4 resultados para Cohorts

em AMS Tesi di Dottorato - Alm@DL - Università di Bologna


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Asset Management (AM) is a set of procedures operable at the strategic-tacticaloperational level, for the management of the physical asset’s performance, associated risks and costs within its whole life-cycle. AM combines the engineering, managerial and informatics points of view. In addition to internal drivers, AM is driven by the demands of customers (social pull) and regulators (environmental mandates and economic considerations). AM can follow either a top-down or a bottom-up approach. Considering rehabilitation planning at the bottom-up level, the main issue would be to rehabilitate the right pipe at the right time with the right technique. Finding the right pipe may be possible and practicable, but determining the timeliness of the rehabilitation and the choice of the techniques adopted to rehabilitate is a bit abstruse. It is a truism that rehabilitating an asset too early is unwise, just as doing it late may have entailed extra expenses en route, in addition to the cost of the exercise of rehabilitation per se. One is confronted with a typical ‘Hamlet-isque dilemma’ – ‘to repair or not to repair’; or put in another way, ‘to replace or not to replace’. The decision in this case is governed by three factors, not necessarily interrelated – quality of customer service, costs and budget in the life cycle of the asset in question. The goal of replacement planning is to find the juncture in the asset’s life cycle where the cost of replacement is balanced by the rising maintenance costs and the declining level of service. System maintenance aims at improving performance and maintaining the asset in good working condition for as long as possible. Effective planning is used to target maintenance activities to meet these goals and minimize costly exigencies. The main objective of this dissertation is to develop a process-model for asset replacement planning. The aim of the model is to determine the optimal pipe replacement year by comparing, temporally, the annual operating and maintenance costs of the existing asset and the annuity of the investment in a new equivalent pipe, at the best market price. It is proposed that risk cost provide an appropriate framework to decide the balance between investment for replacing or operational expenditures for maintaining an asset. The model describes a practical approach to estimate when an asset should be replaced. A comprehensive list of criteria to be considered is outlined, the main criteria being a visà- vis between maintenance and replacement expenditures. The costs to maintain the assets should be described by a cost function related to the asset type, the risks to the safety of people and property owing to declining condition of asset, and the predicted frequency of failures. The cost functions reflect the condition of the existing asset at the time the decision to maintain or replace is taken: age, level of deterioration, risk of failure. The process model is applied in the wastewater network of Oslo, the capital city of Norway, and uses available real-world information to forecast life-cycle costs of maintenance and rehabilitation strategies and support infrastructure management decisions. The case study provides an insight into the various definitions of ‘asset lifetime’ – service life, economic life and physical life. The results recommend that one common value for lifetime should not be applied to the all the pipelines in the stock for investment planning in the long-term period; rather it would be wiser to define different values for different cohorts of pipelines to reduce the uncertainties associated with generalisations for simplification. It is envisaged that more criteria the municipality is able to include, to estimate maintenance costs for the existing assets, the more precise will the estimation of the expected service life be. The ability to include social costs enables to compute the asset life, not only based on its physical characterisation, but also on the sensitivity of network areas to social impact of failures. The type of economic analysis is very sensitive to model parameters that are difficult to determine accurately. The main value of this approach is the effort to demonstrate that it is possible to include, in decision-making, factors as the cost of the risk associated with a decline in level of performance, the level of this deterioration and the asset’s depreciation rate, without looking at age as the sole criterion for making decisions regarding replacements.

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In Italia, il processo di de-istituzionalizzazione e di implementazione di modelli di assistenza per la salute mentale sono caratterizzati da carenza di valutazione. In particolare, non sono state intraprese iniziative per monitorare le attività relative all’assistenza dei pazienti con disturbi psichiatrici. Pertanto, l’obiettivo della tesi è effettuare una valutazione comparativa dei percorsi di cura nell’ambito della salute mentale nei Dipartimenti di Salute Mentale e Dipendenze Patologiche della regione Emilia-Romagna utilizzando indicatori ottenuti dai flussi amministrativi correnti.. I dati necessari alla costruzione degli indicatori sono stati ottenuti attraverso un data linkage dei flussi amministrativi correnti regionali delle schede di dimissione ospedaliera, delle attività territoriali dei Centri di Salute Mentale e delle prescrizioni farmaceutiche, con riferimento all’anno 2010. Gli indicatori sono stati predisposti per tutti i pazienti con diagnosi principale psichiatrica e poi suddivisi per categoria diagnostica in base al ICD9-CM. . Il set di indicatori esaminato comprende i tassi di prevalenza trattata e di incidenza dei disturbi mentali, i tassi di ospedalizzazione, la ri-ospedalizzazione a 7 e 30 giorni dalla dimissione dai reparti psichiatrici, la continuità assistenziale ospedale-territorio, l’adesione ai trattamenti ed il consumo e appropriatezza prescrittiva di farmaci. Sono state rilevate alcune problematiche nella ricostruzione della continuità assistenziale ospedale-territorio ed alcuni limiti degli indicatori relativi alle prescrizioni dei farmaci. Il calcolo degli indicatori basato sui flussi amministrativi correnti si presenta fattibile, pur con i limiti legati alla qualità, completezza ed accuratezza dei dati presenti. L’implementazione di questi indicatori su larga scala (regionale e nazionale) e su base regolare può essere una opportunità per impostare un sistema di sorveglianza, monitoraggio e valutazione dell’assistenza psichiatrica nei DSM.

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The present work reports the outcome of the GIMEMA CML WP study CML0811, an independent trial investigating nilotinib as front-line treatment in chronic phase chronic myeloid leukemia (CML). Moreover, the results of the proteomic analysis of the CD34+ cells collected at CML diagnosis, compared to the counterpart from healthy donors, are reported. Our study confirmed that nilotinib is highly effective in the prevention of the progression to accelerated/blast phase, a condition that today is still associated with high mortality rates. Despite the relatively short follow-up, cardiovascular issues, particularly atherosclerotic adverse events (AE), have emerged, and the frequency of these AEs may counterbalance the anti-leukemic efficacy. The deep molecular response rates in our study compare favorably to those obtained with imatinib, in historic cohorts, and confirm the findings of the Company-sponsored ENESTnd study. Considering the increasing rates of deep MR over time we observed, a significant proportion of patients will be candidate to treatment discontinuation in the next years, with higher probability of remaining disease-free in the long term. The presence of the additional and complex changes we found at the proteomic level in CML CD34+ cells should be taken into account for the investigation on novel targeted therapies, aimed at the eradication of the disease.

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Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) and Intellectual Disability (ID) are complex neuropsychiatric disorders characterized by extensive clinical and genetic heterogeneity and with overlapping risk factors. The aim of my project was to further investigate the role of Copy Numbers Variants (CNVs), identified through genome-wide studies performed by the Autism Geome Project (AGP) and the CHERISH consortium in large cohorts of ASD and ID cases, respectively. Specifically, I focused on four rare genic CNVs, selected on the basis of their impact on interesting ASD/ID candidate genes: a) a compound heterozygous deletion involving CTNNA3, predicted to cause the lack of functional protein; b) a 15q13.3 duplication containing CHRNA7; c) a 2q31.1 microdeletion encompassing KLHL23, SSB and METTL5; d) Lastly, I investigated the putative imprinting regulation of the CADPS2 gene, disrupted by a maternal deletion in two siblings with ASD and ID. This study provides further evidence for the role of CTNNA3, CHRNA7, KLHL23 and CADPS2 as ASD and/or ID susceptibility genes, and highlights that rare genetic variation contributes to disease risk in different ways: some rare mutations, such as those impacting CTNNA3, act in a recessive mode of inheritance, while other CNVs, such as those occurring in the 15q13.3 region, are implicated in multiple developmental and/or neurological disorders possibly interacting with other susceptibility variants elsewhere in the genome. On the other hand, the discovery of a tissue-specific monoallelic expression for the CADPS2 gene, implicates the involvement of epigenetic regulatory mechanisms as risk factors conferring susceptibility to ASD/ID.