Identificazione dei fenotipi clinici dell’insufficienza renale cronica che predicono la progressione della malattia. Un’applicazione della tecnica degli alberi decisionali

The primary aim of this dissertation to identify subgroups of patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) who have a differential risk of progression of illness and the secondary aim is compare 2 equations to estimate the glomerular filtration rate (GFR). To this purpose, the PIRP (Prevention of Progressive Kidney Disease) registry was linked with the dialysis and mortality registries. The outcome of interest is the mean annual variation of GFR, estimated using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation. A decision tree model was used to subtype CKD patients, based on the non-parametric procedure CHAID (Chi-squared Automatic Interaction Detector). The independent variables of the model include gender, age, diabetes, hypertension, cardiac diseases, body mass index, baseline serum creatinine, haemoglobin, proteinuria, LDL cholesterol, tryglycerides, serum phoshates, glycemia, parathyroid hormone and uricemia. The decision tree model classified patients into 10 terminal nodes using 6 variables (gender, age, proteinuria, diabetes, serum phosphates and ischemic cardiac disease) that predict a differential progression of kidney disease. Specifically, age <=53 year, male gender, proteinuria, diabetes and serum phosphates >3.70 mg/dl predict a faster decrease of GFR, while ischemic cardiac disease predicts a slower decrease. The comparison between GFR estimates obtained using MDRD4 and CKD-EPI equations shows a high percentage agreement (>90%), with modest discrepancies for high and low age and serum creatinine levels. The study results underscore the need for a tight follow-up schedule in patients with age <53, and of patients aged 54 to 67 with diabetes, to try to slow down the progression of the disease. The result also emphasize the effective management of patients aged>67, in whom the estimated decrease in glomerular filtration rate corresponds with the physiological decrease observed in the absence of kidney disease, except for the subgroup of patients with proteinuria, in whom the GFR decline is more pronounced.

The impact of cardiac rehabilitation on lifestyles, psychological correlates and the clinical course of cardiac disease

Objectives: The aim of this research was to evaluate the impact of Cardiac Rehabilitation (CR) on risky lifestyles, quality of life, psychopathology, psychological distress and well-being, considering the potential moderating role of depression, anxiety and psychosomatic syndromes on lifestyles modification. The influence of CR on cardiac morbidity and mortality was also evaluated. Methods: The experimental group (N=108), undergoing CR, was compared to a control group (N=85) of patients affected by cardiovascular diseases, not undergoing CR, at baseline and at 1-month, 6- and 12-months follow-ups. The assessment included: the Structured Clinical Interview for DSM-IV, the structured interview based on Diagnostic Criteria for Psychosomatic Research (DCPR), GOSPEL questionnaire on lifestyles, Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index, Morisky Medication Adherence Scale, MOS 36-Item Short Form Health Survey, Symptom Questionnaire, Psychological Well-Being Scale and 14-items Type D Scale. Results: Compared to the control group, CR was associated to: maintenance of the level of physical activity, improvement of correct dietary behaviors and stress management, enhancement of quality of life and sleep; reduction of the most frequently observed psychiatric diagnoses and psychosomatic syndromes at baseline. On the contrary, CR was not found to be associated with: healthy dietary habits, weight loss and improvement on medications adherence. In addition, there were no relevant effects on sub-clinical psychological distress and well-being, except for personal growth and purpose in life (PWB). Also, CR did not seem to play a protective role against cardiac recurrences. The presence of psychosomatic syndromes and depressive disorders was a mediating factor on the modification of specific lifestyles. Conclusions: The findings highlight the need of a psychosomatic assessment and an evaluation of psychological sub-clinical symptomatology in cardiac rehabilitation, in order to identify and address specific factors potentially associated with the clinical course of the heart disease.

Computational Modelling of Cardiac Electrophysiology: from Cell to Bedside

Heart diseases are the leading cause of death worldwide, both for men and women. However, the ionic mechanisms underlying many cardiac arrhythmias and genetic disorders are not completely understood, thus leading to a limited efficacy of the current available therapies and leaving many open questions for cardiac electrophysiologists. On the other hand, experimental data availability is still a great issue in this field: most of the experiments are performed in vitro and/or using animal models (e.g. rabbit, dog and mouse), even when the final aim is to better understand the electrical behaviour of in vivo human heart either in physiological or pathological conditions. Computational modelling constitutes a primary tool in cardiac electrophysiology: in silico simulations, based on the available experimental data, may help to understand the electrical properties of the heart and the ionic mechanisms underlying a specific phenomenon. Once validated, mathematical models can be used for making predictions and testing hypotheses, thus suggesting potential therapeutic targets. This PhD thesis aims to apply computational cardiac modelling of human single cell action potential (AP) to three clinical scenarios, in order to gain new insights into the ionic mechanisms involved in the electrophysiological changes observed in vitro and/or in vivo. The first context is blood electrolyte variations, which may occur in patients due to different pathologies and/or therapies. In particular, we focused on extracellular Ca2+ and its effect on the AP duration (APD). The second context is haemodialysis (HD) therapy: in addition to blood electrolyte variations, patients undergo a lot of other different changes during HD, e.g. heart rate, cell volume, pH, and sympatho-vagal balance. The third context is human hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), a genetic disorder characterised by an increased arrhythmic risk, and still lacking a specific pharmacological treatment.