Aging of nuclear power plant cables: in search of non-destructive diagnostic quantities

The safety systems of nuclear power plants rely on low-voltage power, instrumentation and control cables. Inside the containment area, cables operate in harsh environments, characterized by relatively high temperature and gamma-irradiation. As these cables are related to fundamental safety systems, they must be able to withstand unexpected accident conditions and, therefore, their condition assessment is of utmost importance as plants age and lifetime extensions are required. Nowadays, the integrity and functionality of these cables are monitored mainly through destructive test which requires specific laboratory. The investigation of electrical aging markers which can provide information about the state of the cable by non-destructive testing methods would improve significantly the present diagnostic techniques. This work has been made within the framework of the ADVANCE (Aging Diagnostic and Prognostics of Low-Voltage I\&C Cables) project, a FP7 European program. This Ph.D. thesis aims at studying the impact of aging on cable electrical parameters, in order to understand the evolution of the electrical properties associated with cable degradation. The identification of suitable aging markers requires the comparison of the electrical property variation with the physical/chemical degradation mechanisms of polymers for different insulating materials and compositions. The feasibility of non-destructive electrical condition monitoring techniques as potential substitutes for destructive methods will be finally discussed studying the correlation between electrical and mechanical properties. In this work, the electrical properties of cable insulators are monitored and characterized mainly by dielectric spectroscopy, polarization/depolarization current analysis and space charge distribution. Among these techniques, dielectric spectroscopy showed the most promising results; by means of dielectric spectroscopy it is possible to identify the frequency range where the properties are more sensitive to aging. In particular, the imaginary part of permittivity at high frequency, which is related to oxidation, has been identified as the most suitable aging marker based on electrical quantities.

Fault detection in rotating machines by vibration signal processing techniques

Machines with moving parts give rise to vibrations and consequently noise. The setting up and the status of each machine yield to a peculiar vibration signature. Therefore, a change in the vibration signature, due to a change in the machine state, can be used to detect incipient defects before they become critical. This is the goal of condition monitoring, in which the informations obtained from a machine signature are used in order to detect faults at an early stage. There are a large number of signal processing techniques that can be used in order to extract interesting information from a measured vibration signal. This study seeks to detect rotating machine defects using a range of techniques including synchronous time averaging, Hilbert transform-based demodulation, continuous wavelet transform, Wigner-Ville distribution and spectral correlation density function. The detection and the diagnostic capability of these techniques are discussed and compared on the basis of experimental results concerning gear tooth faults, i.e. fatigue crack at the tooth root and tooth spalls of different sizes, as well as assembly faults in diesel engine. Moreover, the sensitivity to fault severity is assessed by the application of these signal processing techniques to gear tooth faults of different sizes.

Specification and Verification of Declarative Open Interaction Models - A Logic-based framework

The advent of distributed and heterogeneous systems has laid the foundation for the birth of new architectural paradigms, in which many separated and autonomous entities collaborate and interact to the aim of achieving complex strategic goals, impossible to be accomplished on their own. A non exhaustive list of systems targeted by such paradigms includes Business Process Management, Clinical Guidelines and Careflow Protocols, Service-Oriented and Multi-Agent Systems. It is largely recognized that engineering these systems requires novel modeling techniques. In particular, many authors are claiming that an open, declarative perspective is needed to complement the closed, procedural nature of the state of the art specification languages. For example, the ConDec language has been recently proposed to target the declarative and open specification of Business Processes, overcoming the over-specification and over-constraining issues of classical procedural approaches. On the one hand, the success of such novel modeling languages strongly depends on their usability by non-IT savvy: they must provide an appealing, intuitive graphical front-end. On the other hand, they must be prone to verification, in order to guarantee the trustworthiness and reliability of the developed model, as well as to ensure that the actual executions of the system effectively comply with it. In this dissertation, we claim that Computational Logic is a suitable framework for dealing with the specification, verification, execution, monitoring and analysis of these systems. We propose to adopt an extended version of the ConDec language for specifying interaction models with a declarative, open flavor. We show how all the (extended) ConDec constructs can be automatically translated to the CLIMB Computational Logic-based language, and illustrate how its corresponding reasoning techniques can be successfully exploited to provide support and verification capabilities along the whole life cycle of the targeted systems.

Ingegneria di Manutenzione

Lo scopo di questa tesi di dottorato di ricerca consiste nel fornire la giusta collocazione della manutenzione fra le discipline dell'ingegneria, raccogliendo e formalizzando le metodologie di analisi di affidabilità e di pianificazione degli interventi all'interno di un unico processo di progettazione e di controllo. In linea di principio, un processo di analisi dei guasti e di programmazione della manutenzione deve essere in grado di fornire chiare e sicure risposte ai seguenti interrogativi: Quali sono le funzioni richieste e con quali criteri di prestazioni il sistema è chiamato ad assolverle? Qual'è l'andamento della disponibilità del sistema in funzione del tempo? Quanti guasti e di quale tipo si possono verificare durante la vita del sistema? Quali possono essere le conseguenze che ledono la sicurezza e la protezione ambientale? Quanti pezzi di ricambio sono necessari? Che tipo di interventi di manutenzione preventiva risultano tecnicamente fattibili? A quali scadenze devono essere programmati? A quanto ammonta la previsione del costo di esercizio del sistema? Quante squadre di manutenzione devono essere assegnate al sistema? Come deve essere organizzata la logistica di manutenzione? Con quali tecniche si prevede di riconoscere i guasti e quali procedure devono essere attivate per farvi fronte? E' possibile implementare tecniche di `condition monitoring' delle macchine? Su quali tempi di preavviso sui guasti si può contare? In tal senso, la manutenzione necessita delle tecniche e degli opportuni strumenti che siano in grado di misurarne l'efficacia e l'efficienza. L'efficacia in primo luogo, in quanto l'obiettivo principe consiste nel garantire che il sistema oggetto di studio continui a svolgere le proprie funzioni nei limiti di prestazioni accettabili, secondo le specifiche richieste degli utilizzatori. L'efficienza in secondo luogo, ma non per questo di minore importanza, in quanto perseguendo l'obiettivo di cui sopra, occorre impegnare il minimo di risorse possibili, organizzando con razionalità il supporto logistico del sistema al fine di raggiungere i massimi livelli di rendimento di gestione. La migliore strategia di manutenzione può essere pianificata, a priori, solo se si è in grado di prevedere con la necessaria precisione l'evoluzione del sistema nel suo contesto operativo futuro. E' allora possibile formulare un modello matematico del sistema, studiarne la dinamica ed osservare le reazioni alla simulazione di eventuali stimoli esterni. I metodi ed i modelli noti dell'ingegneria dei sistemi possono essere molto utili per la risoluzione di casi semplici, ma sovente richiedono la formulazione di ipotesi troppo restrittive che aumentano in modo inaccettabile la distanza del modello dalla realtà. Una strada alternativa ed affascinante, che ho percorso con entusiasmo durante questi tre anni di studi e ricerca, consiste nella simulazione numerica della vita del sistema, utilizzando il metodo Monte Carlo per la gestione dei processi stocastici di guasto e per l'esecuzione degli interventi di manutenzione. Ho quindi messo a punto il codice di simulazione RAMSES, perseguendo l'idea di costruire uno strumento di misura dell'efficacia e dell'efficienza di una politica di manutenzione simulata al calcolatore. Nella tesi si presentano i concetti di base dell'ingegneria dei sistemi applicata al caso della manutenzione e si introduce il formalismo della Reliability Centred Maintenance come miglior guida nella pianificazione delle schede di manutenzione. Si introducono le nozioni di base per fornire una struttura solida e corretta alla simulazione numerica dei sistemi riparabili e si presenta il codice RAMSES corredando le informazioni tecniche con i dovuti esempi ed applicazioni pratiche. Si conclude il lavoro, infine, con la presentazione di un modello di massima verosimiglianza particolarmente utile per le analisi dei dati sperimentali di guasto dei componenti.

Algorithmic business and EU law on fair trading

This thesis studies how commercial practice is developing with artificial intelligence (AI) technologies and discusses some normative concepts in EU consumer law. The author analyses the phenomenon of 'algorithmic business', which defines the increasing use of data-driven AI in marketing organisations for the optimisation of a range of consumer-related tasks. The phenomenon is orienting business-consumer relations towards some general trends that influence power and behaviors of consumers. These developments are not taking place in a legal vacuum, but against the background of a normative system aimed at maintaining fairness and balance in market transactions. The author assesses current developments in commercial practices in the context of EU consumer law, which is specifically aimed at regulating commercial practices. The analysis is critical by design and without neglecting concrete practices tries to look at the big picture. The thesis consists of nine chapters divided in three thematic parts. The first part discusses the deployment of AI in marketing organisations, a brief history, the technical foundations, and their modes of integration in business organisations. In the second part, a selected number of socio-technical developments in commercial practice are analysed. The following are addressed: the monitoring and analysis of consumers’ behaviour based on data; the personalisation of commercial offers and customer experience; the use of information on consumers’ psychology and emotions, the mediation through marketing conversational applications. The third part assesses these developments in the context of EU consumer law and of the broader policy debate concerning consumer protection in the algorithmic society. In particular, two normative concepts underlying the EU fairness standard are analysed: manipulation, as a substantive regulatory standard that limits commercial behaviours in order to protect consumers’ informed and free choices and vulnerability, as a concept of social policy that portrays people who are more exposed to marketing practices.

Multilevel Analysis in Household Survey: An Application to Health Condition Data

The aim of this thesis is to apply multilevel regression model in context of household surveys. Hierarchical structure in this type of data is characterized by many small groups. In last years comparative and multilevel analysis in the field of perceived health have grown in size. The purpose of this thesis is to develop a multilevel analysis with three level of hierarchy for Physical Component Summary outcome to: evaluate magnitude of within and between variance at each level (individual, household and municipality); explore which covariates affect on perceived physical health at each level; compare model-based and design-based approach in order to establish informativeness of sampling design; estimate a quantile regression for hierarchical data. The target population are the Italian residents aged 18 years and older. Our study shows a high degree of homogeneity within level 1 units belonging from the same group, with an intraclass correlation of 27% in a level-2 null model. Almost all variance is explained by level 1 covariates. In fact, in our model the explanatory variables having more impact on the outcome are disability, unable to work, age and chronic diseases (18 pathologies). An additional analysis are performed by using novel procedure of analysis :"Linear Quantile Mixed Model", named "Multilevel Linear Quantile Regression", estimate. This give us the possibility to describe more generally the conditional distribution of the response through the estimation of its quantiles, while accounting for the dependence among the observations. This has represented a great advantage of our models with respect to classic multilevel regression. The median regression with random effects reveals to be more efficient than the mean regression in representation of the outcome central tendency. A more detailed analysis of the conditional distribution of the response on other quantiles highlighted a differential effect of some covariate along the distribution.

Stream sediments analysis for geochemical mapping of Romagna Apennines (Northern Italy): monitoring and management tool of environmental resources at various scales

Geochemical mapping is a valuable tool for the control of territory that can be used not only in the identification of mineral resources and geological, agricultural and forestry studies but also in the monitoring of natural resources by giving solutions to environmental and economic problems. Stream sediments are widely used in the sampling campaigns carried out by the world's governments and research groups for their characteristics of broad representativeness of rocks and soils, for ease of sampling and for the possibility to conduct very detailed sampling In this context, the environmental role of stream sediments provides a good basis for the implementation of environmental management measures, in fact the composition of river sediments is an important factor in understanding the complex dynamics that develop within catchment basins therefore they represent a critical environmental compartment: they can persistently incorporate pollutants after a process of contamination and release into the biosphere if the environmental conditions change. It is essential to determine whether the concentrations of certain elements, in particular heavy metals, can be the result of natural erosion of rocks containing high concentrations of specific elements or are generated as residues of human activities related to a certain study area. This PhD thesis aims to extract from an extensive database on stream sediments of the Romagna rivers the widest spectrum of informations. The study involved low and high order stream in the mountain and hilly area, but also the sediments of the floodplain area, where intensive agriculture is active. The geochemical signals recorded by the stream sediments will be interpreted in order to reconstruct the natural variability related to bedrock and soil contribution, the effects of the river dynamics, the anomalous sites, and with the calculation of background values be able to evaluate their level of degradation and predict the environmental risk.

Cross-sensors analysis of multispectral Earth observation data for environmental monitoring

Time Series Analysis of multispectral satellite data offers an innovative way to extract valuable information of our changing planet. This is now a real option for scientists thanks to data availability as well as innovative cloud-computing platforms, such as Google Earth Engine. The integration of different missions would mitigate known issues in multispectral time series construction, such as gaps due to clouds or other atmospheric effects. With this purpose, harmonization among Landsat-like missions is possible through statistical analysis. This research offers an overview of the different instruments from Landsat and Sentinel missions (TM, ETM, OLI, OLI-2 and MSI sensors) and products levels (Collection-2 Level-1 and Surface Reflectance for Landsat and Level-1C and Level-2A for Sentinel-2). Moreover, a cross-sensors comparison was performed to assess the interoperability of the sensors on-board Landsat and Sentinel-2 constellations, having in mind a possible combined use for time series analysis. Firstly, more than 20,000 pairs of images almost simultaneously acquired all over Europe were selected over a period of several years. The study performed a cross-comparison analysis on these data, and provided an assessment of the calibration coefficients that can be used to minimize differences in the combined use. Four of the most popular vegetation indexes were selected for the study: NDVI, EVI, SAVI and NDMI. As a result, it is possible to reconstruct a longer and denser harmonized time series since 1984, useful for vegetation monitoring purposes. Secondly, the spectral characteristics of the recent Landsat-9 mission were assessed for a combined use with Landsat-8 and Sentinel-2. A cross-sensor analysis of common bands of more than 3,000 almost simultaneous acquisitions verified a high consistency between datasets. The most relevant discrepancy has been observed in the blue and SWIRS bands, often used in vegetation and water related studies. This analysis was supported with spectroradiometer ground measurements.