Forecasting the need for medical specialists in Spain: application of a system dynamics model

[EN] Background: Spain has gone from a surplus to a shortage of medical doctors in very few years. Medium and long-term planning for health professionals has become a high priority for health authorities. Methods: We created a supply and demand/need simulation model for 43 medical specialties using system dynamics. The model includes demographic, education and labour market variables. Several scenarios were defined. Variables controllable by health planners can be set as parameters to simulate different scenarios. The model calculates the supply and the deficit or surplus. Experts set the ratio of specialists needed per 1000 inhabitants with a Delphi method. Results: In the scenario of the baseline model with moderate population growth, the deficit of medical specialists will grow from 2% at present (2800 specialists) to 14.3% in 2025 (almost 21 000). The specialties with the greatest medium-term shortages are Anesthesiology, Orthopedic and Traumatic Surgery, Pediatric Surgery, Plastic Aesthetic and Reparatory Surgery, Family and Community Medicine, Pediatrics, Radiology, and Urology. Conclusions: The model suggests the need to increase the number of students admitted to medical school. Training itineraries should be redesigned to facilitate mobility among specialties. In the meantime, the need to make more flexible the supply in the short term is being filled by the immigration of physicians from new members of the European Union and from Latin America.

Los SIG aplicados a la organización de la información marina. Experiencias en el proyecto MEDINA (Marine Ecosystem Dynamics and Indicators for North Africa)

[ES] Los Sistemas de Información Geográfica (SIG) juegan un papel primordial en cualquier proyecto que use de algún modo datos georreferenciados. El proyecto FP7 MEDINA (Marine ecosystem dynamics and indicators for north Africa) no es una excepción, donde trabajamos con indicadores provenientes de diferentes países e instituciones. Una de las labores que se ha llevado a cabo es la armonización de dicha información y la puesta en común mediante las posibilidades que ofrecen los SIG y herramientas afines. Hablaremos de la capacidad de los SIG, especialmente en sus soluciones libres, para poder organizar, gestionar y analizar la información geográfica.

An observational study of oceanic eddy generation mechanisms by tall deep-water islands (Gran Canaria)

[EN]Oceanic eddy generation by tall deep-water islands is common phenomenon. It is recognized that these eddies may have a significant impact on the marine system and related biogeochemical fluxes. Hence, it is important to establish favourable conditions for their generation. With this objective, we present an observational study on eddy generation mechanisms by tall deep-water islands, using as a case study the island of Gran Canaria. Observations show that the main generation mechanism is topographic forcing, which leads to eddy generation when the incident oceanic flow is sufficiently intense. Wind shear at the island wake may acts only as an additional eddy-generation trigger mechanism when the impinging oceanic flow is not sufficiently intense. For the case of the island of Gran Canaria we have observed a mean of ten generated cyclonic eddies per year. Eddies are more frequently generated in summer coinciding with intense Trade winds and Canary Current.

Recent and historical climate variability effects on the population dynamics of several marine species

Eliminadas las páginas en blanco

Towards the construction of a validated numerical system to study the mesoscale dynamics of the North East Atlantic (2003-2006)

Máster en Oceanografía

Respiratory metabolism in the marine macroalga, Ulva spp: exploratory studies with the respiratory electron transport system (ETS)

Máster en Oceanografía

Viruses in the marine environment: community dynamics, phage-host interactions and genomic structure

[EN] There are an estimated 1030 viruses in the world oceans, the majority of which are phages (viruses that infect bacteria). Extensive research has demonstrated the significant influence of marine phages on microbial abundance, community structure, genetic exchange and global biogeochemical cycles. In this thesis, we contribute to increase the knowledge about the ecological role of viruses in marine systems, but also we aimed to provide a better understanding about the interactions between phages and their hosts and the genetic pool and biogeography of some the isolated phages genomes.

Development of a fluorescent method for the detection in marine organisms of the respiratory electron transport system

Trabajo realizado por: Maldonado, F.; Packard, T.; Gómez, M.; Santana Rodríguez, J. J