370 resultados para distribuição espacial
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Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)
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Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)
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Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)
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Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)
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Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)
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Pós-graduação em Ciência Florestal - FCA
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Analisa-se diferentes aspectos da epidemiologia da transmissão da dengue através de modelos matemáticos. Supo˜e-se que o controle vetorial atua como uma taxa de mortalidade adicional em cada fase do ciclo de vida do mosquito Ae. aegypti e estuda-se a eficiência dos diferentes mecanismos utilizados pela Superintendência de Controle de Endemias (SUCEN) no estado de São Paulo para o controle da doença. A modelagem usual de equações diferencias ordinárias (EDO) permite a obtenção de valores limiares para a taxa de oviposição do vetor e para a transmissão da doença, as quais depende das suposições biológicas que geram o modelo, dos parâmetros entomológicos do mosquito, do período de incubação do vírus, e da imunidade e dinâmica vital do homem. Estes limiares dividem o espaço de solução em ausência do vetor, presença do vetor e ausência de transmissão da dengue, e presença do vetor com transmissão da dengue. Estes valores fornecem uma estimativa do esforço de controle necessário para diminuir ou parar a transmissão da dengue. A suposição de população vetorial grande com distribuição espacial homogênea (modelos de equações diferencias ordinárias discutidos anteriormente) é verificada através da modelagem discreta de autômatos celulares (AC). Mostra-se que a heterogeneidade espacial gerada pela distribuição de criadouros facilita a colonização e dispersão do inseto. Como os parâmetros entomológicos do vetor dependem da temperatura, observa-se que no verão o processo de dispersão e colonização do mosquito é facilitado, e que o controle adulticida deve ser aplicado nesta época. Já no inverno deve-se investir no controle das formas imaturas. A viabilidade da técnica de insetos estéries é...
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Pós-graduação em Ciências Biológicas (Zoologia) - IBB
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Pós-graduação em Ciências Cartográficas - FCT
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Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)
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This study aimed to analyze the spatial distribution of dengue risk and its association with socio-environmental conditions. This was an ecological study of the counts of autochthonous dengue cases in the municipality of Campinas, São Paulo State, Brazil, in the year 2007, aggregated according to 47 coverage areas of municipal health centers. Spatial models for mapping diseases were constructed with Bayesian hierarchical models, based on Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA). The analyses were stratified according to two age groups, 0 to 14 years and above 14 years. The results indicate that the spatial distribution of dengue risk is not associated with socio-environmental conditions in the 0 to 14 year age group. In the age group older than 14 years, the relative risk of dengue increases significantly as the level of socio-environmental deprivation increases. Mapping of socio-environmental deprivation and dengue cases proved to be a useful tool for data analysis in dengue surveillance systems.
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The use of geostatistical techniques allows detection of the existence of dependence and the spatial distribution of soil properties, thus constituting an important tool in the analysis and detailed description of the behavior of soil physical properties. The aim of the present study was to use geostatistics in assessment of physical properties in a Latossolo (Oxisol) dystrophic under native forest and pasture in the Amazon region of Manicore. Grids with of 70 x 70 m were established in native forest and pasture, and points were marked in these grids spaced at every 10 m, for a total of 64 points. These points were then georeferenced and in each one, soil samples (128) were collected at the depths of 0.00-0.20 and 0.40-0.60 m for a survey of their physical properties. These grids are parallel at a distance of 100 m from one another. The following determinations were made: texture, bulk density and particle density, macroporosity, microporosity, total porosity and aggregate stability in water. After tabulating the data, descriptive statistical analysis and geostatistical analysis were performed. The pasture had a slight variation in its physical properties in relation to native forest, with a high coefficient of variation and weak spatial dependence. The scaled semivariograms were able to satisfactorily reproduce the spatial behavior of the properties in the same pattern as the individual semivariograms, and the use of the parameter range of the semivariogram was efficient for determining the optimal sampling density for the environments under study. The geostatistical results indicate that the removal of native forest for establishing pasture altered the natural variability of the physical properties.
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The drainage basin of Cascavel River is almost entirely within the urban perimeter of Guarapuava, Paraná State, Brazil. Seven stream segments were sampled in two seasons (summer and winter). We found 12 taxa of macroalgae with a dominance of Chlorophyta (seven taxa) followed by Cyanophyta (three taxa), Heterokontophyta and Rhodophyta (one taxon each). Richness, diversity, and evenness were higher during the winter while the abundance and dominance were higher in the summer. Among the microenvironmental characteristics, the current velocity was the only one that differed significantly between the periods. The regression analysis revealed that the richness of the substrate was responsible for the variation in richness, diversity, evenness, and dominance during the summer period. During the winter the current velocity was responsible for the variation of species diversity. A cluster analysis of macroalgal communities did not group points in the same temporal period. The Canonical Correspondence Analysis (CCA) showed that the segments were close to each other because of the occurrence of one or a few species in common. The patterns of spatial and temporal distribution of stream macroalgae seem to be strongly influenced by microhabitat characteristics at different scales.However, they aresupported by regional variables.
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Pós-graduação em Zootecnia - FCAV
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Pós-graduação em Engenharia Elétrica - FEIS