Logistic regression analysis of potential prognostic factors for pulmonary thromboembolism

Objective: To identify potential prognostic factors for pulmonary thromboembolism (PTE), establishing a mathematical model to predict the risk for fatal PTE and nonfatal PTE.Method: the reports on 4,813 consecutive autopsies performed from 1979 to 1998 in a Brazilian tertiary referral medical school were reviewed for a retrospective study. From the medical records and autopsy reports of the 512 patients found with macroscopically and/or microscopically,documented PTE, data on demographics, underlying diseases, and probable PTE site of origin were gathered and studied by multiple logistic regression. Thereafter, the jackknife method, a statistical cross-validation technique that uses the original study patients to validate a clinical prediction rule, was performed.Results: the autopsy rate was 50.2%, and PTE prevalence was 10.6%. In 212 cases, PTE was the main cause of death (fatal PTE). The independent variables selected by the regression significance criteria that were more likely to be associated with fatal PTE were age (odds ratio [OR], 1.02; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.00 to 1.03), trauma (OR, 8.5; 95% CI, 2.20 to 32.81), right-sided cardiac thrombi (OR, 1.96; 95% CI, 1.02 to 3.77), pelvic vein thrombi (OR, 3.46; 95% CI, 1.19 to 10.05); those most likely to be associated with nonfatal PTE were systemic arterial hypertension (OR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.33 to 0.80), pneumonia (OR, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.30 to 0.71), and sepsis (OR, 0.16; 95% CI, 0.06 to 0.40). The results obtained from the application of the equation in the 512 cases studied using logistic regression analysis suggest the range in which logit p > 0.336 favors the occurrence of fatal PTE, logit p < - 1.142 favors nonfatal PTE, and logit P with intermediate values is not conclusive. The cross-validation prediction misclassification rate was 25.6%, meaning that the prediction equation correctly classified the majority of the cases (74.4%).Conclusions: Although the usefulness of this method in everyday medical practice needs to be confirmed by a prospective study, for the time being our results suggest that concerning prevention, diagnosis, and treatment of PTE, strict attention should be given to those patients presenting the variables that are significant in the logistic regression model.

Association between left ventricular diastolic dysfunction and severity of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

OBJECTIVES: ,,,,,The prevalence of electrocardiographic and echocardiographic abnormalities in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease according to disease severity has not yet been established. The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence of electrocardiographic and echocardiographic abnormalities in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients according to disease severity. ,,,, ,,,, ,,,,,METHODS: ,,,,,The study included 25 mild/moderate chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients and 25 severe/very severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients. All participants underwent clinical evaluation, spirometry and electrocardiography/echocardiography. ,,,, ,,,, ,,,,,RESULTS: ,,,,,Electrocardiography and echocardiography showed Q-wave alterations and segmental contractility in five (10%) patients. The most frequent echocardiographic finding was mild left diastolic dysfunction (88%), independent of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease stage. The proportion of right ventricular overload (p<0.05) and blockage of the anterosuperior division of the left bundle branch were higher in patients with greater obstruction. In an echocardiographic analysis, mild/moderate chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients showed more abnormalities in segmental contractility (p<0.05), whereas severe/very severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients showed a higher prevalence of right ventricular overload (p<0.05), increased right cardiac chamber (p<0.05) and higher values of E-wave deceleration time (p<0.05). Age, sex, systemic arterial hypertension, C-reactive protein and disease were included as independent variables in a multiple linear regression; only disease severity was predictive of the E-wave deceleration time [r2 = 0.26, p = 0.01]. ,,,, ,,,, ,,,,,CONCLUSION: ,,,,,Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients have a high prevalence of left ventricular diastolic dysfunction, which is associated with disease severity. Because of this association, it is important to exclude decompensated heart failure during chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbation.

Avaliação de dois modelos experimentais de isquemia e reperfusão cerebral em ratos com oclusão temporária carotídea associada ou não à oclusão vertebral

OBJETIVO: Avaliar a reprodutibilidade de dois modelos experimentais de isquemia e reperfusão cerebral. MÉTODOS: 60 ratos foram distribuídos, aleatoriamente, em três grupos experimentais, com 20 animais cada: I - pinçamento temporário de artéria carótida esquerda; II - cauterização prévia das artérias vertebrais e pinçamento temporário da artéria carótida esquerda; simulado - sem isquemia nem reperfusão. Todos os animais tiveram oclusão definitiva de artéria carótida direita e os três grupos foram subdivididos em dois períodos de reperfusão: A - 60 minutos e B - 120 minutos. Os parâmetros verificados foram: medidas de pressão arterial média sistêmica e fluxo sangüíneo carotídeo; medida de malondialdeído cerebral através do teste TBARS e avaliação histológica do hemisfério cerebral submetido à isquemia e reperfusão. Foi feito também um estudo complementar com angiografia cerebral em 5 animais adicionais. RESULTADOS: Não houve diferenças significativas nas dosagens de malondialdeído cerebral e na freqüência e gravidade das alterações histológicas cerebrais entre os três grupos. Nos grupos GI e GII, a PAM foi significantemente maior no período de isquemia. O fluxo sangüíneo entre os períodos pré e pós-pinçamento aumentou nos grupos IA e IIB, diminuiu no grupo IB e no grupo IIA manteve-se inalterado. As angiografias do estudo complementar mostraram aporte sangüíneo para cérebro através de circulação colateral. CONCLUSÃO: Os modelos de isquemia e reperfusão estudados não demonstraram alterações consistentes de marcadores de lesão cerebral, seja quanto à produção de lipoperóxidos ou de lesões histológicas.

Influência da idade no comportamento da pressão intraocular em uma população da região Sul-brasileira

OBJETIVO: Verificar influência da idade no comportamento da pressão intraocular (PIO) em população acima de 40 anos. MÉTODOS: Neste estudo observacional transversal realizado no município de Piraquara - PR, a PIO foi aferida através da tonometria de Goldmann. Todos os indivíduos foram submetidos a exame de triagem, sendo os suspeitos de glaucoma ou hipertensão ocular encaminhados ao atendimento de retorno para realização de exame oftalmológico completo. Para fins de análise estatística, os pacientes foram divididos em grupos etários (40-49; 50-59; 60-69 e acima de 70 anos). Posteriormente todos os pacientes portadores de glaucoma ou suspeita, hipertensão arterial sistêmica (HAS) ou Diabetes mellitus (DM) foram excluídos. RESULTADOS: Avaliaram-se 3360 indivíduos com média de idade de 54,04 ± 10,52 anos, sendo 59,79% do sexo feminino. Não se observou diferença estatisticamente significativa entre a média da PIO nos diferentes grupos etários (p=0,19; teste ANOVA). da mesma forma, não foi observada correlação significativa entre a PIO e a idade (p = 0,11; correlação linear de Pearson). Após exclusão dos indivíduos portadores de HAS (1671), DM (n=360), glaucoma ou suspeita de glaucoma (n=161) não se observou diferença estatisticamente significativa entre a média da PIO e a idade (p=0,17; teste ANOVA). No entanto, uma fraca correlação negativa, porém significativa, foi encontrada entre PIO e idade (p=0,03; R=-0,055, correlação linear Pearson). CONCLUSÃO: Na presente amostra, não foi observada influência significativa da idade na PIO, entretanto, após a exclusão de indivíduos com glaucoma, HAS e DM, observou-se uma fraca correlação linear negativa e significativa entre as duas variáveis.

DEVELOPMENT OF BLOOD-PRESSURE AND CARDIAC REFLEXES IN THE FROG PSEUDIS-PARADOXSUS

Systemic arterial blood pressure and heart rate (f(H)) were measured in unanesthetized, unrestrained larvae and adults of the paradoxical frog, Pseudis paradoxus from São Paulo State in Brazil. Four developmental groups were used, representing the complete transition from aquatic larvae to primarily air-breathing adults. f(H) (49-66 beats/min) was not significantly affected by development, whereas mean arterial blood pressure was strongly affected, being lowest in the stage 37-39 larvae (10 mmHg), intermediate in the stage 44-45 larvae (18 mmHg), and highest in the juveniles and adults (31 and 30 mmHg, respectively). Blood pressure was not significantly correlated with body mass, which was greatest in the youngest larvae and smallest in the juveniles. In the youngest larvae studied (stages 37-39), lung ventilation was infrequent, causing a slight decrease in arterial blood pressure but no change in heart rate. Lung ventilation was more frequent in stages 44-45 larvae and nearly continuous in juveniles and adults floating at the surface. Bradycardia during both forced and voluntary diving was observed in almost every advanced larva, juvenile, and adult but in only one of four young larvae. Developmentally related changes in blood pressure were not complete until metamorphosis, whereas diving bradycardia was present at an earlier stage.

Nitric oxide and anglotensin II receptors mediate the pressor effect of angiotensin II: A study in conscious and zoletil-anesthetized rats

The circumventricular structures of the central nervous system and nitric oxide are involved in arterial blood pressure control, and general anesthesia may stimulate the central renin-angiotensin system. We therefore investigated the central role of angiotensin 11 and nitric oxide on the regulation of systemic arterial blood pressure in conscious and anesthetized rats. METHODS: Rats with stainless steel cannulae implanted into their lateral ventricle were studied. We injected the AT(1) and AT(2) angiotensin 11 receptor antagonists, losartan and PD123319, L-NAME, 7-nitroindazole (nitric oxide synthetase inhibitors), and FK409 (nitric oxide donor agent) into the lateral ventricles. Mean arterial blood pressure (MAP) was recorded in conscious and zoletil-anesthetized rats. RESULTS: Mean +/- (SEM) baseline MAP was 117.5 +/- 2 mm Hg. Angiotensin II injected into the brain lateral ventricle increased MAP from 136.5 +/- 2 min Hg to 138.5 +/- 4 mm Hg (Delta 16 +/- 3 mm Hg to Delta 21 +/- 3 mm Hg) for all experimental groups versus control from 116 +/- 2 mm Hg to 120 +/- 3 mm Hg (Delta 3 +/- 1 mm Hg to A5 +/- 2 mm Hg) (P < 0.05). L-NAME or 7-nitroindazole enhanced the angiotensin II pressor effect (P < 0.05). Prior injection of losartan and PD123319 decreased the angiotensin 11 pressor effect and the enhancement effect of L-NAME and 7-nitroindazole (P < 0.05). Zoletil anesthesia did not interfere with the effects of angiotensin 11, AT,, AT2 antagonists, or nitric oxide synthetase inhibitors. CONCLUSIONS: Endogenous nitric oxide functions tonically as a central inhibitory modulator of the angiotensinergic system. AT, and AT2 receptors influence the angiotensin 11 central control of arterial blood pressure. Zoletil anesthesia did not interfere with these effects. (Anesth Analg 2007;105:1293-7)

Clinical and cardiovascular alterations produced by scorpion envenomation in dogs

Scorpionism is a common problem that occurs in tropical and subtropical countries and assumes great medical-sanitary importance due to its fatal effect on sensitive individuals, being able to lead children and aged people to death. The envenomation lethal potential is responsible for the serious cardiopulmonary alterations the scorpion toxin produces in its victims. The present research evaluated the effects of Tityus serrulatus venom on dogs, using two distinct doses: a dose that simulates natural envenomation (0.4 mg/total dose), and an experimental dose (0.25 mg/kg). General clinical signs were observed at different moments after envenomation, and specific data related to the cardiopulmonary system were evaluated by systemic arterial pressure measurement, CK-MB enzymatic activity dosage, and radiographic, electrocardiographic and echocardiographic examinations. Results demonstrated that the scorpion venom, in experimental doses, was able to cause acute and reversible cardiac injury in few days, and, in the dose that simulated natural accident, it produced clinical signs of light envenomation, such as local pain, hyperesthesia, sialorrhea, vomiting, diarrhea, sneeze and prostration.

Neurohormonal, hemodynamic, and electrocardiographic evaluations of healthy dogs receiving long-term administration of doxorubicin

Objective - To evaluate diagnostic testing that could be used to establish an early diagnosis of cardiotoxicosis induced by long-term administration of doxorubicin. Animals - 13 adult mixed-breed dogs. Procedures - 7 dogs were administered doxorubicin chloride (30 mg/m2, IV, q 21 d for 168 days [cumulative dose, 240 mg/m2]), and 6 dogs received saline (0.9% NaCl) solution (5 mL, IV, q 21 d for 168 days; control group). Echocardiography, ECG, arterial blood pressure, plasma renin activity (PRA), and plasma concentrations of norepinephrine and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) were assessed before each subsequent administration of doxorubicin and saline solution. Results - Dogs that received doxorubicin had a significant decrease in R-wave amplitude, compared with values for the control group, from 30 to 210 mg/m2. Doxorubicin-treated dogs had decreases in fractional shortening and left ventricular ejection fraction evident as early as 30 mg/m2, but significant differences between groups were not detected until 90 mg/m2 was reached. There was also a significant increase in PRA (≥ 120 mg/m2) and left ventricular end-systolic and end-diastolic dimensions (≥ 60 and ≥ 180 mg/m2, respectively). Systemic arterial pressure, remaining echocardiographic variables, and concentrations of norepinephrine and BNP had significant variations, but of no clinical importance, during doxorubicin administration. Conclusions and clinical relevance - Doxorubicin-induced cardiotoxicosis developed at 120 mg/m2, but there were no clinical signs of dilated cardiomyopathy or congestive heart failure. Echocardiography and determination of PRA were able to detect early cardiac alterations during the development of dilated cardiomyopathy, despite apparently differing degrees of sensitivity to development of doxorubicin-induced cardiotoxicosis.

Morphologic and biomechanical changes of thoracic and abdominal aorta in a rat model of cigarette smoke exposure

Background: Smoking is the most relevant environmental factor that affects the development of aortic aneurysm. Smokers have elevated levels of elastase activity in the arterial wall, which leads to weakening of the aorta. The aim of this study was to verify whether cigarette smoke exposure itself is capable of altering the aortic wall. Methods: Forty-eight Wistar rats were divided into 2-, 4-, and 6-month experimental periods and into 2 groups: smokers (submitted to smoke exposure at a rate of 40 cigarettes/day) and nonsmokers. At the end of the experimental periods, the aortas were removed and cross-sectioned to obtain histologic specimens for light microscopic and morphometric analyses. The remaining longitudinal segments were stretched to rupture and mechanical parameters were determined. Results: A degenerative process (i.e., a reduction in elastic fibers, the loss of lamellar arrangement, and a reduction of smooth muscle cells) was observed, and this effect was proportional in intensity to the period of tobacco exposure. We observed a progressive reduction in the yield point of the thoracic aorta over time (P < 0.05). There was a decrease in stiffness (P < 0.05) and in failure load (P < 0.05) at 6 months in the abdominal aorta of rats in the smoking group. Conclusions: Chronic exposure to tobacco smoke can affect the mechanical properties of the aorta and can also provoke substantial structural changes of the arterial wall. © 2013 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Aneurisma da aorta abdominal infra-renal: avaliação ultra-sonográfica em homens acima de 50 anos

Pós-graduação em Bases Gerais da Cirurgia - FMB

Função cardíaca em cães com Diabetes Mellitus

Pós-graduação em Medicina Veterinária - FCAV

Comportamento das pressões respiratórias e do pico de fluxo expiratório de pacientes submetidos à cirurgia de revascularização miocárdica

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Avaliação da função renal de cães sadios e nefropatas sob infusão de dopamina

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Caracterização morfológica, bioquímica e molecular do músculo esquelético sóleo de ratos espontaneamente hipertensos com insuficiência cardíaca

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Estudo epidemiológico descritivo dos pacientes atendidos na unidade de hemodiálise do Hospital das Clínicas da Faculdade de Medicina de Botucatu - UNESP

Pós-graduação em Enfermagem (mestrado profissional) - FMB