stochastic methodologies in order to define the volume of the detention pond. In particular have been adopted the results of the long term simulation, performed with SWMM, to obtain the data to apply statistic and stochastic formulation. All these methodologies have been compared and correction coefficient have been proposed on the basis of the statistic and stochastic form. In this way engineers which have to design a detention pond can apply a simplified procedure appropriately corrected with the proposed coefficient.

La via Emilia tra Rimini e Forlì. Ruolo e immagine della strada

Abstract Il tema delle infrastrutture, intese come parte dell’architettura dello spazio urbano e del territorio, assume un ruolo centrale in molti progetti contemporanei e costituisce la ragione di questa ricerca. E’ preso in esame, in particolare, il tracciato extraurbano della via Emilia, antica strada consolare romana la cui definizione risale al II sec. a.C., nel tratto compreso tra le città di Rimini e Forlì. Studiare la strada nel suo rapporto con il territorio locale ha significato in primo luogo prendere in considerazione la via Emilia in quanto manufatto, ma anche in quanto percorso che si compie nel tempo. Si è dunque cercato di mostrare come, in parallelo all’evoluzione della sua sezione e della geometria del suo tracciato, sia cambiata anche la sua fruizione, e come si sia evoluto il modo in cui la strada viene “misurata”, denominata e gestita. All’interno di una riflessione critica sulla forma e sul ruolo della strada nel corso dei secoli la Tesi rilegge il territorio nella sua dimensione di “palinsesto”, riconoscendo e isolando alcuni momenti in cui la via Emilia ha assunto un valore “simbolico” che rimanda alla Roma imperiale. La perdita del significato via Emilia, intesa come elemento di “costruzione” del territorio, ha origine con il processo di urbanizzazione diffusa che ha investito il territorio extraurbano a partire dalla fine della seconda guerra mondiale. La condizione attuale della strada, sempre più congestionata dal traffico veicolare, costituisce la premesse per una riflessione sul futuro della sua forma e degli insediamenti che attraversa. La strategia proposta dagli Enti locali che prevede il raddoppio della strada, con la costruzione della via Emilia Bis, non garantisce solo un potenziamento infrastrutturale ma rappresenta l’occasione per sottrarre al tracciato attuale la funzione di principale asse di comunicazione extraurbana. La via Emilia potrebbe così recuperare il ruolo di itinerario narrativo, attraverso la configurazione dei suoi spazi collettivi, l’architettura dei suoi edifici, il significato dei suoi monumenti, e diventare spazio privilegiato di relazione e di aggregazione. The theme of urban infrastructures, thought as part of the design of urban space and territory, has a central role in several contemporary projects and is the reason of this research. The object of the study is the extra urban route of the via Emilia, an ancient roman road which has been defined in the II century b. C., in its stretch between the cities of Rimini and Forlì. Studying the road in its relationship with the local environment has meant first of all considering the via Emilia as an “artefact” but also as a path that takes place over time. The aim of this research was also to demonstrate how its fruition has changed together with the evolution of the section and geometry of the route, and how the road itself is measured, named and managed. Within a critical approach on the shape and on the role played by the road through the centuries, this Essay reinterprets the territory in its dimension of “palimpsest”, identifying and isolating some periods of time when the via Emilia assumed a symbolic value which recalls the Imperial Rome. The loss of the meaning of the via Emilia, intended as an element that “constitutes” the territory originates from a process of diffused urbanization, which spread in the extra urban environment from the end of the second world war. The actual condition of the road, more and more congested by traffic, is the premise of a reflection about the future of its shape and of the settlements alongside. The strategy proposed by the local authorities, that foresees to double the size of the road, building the via Emilia Bis, not only guarantees an infrastructural enhancement but also it represents an opportunity to take off from the road itself the current function of being the principal axis of extra urban connection. In this way the via Emilia could regain its role as a narrative itinerary, through the configuration of its public spaces, the architecture of its buildings, the meaning of its monuments, and then become a privileged space of relationship and aggregation.

An Analysis of Living Conditions in Rural Villages in China. A New Geography of the Country.

Analysts, politicians and international players from all over the world look at China as one of the most powerful countries on the international scenario, and as a country whose economic development can significantly impact on the economies of the rest of the world. However many aspects of this country have still to be investigated. First the still fundamental role played by Chinese rural areas for the general development of the country from a political, economic and social point of view. In particular, the way in which the rural areas have influenced the social stability of the whole country has been widely discussed due to their strict relationship with the urban areas where most people from the countryside emigrate searching for a job and a better life. In recent years many studies have mostly focused on the urbanization phenomenon with little interest in the living conditions in rural areas and in the deep changes which have occurred in some, mainly agricultural provinces. An analysis of the level of infrastructure is one of the main aspects which highlights the principal differences in terms of living conditions between rural and urban areas. In this thesis, I first carried out the analysis through the multivariate statistics approach (Principal Component Analysis and Cluster Analysis) in order to define the new map of rural areas based on the analysis of living conditions. In the second part I elaborated an index (Living Conditions Index) through the Fuzzy Expert/Inference System. Finally I compared this index (LCI) to the results obtained from the cluster analysis drawing geographic maps. The data source is the second national agricultural census of China carried out in 2006. In particular, I analysed the data refer to villages but aggregated at province level.

Quantifying and modeling ecosystem services provided by urban greening in cities of the Southern Alps, N Italy

Population growth in urban areas is a world-wide phenomenon. According to a recent United Nations report, over half of the world now lives in cities. Numerous health and environmental issues arise from this unprecedented urbanization. Recent studies have demonstrated the effectiveness of urban green spaces and the role they play in improving both the aesthetics and the quality of life of its residents. In particular, urban green spaces provide ecosystem services such as: urban air quality improvement by removing pollutants that can cause serious health problems, carbon storage, carbon sequestration and climate regulation through shading and evapotranspiration. Furthermore, epidemiological studies with controlled age, sex, marital and socio-economic status, have provided evidence of a positive relationship between green space and the life expectancy of senior citizens. However, there is little information on the role of public green spaces in mid-sized cities in northern Italy. To address this need, a study was conducted to assess the ecosystem services of urban green spaces in the city of Bolzano, South Tyrol, Italy. In particular, we quantified the cooling effect of urban trees and the hourly amount of pollution removed by the urban forest. The information was gathered using field data collected through local hourly air pollution readings, tree inventory and simulation models. During the study we quantified pollution removal for ozone, nitrogen dioxide, carbon monoxide and particulate matter (<10 microns). We estimated the above ground carbon stored and annually sequestered by the urban forest. Results have been compared to transportation CO2 emissions to determine the CO2 offset potential of urban streetscapes. Furthermore, we assessed commonly used methods for estimating carbon stored and sequestered by urban trees in the city of Bolzano. We also quantified ecosystem disservices such as hourly urban forest volatile organic compound emissions.

Le opere di urbanizzazione a scomputo degli oneri

Le considerazioni sviluppate in questo scritto si pongono come obiettivo quello di fare chiarezza sul delicato tema delle opere di urbanizzazione a scomputo. La normativa concernente la realizzazione delle opere pubbliche a scomputo totale o parziale degli oneri di urbanizzazione è stata oggetto di svariate modifiche e interpretazioni giurisprudenziali, che si sono susseguite dopo l'importante pronuncia della Corte di Giustizia Europea. E' con questa sentenza che i Giudici del Kirchberg introducono un particolare obbligo procedurale a carico dei privati: nel caso in cui singole opere superino i valori di rilevanza europea, esse devono essere affidate, applicando le procedure di gara previste dalla direttiva 37/93/CEE. Va precisato che sino a quel momento l'affidamento diretto delle opere al privato costituiva nell'ottica del Legislatore lo strumento per realizzare le infrastrutture necessarie per consentire gli insediamenti edilizi che la pubblica amministrazione spesso non era in grado di effettuare. In questo panorama legislativo la sentenza della Corte di Giustizia, appare del tutto dirompente. Infatti, introducendo il principio secondo cui anche la realizzazione diretta delle opere di urbanizzazione da parte del privato deve sottostare alle regole delle procedure europee in materia di appalti, mette inevitabilmente a confronto due normative, quella degli appalti pubblici e quella dell'urbanistica, che sino a quel momento erano riuscite a viaggiare in modo parallelo, senza dar luogo a reciproche sovrapposizioni. Il Legislatore nazionale ha, con molta fatica, recepito il principio comunitario ed è stato negli anni quasi costretto, attraverso una serie di modifiche legislative, ad ampliarne la portata. La presente ricerca, dopo aver analizzato i vari correttivi apportati al Codice degli appalti pubblici vuole, quindi, verificare se l'attuale quadro normativo rappresenti un vero punto di equilibrio tra le contrapposte esigenze di pianificazione del territorio e di rispetto dei principi comunitari di concorrenza nella scelta del contraente.

La ricostruzione dell'assetto topografico della VI regio augustea di Roma dal periodo repubblicano all'età tardoantica

La VI regio augustea di Roma rappresenta uno dei settori urbani maggiormente investiti dalle modifiche radicali compiute dall’uomo nel processo di urbanizzazione della città che ne hanno modificato profondamente la situazione altimetrica e la conformazione originaria. Questi notevoli cambiamenti ebbero origine sin dall’età antica, ma si intensificarono profondamente soprattutto nel periodo rinascimentale quando a partire da Pio IV e soprattutto con Sisto V, attivo in tante altre zone della città, si svilupparono numerose opere di rinnovamento urbanistico che incisero notevolmente sul volto e sulle caratteristiche della zona in esame. A partire dal Rinascimento fino ad arrivare ai grandi scavi della fine del 1800 tutto il quartiere incominciò a “popolarsi” di numerosi edifici di grande mole che andarono ad intaccare completamente le vestigia del periodo antico: la costruzione del Palazzo del Quirinale e dei vari palazzi nobiliari ma soprattutto la costruzione dei numerosi ministeri e della prima stazione Termini alla fine dell’800 comportarono numerosi sventramenti senza la produzione di una adeguata documentazione delle indagini di scavo. Questa ricerca intende ricostruire, in un’ottica diacronica, la topografia di uno dei quartieri centrali della Roma antica attraverso l’analisi dei principali fenomeni che contraddistinguono l’evoluzione del tessuto urbano sia per quanto riguarda le strutture pubbliche che in particolar modo quelle private. Infatti, il dato principale che emerge da questa ricerca è che questa regio si configura, a partire già dal periodo tardo-repubblicano, come un quartiere a vocazione prevalentemente residenziale, abitato soprattutto dall’alta aristocrazia appartenente alle più alte cariche dello Stato romano; oltre a domus ed insulae, sul Quirinale, vennero costruiti lungo il corso di tutta l’età repubblicana alcuni tra i più antichi templi della città che con la loro mole occuparono parte dello spazio collinare fino all’età tardoantica, rappresentando così una macroscopica e costante presenza nell’ingombro dello spazio edificato.

La casa ellenistica in Epiro ed Illiria meridionale

Il ritrovamento della Casa dei due peristili a Phoinike ha aperto la strada a un’intensa opera di revisione di tutti i dati relativi all’edilizia domestica nella regione, con studi comparativi verso nord (Illiria meridionale) e verso sud (il resto dell’Epiro, ovvero Tesprozia e Molossia). Tutta quest’area della Grecia nord-occidentale è stata caratterizzata nell’antichità da un’urbanizzazione scarsa numericamente e tardiva cronologicamente (non prima del IV sec. a.C.), a parte ovviamente le colonie corinzio-corciresi di area Adriatico- Ionica d’età arcaica (come Ambracia, Apollonia, Epidamnos). A un’urbanistica di tipo razionale e programmato (ad es. Cassope, Orraon, Gitani in Tesprozia, Antigonea in Caonia) si associano numerosi casi di abitati cresciuti soprattutto in rapporto alla natura del suolo, spesso diseguale e montagnoso (ad es. Dymokastro/Elina in Tesprozia, Çuka e Aitoit nella Kestrine), talora semplici villaggi fortificati, privi di una vera fisionomia urbana. D’altro canto il concetto classico di polis così come lo impieghiamo normalmente per la Grecia centro-meridionale non ha valore qui, in uno stato di tipo federale e dominato dall’economia del pascolo e della selva. In questo contesto l’edilizia domestica assume caratteri differenti fra IV e I sec. a.C.: da un lato le città ortogonali ripetono schemi egualitari con poche eccezioni, soprattutto alle origini (IV sec. a.C., come a Cassope e forse a Gitani), dall’altro si delinea una spiccata differenziazione a partire dal III sec., quando si adottano modelli architettonici differenti, come i peristili, indizio di una più forte differenziazione sociale (esemplari i casi di Antigonea e anche di Byllis in Illiria meridionale). I centri minori e fortificati d’altura impiegano formule abitative più semplici, che sfruttano l’articolazione del terreno roccioso per realizzare abitazioni a quote differenti, utilizzando la roccia naturale anche come pareti o pavimenti dei vani.

Geomorphological and statistical analysis on Ravenna dune fields changes, based on Terrestrial Laser Technology

Coastal sand dunes represent a richness first of all in terms of defense from the sea storms waves and the saltwater ingression; moreover these morphological elements constitute an unique ecosystem of transition between the sea and the land environment. The research about dune system is a strong part of the coastal sciences, since the last century. Nowadays this branch have assumed even more importance for two reasons: on one side the born of brand new technologies, especially related to the Remote Sensing, have increased the researcher possibilities; on the other side the intense urbanization of these days have strongly limited the dune possibilities of development and fragmented what was remaining from the last century. This is particularly true in the Ravenna area, where the industrialization united to the touristic economy and an intense subsidence, have left only few dune ridges residual still active. In this work three different foredune ridges, along the Ravenna coast, have been studied with Laser Scanner technology. This research didn’t limit to analyze volume or spatial difference, but try also to find new ways and new features to monitor this environment. Moreover the author planned a series of test to validate data from Terrestrial Laser Scanner (TLS), with the additional aim of finalize a methodology to test 3D survey accuracy. Data acquired by TLS were then applied on one hand to test some brand new applications, such as Digital Shore Line Analysis System (DSAS) and Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD), to prove their efficacy in this field; on the other hand the author used TLS data to find any correlation with meteorological indexes (Forcing Factors), linked to sea and wind (Fryberger's method) applying statistical tools, such as the Principal Component Analysis (PCA).

Tetti verdi: Analisi sperimentale e Modellazione numerica

I tetti verdi rappresentano, sempre più frequentemente, una tecnologia idonea alla mitigazione alle problematiche connesse all’ urbanizzazione, tuttavia la conoscenza delle prestazioni dei GR estensivi in clima sub-Mediterraneo è ancora limitata. La presente ricerca è supportata da 15 mesi di analisi sperimentali su due GR situati presso la Scuola di Ingegneria di Bologna. Inizialmente vengono comparate, tra loro e rispetto a una superficie di riferimento (RR), le prestazioni idrologiche ed energetiche dei due GR, caratterizzati da vegetazione a Sedum (SR) e a erbe native perenni (NR). Entrambi riducono i volumi defluiti e le temperature superficiali. Il NR si dimostra migliore del SR sia in campo idrologico che termico, la fisiologia della vegetazione del NR determina l'apertura diurna degli stomi e conseguentemente una maggiore evapotraspirazione (ET). Successivamente si sono studiate la variazioni giornaliere di umidità nel substrato del SR riscontrando che la loro ampiezza è influenzata dalla temperatura, dall’umidità iniziale e dalla fase vegetativa. Queste sono state simulate mediante un modello idrologico basato sull'equazione di bilancio idrico e su due modelli convenzionali per la stima della ET potenziale combinati con una funzione di estrazione dell’ umidità dal suolo. Sono stati proposti dei coefficienti di correzione, ottenuti per calibrazione, per considerare le differenze tra la coltura di riferimento e le colture nei GR durante le fasi di crescita. Infine, con l’ausilio di un modello implementato in SWMM 5.1. 007 utilizzando il modulo Low Impact Development (LID) durante simulazioni in continuo (12 mesi) si sono valutate le prestazioni in termini di ritenzione dei plot SR e RR. Il modello, calibrato e validato, mostra di essere in grado di riprodurre in modo soddisfacente i volumi defluiti dai due plot. Il modello, a seguito di una dettagliata calibrazione, potrebbe supportare Ingegneri e Amministrazioni nella valutazioni dei vantaggi derivanti dall'utilizzo dei GR.