14 resultados para PROGNOSTIC INDICATOR

em AMS Tesi di Dottorato - Alm@DL - Università di Bologna


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Admission blood lactate concentration has been shown to be a useful indicator of disease severity in human medicine and numerous studies have associated hyperlactatemia with patients at high risk of death who should be treated aggressively regardless of the cause of the lactate generation. The degree and duration of hyperlactacidaemia also have been correlated with the subsequent development of organ failure. Similarly, in a small number of studies about equine colic, blood lactate concentration has been investigated as a useful prognostic variable . In neonatal foals blood lactate was studied first by Magdesian (2003) who described venous blood lactate concentration in 14 normal foals during the initial 48 hours post-partum. A preliminary study about lactate concentration in foals presenting to a neonatal intensive care unit reported that surviving foals had earlier lactate clearance. The measurement of blood lactate concentration is traditionally available with a wet chemistry laboratory method or with blood-gas analyzers, for clinicians working at university or large private hospital. But this methods may not be easily accessible to many practitioners in field conditions. Several relatively inexpensive, easy to use and rapid pocket size monitors to measure lactate concentration have been validated in human patients and athletes. None of these portable lactate analyzer have been evaluated in clinically normal neonatal foals or in foals referred to a neonatal intensive care unit. The aims of this study were to validate the Lactate Scout analyzer in neonatal foals, investigating the correlation between lactate concentration in whole blood measured with the portable monitor and measured in plasma with the reference laboratory analyzer. The effect of hematocrit (Hct) on the accuracy of Lactate Scout was also evaluated. Further, we determined the utility of venous lactate measurement in critically-ill foals, describing lactate values in the most frequent neonatal pathologies, evaluating serial blood lactate measurements during hospitalization and investigating its prognostic value. The study also describes normal range for lactate in healthy neonatal foals during the first 72 hours of life.

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Background. Abdominal porto-systemic collaterals (APSC) on Color-Doppler ultrasound are a frequent finding in portal hypertensive cirrhotic patients. In patients with cirrhosis, an HVPG ≥ 16mmHg has been shown to be associated with increased mortality in two studies. Non-invasive indicators of HVPG ≥ 16 mmHg might define a subgroup of high-risk patients, but data on this aspect are lacking. Aims. We aimed to investigate whether HVPG predicts mortality in patients with clinically significant portal hypertension, and if APSC may predict a severe portal hypertensive state (i.e. HVPG≥16mmHg) in patients with cirrhosis and untreated portal hypertension. Methods. We analysed paired HVPG and ultrasonographic data of 86 untreated portal hypertensive cirrhotic patients. On abdominal echo-color-Doppler data on presence, type and number of APSC were prospectively collected. HVPG was measured following published guidelines. Clinical, laboratory and endoscopic data were available in all cases. First decompensation of cirrhosis and liver-disease related mortality on follow-up (mean 28±20 months) were recorded. Results. 73% of patients had compensated cirrhosis, while 27% were decompensated. All patients had an HVPG≥10 mmHg (mean 17.8±5.1 mmHg). 58% of compensated patients and 82% of decompensated patients had an HVPG over 16 mmHg. 25% had no varices, 28% had small varices, and 47% had medium/large varices. HVPG was higher in patients with esophageal varices vs. patients without varices (19.0±4.8 vs. 14.1±4.2mmHg, p<0.0001), and correlated with Child-Pugh score (R=0.494,p=0.019). 36 (42%) patients had APSC were more frequent in decompensated patients (60% vs. 35%, p=0.03) and in patients with esophageal varices (52% vs. 9%,p=0.001). HVPG was higher in patients with APSC compared with those without PSC (19.9± 4.6 vs. 16.2± 4.9mmHg, p=0.001). The prevalence of APSC was higher in patients with HVPG≥16mmHg vs. those with HVPG<16mmHg (57% vs. 13%,p<0.0001). Decompensation was significantly more frequent in patients with HVPG≥16mmHg vs. HVPG<16mmHg (35.1% vs. 11.5%, p=0.02). On multivariate analysis only HVPG and bilirubin were independent predictors of first decompensation. 10 patients died during follow-up. All had an HVPG≥16 mmHg (26% vs. 0% in patients with HVPG <16mmHg,p=0.04). On multivariate analysis only MELD score and HVPG ≥16mmHg were independent predictors of mortality. In compensated patients the detection of APSC predicted an HVPG≥16mmHg with 92% specificity, 54% sensitivity, positive and negative likelihood ratio 7.03 and 0.50, which implies that the demonstration of APSC on ultrasound increased the probability of HVPG≥16mmHg from 58% to 91%. Conclusions. HVPG maintains an independent prognostic value in the subset of patients with cirrhosis and clinically significant portal hypertension. The presence of APSC is a specific indicator of severe portal hypertension in patients with cirrhosis. Detection of APSC on ultrasound allows the non-invasive identification of a subgroup of compensated patients with bad prognosis, avoiding the invasive measurement of HVPG.

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This 9p21 locus, encode for important proteins involved in cell cycle regulation and apoptosis containing the p16/CDKN2A (cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitor 2a) tumor suppressor gene and two other related genes, p14/ARF and p15/CDKN2B. This locus, is a major target of inactivation in the pathogenesis of a number of human tumors, both solid and haematologic, and is a frequent site of loss or deletion also in acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) ranging from 18% to 45% 1. In order to explore, at high resolution, the frequency and size of alterations affecting this locus in adult BCR-ABL1-positive ALL and to investigate their prognostic value, 112 patients (101 de novo and 11 relapse cases) were analyzed by genome-wide single nucleotide polymorphisms arrays and gene candidate deep exon sequencing. Paired diagnosis-relapse samples were further available and analyzed for 19 (19%) cases. CDKN2A/ARF and CDKN2B genomic alterations were identified in 29% and 25% of newly diagnosed patients, respectively. Deletions were monoallelic in 72% of cases and in 43% the minimal overlapping region of the lost area spanned only the CDKN2A/2B gene locus. The analysis at the time of relapse showed an almost significant increase in the detection rate of CDKN2A/ARF loss (47%) compared to diagnosis (p = 0.06). Point mutations within the 9p21 locus were found at very low level with only a non-synonymous substition in the exon 2 of CDKN2A. Finally, correlation with clinical outcome showed that deletions of CDKN2A/B are significantly associated with poor outcome in terms of overall survival (p = 0.0206), disease free-survival (p = 0.0010) and cumulative incidence of relapse (p = 0.0014). The inactivation of 9p21 locus by genomic deletions is a frequent event in BCR-ABL1-positive ALL. Deletions are frequently acquired at the leukemia progression and work as a poor prognostic marker.

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Traditional morphological examinations are not anymore sufficient for a complete evaluation of tumoral tissue and the use of neoplastic markers is of utmost importance. Neoplastic markers can be classified in: diagnostic, prognostic and predictive markers. Three markers were analyzed. 1) Insulin-like growth factor binding protein 2 (IGFBP2) was immunohistochemically examined in prostatic tissues: 40 radical prostatectomies from hormonally untreated patients with their preoperative biopsies, 10 radical prostatectomies from patients under complete androgen ablation before surgery and 10 simple prostatectomies from patients with bladder outlet obstruction. Results were compared with α-methylacyl-CoA racemase (AMACR). IGFBP2 was expressed in the cytoplasm of untreated adenocarcinomas and, to a lesser extent, in HG-PIN; the expression was markedly lower in patients after complete androgen ablation. AMACR was similarly expressed in both adenocarcinoma and HG-PIN, the level being similar in both lesions; the expression was slightly lower in patients after complete androgen ablation. IGFBP2 may be used a diagnostic marker of prostatic adenocarcinomas. 2) Heparan surface proteoglycan immunohistochemical expression was examined in 150 oral squamous cell carcinomas. Follow up information was available in 93 patients (range: 6-34 months, mean: 19±7). After surgery, chemotherapy was performed in 8 patients and radiotherapy in 61 patients. Multivariate and univariate overall survival analyses showed that high expression of syndecan-1 (SYN-1) was associated with a poor prognosis. In patients treated with radiotherapy, such association was higher. SYN-1 is a prognostic marker in oral squamous cell carcinomas; it may also represent a predictive factor for responsiveness to radiotherapy. 3) EGFR was studied in 33 pulmonary adenocarcinomas with traditional DNA sequencing methods and with two mutation-specific antibodies. Overall, the two antibodies had 61.1% sensitivity and 100% specificity in detecting EGFR mutations. EGFR mutation-specific antibodies may represent a predictive marker to identify patients candidate to tyrosine kinase inhibitors therapy.

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Aim of this study is to describe the possible diagnostic value of sleep disturbances in the differential diagnosis of neurodegenerative diseases characterized by parkinsonism at onset. 42 consecutive patients with parkinsonian features and disease duration up to 3 years were included in the BO-ProPark study. Each patient was evaluated twice, at baseline (T0) and 16 months later (T1). Patients were diagnosed as Parkinson disease (PD, 27 patients), PD plus (PD with cognitive impairment/dementia or dysautonomia, 4 patients) and parkinsonian syndrome (PS, 11 patients). All patients underwent a full night video-polysomnography scored by a neurologist blinded to the clinical diagnosis. Sleep efficiency and total sleep time were reduced in all patients; wake after sleep onset was higher in patients with atypical parkinsonisms than in PD patients. No significant differences between groups of patients were detected in other sleep parameters. The mean percentage of epochs with enhanced tonic muscle EMG activity during REM sleep was higher in PD plus and PS than in PD. No difference in phasic muscle EMG activity during REM sleep was seen between the two groups. REM behaviour disorder was more frequent in PD plus and PS than in PD patients. Our data suggest that REM sleep motor control is more frequently impaired at disease onset in patients with PS and PD plus compared to PD patients. The presence of RBD or an enhanced tonic muscle EMG activity in a patient with recent onset parkinsonian features should suggest a diagnosis of atypical parkinsonism, rather than PD. More data are needed to establish the diagnostic value of these features in the differential diagnosis of parkinsonisms. The evaluation of sleep disorders may be a useful tool in the differential diagnosis of parkinsonism at onset.

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This research primarily represents a contribution to the lobbying regulation research arena. It introduces an index which for the first time attempts to measure the direct compliance costs of lobbying regulation. The Cost Indicator Index (CII) offers a brand new platform for qualitative and quantitative assessment of adopted lobbying laws and proposals of those laws, both in the comparative and the sui generis dimension. The CII is not just the only new tool introduced in the last decade, but it is the only tool available for comparative assessments of the costs of lobbying regulations. Beside the qualitative contribution, the research introduces an additional theoretical framework for complementary qualitative analysis of the lobbying laws. The Ninefold theory allows a more structured assessment and classification of lobbying regulations, both by indication of benefits and costs. Lastly, this research introduces the Cost-Benefit Labels (CBL). These labels might improve an ex-ante lobbying regulation impact assessment procedure, primarily in the sui generis perspective. In its final part, the research focuses on four South East European countries (Slovenia, Serbia, Montenegro and Macedonia), and for the first time brings them into the discussion and calculates their CPI and CII scores. The special focus of the application was on Serbia, whose proposal on the Law on Lobbying has been extensively analysed in qualitative and quantitative terms, taking into consideration specific political and economic circumstances of the country. Although the obtained results are of an indicative nature, the CII will probably find its place within the academic and policymaking arena, and will hopefully contribute to a better understanding of lobbying regulations worldwide.

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This thesis presents AMR phenotypic evaluation and whole genome sequencing analysis of 288 Escherichia coli strains isolated from different sources (livestock, companion animal, wildlife, food and human) in Italy. Our data reflects general resistance trends in Europe, reporting tetracycline, ampicillin, sulfisoxazole and aminoglycosides resistance as the most common phenotypic AMR profile among livestock, pets, wildlife and humans. Identification of human and animal (livestock and companion animal) AMR profiles in niches with a rare (fishery, mollusc) or absent (vegetable, wild animal, wild boar) direct exposure to antimicrobials, suggests widespread environmental pollution with ARGs conferring resistance to these antimicrobials. Phenotypic resistance to highest priority critically important antimicrobials was mainly observed in food-producing animals and related food such as rabbit, poultry, beef and swine. Discrepancies between AMR phenotypic pattern and genetic profile were observed. In particular, phenotypic aminoglycoside, cephalosporin, meropenem, colistin resistance and ESBL profile did not have a genetic explanation in different cases. This data could suggest the diffusion of new genetic variants of ARGs, associated to these antimicrobial classes. Generally, our collection shows a virulence profile typical of extraintestinal pathogenic Escherichia coli (ExPEC) pathotype. Different pandemic and emerging ExPEC lineages were identified, in particular in poultry meat (ST10; ST23; ST69, ST117; ST131). Rabbit was suggested as a source of ST20-ST40 potential hybrid pathogens. Wildlife carried a high average number (10) of VAGs (mostly associated to ExPEC pathotype) and different predominant ExPEC lineages (ST23, ST117, ST648), suggesting its possible involvement in maintenance and diffusion of virulence determinants. In conclusion, our study provides important knowledge related to the phenotypic/genetic AMR and virulence profiles circulating in E. coli in Italy. The role of different niches in AMR dynamics has been discussed. In particular, food-producing animals are worthy of continued investigation as a source of potential zoonotic pathogens, meanwhile wildlife might contribute to VAGs spread.

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The prognostic value of ABC transporters in Ewing sarcoma is still poorly explored and controversial. We described for the first time the impact of various ABCs on Ewing sarcoma prognosis by assessment of their gene expression in two independent cohorts of patients. Unexpected associations with favourable outcomes were observed for two ABCs of the A-subfamily, ABCA6 and ABCA7, whereas no associations with the canonical multidrug ABC transporters were identified. The ABCs of the A-subfamily are involved in cholesterol/phospholipids transportation and efflux from cells. Our clinical data support the drug-efflux independent contribution to cancer progression of the ABCAs, which has been confirmed in PDX-derived cell lines. The impact of these ABCA transporters on tumor progression seems to be mediated by lowering intracellular cholesterol, supporting the role of these proteins in lipid transport. In addition, the gene expression of ABCA6 and ABCA7 is regulated by transcription factors which control lipid metabolism: ABCA6 was induced by the binding of FoxO1/FoxO3a to its promoter and repressed by IGF1R/Akt signaling, whereas the expression of ABCA7 was regulated by p53. The data point to ABCA6 and ABCA7 as potential prognostic markers in Ewing sarcoma and suggest the IGF1/ABCA/lipid axis as an intriguing therapeutic target. Agonist monoclonal antibodies towards ABCA6/7 or inhibitors of cholesterol biosynthesis, such as statins or aminobiphoshonates, may be investigated as therapeutic options in combination with chemotherapy. Considering that no monoclonal antibodies selectively targeting extracellular domains of ABCA6/7 are available, the second part of the project has been dedicated to the generation of human antibody phage-display libraries as tools for selecting monoclonal antibodies. A novel synthetic human antibody phage-display library has been designed, cloned and characterized. The library takes advantages of the high variability of a designed naïve repertoire to be a useful tool for isolating antibodies towards all potential antigens, including the ABCAs.

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Background. Clinical significance of multifocal pulmonary neuroendocrine proliferations (MNEP), including tumorlets and pulmonary neuroendocrine cell hyperplasia, in association with Typical Carcinoid (TC), is still debated. Methods. A large retrospective series of TC with long-term follow-up data prospectively collected from two institutions was evaluated. Recurrence or new TC development was followed-up. Patients with TC alone and MNEP+TC were compared. Results. 234 TC patients undergone surgery were included: 41 MNEP+TC (17.5%) and 193 TC alone (82.5%). In the MNEP+TC group older age (p<0.001), peripheral tumors (p=0.0032), smaller tumor size (p=0.011) and lymph-nodal spread (p=0.02) were observed in comparison with TC group. Relapses occurred in 8 patients (19.5%) in the MNEP+TC group and in 7 (3.6%) of the TC group. The 10-years progression-free survival were 96.1% in TC and 83.8% in MNEP+TC (p<0.001). After matching, in 36 pairs of patients a significantly higher 5-years progression-free survival was calculated for TC group (p<0.01). Furthermore the odds of belonging to MNEP+TC group was higher with work-related exposure to inhalant agents (p=0.008), asthma/bronchitis (p=0.002), emphysema, fibrosis and inflammatory status (p=0.032), micronodules on the chest CT scan and respiratory insufficiency (p=0.036). Conclusions. The identification of MNEP requires careful pathological examination and postoperative follow-up. MNEP seems to be an adverse prognostic factor in patients with synchronous TC. Therefore, suspicion of MNEP during the pre-operative assessment should not be underestimated, enabling changes in the surgical strategy.

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Microenvironment in bone tumors is a dynamic entity composed of cells from different origins (immune cells, stromal cells, mesenchymal stem cells, endothelial cells, pericytes) and vascular structures surrounded by a matrix of different nature (bone, cartilage, myxoid). Interactions between cancer cells and tumor microenvironment (TME) are complex and can change as tumor progress, but are also crucial in determining response to cancer therapies. Chondrosarcoma is the second most frequent bone cancer in adult age, but its treatment still represents a challenge, for the intrinsic resistance to conventional chemotherapy and radiation therapy. This resistance is mainly due to pathological features, as dense matrix, scarce mitoses and poor vascularization, sustained by biological mechanisms only partially delucidated. Somatic mutation in the Krebs cycle enzyme isocytrate dehydrogenase (IDH) have been described in gliomas, acute myeloid leukemia, cholangiocarcinoma, melanoma, colorectal, prostate cancer, thyroid carcinoma and other cancers. In mesenchymal tumors IDH mutations are present in about 50% of central chondrosarcoma. IDH mutations are an early event in chondrosarcoma-genesis, and contribute to the acquisition of malignancy through the block of cellular differentiation, hypoxia induction through HIF stabilization, DNA methylation and alteration of cellular red-ox balance. While in gliomas IDH mutations confers a good prognosis, in chondrosarcoma IDH prognostic role is controversial in different reported series. First aim of this project is to define the prevalence and the prognostic role of IDH mutation in high grade central conventional chondrosarcoma patients treated at Istituto Ortopedico Rizzoli. Second aim is the critical revision of scientific literature to understand better how a genomic event in cancer cell can trigger alteration in the TME, through immune infiltrate reshaping, angiogenesis induction, metabolic and methylation rewiring. Third aim is to screen other sarcoma histotypes for the presence of IDH mutation.

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BACKGROUND Neuroendocrine neoplasia (NEN) are divided in well differentiated G1,G2 and G3 neuroendocrine tumors (NETs) and G3 neuroendocrine carcinomas (NECs). For the latter no standard therapy in second-line is available and prognosis is poor. METHODS Primary aim was to evaluate new prognostic and predictive biomarkers (WP1-3). In WP4 we explored the activity of FOLFIRI and CAPTEM as second-line in NEC patients in a multicenter non-comparative phase II trial RESULTS In WP1-2 we found that 4 of 6 GEP-NEC patients with a negative 68Ga-PET/CT had a loss of expression of RB1. In WP3 on 47 GEP-NENs patients the presence of DLL3 in 76.9% of G3 NEC correlate with RB1-loss (p<0.001), negative 68Ga-PET/CT(p=0.001) and a poor prognosis. In the WP4 we conducted a multicenter non-comparative phase II trial to explore the activity of FOLFIRI or CAPTEM in terms of DCR, PFS and OS given as second-line in NEC patients. From 06/03/2017 to 18/01/2021 53 out of 112 patients were enrolled in 17 of 23 participating centers. Median follow-up was 10.8 (range 1.4 – 38.6) months. The 3-month DCR was 39.3% in the FOLFIRI and 32.0 % in the CAPTEM arm. The 6-months PFS rate was 34.6% ( 95%CI 17.5-52.5) in FOLFIRI and 9.6% (95%CI 1.8-25.7) in CAPTEM group. In the FOLFIRI subgroup the 6-months and 12-months OS rate were 55.4% (95%CI 32.6-73.3) and 30.3% (CI 11.1-52.2) respectively. In CAPTEM arm the 6-months and 12-months OS rate were 57.2% (95%34.9-74.3) and 29.0% (95%10.0-43.3). The miRNA analysis of 20 patients compared with 20 healthy subjects shows an overexpression of miRNAs involved in staminality , neo-angiogenesis and mitochontrial anaerobic glycolysis activation. CONCLUSION WP1-3 support the hypothesis that G3NECs carrying RB1 loss is associated with a DLL3 expression highlighting a potential therapeutic opportunity. Our study unfortunately didn’t met the primary end–point but the results are promising

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Background: The natural history of Myotonic Dystrophy type 1 is largely unclear, longitudinal studies are lacking. Objectives: to collect clinical and laboratory data, to evaluate sleep disorders, somatic and autonomic skin fibres, neuropsychological and neuroradiological aspects in DM1 patients. Methods: 72 DM1 patients underwent a standardized clinical and neuroradiological evaluation performed by a multidisciplinary team during 3 years of follow-up. Results: longer disease duration was associated with higher incidence of conduction disorders and lower ejection fraction; higher CVF values were predictors for a reduced risk of cardiopathy. Lower functional pulmonary values were associated with class of expansion and were negatively associated with disease duration; arterial blood gas parameters were not associated with expansion size, disease duration nor with respiratory function test. Excessive daytime sleepiness was not associated with class of expansion nor with any of the clinical parameters examined. We detected apnoea in a large percentage of patients, without differences between the 3 genetic classes; higher CVF values were predictors for a reduced risk of apnoea. Skin biopsies demonstrated the presence of a subclinical small fibre neuropathy with involvement of the somatic fibres. The pupillometry study showed lower pupil size at baseline and a lower constriction response to light. The most affected neuropsychological domains were executive functions, visuoconstructional, attention and visuospatial tasks, with a worse performance of E1 patients in the visuoperceptual ability and social cognition tasks. MRI study demonstrated a decrease in the volumes of frontal, parietal, temporal, occipital cortices, accumbens, putamen nuclei and a more severe volume reduction of the isthmus cingulate, transverse temporal, superior parietal and temporal gyri in E2 patients. Discussion: only some clinical parameters could predict the risk of cardiopathy, pulmonary syndrome and sleep disorders, while other clinical aspects proved to be unpredictable, confirming the importance of periodic clinical follow-up of these patients.

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Aim of the present study was to develop a statistical approach to define the best cut-off Copy number alterations (CNAs) calling from genomic data provided by high throughput experiments, able to predict a specific clinical end-point (early relapse, 18 months) in the context of Multiple Myeloma (MM). 743 newly diagnosed MM patients with SNPs array-derived genomic and clinical data were included in the study. CNAs were called both by a conventional (classic, CL) and an outcome-oriented (OO) method, and Progression Free Survival (PFS) hazard ratios of CNAs called by the two approaches were compared. The OO approach successfully identified patients at higher risk of relapse and the univariate survival analysis showed stronger prognostic effects for OO-defined high-risk alterations, as compared to that defined by CL approach, statistically significant for 12 CNAs. Overall, 155/743 patients relapsed within 18 months from the therapy start. A small number of OO-defined CNAs were significantly recurrent in early-relapsed patients (ER-CNAs) - amp1q, amp2p, del2p, del12p, del17p, del19p -. Two groups of patients were identified either carrying or not ≥1 ER-CNAs (249 vs. 494, respectively), the first one with significantly shorter PFS and overall survivals (OS) (PFS HR 2.15, p<0001; OS HR 2.37, p<0.0001). The risk of relapse defined by the presence of ≥1 ER-CNAs was independent from those conferred both by R-IIS 3 (HR=1.51; p=0.01) and by low quality (< stable disease) clinical response (HR=2.59 p=0.004). Notably, the type of induction therapy was not descriptive, suggesting that ER is strongly related to patients’ baseline genomic architecture. In conclusion, the OO- approach employed allowed to define CNAs-specific dynamic clonality cut-offs, improving the CNAs calls’ accuracy to identify MM patients with the highest probability to ER. As being outcome-dependent, the OO-approach is dynamic and might be adjusted according to the selected outcome variable of interest.