5 resultados para Demography
em Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte(UFRN)
Resumo:
There was a significant decline in hospitalizations for acute diarrhea in children younger than 1 year of age in Brazil between 1992 to 2001. The less economically developed state of Rio Grande do Norte is a case example of the national trend. In this work, we show a significant association between improvements in socioeconomic variables as well as increased access to sanitation and the decreased rate of hospitalization. Additionally, we observed a positive, seasonal correlation between rainfall and hospitalizations. Most notably, however, we show that improvements in income and inflation were positively correlated with a decline in hospitalizations. Improvements in public health infrastructure, socioeconomic variables like education and literacy, and increased investment in health services were important in reducing severe early childhood diarrheas. However, the data suggests that increased buying power and reductions in poverty played an equally crucial role in reducing hospitalizations for acute diarrhea in infants in Brazil. The work includes elements of the demography of the period for the age groups involved, children under one year, women in fertile age and fertility rate
Resumo:
One of the greatest challenges of demography, nowadays, is to obtain estimates of mortality, in a consistent manner, mainly in small areas. The lack of this information, hinders public health actions and leads to impairment of quality of classification of deaths, generating concern on the part of demographers and epidemiologists in obtaining reliable statistics of mortality in the country. In this context, the objective of this work is to obtain estimates of deaths adjustment factors for correction of adult mortality, by States, meso-regions and age groups in the northeastern region, in 2010. The proposal is based on two lines of observation: a demographic one and a statistical one, considering also two areas of coverage in the States of the Northeast region, the meso-regions, as larger areas and counties, as small areas. The methodological principle is to use the General Equation and Balancing demographic method or General Growth Balance to correct the observed deaths, in larger areas (meso-regions) of the states, since they are less prone to breakage of methodological assumptions. In the sequence, it will be applied the statistical empirical Bayesian estimator method, considering as sum of deaths in the meso-regions, the death value corrected by the demographic method, and as reference of observation of smaller area, the observed deaths in small areas (counties). As results of this combination, a smoothing effect on the degree of coverage of deaths is obtained, due to the association with the empirical Bayesian Estimator, and the possibility of evaluating the degree of coverage of deaths by age groups at counties, meso-regions and states levels, with the advantage of estimete adjustment factors, according to the desired level of aggregation. The results grouped by State, point to a significant improvement of the degree of coverage of deaths, according to the combination of the methods with values above 80%. Alagoas (0.88), Bahia (0.90), Cear (0.90), Maranho (0.84), Paraba (0.88), Pernambuco (0.93), Piau (0.85), Rio Grande do Norte (0.89) and Sergipe (0.92). Advances in the control of the registry information in the health system, linked to improvements in socioeconomic conditions and urbanization of the counties, in the last decade, provided a better quality of information registry of deaths in small areas
Resumo:
Os nascimentos ocorridos em uma populao consistem em informao de grande valia para diversos estudos e planejamento de polticas pblicas. O Sistema de informaes sobre Nascidos Vivos (SINASC) representa uma promissora fonte de informao sobre o tema, uma vez que coleta continuamente e no mbito municipal, dados sobre nascimentos. Tendo em vista a necessidade de avaliao contnua do SINASC e o panorama do declnio da fecundidade no Nordeste, objetivou-se avaliar a qualidade das informaes provenientes do SINASC para o Nordeste, estados e microrregies, nos anos 2000 e 2010, utilizando o Censo Demogrfico como informao de referncia, avaliando a cobertura do SINASC e identificando nveis e padres de fecundidade. Pretendeu-se ainda verificar a relao entre os nveis de fecundidade, o grau de cobertura do SINASC e as condies socioeconmicas das microrregies sintetizadas pelo ndice Social de Desenvolvimento Municipal (ISDM), utilizando-se a anlise de cluster, associada anlise de varincia (ANOVA) e o teste de Tukey. Por ltimo, analisou-se a incompletude no preenchimento dos campos da Declarao de Nascido Vivo (DNV). De acordo com os resultados, observou-se que houve ampliao da qualidade das informaes do SINASC no perodo estudado, resultando em uma maior aproximao das TFTs oriundas das duas fontes de dados consideradas no estudo. Maranho e Paraba foram os estados com maiores ganhos em cobertura das TFTs no perodo, e os estados do Rio Grande do Norte e Sergipe revelaram um grau de cobertura ligeiramente inferior em 2010 frente aos resultados de 2000, bem como ainda persistem vrias microrregies com TFTs oriundas do SINASC bem abaixo daquelas estimadas pelo Censo. Na verificao da associao entre o ISDM, TFTs e cobertura, a anlise de cluster resultou em trs agrupamentos, GrISDM A com melhores coberturas, ISDM e mais baixas TFT; GrISDM B , intermedirio e GrISDM C com piores coberturas, ISDM e TFT mais altas. Notou-se a evoluo das condies socioeconmicas no Nordeste, tendo o GrISDM A passado de 8% do total de microrregies em 2000 para 37% em 2010. Reiterou-se ainda que quanto melhores as condies socioeconmicas de uma populao, menores so as TFTs e melhores as coberturas do SINASC. A anlise de varincia apontou interaes significativas entre o ano estudado versus ISDM (p-valor < 0,016) e o ano versus fonte de informao (p-valor < 0,020), e o teste Tukey apontou que no houve similaridade entre as mdias das TFT das fontes Censo versus SINASC no perodo, fato que aponta para a captao ainda deficiente do SINASC nas microrregies. O resultado da anlise de varincia da cobertura do SINASC em relao ao Censo apresentou uma interao significativa entre as variveis UF versus Ano (p-valor < 0,0001), causada pelos estados que apresentaram queda de cobertura entre 2000 e 2010. Quanto incompletude dos itens da DNV, evidenciou-se uma melhor coleta no perodo, embora alguns itens ainda caream de ateno, como o apgar no 1 e 5 minuto e ocupao da me, sendo esta a que apresenta maiores percentuais de informaes ignoradas. Destaca-se a possibilidade de preenchimento inconsistente nas variveis referentes ao histrico de gestaes anteriores, com o uso da informao zero inserida no lugar da informao ignorado . Concluiu-se que o SINASC uma importante base de dados sobre nascimentos e que dispe de dados confiveis para o acompanhamento dos nascimentos e de seu panorama epidemiolgico no Nordeste brasileiro, embora para alguns estados, assim como para algumas microrregies, ainda faz-se necessria a ampliao da cobertura do Sistema. As informaes constantes na DNV podem servir como embasamento para diversos estudos sobre as condies epidemiolgicas dos nascituros e das suas mes, e dos indicadores baseados as informaes dos nascimentos
Resumo:
This work was developed in the research line: "The habitus of study: builder of a new reality in the basic education of metropolitan area Natal" which is being developed with the support of CAPES by the Centre for Education. Acts, especially the problem of academic performance of students in basic education of the public in the Metropolitan Region of Natal (RMN). Thus, the aim of this paper is to construct a typology of students in the 9th year of basic education, attending the public schools (state or municipal) of MRN, 2009, and assess, according to these profiles, what personal characteristics student and their families: economic, social and cultural capital as well as teaching practices create environments capable of favoring a good educational development as measured by the performance obtained in the assessments in mathematics and English language. The data used were provided through the microdata Brazil Exam 2009 held by INEP. We used the methods Grade of Membership (GoM) for construction of profiles relevance of students according to the characteristics already mentioned. With these profiles was verified, which were effectively generating good performance in school curriculum components evaluated. The findings indicate that students belonging to the profile considered good environment, able to achieve better school performance both in Portuguese as in Mathematics, compared to the extreme profiles and adverse deficit
Resumo:
Coordenao de Aperfeioamento de Pessoal de Nvel Superior