Establishing the risk of neonatal mortality using a fuzzy predictive model

O objetivo do artigo foi avaliar o uso da lógica fuzzy para estimar possibilidade de óbito neonatal. Desenvolveu-se um modelo computacional com base na teoria dos conjuntos fuzzy, tendo como variáveis peso ao nascer, idade gestacional, escore de Apgar e relato de natimorto. Empregou-se o método de inferência de Mamdani, e a variável de saída foi o risco de morte neonatal. Criaram-se 24 regras de acordo com as variáveis de entrada, e a validação do modelo utilizou um banco de dados real de uma cidade brasileira. A acurácia foi estimada pela curva ROC; os riscos foram comparados pelo teste t de Student. O programa MATLAB 6.5 foi usado para construir o modelo. Os riscos médios foram menores para os que sobreviveram (p < 0,001). A acurácia do modelo foi 0,90. A maior acurácia foi com possibilidade de risco igual ou menor que 25% (sensibilidade = 0,70, especificidade = 0,98, valor preditivo negativo = 0,99 e valor preditivo positivo = 0,22). O modelo mostrou acurácia e valor preditivo negativo bons, podendo ser utilizado em hospitais gerais.

Estabilização de sistemas fuzzy T-S incertos usando realimenta̧ão derivativa

In some practical problems, for instance, in the suppression of vibration in mechanical systems, the state-derivative signals are easier to obtain than the state signals. Thus, a method for state-derivative feedback design applied to uncertain nonlinear systems is proposed in this work. The nonlinear systems are represented by Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy models during the modeling of the problem, allowing to use Linear Matrix Inequalities (LMIs) in the controller design. This type of modeling ease the control design, because, LMIs are easily solved using convex programming technicals. The control design aimed at system stabilisation, with or without bounds on decay rate. The efficiency of design procedure is illustrated through a numerical example.

Projeto de reguladores fuzzy Takagi-Sugeno utilizando as condições iniciais da planta

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Análise da estabilidade de sistemas fuzzy Takagi-Sugeno utilizando as desigualdades de Lyapunov-Metzler

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Desenvolvimento de um modelo fuzzy para otimização da energia gerada por um sistema híbrido (solar-fotovoltaico e eólico)

Pós-graduação em Agronomia (Energia na Agricultura) - FCA

Estimação do número de internações por doenças respiratórias utilizando lógica fuzzy tipo-2 intervalar

In this work was developed a fuzzy computational model type-2 predictive interval, using the software of the type-2 fuzzy MATLAB toolbox, the final idea is to estimate the number of hospitalizations of patients with respiratory diseases. The interest in the creation of this model is to assist in decision makeshift hospital environment, where there are no medical or professional equipment available to provide the care that the population need. It began working with the study of fuzzy logic, the fuzzy inference system and fuzzy toolbox. Through a real database provided by the Departamento de Informática do Sistema Único de Saúde (DATASUS) and Companhia de Tecnologia de Saneamento Básico (CETESB), was possible to start the model. The analyzed database is composed of the number of patients admitted with respiratory diseases a day for the public hospital in São José dos Campos, during the year 2009 and by factors such as PM10, SO2, wind and humidity. These factors were analyzed as input variables and, through these, is possible to get the number of admissions a day, which is the output variable of the model. For data analysis we used the fuzzy control method type-2 Mamdani. In the following steps the performance developed in this work was compared with the performance of the same model using fuzzy logic type-1. Finally, the validity of the models was estimated by the ROC curve

Modelo fuzzy estimando tempo de internação por doenças cardiovasculares

Abstract A fuzzy linguistic model based on the Mamdani method with input variables, particulate matter, sulfur dioxide, temperature and wind obtained from CETESB with two membership functions each was built to predict the average hospitalization time due to cardiovascular diseases related to exposure to air pollutants in São José dos Campos in the State of São Paulo in 2009. The output variable is the average length of hospitalization obtained from DATASUS with six membership functions. The average time given by the model was compared to actual data using lags of 0 to 4 days. This model was built using the Matlab v. 7.5 fuzzy toolbox. Its accuracy was assessed with the ROC curve. Hospitalizations with a mean time of 7.9 days (SD = 4.9) were recorded in 1119 cases. The data provided revealed a significant correlation with the actual data according to the lags of 0 to 4 days. The pollutant that showed the greatest accuracy was sulfur dioxide. This model can be used as the basis of a specialized system to assist the city health authority in assessing the risk of hospitalizations due to air pollutants.

Novas condições de estabilidade de sistemas não lineares utilizando funções de Lyapunov fuzzy

Pós-graduação em Engenharia Elétrica - FEIS

Aplicação da teoria fuzzy no controle de sistemas de geração de energias alternativas

This paper presents the application and use of a methodology based on fuzzy theory and simulates its use in intelligent control of a hybrid system for generating electricity, using solar energy, photovoltaic and wind. When using a fuzzy control system, it reached the point of maximum generation of energy, thus shifting all energy generated from the alternative sources-solar photovoltaic and wind, cargo and / or batteries when its use not immediately. The model uses three variables used for entry, which are: wind speed, solar radiation and loading the bank of batteries. For output variable has to choose which of the batteries of the battery bank is charged. For the simulations of this work is used MATLAB software. In this environment mathematical computational are analyzed and simulated all mathematical modeling, rules and other variables in the system described fuzzy. This model can be used in a system of control of hybrid systems for generating energy, providing the best use of energy sources, sun and wind, so we can extract the maximum energy possible these alternative sources without any prejudice to the environment.

Modelagem fuzzy de dados climáticos estimados por modelo matemático - CCATT-BRAMS

Pós-graduação em Engenharia Mecânica - FEG

POTENTIAL BAGS

Relativistic confining potential models, endowed with bag constants associated to volume energy terms, are investigated. In contrast to the usual bag model, these potential bags are distinguished by having smeared bag surfaces. Based on the dynamical assumptions underlying the fuzzy bag model, these bag constants are derived from the corresponding energy-momentum tensor. Explicit expressions for the single-quark energies and for the nucleon bag constant are obtained by means of an improved analytical version of the saddle-point variational method for the Dirac equation with confining power-law potentials of the scalar plus vector (S + V) or pure scalar (S) type.

Projeto de controladores baseados em LMIs: realimentação derivativa e sistemas chaveados utilizando estrutura variável

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Efeito agudo de uma sessão de exercícios aeróbios e resistidos na pressão arterial de indivíduos normotensos e hipertensos pertencentes ao Programa de Atividade Física na UBS e PSF do município de Rio Claro-SP

A hipertensão arterial (HA) é fator de risco para o desenvolvimento de doenças cardiovasculares, uma forma de prevenção seria a adoção de um estilo de vida mais ativo.O estudo tem como objetivo verificar se uma sessão de exercícios resistidos e aeróbios provoca efeito hipotensivo em indivíduos normotensos e hipertensos sendo a P.A aferida antes e depois dos exercícios. Participaram do estudo 29 indivíduos, normo e hipertensos, com idade média de 54,96 anos ( ± 9,56 ), todos participantes do projeto de atividade física para diabéticos e hipertensos, desenvolvido pelo NAFES da UNESP – Rio Claro. A aula constituiu-se de aquecimento e alongamento (10 min), parte principal (40 min) dividida por: Caminhada (10 min), exercícios resistidos de membro superior utilizando halteres de um quilo (10 min), caminhada (10 min) e exercícios resistidos de membros inferiores com peso corporal (10 min), finalizando com volta calma(10 min). A Pressão Arterial foi aferida através de aparelho digital de pulso Fuzzy LOGIC, Model 3001, BioLand em repouso(M1), ao termino(M2), 30 minutos pós-exercícios(M3) e 4 horas após o termino dos exercícios(M4). Os dados foram analisados por meio do ANOVA para análises repetidas, através do programa Statistic 7.0 e significância de p<0,05. A analise estatística mostrou que na pressão sistólica não houve diferença significante do M1(137,6 ±17,1mmHg) para o M3(133,9 ±18,8mmHg) enquanto que na pressão diastólica observou-se diferença significativa do M1(84,7 ±9,3mmHg) para o M4(80,7 ±11.2mmHg). Conclusão: Houve efeito hipotensor após exercícios apenas na pressão diastólica, já na pressão sistólica não ocorreu mudança significativa embora todos os valores pós exercícios tenham diminuído, tanot na sistólica quanto na diastólica.

Improving the stability conditions of TS fuzzy systems with fuzzy Lyapunov functions

In this paper, the fuzzy Lyapunov function approach is considered for stabilizing continuous-time Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy systems. Previous linear matrix inequality (LMI) stability conditions are relaxed by exploring further the properties of the time derivatives of premise membership functions and by introducing a slack LMI variable into the problem formulation. The stability results are thus used in the state feedback design which is also solved in terms of LMIs. Numerical examples illustrate the efficiency of the new stabilizing conditions presented. © 2011 IFAC.

Reducing the conservatism of LMI-based stabilisation conditions for TS fuzzy systems using fuzzy Lyapunov functions

In this article, the fuzzy Lyapunov function approach is considered for stabilising continuous-time Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy systems. Previous linear matrix inequality (LMI) stability conditions are relaxed by exploring further the properties of the time derivatives of premise membership functions and by introducing slack LMI variables into the problem formulation. The relaxation conditions given can also be used with a class of fuzzy Lyapunov functions which also depends on the membership function first-order time-derivative. The stability results are thus extended to systems with large number of rules under membership function order relations and used to design parallel-distributed compensation (PDC) fuzzy controllers which are also solved in terms of LMIs. Numerical examples illustrate the efficiency of the new stabilising conditions presented. © 2013 Copyright Taylor and Francis Group, LLC.