Development and validation of an echocardiography score for diagnosis of cardiac masses

Background Echocardiography is the cornerstone in the evaluation of cardiac masses and provides accurate characterization. Despite, its accuracy in diagnosis of cardiac masses (CM) remains challenging and, up to date, no validated diagnostic algorithm is validated. Purpose The aim of our study was to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of echocardiography, to identify the echocardiographic predictors of malignancy and to develop and then validate a multiparametric echocardiographic score that could be used to estimate the likelihood of the histological nature of a CM. Materials and methods The final sample consisted of 273 consecutive patients who had a 2D-echocardiographic evaluation and a histologic diagnosis. Logistic regression was performed to evaluate the ability of echocardiographic findings to discriminate benign versus malignant masses, then a scoring system was developed and validated in a separate test cohort. Results Of the 322 patients initially included in the Bologna Cardiac Masses Registry, 13 with a poor acoustic window, 27 with no histological examination patients and 9 extra-cardiac masses were excluded. In the remaining 273 patients, classical 2-D echocardiogram identified 249 masses with a diagnostic accuracy of 88%. A weighted score [Diagnostic Echocardiographic Mass (DEM) Score] ranging from 0 to 9 was obtained from 6 variables: infiltration, polylobate mass, moderate-severe pericardial effusion. The AUC for the score was 0.965 (95% CI [0.938-0.993]). In a logistic regression analysis using the DEM score as a predictor, the likelihood of malignant CM increased more than 4 times for a 1-unit increase in the score (OR=4.468; 95% CI 2.733-7.304). A score < 3 denoted a high probability of a benign diagnosis, and a score ≥ 5 points corresponded to a higher risk of malignancy. Conclusion 2D-Echocardiography provides a high diagnostic accuracy in identifying cardiac masses and our multiparametric echocardiographic score could be useful to predict the histological nature of cardiac masses.

Development of Clinical Decision Support Systems based on Mathematical Models of Physiological Systems

In the last years of research, I focused my studies on different physiological problems. Together with my supervisors, I developed/improved different mathematical models in order to create valid tools useful for a better understanding of important clinical issues. The aim of all this work is to develop tools for learning and understanding cardiac and cerebrovascular physiology as well as pathology, generating research questions and developing clinical decision support systems useful for intensive care unit patients. I. ICP-model Designed for Medical Education We developed a comprehensive cerebral blood flow and intracranial pressure model to simulate and study the complex interactions in cerebrovascular dynamics caused by multiple simultaneous alterations, including normal and abnormal functional states of auto-regulation of the brain. Individual published equations (derived from prior animal and human studies) were implemented into a comprehensive simulation program. Included in the normal physiological modelling was: intracranial pressure, cerebral blood flow, blood pressure, and carbon dioxide (CO2) partial pressure. We also added external and pathological perturbations, such as head up position and intracranial haemorrhage. The model performed clinically realistically given inputs of published traumatized patients, and cases encountered by clinicians. The pulsatile nature of the output graphics was easy for clinicians to interpret. The manoeuvres simulated include changes of basic physiological inputs (e.g. blood pressure, central venous pressure, CO2 tension, head up position, and respiratory effects on vascular pressures) as well as pathological inputs (e.g. acute intracranial bleeding, and obstruction of cerebrospinal outflow). Based on the results, we believe the model would be useful to teach complex relationships of brain haemodynamics and study clinical research questions such as the optimal head-up position, the effects of intracranial haemorrhage on cerebral haemodynamics, as well as the best CO2 concentration to reach the optimal compromise between intracranial pressure and perfusion. We believe this model would be useful for both beginners and advanced learners. It could be used by practicing clinicians to model individual patients (entering the effects of needed clinical manipulations, and then running the model to test for optimal combinations of therapeutic manoeuvres). II. A Heterogeneous Cerebrovascular Mathematical Model Cerebrovascular pathologies are extremely complex, due to the multitude of factors acting simultaneously on cerebral haemodynamics. In this work, the mathematical model of cerebral haemodynamics and intracranial pressure dynamics, described in the point I, is extended to account for heterogeneity in cerebral blood flow. The model includes the Circle of Willis, six regional districts independently regulated by autoregulation and CO2 reactivity, distal cortical anastomoses, venous circulation, the cerebrospinal fluid circulation, and the intracranial pressure-volume relationship. Results agree with data in the literature and highlight the existence of a monotonic relationship between transient hyperemic response and the autoregulation gain. During unilateral internal carotid artery stenosis, local blood flow regulation is progressively lost in the ipsilateral territory with the presence of a steal phenomenon, while the anterior communicating artery plays the major role to redistribute the available blood flow. Conversely, distal collateral circulation plays a major role during unilateral occlusion of the middle cerebral artery. In conclusion, the model is able to reproduce several different pathological conditions characterized by heterogeneity in cerebrovascular haemodynamics and can not only explain generalized results in terms of physiological mechanisms involved, but also, by individualizing parameters, may represent a valuable tool to help with difficult clinical decisions. III. Effect of Cushing Response on Systemic Arterial Pressure. During cerebral hypoxic conditions, the sympathetic system causes an increase in arterial pressure (Cushing response), creating a link between the cerebral and the systemic circulation. This work investigates the complex relationships among cerebrovascular dynamics, intracranial pressure, Cushing response, and short-term systemic regulation, during plateau waves, by means of an original mathematical model. The model incorporates the pulsating heart, the pulmonary circulation and the systemic circulation, with an accurate description of the cerebral circulation and the intracranial pressure dynamics (same model as in the first paragraph). Various regulatory mechanisms are included: cerebral autoregulation, local blood flow control by oxygen (O2) and/or CO2 changes, sympathetic and vagal regulation of cardiovascular parameters by several reflex mechanisms (chemoreceptors, lung-stretch receptors, baroreceptors). The Cushing response has been described assuming a dramatic increase in sympathetic activity to vessels during a fall in brain O2 delivery. With this assumption, the model is able to simulate the cardiovascular effects experimentally observed when intracranial pressure is artificially elevated and maintained at constant level (arterial pressure increase and bradicardia). According to the model, these effects arise from the interaction between the Cushing response and the baroreflex response (secondary to arterial pressure increase). Then, patients with severe head injury have been simulated by reducing intracranial compliance and cerebrospinal fluid reabsorption. With these changes, oscillations with plateau waves developed. In these conditions, model results indicate that the Cushing response may have both positive effects, reducing the duration of the plateau phase via an increase in cerebral perfusion pressure, and negative effects, increasing the intracranial pressure plateau level, with a risk of greater compression of the cerebral vessels. This model may be of value to assist clinicians in finding the balance between clinical benefits of the Cushing response and its shortcomings. IV. Comprehensive Cardiopulmonary Simulation Model for the Analysis of Hypercapnic Respiratory Failure We developed a new comprehensive cardiopulmonary model that takes into account the mutual interactions between the cardiovascular and the respiratory systems along with their short-term regulatory mechanisms. The model includes the heart, systemic and pulmonary circulations, lung mechanics, gas exchange and transport equations, and cardio-ventilatory control. Results show good agreement with published patient data in case of normoxic and hyperoxic hypercapnia simulations. In particular, simulations predict a moderate increase in mean systemic arterial pressure and heart rate, with almost no change in cardiac output, paralleled by a relevant increase in minute ventilation, tidal volume and respiratory rate. The model can represent a valid tool for clinical practice and medical research, providing an alternative way to experience-based clinical decisions. In conclusion, models are not only capable of summarizing current knowledge, but also identifying missing knowledge. In the former case they can serve as training aids for teaching the operation of complex systems, especially if the model can be used to demonstrate the outcome of experiments. In the latter case they generate experiments to be performed to gather the missing data.

Computational Modeling of Cardiac Excitation-Contraction Coupling in Physiological and Pathological Conditions

The cardiomyocyte is a complex biological system where many mechanisms interact non-linearly to regulate the coupling between electrical excitation and mechanical contraction. For this reason, the development of mathematical models is fundamental in the field of cardiac electrophysiology, where the use of computational tools has become complementary to the classical experimentation. My doctoral research has been focusing on the development of such models for investigating the regulation of ventricular excitation-contraction coupling at the single cell level. In particular, the following researches are presented in this thesis: 1) Study of the unexpected deleterious effect of a Na channel blocker on a long QT syndrome type 3 patient. Experimental results were used to tune a Na current model that recapitulates the effect of the mutation and the treatment, in order to investigate how these influence the human action potential. Our research suggested that the analysis of the clinical phenotype is not sufficient for recommending drugs to patients carrying mutations with undefined electrophysiological properties. 2) Development of a model of L-type Ca channel inactivation in rabbit myocytes to faithfully reproduce the relative roles of voltage- and Ca-dependent inactivation. The model was applied to the analysis of Ca current inactivation kinetics during normal and abnormal repolarization, and predicts arrhythmogenic activity when inhibiting Ca-dependent inactivation, which is the predominant mechanism in physiological conditions. 3) Analysis of the arrhythmogenic consequences of the crosstalk between β-adrenergic and Ca-calmodulin dependent protein kinase signaling pathways. The descriptions of the two regulatory mechanisms, both enhanced in heart failure, were integrated into a novel murine action potential model to investigate how they concur to the development of cardiac arrhythmias. These studies show how mathematical modeling is suitable to provide new insights into the mechanisms underlying cardiac excitation-contraction coupling and arrhythmogenesis.

Cardiac functional and structural abnormalities in a mouse model of CDKL5 deficiency disorder

CDKL5 (cyclin-dependent kinase-like 5) deficiency disorder (CDD) is a rare and severe neurodevelopmental disease that mostly affects girls who are heterozygous for mutations in the X-linked CDKL5 gene. The lack of CDKL5 protein expression or function leads to the appearance of numerous clinical features, including early-onset seizures, marked hypotonia, autistic features, and severe neurodevelopmental impairment. Mouse models of CDD, Cdkl5 KO mice, exhibit several behavioral phenotypes that mimic CDD features, such as impaired learning and memory, social interaction, and motor coordination. CDD symptomatology, along with the high CDKL5 expression levels in the brain, underscores the critical role that CDKL5 plays in proper brain development and function. Nevertheless, the improvement of the clinical overview of CDD in the past few years has defined a more detailed phenotypic spectrum; this includes very common alterations in peripheral organ and tissue function, such as gastrointestinal problems, irregular breathing, hypotonia, and scoliosis, suggesting that CDKL5 deficiency compromises not only CNS function but also that of other organs/tissues. Here we report, for the first time, that a mouse model of CDD, the heterozygous Cdkl5 KO (Cdkl5 +/-) female mouse, exhibits cardiac functional and structural abnormalities. The mice also showed QTc prolongation and increased heart rate. These changes correlate with a marked decrease in parasympathetic activity to the heart and in the expression of the Scn5a and Hcn4 voltage-gated channels. Moreover, the Cdkl5 +/- heart shows typical signs of heart aging, including increased fibrosis, mitochondrial dysfunctions, and increased ROS production. Overall, our study not only contributes to the understanding of the role of CDKL5 in heart structure/function but also documents a novel preclinical phenotype for future therapeutic investigation.