Balloon Aortic Valvuloplasty as Bridge-to-Decision in High Risk Patients with Severe Aortic Valve Stenosis

Background. A sizable group of patients with symptomatic aortic stenosis (AS) can undergo neither surgical aortic valve replacement (AVR) nor transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) because of clinical contraindications. The aim of this study was to assess the potential role of balloon aortic valvuloplasty (BAV) as a “bridge-to-decision” in selected patients with severe AS and potentially reversible contraindications to definitive treatment. Methods. We retrospectively enrolled 645 patients who underwent first BAV at our Institution between July 2007 and December 2012. Of these, the 202 patients (31.2%) who underwent BAV as bridge-to-decision (BTD) requiring clinical re-evaluation represented our study population. BTD patients were further subdivided in 5 groups: low left ventricular ejection fraction; mitral regurgitation grade ≥3; frailty; hemodynamic instability; comorbidity. The main objective of the study was to evaluate how BAV influenced the final treatment strategy in the whole BTD group and in its single specific subgroups. Results. Mean logistic EuroSCORE was 23.5±15.3%, mean age was 81±7 years. Mean transaortic gradient decreased from 47±17 mmHg to 33±14 mmHg. Of the 193 patients with BTD-BAV who received a second heart team evaluation, 72.5% were finally deemed eligible for definitive treatment (25.4%for AVR; 47.2% for TAVI): respectively, 96.7% of patients with left ventricular ejection fraction recovery; 70.5% of patients with mitral regurgitation reduction; 75.7% of patients who underwent BAV in clinical hemodynamic instability; 69.2% of frail patients and 68% of patients who presented relevant comorbidities. 27.5% of the study population was deemed ineligible for definitive treatment and treated with standard therapy/repeated BAV. In-hospital mortality was 4.5%, cerebrovascular accident occurred in 1% and overall vascular complications were 4% (0.5% major; 3.5% minor). Conclusions. Balloon aortic valvuloplasty should be considered as bridge-to-decision in high-risk patients with severe aortic stenosis who cannot be immediate candidates for definitive percutaneous or surgical treatment.

Automatic risk evaluation in elderly patients based on Autonomic Nervous System assessment

Dysfunction of Autonomic Nervous System (ANS) is a typical feature of chronic heart failure and other cardiovascular disease. As a simple non-invasive technology, heart rate variability (HRV) analysis provides reliable information on autonomic modulation of heart rate. The aim of this thesis was to research and develop automatic methods based on ANS assessment for evaluation of risk in cardiac patients. Several features selection and machine learning algorithms have been combined to achieve the goals. Automatic assessment of disease severity in Congestive Heart Failure (CHF) patients: a completely automatic method, based on long-term HRV was proposed in order to automatically assess the severity of CHF, achieving a sensitivity rate of 93% and a specificity rate of 64% in discriminating severe versus mild patients. Automatic identification of hypertensive patients at high risk of vascular events: a completely automatic system was proposed in order to identify hypertensive patients at higher risk to develop vascular events in the 12 months following the electrocardiographic recordings, achieving a sensitivity rate of 71% and a specificity rate of 86% in identifying high-risk subjects among hypertensive patients. Automatic identification of hypertensive patients with history of fall: it was explored whether an automatic identification of fallers among hypertensive patients based on HRV was feasible. The results obtained in this thesis could have implications both in clinical practice and in clinical research. The system has been designed and developed in order to be clinically feasible. Moreover, since 5-minute ECG recording is inexpensive, easy to assess, and non-invasive, future research will focus on the clinical applicability of the system as a screening tool in non-specialized ambulatories, in order to identify high-risk patients to be shortlisted for more complex investigations.

Clinical impact of next-generation sequencing multi-gene panel highlighting the landscape of germline alterations in ovarian cancer patients

BRCA1 and BRCA2 are the most frequently mutated genes in ovarian cancer (OC), crucial both for the identification of cancer predisposition and therapeutic choices. However, germline variants in other genes could be involved in OC susceptibility. We characterized OC patients to detect mutations in genes other than BRCA1/2 that could be associated with a high risk to develop OC, and that could permit patients to enter the most appropriate treatment and surveillance program. Next-Generation Sequencing analysis with a 94-gene panel was performed on germline DNA of 219 OC patients. We identified 34 pathogenic/likely-pathogenic variants in BRCA1/2 and 38 in other 21 genes. Patients with pathogenic/likely-pathogenic variants in non-BRCA1/2 genes developed mainly OC alone compared to the other groups that developed also breast cancer or other tumors (p=0.001). Clinical correlation analysis showed that low-risk patients were significantly associated with platinum sensitivity (p<0.001). Regarding PARP inhibitors (PARPi) response, patients with pathogenic mutations in non-BRCA1/2 genes had significantly worse PFS and OS. Moreover, a statistically significant worse PFS was found for every increase of one thousand platelets before PARPi treatment. To conclude, knowledge about molecular alterations in genes beyond BRCA1/2 in OC could allow for more personalized diagnostic, predictive, prognostic, and therapeutic strategies for OC patients.

Circoli collaterali porto-sistemici all'eco-color-Doppler addominale in pazienti con ipertensione portale cirrotica: correlazione con il gradiente porto-epatico e valore prognostico

Background. Abdominal porto-systemic collaterals (APSC) on Color-Doppler ultrasound are a frequent finding in portal hypertensive cirrhotic patients. In patients with cirrhosis, an HVPG ≥ 16mmHg has been shown to be associated with increased mortality in two studies. Non-invasive indicators of HVPG ≥ 16 mmHg might define a subgroup of high-risk patients, but data on this aspect are lacking. Aims. We aimed to investigate whether HVPG predicts mortality in patients with clinically significant portal hypertension, and if APSC may predict a severe portal hypertensive state (i.e. HVPG≥16mmHg) in patients with cirrhosis and untreated portal hypertension. Methods. We analysed paired HVPG and ultrasonographic data of 86 untreated portal hypertensive cirrhotic patients. On abdominal echo-color-Doppler data on presence, type and number of APSC were prospectively collected. HVPG was measured following published guidelines. Clinical, laboratory and endoscopic data were available in all cases. First decompensation of cirrhosis and liver-disease related mortality on follow-up (mean 28±20 months) were recorded. Results. 73% of patients had compensated cirrhosis, while 27% were decompensated. All patients had an HVPG≥10 mmHg (mean 17.8±5.1 mmHg). 58% of compensated patients and 82% of decompensated patients had an HVPG over 16 mmHg. 25% had no varices, 28% had small varices, and 47% had medium/large varices. HVPG was higher in patients with esophageal varices vs. patients without varices (19.0±4.8 vs. 14.1±4.2mmHg, p<0.0001), and correlated with Child-Pugh score (R=0.494,p=0.019). 36 (42%) patients had APSC were more frequent in decompensated patients (60% vs. 35%, p=0.03) and in patients with esophageal varices (52% vs. 9%,p=0.001). HVPG was higher in patients with APSC compared with those without PSC (19.9± 4.6 vs. 16.2± 4.9mmHg, p=0.001). The prevalence of APSC was higher in patients with HVPG≥16mmHg vs. those with HVPG<16mmHg (57% vs. 13%,p<0.0001). Decompensation was significantly more frequent in patients with HVPG≥16mmHg vs. HVPG<16mmHg (35.1% vs. 11.5%, p=0.02). On multivariate analysis only HVPG and bilirubin were independent predictors of first decompensation. 10 patients died during follow-up. All had an HVPG≥16 mmHg (26% vs. 0% in patients with HVPG <16mmHg,p=0.04). On multivariate analysis only MELD score and HVPG ≥16mmHg were independent predictors of mortality. In compensated patients the detection of APSC predicted an HVPG≥16mmHg with 92% specificity, 54% sensitivity, positive and negative likelihood ratio 7.03 and 0.50, which implies that the demonstration of APSC on ultrasound increased the probability of HVPG≥16mmHg from 58% to 91%. Conclusions. HVPG maintains an independent prognostic value in the subset of patients with cirrhosis and clinically significant portal hypertension. The presence of APSC is a specific indicator of severe portal hypertension in patients with cirrhosis. Detection of APSC on ultrasound allows the non-invasive identification of a subgroup of compensated patients with bad prognosis, avoiding the invasive measurement of HVPG.

Cambiamenti dello scenario epidemiologico e clinico dell'epatocarcinoma in Italia nell'ultimo ventennio

Background & Aims: This study investigates whether the aetiologic changes in liver disease and the improved management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have modified the clinical scenario of this tumour over the last 20 years in Italy. Methods: Retrospective study based on the analysis of the ITA.LI.CA (Italian Liver Cancer) database including 3027 HCC patients managed in 11 centres. Patients were divided into 3 groups according to the period of HCC diagnosis: 1987–1996 (year of the ‘‘Milano criteria’’ publication), 1997–2001 (year of release of the EASL guidelines for HCC), and 2002–2008. Results: The significant changes were: (1) progressive patient ageing; (2) increasing prevalence of HCV infection until 2001, with a subsequent decrease, when the alcoholic aetiology increased; (3) liver function improvement, until 2001; (4) increasing ‘‘incidental’’ at the expense of ‘‘symptomatic’’ diagnoses, until 2001; (5) unchanged prevalence of tumours diagnosed during surveillance (around 50%), with an increasing use of the 6- month schedule; (6) favourable HCC ‘‘stage migration’’, until 2001; (7) increasing use of percutaneous ablation; (8) improving survival, until 2001. Conclusions: Over the last 20 years, several aetiologic and clinical features regarding HCC have changed. The survival improvement observed until 2001 was due to an increasing number of tumours diagnosed in early stages and in a background of compensated cirrhosis, and a growing and better use of locoregional treatments. However, the prevalence of early cancers and survival did not increase further in the last years, a result inciting national policies aimed at implementing surveillance programmes for at risk patients.

La terapia demetilante con 5-azacitidina nelle sindromi mielodisplastiche: esperienza clinica del Nostro Istituto e correlazione con i dati biologici

Sulla base delle evidenze della letteratura (Fenaux, 2009; Lyons, JCO 2009), a partire da Settembre 2004 nel Nostro Istituto sono stati trattati 57 pazienti affetti da Sindrome Mielodisplastica (MDS) mediante terapia demetilante con 5-Azacitidina. Sono stati utilizzati differenti regimi terapeutici a seconda della classe di rischio IPSS: i pazienti a rischio basso/intermedio-1 hanno ricevuto Azacitidina 75 mg/mq/die sottocute per 5 giorni/mese (schema 5) per 8 cicli; i pazienti a rischio alto/intermedio-2 hanno ricevuto Azacitidina 50 mg/mq/die sottocute per 10 giorni/mese (schema 5+2+5) o Azacitidina 75 mg/mq/die per 7 giorni/mese (schema 7) fino a perdita della risposta. Su una casistica totale di 57 pazienti (15 a rischio basso/int-1; 41 rischio alto/int-2), l’87.7% (50 pazienti) sono risultati valutabili. Tra questi le risposte osservate sono state del 68% (34 pazienti), di cui il 14% (7 pazienti) ha ottenuto una Remissione Completa (CR) ed il 54% (27 pazienti) ha ottenuto un Hematologic Improvement (HI). La valutazione della risposta è stata eseguita secondo i criteri dell’International Working Group 2006 (IWG, Cheeson 2006). Le principali tossicità osservate sono state rappresentate da reazioni cutanee locali nel sito d’iniezione, tossicità gastrointestinale (stipsi e/o diarrea), mielotossicità, neutropenia febbrile, sepsi (3 pazienti). Tra i pazienti trattati abbiamo osservato la presenza di risposta ematologica prolungata (≥ 20 mesi) in 10 pazienti (20% dei pazienti valutabili). Inoltre, grazie alla collaborazione con il Dipartimento di Anatomia Umana dell’Università di Bologna (Prof. L. Cocco, Dott.ssa M.Y. Follo), tutti i pazienti trattati sono stati valutati per i livelli di espressione genica e metilazione del gene della fosfolipasi PI-PLC-beta1. I dati biologici così ottenuti sono stati correlati con quelli clinici, evidenziando la presenza di una correlazione tra i livelli di espressione genica e mutilazione della PI-PLC-beta1 e la risposta alla terapia demetilante con 5-Azacitidina.

Strategia terapeutica nei pazienti con ipertensione arteriosa polmonare a rischio intermedio

Le attuali linee guida stratificano il rischio dei pazienti con ipertensione arteriosa polmonare (IAP) in basso, intermedio e alto (rispettivamente con mortalità a 1 anno <5%, 5-10% e >10%). La maggior parte dei pazienti è però classificata nella categoria intermedia. Per stratificare ulteriormente questi pazienti, abbiamo valutato il ruolo prognostico dello stroke volume index (SVI) misurato al cateterismo cardiaco destro (CCDx) in 725 pazienti naïve da terapia con IAP idiopatica/ereditaria, associata a malattie del tessuto connettivo o cardiopatie congenite. I pazienti sono stati valutati al basale e 3-4 mesi dopo l'inizio della terapia (1° F-UP) con CCDx, livelli plasmatici di peptide natriuretico cerebrale (BNP), test dei 6 minuti (T6M) e classe funzionale OMS. Abbiamo applicato una tabella di rischio semplificata utilizzando i criteri: classe funzionale OMS, T6M, pressione atriale destra o livelli plasmatici di BNP e indice cardiaco (IC) o saturazione di ossigeno venoso misto (SvO2). Le classi di rischio sono state definite come: basso= almeno 3 criteri a basso rischio e nessun criterio ad alto rischio; alto= almeno 2 criteri ad alto rischio inclusi IC o SvO2; intermedio= tutti gli altri casi. Lo SVI, mediante la regressione di Cox, stratifica la prognosi dei pazienti a rischio intermedio al 1° F-UP [p=0.008] ma non al basale [p=0.085]. Considerandone l’ottimale cut-off predittivo (38 ml/m2) i pazienti a rischio intermedio sono ulteriormente classificabili in intermedio-basso e intermedio-alto. Considerando l'effetto dei 3 principali farmaci che agiscono sulla via della prostaciclina in aggiunta alla duplice terapia di combinazione con inibitori della fosfodiesterasi-5 e antagonisti dell'endotelina, i pazienti trattati con epoprostenolo e.v. hanno ottenuto un maggiore miglioramento rispetto ai pazienti trattati con selexipag; col treprostinil s.c. vi è stata una risposta intermedia. Abbiamo quindi proposto un algoritmo di terapia con selexipag in pazienti a rischio intermedio-basso e con prostanoidi parenterali in pazienti a rischio intermedio-alto.

Ecografia con mezzo di contrasto dalla ricerca alla pratica clinica: diagnosi di carcinoma epatocellulare con sistema CEUS LI-RADS e con software di quantificazione della perfusione tissutale

Il carcinoma epatocellulare (HCC) rappresenta il tumore epatico primitivo più comune con una incidenza fino all’85%. È uno dei tumori più frequenti al mondo ed è noto per l’elevata letalità soprattutto in stadio avanzato. La diagnosi precoce attraverso la sorveglianza ecografica è necessaria per migliorare la sopravvivenza dei pazienti a rischio. Il mezzo di contrasto ecografico migliora la sensibilità e la specificità diagnostica dell’ecografia convenzionale. L’ecografia con mezzo di contrasto (contrast-enhanced ultrasound, CEUS) è pertanto considerata una metodica valida per la diagnosi di HCC a livello globale per la sua ottima specificità anche a fronte di una sensibilità subottimale. L’aspetto contrastografico delle lesioni focali epatiche ha portato un team di esperti allo sviluppo del sistema Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) con l’obiettivo di standardizzare la raccolta dati e la refertazione delle metodiche di imaging per la diagnosi di HCC. La CEUS è una metodica operatore-dipendente e le discordanze diagnostiche con gli imaging panoramici lasciano spazio a nuove tecniche (Dynamic Contrast Enhanced UltraSound, DCE-US) volte a migliorare l’accuratezza diagnostica della metodica e in particolare la sensibilità. Un software di quantificazione della perfusione tissutale potrebbe essere di aiuto nella pratica clinica per individuare il wash-out non visibile anche all’occhio dell’operatore più esperto. Il nostro studio ha due obiettivi: 1) validare il sistema CEUS LI-RADS nella diagnosi di carcinoma epatocellulare in pazienti ad alto rischio di HCC usando come gold-standard l’istologia quando disponibile oppure metodiche di imaging radiologico accettate da tutte le linee guida (tomografia computerizzata o risonanza magnetica con aspetto tipico) eseguite entro quattro settimane dalla CEUS; 2) valutare l’efficacia di un software di quantificazione della perfusione tissutale nel riscontro di wash-out per la diagnosi di HCC in CEUS.

Development of a patient-specific model for stroke risk assessment in atrial fibrillation patients

Atrial fibrillation is associated with a five-fold increase in the risk of cerebrovascular events,being responsible of 15-18% of all strokes.The morphological and functional remodelling of the left atrium caused by atrial fibrillation favours blood stasis and, consequently, stroke risk. In this context, several clinical studies suggest that stroke risk stratification could be improved by using haemodynamic information on the left atrium (LA) and the left atrial appendage (LAA). The goal of this study was to develop a personalized computational fluid-dynamics (CFD) model of the left atrium which could clarify the haemodynamic implications of atrial fibrillation on a patient specific basis. The developed CFD model was first applied to better understand the role of LAA in stroke risk. Infact, the interplay of the LAA geometric parameters such as LAA length, tortuosity, surface area and volume with the fluid-dynamics parameters and the effects of the LAA closure have not been investigated. Results demonstrated the capabilities of the CFD model to reproduce the real physiological behaviour of the blood flow dynamics inside the LA and the LAA. Finally, we determined that the fluid-dynamics parameters enhanced in this research project could be used as new quantitative indexes to describe the different types of AF and open new scenarios for the patient-specific stroke risk stratification.

Developing a radiomic based machine learning model to identify patients with resected non-small-cell lung cancer at high risk of relapse

Background There is a wide variation of recurrence risk of Non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) within the same Tumor Node Metastasis (TNM) stage, suggesting that other parameters are involved in determining this probability. Radiomics allows extraction of quantitative information from images that can be used for clinical purposes. The primary objective of this study is to develop a radiomic prognostic model that predicts a 3 year disease free-survival (DFS) of resected Early Stage (ES) NSCLC patients. Material and Methods 56 pre-surgery non contrast Computed Tomography (CT) scans were retrieved from the PACS of our institution and anonymized. Then they were automatically segmented with an open access deep learning pipeline and reviewed by an experienced radiologist to obtain 3D masks of the NSCLC. Images and masks underwent to resampling normalization and discretization. From the masks hundreds Radiomic Features (RF) were extracted using Py-Radiomics. Hence, RF were reduced to select the most representative features. The remaining RF were used in combination with Clinical parameters to build a DFS prediction model using Leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) with Random Forest. Results and Conclusion A poor agreement between the radiologist and the automatic segmentation algorithm (DICE score of 0.37) was found. Therefore, another experienced radiologist manually segmented the lesions and only stable and reproducible RF were kept. 50 RF demonstrated a high correlation with the DFS but only one was confirmed when clinicopathological covariates were added: Busyness a Neighbouring Gray Tone Difference Matrix (HR 9.610). 16 clinical variables (which comprised TNM) were used to build the LOOCV model demonstrating a higher Area Under the Curve (AUC) when RF were included in the analysis (0.67 vs 0.60) but the difference was not statistically significant (p=0,5147).