Patterns of regional differentiation in post-Soviet Russia

This doctoral thesis aims at contributing to the literature on transition economies focusing on the Russian Federations and in particular on regional income convergence and fertility patterns. The first two chapter deal with the issue of income convergence across regions. Chapter 1 provides an historical-institutional analysis of the period between the late years of the Soviet Union and the last decade of economic growth and a presentation of the sample with a description of gross regional product composition, agrarian or industrial vocation, labor. Chapter 2 contributes to the literature on exploratory spatial data analysis with a application to a panel of 77 regions in the period 1994-2008. It provides an analysis of spatial patterns and it extends the theoretical framework of growth regressions controlling for spatial correlation and heterogeneity. Chapter 3 analyses the national demographic patterns since 1960 and provides a review of the policies on maternity leave and family benefits. Data sources are the Statistical Yearbooks of USSR, the Statistical Yearbooks of the Russian Soviet Federative Socialist Republic and the Demographic Yearbooks of Russia. Chapter 4 analyses the demographic patterns in light of the theoretical framework of the Becker model, the Second Demographic Transition and an economic-crisis argument. With national data from 1960, the theoretically issue of the pro or countercyclical relation between income and fertility is graphically analyzed and discussed, together with female employment and education. With regional data after 1994 different panel data models are tested. Individual level data from the Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey are employed using the logit model. Chapter 5 employs data from the Generations and Gender Survey by UNECE to focus on postponement and second births intentions. Postponement is studied through cohort analysis of mean maternal age at first birth, while the methodology used for second birth intentions is the ordered logit model.

Antiepileptic drugs and pregnancy. Population based pharmaco-epidemiological study on prescription patterns, pregnancy outcome and foetal health

Aims of the study: To assess the prevalence of Antiepileptic Drug (AED) exposure in pregnant women with or without epilepsy and the comparative risk of terminations of pregnancy (TOPs), spontaneous abortions, stillbirth, major congenital malformations (MCMs) and foetal growth retardation (FGR) following intrauterine AED exposure in the Emilia Romagna region (RER), Northern Italy (4 million inhabitants). Methods: Data were obtained from official regional registries: Certificate of Delivery Assistance, Hospital Discharge Card, reimbursed prescription databases and Registry of Congenital Malformations. We identified all the deliveries, hospitalized abortions and MCMs occurred between January 2009 and December 2011. Results: We identified 145,243 pregnancies: 111,284 deliveries (112,845 live births and 279 stillbirths), 16408 spontaneous abortions and 17551 TOPs. Six hundred and eleven pregnancies (0.42% 95% Cl: 0.39-0.46) were exposed to AEDs. Twenty-one per cent of pregnancies ended in TOP in the AED group vs 12% in the non-exposed (OR:2.24; CI 1.41-3.56). The rate of spontaneous abortions and stillbirth was comparable in the two groups. Three hundred fifty-three babies (0.31%, 95% CI: 0.28-0.35) were exposed to AEDs during the first trimester. The rate of MCMs was 2.3% in the AED group (2.2% in babies exposed to monotherapy and 3.1% in babies exposed to polytherapy) vs 2.0% in the non-exposed. The risk of FGR was 12.7 % in the exposed group compared to 10% in the non-exposed. Discussion and Conclusion: The prevalence of AED exposure in pregnancy in the RER was 0.42%. The rate of MCMs in children exposed to AEDs in utero was almost superimposable to the one of the non-exposed, however polytherapy carried a slightly increased risk . The rate of TOPs was significantly higher in the exposed women. Further studies are needed to clarify whether this high rate reflects a higher rate of MCMs detected prenatally or other more elusive reasons.

Stewardship antibiotica neonatale: valutazione dell'esposizione antimicrobica nelle sospette early onset sepsis (EOS)

Background: Le early-onset sepsis (EOS) sono infezioni batteriche invasive definite dalla presenza di batteri nel sangue e/o nel liquor cefalorachidiano che esordiscono nelle prime 72 ore di vita e causano in epoca neonatale mortalità e morbilità importanti. Scopo: Determinare l’eccesso di trattamento antibiotico (Overtreatment index=OI) nei neonati di EG ≥34 settimane con sospetta sepsi ad esordio precoce. Metodi: Tutti i nati dal 1.01.2014 al 31.12.2018 di EG ≥34 settimane presso IRCCS Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria e l’Ospedale Maggiore di Bologna che hanno ricevuto terapia antibiotica endovenosa nelle prime 168 ore di vita nel sospetto di EOS. Sono stati identificati 2 gruppi: EOS provata (N=7) ed EOS sospetta (N=465). Risultati: L’incidenza di EOS è stata 0.22 su 1000 nati vivi, rispettivamente 0.12/1000 per Streptococcus agalactiae (GBS) e 0.06/1000 per Escherichia coli (E.coli). L’1.75% dei neonati ha ricevuto terapia antimicrobica empirica a largo spettro. L’OI è risultato 68. L’esposizione al trattamento antibiotico nella popolazione è stata di 85 giorni/1000 nati vivi. Tra i fattori di rischio materni, il tampone vagino-rettale (TVR) e l’urinocoltura positiva sono risultati associati al rischio di EOS provata (p=.017, p =.000). I valori di proteina C reattiva (PCR) al T0, T1 e T2 tra i due gruppi sono risultati significativi (p=.000). All’analisi multivariata è stata confermata la significatività delle variabili descritte. (TVR non noto OR=15.1, 95%CI 1.98-115.50, p =.009, urinocoltura positiva OR=30.1, 95%CI 3.6-252.1, p = .002, PCR T0 OR=1.6, 95% CI 1.29-2.07, p = .000.) Conclusioni: L’individuazione precoce di fattori di rischio e la valutazione degli indici di flogosi in neonati sintomatici può ridurre l’OI e la durata della terapia antibiotica in casi di sepsi non confermata. L’uso appropriato degli antibiotici in questa popolazione è particolarmente importante poichè riduce lo sviluppo di germi multiresistenti. Nelle Terapie Intensive Neonatali, i programmi di stewardship antimicrobica dovrebbero guidare la gestione delle sepsi.