20 resultados para BINARY RESPONSE MODELS
Resumo:
Understanding the natural and forced variability of the atmospheric general circulation and its drivers is one of the grand challenges in climate science. It is of paramount importance to understand to what extent the systematic error of climate models affects the processes driving such variability. This is done by performing a set of simulations (ROCK experiments) with an intermediate complexity atmospheric model (SPEEDY), in which the Rocky Mountains orography is increased or decreased to influence the structure of the North Pacific jet stream. For each of these modified-orography experiments, the climatic response to idealized sea surface temperature anomalies of varying intensity in the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) region is studied. ROCK experiments are characterized by variations in the Pacific jet stream intensity whose extension encompasses the spread of the systematic error found in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) models. When forced with ENSO-like idealised anomalies, they exhibit a non-negligible sensitivity in the response pattern over the Pacific North American region, indicating that the model mean state can affect the model response to ENSO. It is found that the classical Rossby wave train response to ENSO is more meridionally oriented when the Pacific jet stream is weaker and more zonally oriented with a stronger jet. Rossby wave linear theory suggests that a stronger jet implies a stronger waveguide, which traps Rossby waves at a lower latitude, favouring a zonal propagation of Rossby waves. The shape of the dynamical response to ENSO affects the ENSO impacts on surface temperature and precipitation over Central and North America. A comparison of the SPEEDY results with CMIP6 models suggests a wider applicability of the results to more resources-demanding climate general circulation models (GCMs), opening up to future works focusing on the relationship between Pacific jet misrepresentation and response to external forcing in fully-fledged GCMs.
Resumo:
Cardiomyopathies are a heterogeneous group of myocardial disorders defined by structural and functional alterations of the heart. These cardiac diseases can have both non-genetic and genetic origin. Nevertheless, a different etiology can trigger the same phenotype, as in the case of anthracycline-induced cardiotoxicity and desmin-related cardiomyopathy (DRM). Therefore, the aim of this study was to investigate the cellular mechanisms driving the development of these cardiotoxic conditions in in vitro models. Doxorubicin (DOX) is a commonly used antineoplastic drug for the treatment of a wide range of tumors. Besides, its clinical use is restricted because of dose-dependent cardiotoxicity. Our findings provided evidence that phospholipase C Beta 2 (PLCβ2) may have a critical role in DOX-induced cardiotoxicity in undifferentiated and differentiated H9c2 cell line. Interestingly, the results obtained revealed that cardiomyocytes are less sensitive to DOX, following the evaluation of cellular mechanisms such as: oxidative stress, apoptosis and cell proliferation. Nonetheless, the treatment induced a significant upregulation of PLCβ2 associated to morphological changes in both models, demonstrating the implication in a hypertrophic response. On the other hand, a hereditary DRM was associated to a missense mutation of aB crystallin (CRYAB), a chaperone protein involved in the regulation of the intermediate filament network. Since research has only been conducted on transgenic (TG) mice and neonatal rat cardiomyocytes, this study aimed at investigating cellular mechanisms triggered by CRYABR120G mutation in a hiPSC-derived DRM model. Our model confirmed the impairment of the cytoskeletal organization resulting in the formation of desmin and CRYAB aggregates and myofibril misalignment. Moreover, the missense mutation confirmed a hypertrophic cardiomyopathy phenotype, a feature of DRM patients, on cardiac engineered tissues. Lastly, these data obtained suggest that further research on PLCβ2 and CRYAB are needed to comprehend the molecular mechanisms behind the development of these 2 cardiac diseases.
Resumo:
The main topic of this thesis is confounding in linear regression models. It arises when a relationship between an observed process, the covariate, and an outcome process, the response, is influenced by an unmeasured process, the confounder, associated with both. Consequently, the estimators for the regression coefficients of the measured covariates might be severely biased, less efficient and characterized by misleading interpretations. Confounding is an issue when the primary target of the work is the estimation of the regression parameters. The central point of the dissertation is the evaluation of the sampling properties of parameter estimators. This work aims to extend the spatial confounding framework to general structured settings and to understand the behaviour of confounding as a function of the data generating process structure parameters in several scenarios focusing on the joint covariate-confounder structure. In line with the spatial statistics literature, our purpose is to quantify the sampling properties of the regression coefficient estimators and, in turn, to identify the most prominent quantities depending on the generative mechanism impacting confounding. Once the sampling properties of the estimator conditionally on the covariate process are derived as ratios of dependent quadratic forms in Gaussian random variables, we provide an analytic expression of the marginal sampling properties of the estimator using Carlson’s R function. Additionally, we propose a representative quantity for the magnitude of confounding as a proxy of the bias, its first-order Laplace approximation. To conclude, we work under several frameworks considering spatial and temporal data with specific assumptions regarding the covariance and cross-covariance functions used to generate the processes involved. This study allows us to claim that the variability of the confounder-covariate interaction and of the covariate plays the most relevant role in determining the principal marker of the magnitude of confounding.
Resumo:
In the field of educational and psychological measurement, the shift from paper-based to computerized tests has become a prominent trend in recent years. Computerized tests allow for more complex and personalized test administration procedures, like Computerized Adaptive Testing (CAT). CAT, following the Item Response Theory (IRT) models, dynamically generates tests based on test-taker responses, driven by complex statistical algorithms. Even if CAT structures are complex, they are flexible and convenient, but concerns about test security should be addressed. Frequent item administration can lead to item exposure and cheating, necessitating preventive and diagnostic measures. In this thesis a method called "CHeater identification using Interim Person fit Statistic" (CHIPS) is developed, designed to identify and limit cheaters in real-time during test administration. CHIPS utilizes response times (RTs) to calculate an Interim Person fit Statistic (IPS), allowing for on-the-fly intervention using a more secret item bank. Also, a slight modification is proposed to overcome situations with constant speed, called Modified-CHIPS (M-CHIPS). A simulation study assesses CHIPS, highlighting its effectiveness in identifying and controlling cheaters. However, it reveals limitations when cheaters possess all correct answers. The M-CHIPS overcame this limitation. Furthermore, the method has shown not to be influenced by the cheaters’ ability distribution or the level of correlation between ability and speed of test-takers. Finally, the method has demonstrated flexibility for the choice of significance level and the transition from fixed-length tests to variable-length ones. The thesis discusses potential applications, including the suitability of the method for multiple-choice tests, assumptions about RT distribution and level of item pre-knowledge. Also limitations are discussed to explore future developments such as different RT distributions, unusual honest respondent behaviors, and field testing in real-world scenarios. In summary, CHIPS and M-CHIPS offer real-time cheating detection in CAT, enhancing test security and ability estimation while not penalizing test respondents.
Resumo:
Bioelectronic interfaces have significantly advanced in recent years, offering potential treatments for vision impairments, spinal cord injuries, and neurodegenerative diseases. However, the classical neurocentric vision drives the technological development toward neurons. Emerging evidence highlights the critical role of glial cells in the nervous system. Among them, astrocytes significantly influence neuronal networks throughout life and are implicated in several neuropathological states. Although they are incapable to fire action potentials, astrocytes communicate through diverse calcium (Ca2+) signalling pathways, crucial for cognitive functions and brain blood flow regulation. Current bioelectronic devices are primarily designed to interface neurons and are unsuitable for studying astrocytes. Graphene, with its unique electrical, mechanical and biocompatibility properties, has emerged as a promising neural interface material. However, its use as electrode interface to modulate astrocyte functionality remains unexplored. The aim of this PhD work was to exploit Graphene-oxide (GO) and reduced GO (rGO)-coated electrodes to control Ca2+ signalling in astrocytes by electrical stimulation. We discovered that distinct Ca2+dynamics in astrocytes can be evoked, in vitro and in brain slices, depending on the conductive/insulating properties of rGO/GO electrodes. Stimulation by rGO electrodes induces intracellular Ca2+ response with sharp peaks of oscillations (“P-type”), exclusively due to Ca2+ release from intracellular stores. Conversely, astrocytes stimulated by GO electrodes show slower and sustained Ca2+ response (“S-type”), largely mediated by external Ca2+ influx through specific ion channels. Astrocytes respond faster than neurons and activate distinct G-Protein Coupled Receptor intracellular signalling pathways. We propose a resistive/insulating model, hypothesizing that the different conductivity of the substrate influences the electric field at the cell/electrolyte or cell/material interfaces, favouring, respectively, the Ca2+ release from intracellular stores or the extracellular Ca2+ influx. This research provides a simple tool to selectively control distinct Ca2+ signals in brain astrocytes in neuroscience and bioelectronic medicine.