Distribuição espacial e plano de amostragem sequencial para Piezodorus guildinii (Westwood, 1837) (Hemiptera: Pentatomidae) na cultura de soja transgênica RR®

Pós-graduação em Agronomia (Entomologia Agrícola) - FCAV

Análise de equilíbrio corporal submetido á esforços de aceleração e desaceleração na direção antero-posterior: estudo transversal

Pós-graduação em Engenharia Mecânica - FEG

Reconfiguração de sistemas de distribuição utilizando metaheurísticas e critérios de confiabilidade

In an ever more competitive environment, power distribution companies must satisfy two conflicting objectives: minimizing investment costs and the satisfaction of reliability targets. The network reconfiguration of a distribution system is a technique that well adapts to this new deregulated environment for it allows improvement of reliability indices only opening and closing switches, without the onus involved in acquiring new equipment. Due to combinatorial explosion problem characteristic, in the solution are employed metaheuristics methods, which converge to optimal or quasi-optimal solutions, but with a high computational effort. As the main objective of this work is to find the best configuration(s) of the distribution system with the best levels of reliability, the objective function used in the metaheuristics is to minimize the LOLC - Loss Of Load Cost, which is associated with both, number and duration of electric power interruptions. Several metaheuristics techniques are tested, and the tabu search has proven to be most appropriate to solve the proposed problem. To characterize computationally the problem of the switches reconfiguring was developed a vector model (with integers) of the representation of the switches, where each normally open switch is associated with a group of normally closed switches. In this model simplifications have been introduced to reduce computational time and restrictions were made to exclude solutions that do not supply energy to any load point of the system. To check violation of the voltage and loading criteria a study of power flow for the ten best solutions is performed. Also for the ten best solutions a reliability evaluation using Monte Carlo sequential simulation is performed, where it is possible to obtain the probability distributions of the indices and thus calculate the risk of paying penalty due to not meeting the goals. Finally, the methodology is applied in a real Brazilian distribution network, and the results are discussed.

Extensões da distribuição de Lindley para análise de dados de sobrevivência

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Distribuição espacial, amostragem sequencial e dinâmica populacional de Leptopharsa heveae (Hemiptera: Tingidae) na cultura da seringueira

Pós-graduação em Agronomia (Produção Vegetal) - FCAV

Avaliando conhecimento em DST de graduandos em medicina segundo a taxonomia de bloom

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

A aplicação da distribuição exponencial geométrica estendida para modelagem de dados pluviométricos

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Filogenia e taxonomia dos veados cinza (Mazama gouazoubira e M. nemorivaga)

Pós-graduação em Genética e Melhoramento Animal - FCAV

Estudos evolutivos entre espécies do gênero Rineloricaria (Siluriformes: Loricariidae: Loricariinae) com base em caracteres moleculares

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Fatores prognósticos e análise de sobrevida de pacientes diagnosticados com carcinoma espinocelular nos 10 primeiros anos do Centro de Oncologia Bucal da Unesp, Campus de Araçatuba

Objetivo: Estimar as probabilidades acumuladas de sobrevida dos pacientes diagnosticados com carcinoma espinocelular nos 10 primeiros anos do Centro de Oncologia Bucal da UNESP, Campus de Araçatuba, de 1991 a 2000, observadas até 2005, estabelecendo os possíveis fatores prognósticos significativos para o óbito. Méttodo: A análise de sobrevida foi realizada em uma coorte de 280 pacientes com carcinoma espinocelular, no Centro de Oncologia Bucal da Faculdade de Odontologia de Araçatuba, UNESP, entre 1991 e 2000. Para avaliar a associação entre as variáveis independentes e o óbito, realizou-se o teste Log Rank. A probabilidade do teste com p-valor menor que 0,25 ficou estabelecida para a inclusão das covariáveis no processo de ajustamento do modelo. A sobrevida foi estimada pelo método de produto limite de Kaplan-Meier. Os fatores prognósticos foram estimados pelo modelo de riscos proporcionais de Cox, calculando-se razão da função de risco (HR). A análise de resíduo foi realizada para verificar o ajuste do modelo. Resultados: As taxas de probabilidades acumuladas de sobrevida de 280 pacientes, para os casos em estádio IV, foram, 56,74%, 32,13%, 23,71% e 20,57%, respectivamente, até 1, 2, 3 e 5 anos após o diagnóstico. Pacientes no estádio I apresentaram sobrevida em 5 anos de 81,73%. O estadiamento clínico da doença no diagnóstico foi o único fator prognóstico definido no processo de ajuste de modelo. A estimativa da razão da função de riscos de morrer em pacientes diagnosticados no estádio III (HR=3,3), é praticamente três vezes o risco daqueles em estádio I; da mesma forma, o risco de morrer dos diagnosticados em estádio IV (HR=6,17) é cerca de seis vezes ao daqueles em estádio I. Conclusões: A covariável que permaneceu no modelo final foi estadiamento clínico no momento do diagnóstico, sendo, pois, o único fator prognóstico.

Cálculo das funções de anisotropia e radial de dose para braquiterapia com semente de 192Ir em diferentes materiais de interesse em radiologia com o auxílio do programa baseado no método de Monte Carlo MCNPX

The brachytherapy braquiterapia is an x-ray modality radiotherapy in which stamped or halfstamped radioactive sources in format of seeds are used, wires or to one short distance, in contact or implanted to the fabric to be treated. All the treatment modalities require a previous planning. The formalism recommended for calculation of dose was considered by the AAPM for the first TG-43 Report. In it distributions of dose of isolated seeds measured and calculated by Monte Carlo method in water instead of with models half-empiricists. In this work we in accordance with present some preliminary results of the calculation of functions of radial anisotropy and of dose in the distance for seed of 192Ir, wide used in brachytherapy treatments of high tax of dose (HDR), with the aid of the program based on the Monte Carlo method MCNPX v2.50 (Mount Carlo N ParticleeXtended). The materials chosen in the simulation beyond water, had been MS20 and estriado muscle

Estudo teórico das funções de anisotropia e radial de dose para braquiterapia com semente de Ir192 em diferentes materiais de interesse em radiologia

The brachytherapy braquiterapia is an x-ray modality radiotherapy in which stamped or halfstamped radioactive sources in format of seeds are used, wires or to one short distance, in contact or implanted to the fabric to be treated. All the treatment modalities require a previous planning.The formalism recommended for calculation of dose was considered by the AAPM for the first TG-43 Report. In it distributions of dose of isolated seeds measured and calculated by Monte Carlo method in water instead of with models half-empiricists.In this work we in accordance with present some preliminary results of the calculation of functions of radial anisotropy and of dose in the distance for seed of 192Ir, wide used in brachytherapy treatments of high tax of dose (HDR), with the aid of the program based on the Monte Carlo method MCNPX v2.50 (Mount Carlo N ParticleeXtended).The materials chosen in the simulation beyond water, had been MS20 and estriado muscle

Análise de dados pedogeoquímicos de multielementos visando o refinamento de mapeamento geológico de detalhe em alvos de Pb-Zn nos municípios de Adrianópolis, Cerro Azul e Tunas do Paraná (Vale do Ribeira, PR)

In order to to research, the region of Perau, base metal mineralization, Grupo Votorantim Metals conducted a soil sampling on targets predetermined holding its chemical analysis. These reviews have been provided by the company for this work was to evaluate the potential use of these data pedogeochemical multi-element for refinement of the work of geological mapping. We selected six targets: Varginha, Salvador, Guararema Taquara Lisa and Coffin of Mendes, in the municipalities of Adrianople, Cerro Azul and Tunas do Paraná, located in Vale do Ribeira (PR). Both have about 10 km2 and situated in the geological context of the Fold Belt Terrane and the Massif de Joinville. The main rock types are present metasedimentary rocks of low to medium grade metamorphic, interspersed the amphibolites ortoderivados, both belonging to the Complex Perau, gneisses and migmatitic Complex. Applied to the geochemical data descriptive statistical techniques (variogram, kriging and histogram). From the correlation between the distributions of elements with the geological data, we could assess the potential of the proposed methodology.

Estudo do método Monte Carlo e sua aplicação no modelo SIR

In this work we present a discussion and the results of the simulation of disease spread using the Monte Carlo method. The dissemination model is the SIR model and presents as main characteristic the disease evolution among individuals of the population subdivided into three groups: susceptible (S), infected (I) and recovered (R). The technique used is based on the introduction of transition probabilities S-> I and I->R to do the spread of the disease, they are governed by a Poisson distribution. The simulation of the spread of disease was based on the randomness introduced, taking into account two basic parameters of the model, the power of infection and average time of the disease. Considering appropriate values of these parameters, the results are presented graphically and analysis of these results gives information on a group of individuals react to the changes of these parameters and what are the chances of a disease becoming a pandemic

Sincronia das bolsas de valores

This study aims to analyze various index stock exchanges around the world, with mathematical methods, analyzing the Product Distribution function (PDF), cumulative distribution and correlation. It is thought that the world economy is connected, as if the financial markets were a network, where the fluctuation of a market generates a variation on another and another, creating a pattern, that this change will affect the entire network, thus creating what we might call the domino effect. From this we intend to study, using as a basis the main index of the major stock exchanges around the world the relationship they have with each other, analyzing the influence and correlation that generates this effect, showing that markets are connected and influence each other. We can see this effect in the crisis of 2008, where the U.S. market from one moment to the other was shaken, affecting the whole world in a few days, creating effects that are felt in the present day