13 resultados para Decision taking

em Repositório Institucional UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista "Julio de Mesquita Filho"


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Pós-graduação em Educação - FFC

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Pós-graduação em Educação para a Ciência - FC

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Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

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Pós-graduação em Enfermagem (mestrado profissional) - FMB

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Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

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In this paper we describe the main causes of the recent financial crisis as a result of many theoretical, methodological, and practical shortcomings mostly according to heterodox, but also including some important orthodox economists. At theoretical level, there are problems concerning teaching and using economic models with overly unrealistic assumptions. In the methodological front, we find the unsuspected shadow of Milton Friedman’s ‘unrealisticism of assumptions’ thesis lurking behind the construction of this kind of models and the widespread neglect of methodological issues. Of course, the most evident shortcomings are at the practical level: (i) huge interests of the participants in the financial markets (banks, central bankers, regulators, rating agencies mortgage brokers, politicians, governments, executives, economists, etc. mainly in the US, Canada and Europe, but also in Japan and the rest of the world), (ii) in an almost completely free financial and economic market, that is, one (almost) without any regulation or supervision, (iii) decision-taking upon some not well regarded qualities, like irresponsibility, ignorance, and inertia; and (iv) difficulties to understand the current crisis as well as some biases directing economic rescues by governments. Following many others, we propose that we take this episode as an opportunity to reflect on, and hopefully redirect, economic theory and practice.

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The companies who produce goods and services taking of the demanding of the customers correctly use the management of the production. The verification of the costs decisive becomes. This article presents a model of measurement of the results of production for the elaborated budgetary planning for an industry of wooden manufacture. This research intends to evidence the importance of the planning and the budget. It presents main given the necessary ones to the budgetary methods, which are used by the company as instruments of control of the planning, providing the concentration of the efforts of the managers in the point-key, minimizing the tension in the process of decision taking.

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The present study aimed to describe the scales (tests or inventories) commonly used to evaluate the development of babies, in terms of objectives, population in which it is destined to, suggested material, what is evaluated and evaluation criteria. It also intended to analyze studies which employed instruments here described, from the late 90s, considering the objectives,the population evaluated, and the main results obtained and, finally, it aimed to identify health professionals who have employed it, since the articles published. The study highlights the important role of evaluating babies, as information source which help decision taking about the elaboration of essential or early intervention programs. However, it is difficult to find standardized instruments for Brazilian child population.

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In the context of the project “Development and qualification of agriculturists in the use of techniques for correction of theground in agricultural assentament”, the identification of the use of agricultural techniques becomes necessary as an important tool for decision taking, mainly in regards to the public politics of Assistance Technique and Agricultural Extension (ATER). In such a way, the present study it had for objectiveto diagnosis the use of limeand fertilization techniques in these agricultural assentamentin order to identify possible public politics ATER. Of the total of boarded families, 79.89% had answered to the questionnaire elaborated for this diagnosis. The field research was carried throughapplication of questionnaire elaborated for this study and the analysis of the results divided in profile of the beneficiaries, knowledge of techniques of ground handling and agricultural use of the areas of the Projects of Assentamentfor the beneficiaries. It was concluded that even so the great majority of the beneficiaries agricultural area and farmers to be declared diligent of this information are not in coherence with the one of knowledge of the type of ground, therefore, this type of understanding of the landscape is primordial for the taking of decision with regard to the agricultural use of the ground, moreover, the access to the knowledge and use of the techniques of limeand fertilization comes diminishing in the agricultural assentamentunder validity of II National Plan of the Agrarian Reformation, what it enters in total discord with the premises of the same. It fits here to detach the importance of public politics ATERdirected these beneficiaries of the Agrarian Reformation, mainly with regard to the ground handling.

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Pós-graduação em Engenharia de Produção - FEG

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Background: Leptospirosis is an important zoonotic disease associated with poor areas of urban settings of developing countries and early diagnosis and prompt treatment may prevent disease. Although rodents are reportedly considered the main reservoirs of leptospirosis, dogs may develop the disease, may become asymptomatic carriers and may be used as sentinels for disease epidemiology. The use of Geographical Information Systems (GIS) combined with spatial analysis techniques allows the mapping of the disease and the identification and assessment of health risk factors. Besides the use of GIS and spatial analysis, the technique of data mining, decision tree, can provide a great potential to find a pattern in the behavior of the variables that determine the occurrence of leptospirosis. The objective of the present study was to apply Geographical Information Systems and data prospection (decision tree) to evaluate the risk factors for canine leptospirosis in an area of Curitiba, PR.Materials, Methods & Results: The present study was performed on the Vila Pantanal, a urban poor community in the city of Curitiba. A total of 287 dog blood samples were randomly obtained house-by-house in a two-day sampling on January 2010. In addition, a questionnaire was applied to owners at the time of sampling. Geographical coordinates related to each household of tested dog were obtained using a Global Positioning System (GPS) for mapping the spatial distribution of reagent and non-reagent dogs to leptospirosis. For the decision tree, risk factors included results of microagglutination test (MAT) from the serum of dogs, previous disease on the household, contact with rats or other dogs, dog breed, outdoors access, feeding, trash around house or backyard, open sewer proximity and flooding. A total of 189 samples (about 2/3 of overall samples) were randomly selected for the training file and consequent decision rules. The remained 98 samples were used for the testing file. The seroprevalence showed a pattern of spatial distribution that involved all the Pantanal area, without agglomeration of reagent animals. In relation to data mining, from 189 samples used in decision tree, a total of 165 (87.3%) animal samples were correctly classified, generating a Kappa index of 0.413. A total of 154 out of 159 (96.8%) samples were considered non-reagent and were correctly classified and only 5/159 (3.2%) were wrongly identified. on the other hand, only 11 (36.7%) reagent samples were correctly classified, with 19 (63.3%) samples failing diagnosis.Discussion: The spatial distribution that involved all the Pantanal area showed that all the animals in the area are at risk of contamination by Leptospira spp. Although most samples had been classified correctly by the decision tree, a degree of difficulty of separability related to seropositive animals was observed, with only 36.7% of the samples classified correctly. This can occur due to the fact of seronegative animals number is superior to the number of seropositive ones, taking the differences in the pattern of variable behavior. The data mining helped to evaluate the most important risk factors for leptospirosis in an urban poor community of Curitiba. The variables selected by decision tree reflected the important factors about the existence of the disease (default of sewer, presence of rats and rubbish and dogs with free access to street). The analyses showed the multifactorial character of the epidemiology of canine leptospirosis.

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Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)