24 resultados para Epidemias.


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Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

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Pós-graduação em Biociências - FCLAS

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In Brazil, the importance of leishmaniosis it is seen in its high incidence and huge distribution, as well as the possibility of became a lethal disease. It´s a zoonosis of canids, felines, rodents e marsupials, that is transmitted to men through vector bugs. Visceral leishmaniosis, the most serious and prevalent form, strongly became as an emergent and endemic disease, seeing in many Brazilian states, also bringing a lot of problems to public health. Because of this, it´s notable that the increase of urbanization in the last 20 years put in quest all the control strategies existent, the measures implanted until today were incapable to eliminate the transmission as to impede the occurrence of new epidemics. The prevention of dogs through imunoprophylaxis appear as an alternative, however to have a safe use it´s needed other studies, that can bring real results. The research below shows the increase of visceral leishmaniosis during the years, associated mainly to human cases, besides of dismember the tries used or that will be used with objective of dicrease the spread of leishmaniosis

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Brazil is a major world producer and exporter of agricultural products like soybeans, sugar, coffee, orange and tobacoo. However, the action of phytopathogenic fungi has been one of the largest challenges encountered in the field as they are responsible for approximately 25 to 50 per cent of losses in crops of fruits and vegetables. The presence of these pathogens is always a problem, because the damage on the tissues and organs promote lesions which decreses growth vegetation and often leads the individual (host) to death. Therefore, it is crucial to understand the process of spreading of these pathogens in the field to develop strategies which prevent the epidemics caused by them. In this study, the dispersal of fungi phytopathogenic in the field was modeled using the automata cellular formalism. The growth rate of infected plants population was measured by the radius of gyration and the influence of host different susceptibility degrees into the disease spread was assessed. The spatial anisotropy related to the plant-to-plant space and the system’s response to distinct seasonal patterns were also evaluated. The results obtained by a mean field model (spatially implicit models) emphasized the importance of the spatial structure on the spreading process, and dispersal patterns obtained by simulation (using a cellular automata) were in agreement with thse observed in data. All computational implementation was held in language Cl

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In this work we present a discussion and the results of the simulation of disease spread using the Monte Carlo method. The dissemination model is the SIR model and presents as main characteristic the disease evolution among individuals of the population subdivided into three groups: susceptible (S), infected (I) and recovered (R). The technique used is based on the introduction of transition probabilities S-> I and I->R to do the spread of the disease, they are governed by a Poisson distribution. The simulation of the spread of disease was based on the randomness introduced, taking into account two basic parameters of the model, the power of infection and average time of the disease. Considering appropriate values of these parameters, the results are presented graphically and analysis of these results gives information on a group of individuals react to the changes of these parameters and what are the chances of a disease becoming a pandemic

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Os vírus do dengue possuem quatro sorotipos distintos (DENV 1-4) e a infecção por um sorotipo confere imunidade específica em longo prazo apenas para aquele sorotipo. O declínio e a reemergência de epidemias de dengue estão intimamente relacionadas com a migração populacional, o intercâmbio e a introdução de sorotipos, o aumento da população, a urbanização descontrolada, o aumento da infestação por mosquitos do gênero Aedes, que são vetores dos vírus e por mudanças na conjuntura política dos municípios. A doença configura-se como um grande problema de saúde pública e cerca de três bilhões de pessoas encontram-se em risco de contrair o vírus e, anualmente, milhões de casos de dengue são notificados, com aproximadamente 500 mil internações. O impacto econômico da doença não está direcionado apenas aos gastos diretamente relacionados ao tratamento, mas também, ao controle e à prevenção. Além disto, outros desdobramentos podem ocorrer, como gastos gerados por afastamento do trabalho no período de convalescença e por morte devido à infecção pelo vírus. As constantes trocas de equipes de prevenção e controle podem impactar negativamente a doença, favorecendo a dispersão do vetor e a manutenção do dengue no ambiente. Desta forma, o objetivo do trabalho é sistematizar as informações sobre o impacto do dengue na gestão dos recursos destinados a doenças infecto-contagiosas.

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Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)