Modelo fuzzy estimando tempo de internação por doenças cardiovasculares

Abstract A fuzzy linguistic model based on the Mamdani method with input variables, particulate matter, sulfur dioxide, temperature and wind obtained from CETESB with two membership functions each was built to predict the average hospitalization time due to cardiovascular diseases related to exposure to air pollutants in São José dos Campos in the State of São Paulo in 2009. The output variable is the average length of hospitalization obtained from DATASUS with six membership functions. The average time given by the model was compared to actual data using lags of 0 to 4 days. This model was built using the Matlab v. 7.5 fuzzy toolbox. Its accuracy was assessed with the ROC curve. Hospitalizations with a mean time of 7.9 days (SD = 4.9) were recorded in 1119 cases. The data provided revealed a significant correlation with the actual data according to the lags of 0 to 4 days. The pollutant that showed the greatest accuracy was sulfur dioxide. This model can be used as the basis of a specialized system to assist the city health authority in assessing the risk of hospitalizations due to air pollutants.

De mitos e silêncios: nas águas do feminino pelos romances de Paulina Chiziane

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Interação pontas-adjuvantes na estimativa do risco potencial de deriva de pulverizações

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Distribuição espacial da deriva de produtos fitossanitários em pulverizações na cultura da laranja

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Vulnerabilidade ambiental ao óleo em ambiente fluvial: estudo de caso rio Tietê/Reservatório de Barra Bonita

Pós-graduação em Geociências e Meio Ambiente - IGCE

Métodos de coleta de deposição para ensaios de deriva em aplicações aéreas

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Vibração de barras em pequena amplitude com efeito geométrico

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Espectro de gotas e potencial de deriva de caldas contendo o herbicida 2,4-d amina em misturas em tanque

Pós-graduação em Agronomia (Energia na Agricultura) - FCA

Comparação de métodos de estimativa da evapotranspiração de referência para região de Jaboticabal-SP

Pós-graduação em Agronomia (Ciência do Solo) - FCAV

Análise dos métodos de descrição do regime eólico e suas aplicações

A energia dos ventos é uma abundante fonte de energia renovável, limpa e disponível em quase todos os lugares. A geração da eletricidade através de fontes alternativas de energia como a eólica e a solar ganha grande importância diante da situação mundial em relação à preservação do meio ambiente e da necessidade de depender menos dos combustíveis fósseis como fontes de energia. No Brasil, algumas medidas precisas de vento, realizadas recentemente em diversos pontos do território nacional, indicam a existência de um imenso potencial eólico ainda não explorado. Para tanto se faz necessário estudos e revisões bibliográficas dos métodos de descrição e dimensionamento do regime eólico bem como as suas aplicações. Para isso foi feito uma análise do recurso eólico disponível na Região de Botucatu, utilizando os principais métodos de análise estatística e de determinação da energia produzida por um aerogerador.

Aplicação da teoria fuzzy no controle de sistemas de geração de energias alternativas

This paper presents the application and use of a methodology based on fuzzy theory and simulates its use in intelligent control of a hybrid system for generating electricity, using solar energy, photovoltaic and wind. When using a fuzzy control system, it reached the point of maximum generation of energy, thus shifting all energy generated from the alternative sources-solar photovoltaic and wind, cargo and / or batteries when its use not immediately. The model uses three variables used for entry, which are: wind speed, solar radiation and loading the bank of batteries. For output variable has to choose which of the batteries of the battery bank is charged. For the simulations of this work is used MATLAB software. In this environment mathematical computational are analyzed and simulated all mathematical modeling, rules and other variables in the system described fuzzy. This model can be used in a system of control of hybrid systems for generating energy, providing the best use of energy sources, sun and wind, so we can extract the maximum energy possible these alternative sources without any prejudice to the environment.

Caracterização física e química e potencial de deriva de caldas contendo surfatantes em pulverizações agrícolas

The aim of this work was to evaluate the effect of the addition of different surfactants in physical and chemical properties of spray solutions, droplets spectra and drift potential on agricultural spraying. The surfactants and concentrations (v v-1) were: Haiten (0.1%), Antideriva and Intec (0.05% and 0.1%). The following characteristics were analyzed: surface tension, viscosity, density and electric conductivity. The droplet size spectrum was determined by a laser particle analyzer (Mastersizer S®, version 2.15) including measurements of volume medium diameter (VMD), the percent of droplets below 50 and 100 μm (V50 e V100) and index span. In order to estimate the drift potential, a series of wind tunnel tests were performed with a Teejet XR 8003 flat fan nozzle at 200 kPa (medium droplets) used to apply the spray solutions containing water, the adjuvants and a food color dye (Brilliant blue FD & C no 1) at 0,6% m v-1. The drift was collected on nylon strips transversally fixed along the tunnel at different distances from the nozzle and different high from the bottom part of the tunnel. Drift deposits were evaluated by spectrophotometry. The results showed that the addition of adjuvants changed physical and chemical properties of spray solutions in different magnitudes according to the surfactant. Surfactants changed the droplet spectrum and drift potential, indicating that higher VMD and smaller V100 induced higher percentage of drift.

Eficácia do flutriafol e do flutriafol + tiofanato metílico aplicados com gotas finas ou médias no controle da ferrugem asiática da soja

The aim of this study was to evaluate the influence of fine and medium droplets in the performance of flutriafol and thiophanate methyl + flutriafol for the control of Asian Soybean Rust (Phakopsora pachyrhizi Sydow & Sydow). The experiment was a 2 x 2 factorial design (2 droplet sizes x 2 fungicides) resulting in four treatments with six replications. The experimental area was set up with 24 plots (50 x 21 m). In each plot there was a central assessment area with 10 x 20 m. To the each plot there was a non-treated area placed in opposed direction to the wind. The evaluations of rust control were made by of the calculation of incidence (percentage of plants with rust), severity (level of infection), defoliations and soybean yield. The results were analyzed by the calculation of the confidence interval at 90%. The study was set up in curative control conditions with average infestation of 68.6%, average severity in the lower part of the canopy was of 35.9% and on the upper parte it was 4.57%. The results of severity, defoliation and productivity did not show statistical difference among the treatments. However, it was observed that in general there was tendency of better results with the application of flutriafol alone comparing with thiophanate methyl + flutriafol, since there was a small difference between two commercial products in the flutriafol active ingredient content (62.5 g ha-1 to the flutriafol alone and 60 g ha-1 to the thiophanate methyl + flutriafol). There was no statistical difference between fine and medium droplets. This fact can be explained by the characteristics of systemic action of the flutriafol and by the type of control made (curative). The flutriafol, being a systemic fungicide is less sensitive to the better coverage provided by the smaller droplets and, on the curative control, the amount of product deposited can became more import than coverage, mainly on the superior part of the leaves. These leaves are healthier than the inferior leaves that in general are the first to become completely compromised by the rust, losing importance to the plant. By this reason, medium droplets appear to have offered similar performance even not offering advantages in the leaf coverage. This fact may become important because in the practical side of the use of medium droplets, since this may increase the amount of time to spray, mainly because the fine and very fine droplets have more limitations related to drift and evaporation.

Projeto de adaptação do sistema de injeção do túnel transônico para ensaios em bocais de foguete

In this work, the project of a new experimental facility to be installed at the Aerodynamics Division of the Institute of Aeronautics and Space is presented. This new facility will provide means to perform experimental campaigns to analyze the flow behavior at different rocket nozzle concepts using cold gas that will be obtained from a modification of the Pilot Transonic Wind Tunnel air system. The new installation will enable less expensive experiments in a more secure environment, since the cold gas experimental procedures do not demand fuel storage and burn and security procedures are much less severe. Furthermore, experiments can be carried with different types of sensors, commonly used in wind tunnel tests. Also, the optical access is facilitated enabling the use of optical techniques for the characterization of flow properties inside the nozzles, such as pressure and temperature sensitive painting. The full project design and the operation conditions will be showed, as also some technical considerations about the flor behavior in the facility

Considerações sobre a análise de segunda ordem de estais utilizados em torres metálicas e flares

This work is consideration of an analysis of second-order (nonlinear analysis) applied to e metal towers and flares. The analysis is mainly done using the wind efforts and the weight of the structure. The analysis itself is carried out with the aid of a structural analysis software, SAP2000 where two proposes modeling. The first for the linear effects and the second for the nonlinear effects