6 resultados para Auto-Regressive and Moving-Average Model with exogenous inputs
em AMS Tesi di Dottorato - Alm@DL - Università di Bologna
Resumo:
In the present work we perform an econometric analysis of the Tribal art market. To this aim, we use a unique and original database that includes information on Tribal art market auctions worldwide from 1998 to 2011. In Literature, art prices are modelled through the hedonic regression model, a classic fixed-effect model. The main drawback of the hedonic approach is the large number of parameters, since, in general, art data include many categorical variables. In this work, we propose a multilevel model for the analysis of Tribal art prices that takes into account the influence of time on artwork prices. In fact, it is natural to assume that time exerts an influence over the price dynamics in various ways. Nevertheless, since the set of objects change at every auction date, we do not have repeated measurements of the same items over time. Hence, the dataset does not constitute a proper panel; rather, it has a two-level structure in that items, level-1 units, are grouped in time points, level-2 units. The main theoretical contribution is the extension of classical multilevel models to cope with the case described above. In particular, we introduce a model with time dependent random effects at the second level. We propose a novel specification of the model, derive the maximum likelihood estimators and implement them through the E-M algorithm. We test the finite sample properties of the estimators and the validity of the own-written R-code by means of a simulation study. Finally, we show that the new model improves considerably the fit of the Tribal art data with respect to both the hedonic regression model and the classic multilevel model.
Resumo:
Safe collaboration between a robot and human operator forms a critical requirement for deploying a robotic system into a manufacturing and testing environment. In this dissertation, the safety requirement for is developed and implemented for the navigation system of the mobile manipulators. A methodology for human-robot co-existence through a 3d scene analysis is also investigated. The proposed approach exploits the advance in computing capability by relying on graphic processing units (GPU’s) for volumetric predictive human-robot contact checking. Apart from guaranteeing safety of operators, human-robot collaboration is also fundamental when cooperative activities are required, as in appliance test automation floor. To achieve this, a generalized hierarchical task controller scheme for collision avoidance is developed. This allows the robotic arm to safely approach and inspect the interior of the appliance without collision during the testing procedure. The unpredictable presence of the operators also forms dynamic obstacle that changes very fast, thereby requiring a quick reaction from the robot side. In this aspect, a GPU-accelarated distance field is computed to speed up reaction time to avoid collision between human operator and the robot. An automated appliance testing also involves robotized laundry loading and unloading during life cycle testing. This task involves Laundry detection, grasp pose estimation and manipulation in a container, inside the drum and during recovery grasping. A wrinkle and blob detection algorithms for grasp pose estimation are developed and grasp poses are calculated along the wrinkle and blobs to efficiently perform grasping task. By ranking the estimated laundry grasp poses according to a predefined cost function, the robotic arm attempt to grasp poses that are more comfortable from the robot kinematic side as well as collision free on the appliance side. This is achieved through appliance detection and full-model registration and collision free trajectory execution using online collision avoidance.
Resumo:
Long air gaps containing a floating conductor are common insulation types in power grids. During the transmission line live-line work, the process of lineman entering the transmission line air gap constitutes a live-line work combined air gap, which is a typical long air gap containing a floating conductor. This thesis investigates the discharge characteristics, the discharge mechanism and a discharge simulation model of long air gaps containing a floating conductor in order to address the engineering issues in live-line work. The innovative achievements of the thesis are as follows: (1) The effect of the gap distance, the floating electrode structure, the switching impulse wavefront time, the altitude, and the deviation of the floating conductor from the axis on the breakdown voltage was determined. (2) The physical process of the discharges in long air gaps containing a floating conductor was determined. The reason why the discharge characteristics of long air gaps containing a floating electrode with complex geometrics and sharp protrusions and long air gaps with a rod-shaped floating electrode are similar has been studied. The formation mechanism of the lowest breakdown voltage area of a long air gap containing a floating conductor is explained. (3) A simulation discharge model of long air gaps containing a floating conductor was established, which can describe the physical process and predict the breakdown voltage. The model can realize the accurate prediction of the breakdown voltage of typical long air gaps containing a floating conductor and live-line work combined air gaps in transmission lines. The findings of the study can provide theoretical reference and technical support for improving the safety of live-line work.
Resumo:
The thesis deals with standing and justiciability in climate litigation against governments and the private sector. The first part addresses the impacts of climate change on human rights, the major developments in international climate law, and the historical reasons for climate litigation. The second part analyses several cases, divided into categories. It then draws to a comparative conclusion with regard to each category. The third part deals with the Italian legal tradition on standing and justiciability – starting from the historical roots of such rules. The fourth part introduces the ‘Model Statute’ drafted by the International Bar Association, arguing that the 'ratio legis' of this proposal could be implemented in Italy or the EU. The thesis develops arguments, based on the existing legal framework, to help plaintiffs establish standing and justiciability in proceedings pending before Italian courts. It further proposes the idea that 'citizen suits' are consistent with the Italian and EU legal tradition and that the EU could rely on citizen suits to privately enforce its climate law and policies under the ‘European Green Deal.’
Resumo:
Lipid peroxidation is a complex mechanism that causes the degradation of lipid material of both industrial and biological significance. During processing, it is known that thermal stress produces oxidation and polymerization of oils. Additionally, biological lipids with both structural and bioactive roles are prone to peroxidation, which can have pathogenic effects including cancer and long-term degenerative disorders. To create innovative strategies to slow down the deterioration of lipids, it is crucial to improve our understanding of oxidation reactions and kinetics. To this purpose, Chapter II of this thesis focuses on the kinetic study of the oxidation reactions that take place during the thermal processing of bio-oils for industrial application. Through a new method it was possible to evaluate the kinetic parameters of oxidation of various lipid materials. This allowed us to distinguish between the different lipid materials based on their intrinsic properties. The effect of 18 antioxidants from the major families of natural and synthetic phenols were studied using the same methodology in order to acquire crucial data for enhancing the antioxidant activity of phenols based on structure-activity at high temperatures. Finally, it has been described how the antioxidant activity of α-tocopherol, revealed to be scarce in our conditions, can be improved in the presence of gamma-terpinene, through a synergistic action. Chapter III describes the synthesis and study of the antioxidant activity of polydopamine nanoparticles, in order to clarify the unclear mechanism of action of this material. Finally, in Chapter IV it was reported how the gamma-terpinene strongly inhibits the peroxidation of unsaturated lipids in heterogeneous model systems (micelles and liposomes) by forming hydroperoxyl radicals which diffuse outside the lipid nucleus, blocking the propagation of the chain radical. Furthermore, gamma-terpinene shows a very potent protective activity against ferroptosis being effective in the nanomolar range in the human neuroblastoma cell model.
Resumo:
Latency can be defined as the sum of the arrival times at the customers. Minimum latency problems are specially relevant in applications related to humanitarian logistics. This thesis presents algorithms for solving a family of vehicle routing problems with minimum latency. First the latency location routing problem (LLRP) is considered. It consists of determining the subset of depots to be opened, and the routes that a set of homogeneous capacitated vehicles must perform in order to visit a set of customers such that the sum of the demands of the customers assigned to each vehicle does not exceed the capacity of the vehicle. For solving this problem three metaheuristic algorithms combining simulated annealing and variable neighborhood descent, and an iterated local search (ILS) algorithm, are proposed. Furthermore, the multi-depot cumulative capacitated vehicle routing problem (MDCCVRP) and the multi-depot k-traveling repairman problem (MDk-TRP) are solved with the proposed ILS algorithm. The MDCCVRP is a special case of the LLRP in which all the depots can be opened, and the MDk-TRP is a special case of the MDCCVRP in which the capacity constraints are relaxed. Finally, a LLRP with stochastic travel times is studied. A two-stage stochastic programming model and a variable neighborhood search algorithm are proposed for solving the problem. Furthermore a sampling method is developed for tackling instances with an infinite number of scenarios. Extensive computational experiments show that the proposed methods are effective for solving the problems under study.