6 resultados para LOGISTIC REGRESSION WITH STATE-DEPENDENT SAMPLE SELECTION

em AMS Tesi di Dottorato - Alm@DL - Università di Bologna


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Spinal cord injury (SCI) results not only in paralysis; but it is also associated with a range of autonomic dysregulation that can interfere with cardiovascular, bladder, bowel, temperature, and sexual function. The entity of the autonomic dysfunction is related to the level and severity of injury to descending autonomic (sympathetic) pathways. For many years there was limited awareness of these issues and the attention given to them by the scientific and medical community was scarce. Yet, even if a new system to document the impact of SCI on autonomic function has recently been proposed, the current standard of assessment of SCI (American Spinal Injury Association (ASIA) examination) evaluates motor and sensory pathways, but not severity of injury to autonomic pathways. Beside the severe impact on quality of life, autonomic dysfunction in persons with SCI is associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality. Therefore, obtaining information regarding autonomic function in persons with SCI is pivotal and clinical examinations and laboratory evaluations to detect the presence of autonomic dysfunction and quantitate its severity are mandatory. Furthermore, previous studies demonstrated that there is an intimate relationship between the autonomic nervous system and sleep from anatomical, physiological, and neurochemical points of view. Although, even if previous epidemiological studies demonstrated that sleep problems are common in spinal cord injury (SCI), so far only limited polysomnographic (PSG) data are available. Finally, until now, circadian and state dependent autonomic regulation of blood pressure (BP), heart rate (HR) and body core temperature (BcT) were never assessed in SCI patients. Aim of the current study was to establish the association between the autonomic control of the cardiovascular function and thermoregulation, sleep parameters and increased cardiovascular risk in SCI patients.

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Obesity often predisposes to coronary heart disease, heart failure, and sudden death. Also, several studies suggest a reciprocal enhancing interaction between obesity and sleep curtailment. Aim of the present study was to go deeper in the understanding of sleep and cardiovascular regulation in an animal model of diet-induced obesity (DIO). According to this, Wake-Sleep (W-S) regulation, and W-S dependent regulation of cardiovascular and metabolic/thermoregulatory function was studied in DIO rats, under normal laboratory conditions and during sleep deprivation and the following recovery period, enhancing either wake or sleep, respectively. After 8 weeks of the delivery of a hypercaloric (HC) diet, treated animals were heavier than those fed a normocaloric (NC) diet (NC: 441 ±17g; HC: 557±17g). HC rats slept more than NC ones during the activity period (Dark) of the normal 12h:12h light-dark (LD) cycle (Wake: 67.3±1.2% and 57.2 ±1.6%; NREM sleep (NREMS): 26.8±1.0% and 34.0±1.4%; REM sleep (REMS): 5.7±0. 6% and 8.6±0.7%; for NC and HC, respectively; p<0.05 for all). HC rats were hypertensive throughout the W-S states, as shown by the mean arterial blood pressure values across the 24-h period (Wake: 90.0±5.3 and 97.3±1.3; NREMS: 85.1±5.5 and 92.2±1.2; REMS: 87.2±4.5 and 96.5±1.1, mmHg for NC and HC, respectively; p<0.05 for all). Also, HC rats appeared to be slightly bradycardic compared to NC ones (Wake: 359.8±9.3 and 352.4±7.7; NREMS: 332.5±10.1 and 328.9±5.4; REMS: 338.5±9.3 and 334.4±5.8; bpm for NC and HC, respectively; p<0.05 for Wake). In HC animals, sleep regulation was not apparently altered during the sleep rebound observed in the recovery period following sleep deprivation, although REMS rebound appeared to be quicker in NC animals. In conclusion, these results indicate that in the rat obesity interfere with W-S and cardiovascular regulation and that DIO rats are suitable for further studies aimed at a better understanding of obesity comorbidities.

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This doctoral thesis presents a project carried out in secondary schools located in the city of Ferrara with the primary objective of demonstrating the effectiveness of an intervention based on Well-Being Therapy (Fava, 2016) in reducing alcohol use and improving lifestyles. In the first part (chapters 1-3), an introduction on risky behaviors and unhealthy lifestyle in adolescence is presented, followed by an examination of the phenomenon of binge drinking and of the concept of psychological well-being. In the second part (chapters 4-6), the experimental study is presented. A three-arm cluster randomized controlled trial including three test periods was implemented. The study involved eleven classes that were randomly assigned to receive well-being intervention (WBI), lifestyle intervention (LI) or not receive intervention (NI). Results were analyzed by linear mixed model and mixed-effects logistic regression with the aim to test the efficacy of WBI in comparison with LI and NI. AUDIT-C total score increased more in NI in comparison with WBI (p=0.008) and LI (p=0.003) at 6-month. The odds to be classified as at-risk drinker was lower in WBI (OR 0.01; 95%CI 0.01–0.14) and LI (OR 0.01; 95%CI 0.01–0.03) than NI at 6-month. The odds to use e-cigarettes at 6-month (OR 0.01; 95%CI 0.01–0.35) and cannabis at post-test (OR 0.01; 95%CI 0.01–0.18) were less in WBI than NI. Sleep hours at night decreased more in NI than in WBI (p = 0.029) and LI (p = 0.006) at 6-month. Internet addiction scores decreased more in WBI (p = 0.003) and LI (p = 0.004) at post-test in comparison with NI. Conclusions about the obtained results, limitations of the study, and future implications are discussed. In the seventh chapter, the data of the project collected during the pandemic are presented and compared with those from recent literature.

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In the present work we perform an econometric analysis of the Tribal art market. To this aim, we use a unique and original database that includes information on Tribal art market auctions worldwide from 1998 to 2011. In Literature, art prices are modelled through the hedonic regression model, a classic fixed-effect model. The main drawback of the hedonic approach is the large number of parameters, since, in general, art data include many categorical variables. In this work, we propose a multilevel model for the analysis of Tribal art prices that takes into account the influence of time on artwork prices. In fact, it is natural to assume that time exerts an influence over the price dynamics in various ways. Nevertheless, since the set of objects change at every auction date, we do not have repeated measurements of the same items over time. Hence, the dataset does not constitute a proper panel; rather, it has a two-level structure in that items, level-1 units, are grouped in time points, level-2 units. The main theoretical contribution is the extension of classical multilevel models to cope with the case described above. In particular, we introduce a model with time dependent random effects at the second level. We propose a novel specification of the model, derive the maximum likelihood estimators and implement them through the E-M algorithm. We test the finite sample properties of the estimators and the validity of the own-written R-code by means of a simulation study. Finally, we show that the new model improves considerably the fit of the Tribal art data with respect to both the hedonic regression model and the classic multilevel model.

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Background I filtri dializzatori ad alto flusso potrebbero mitigare la “tempesta citochinica" nell'infezione da Sars-COV-2, ma il loro impatto nei pazienti in dialisi cronica non è accertato. Lo scopo delle studio è valutare l’effetto del filtro in triacetato asimmetrico di cellulosa (ATA) e in polimetilmetacrilato (PMMA) sui marcatori infiammatori in pazienti in dialisi cronica affetti da SARS-CoV-2. Metodi Si tratta di uno studio prospettico osservazionale su pazienti in trattamento emodialitico cronicp con COVID-19 arruolati da marzo 2020 a Maggio 2021.Le variabili cliniche, la conta leucocitaria, la IL-6, la proteina C-reattiva (PCR), la procalcitonina (PCT) e la ferritina sono state determinate al basale. I valori ematici di PCR, PCT, e IL-6 sono stati determinati pre e post-dialisi per ogni seduta effettuata (i valori ottenuti sono stati corretti per ’emoconcentrazione). I pazienti sono stati trattati con emodiafiltrazione online con un filtro ad alto flusso in PMMA o ATA. L’end-point primario è stato valutare l’effetto dei due filtri sulle molecole infiammatorie, in particolare sulla reduction ratio (RR) della IL-6. Risultati Dei 74 pazienti arruolati, 48 sono trati trattati con filtro ATA e 26 con filtro PMMA (420 vs 191 sedute dialitiche). La RR percentuale mediana della IL-6 è risultata maggiore nel gruppo ATA (17,08% IQR -9,0 - 40.0 vs 2,95% IQR -34,63 – 27,32. Anche le RR percentuale di PCR e PCT sono state maggiori nel gruppo ATA. La regressione logistica multipla avente come variabile dipendente una IL-6RR maggiore del 25%, ha mostrato che ATA determinava una maggiore probabilità di raggiungere l’outcome dopo correzione per i parametri infiammatori pre-dialisi (OR 1,721 95% CI 1,176 – 2,538 p=0,0056). Al contrario una PCR elevata riduceva la probabilità di ottenere una IL-6RR significativa (OR 0,9101 95% CI 0,868 – 0,949, p<0.0001). Conclusioni Nella nostra popolazione il filtro ATA ha mostrato un migliore profilo antiinfiammatorio.