4 resultados para Predictive-validity

em Comissão Econômica para a América Latina e o Caribe (CEPAL)


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Presenta el modo en que se ha tratado el tema del Estado en la CEPAL, senala críticas que el mismo ha provocado, esboza la manera en que debería reformularse dicho tema a la luz de las circunstancias políticas actuales de la región y de los requisitos de una estrategia de desarrollo autónoma, equitativa y democrática.

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This study uses some backward-looking versions of Phillips curves, estimated from both revised and real-time data, to explore the existence, robustness and size of the contribution that a variety of activity measures may make to the task of predicting inflation in Chile. The main results confirm the findings of the recent international literature: the predictive power of the activity measures considered here is episodic, unstable and of moderate size. This weak predictive contribution is robust to the use of final and real-time data.