Growth and distribution: a revised classical model

This paper discusses distribution and the historical phases of capitalism. It assumes that technical progress and growth are taking place, and, given that, its question is on the functional distribution of income between labor and capital, having as reference classical theory of distribution and Marx’s falling tendency of the rate of profit. Based on the historical experience, it, first, inverts the model, making the rate of profit as the constant variable in the long run and the wage rate, as the residuum; second, it distinguishes three types of technical progress (capital-saving, neutral and capital-using) and applies it to the history of capitalism, having the UK and France as reference. Given these three types of technical progress, it distinguishes four phases of capitalist growth, where only the second is consistent with Marx prediction. The last phase, after World War II, should be, in principle, capital-saving, consistent with growth of wages above productivity. Instead, since the 1970s wages were kept stagnant in rich countries because of, first, the fact that the Information and Communication Technology Revolution proved to be highly capital using, opening room for a new wage of substitution of capital for labor; second, the new competition coming from developing countries; third, the emergence of the technobureaucratic or professional class; and, fourth, the new power of the neoliberal class coalition associating rentier capitalists and financiers

Improvement on the sales forecast accuracy for a fast growing company by the best combination of historical data usage and clients segmentation

Industrial companies in developing countries are facing rapid growths, and this requires having in place the best organizational processes to cope with the market demand. Sales forecasting, as a tool aligned with the general strategy of the company, needs to be as much accurate as possible, in order to achieve the sales targets by making available the right information for purchasing, planning and control of production areas, and finally attending in time and form the demand generated. The present dissertation uses a single case study from the subsidiary of an international explosives company based in Brazil, Maxam, experiencing high growth in sales, and therefore facing the challenge to adequate its structure and processes properly for the rapid growth expected. Diverse sales forecast techniques have been analyzed to compare the actual monthly sales forecast, based on the sales force representatives’ market knowledge, with forecasts based on the analysis of historical sales data. The dissertation findings show how the combination of both qualitative and quantitative forecasts, by the creation of a combined forecast that considers both client´s demand knowledge from the sales workforce with time series analysis, leads to the improvement on the accuracy of the company´s sales forecast.

Effect of price and in-store promotion on sales: a study of distinct regions in an emerging market

Increasing competition caused by globalization, high growth of some emerging markets and stagnation of developed economies motivate Consumer Packaged Goods (CPGs) manufacturers to drive their attention to emerging markets. These companies are expected to adapt their marketing activities to the particularities of these markets in order to succeed. In a country classified as emerging market, regions are not alike and some contrasts can be identified. In addition, divergences of marketing variables effect can also be observed in the different retail formats. The retail formats in emerging markets can be segregated in chain self-service and traditional full-service. Thus, understanding the effectiveness of marketing mix not only in country aggregated level data can be an important contribution. Inasmuch as companies aim to generate profits from emerging markets, price is an important marketing variable in the process of creating competitive advantage. Along with price, promotional variables such as in-store displays and price cut are often viewed as temporary incentives to increase short-term sales. Managers defend the usage of promotions as being the most reliable and fastest manner to increase sales and then short-term profits. However, some authors alert about sales promotions disadvantages; mainly in the long-term. This study investigates the effect of price and in-store promotions on sales volume in different regions within an emerging market. The database used is at SKU level for juice, being segregated in the Brazilian northeast and southeast regions and corresponding to the period from January 2011 to January 2013. The methodological approach is descriptive quantitative involving validation tests, application of multivariate and temporal series analysis method. The Vector-Autoregressive (VAR) model was used to perform the analysis. Results suggest similar price sensitivity in the northeast and southeast region and greater in-store promotion sensitivity in the northeast. Price reductions show negative results in the long-term (persistent sales in six months) and in-store promotion, positive results. In-store promotion shows no significant influence on sales in chain self-service stores while price demonstrates no relevant impact on sales in traditional full-service stores. Hence, this study contributes to the business environment for companies wishing to manage price and sales promotions for consumer brands in regions with different features within an emerging market. As a theoretical contribution, this study fills an academic gap providing a dedicated price and sales promotion study to contrast regions in an emerging market.

The behavior of temporary sales in a macroeconomic context

Nós investigamos promoções temporárias usando uma base de dados detalhada de 13 anos sobre preços ao consumidor no Brasil, com cotações de preços coletadas decendialmente. Nós encontramos forte evidências da existência de relação entre a frequência e tamanho de promoções e as variáveis macroeconômicas. A crença comum na literatura de que promoções não reagem a mudanças nas variáveis macroeconômicas pode ser devido a baixa volatilidade do cenário macro- econômico nos países analisados até o presente momento.

Papéis de marketing em um sistema de capital de distribuição: estudos de casos sobre diferentes composições organizacionais

Este projeto tem o objetivo de identificar os papéis de marketing existentes nos componentes da cadeia de distribuição de Tecnologia da Informação (TI), com ênfase na observação das atividades orientadas para melhoria do relacionamento da organização com o usuário corporativo e na consolidação da marca do integrante da cadeia, independente da tecnologia ou marca do fabricante representado. Este projeto centrou a observação em casos de representações no Brasil, embora um dos casos analisados atue multinacionalmente. Para manter certa homogeneidade na avaliação, foram escolhidos casos integrantes de um único canal de um fabricante de TI internacional. Estes casos foram selecionados por estarem inseridos num ambiente freqüentemente mutável e de alta competitividade. As empresas pesquisadas, que ocupam espaços específicos na cadeia de relacionamento do canal, diferenciam-se também no tamanho e na abrangência de mercado, considerando-se o tipo, a quantidade e a dispersão geográfica dos usuários. As observações efetuadas indicam que poucas atividades e papéis de marketing são comuns aos casos pesquisados. Além disto, foi identificado que o conjunto básico de atividades necessárias para um adequado relacionamento com o usuário final, embora contido em toda a cadeia ou sistema do canal, não está estruturado como um todo, ocorrendo eventualmente ineficiência de determinadas atividades e papéis de marketing ou superposição de outros.

Escolha de canais de venda em comércio eletrônico

The electronic commerce has become a channel of advertising, commercialization and distribution of products and services, continuously increasing it¿s importance in terms of both physical and financial volumes, but still exist many gaps in the knowledge about the choice process of sales channels in the electronic commerce. The objective of this work is to raise and quantify the relevant factors in the choice of these channels in Brazil. The identification of the relevant factors was made through depth interviews with consumers, users of electronic commerce, as well as through the existing theoretical referential on the subject. The quantification of these factors was carried out with book purchasers by electronic commerce, through quantitative research, using the methodology of conjoint analysis, where the price was the most important factor, followed by delivery time, positive experience on previous purchase, usability of the site, positive recommendation of friends and the site brand. These results indicate as important attributes: price, confidence, usability and brand.

Os impactos da internet no varejo automobilístico brasileiro

Ainda considerada uma tecnologia emergente, a Internet tem provocado importantes transformações na comercialização, logística de suprimentos e distribuição, modelagem organizacional, produção e nos recursos humanos no setor do varejo automobilístico nacional. Outrossim, a Internet tem mudado a forma de atuação no mercado por parte das empresas de veículos automotores brasileiros, as quais devem passar a dispor de novos métodos de gestão, práticas comerciais e recursos da tecnologia on-line, visto que a tendência do tipo tradicional de vendas face a face é tomar-se obsoleto em relação à venda" virtual". o presente estudo foi desenvolvido com a finalidade de analisar quais os impactos e as mudanças causadas pela Internet nas empresas de varejo de veículos automotores nacionais, bem como apontar possíveis soluções para adaptação das concessionárias de automóveis brasileiras frente a esse novo panorama - a era da tecnologia. Para tanto, além da revisão de literatura, foram realizadas duas pesquisas - uma de abrangência nacional e outra regional, que teve como base a cidade do Rio de Janeiro. Através da coleta de dados, foram obtidas informações sobre o que influi no uso e não-uso da Internet no segmento de varejo de automotores.

Uma análise do diferencial competitivo de hotéis associados a cadeias hoteleiras internacionais

The main purpose of this dissertation was to analyse whether hotels managed by international hotel chains present competitive differential when compared to hotels independently operated. This dissertation was only concerned with analyzing the benefits brought to the hotel, according to the marketing point of view, taking into consideration the differentials related to the brands, the distribution channels, the marketing budget and the commercial structure offered by the hotel chains to their affiliated hotels.This dissertation was developed through reading, as well as interviewing professionals of the area, such as hotels managers, hotel chains' directors, and consultant of hotel area in order to get to know their perceptions about the subject. Executive hotels under the luxury category were analyzed in the city of São Paulo.The conclusion was that hotels managed by international chains do present competitive differential in relation to the independently operated hotels. This differential is due to the usage of a brand known worldwide, the marketing budget, the sales and commercial structure of the hotels chains. This benefit is even bigger when the hotel is inside the international market.

Price setting and macroeconomic variables: evidence from Brazilian CPI

Esta tese investiga as estratégias de precificação em ambientes macroeconômicos distintos, utilizando uma base de dados única para o IPC da Fundação Getulio Vargas. A base de dados primária consiste em um painel de dados individuais para bens e serviços representando 100% do IPC para o período de 1996 a 2008. Durante este período, diversos eventos produziram uma variabilidade macroeconômica substancial no Brasil: duas crises em países emergentes, uma mudança de regime cambial e monetário, racionamento de energia, uma crise de expectativas eleitorais e um processo de desinflação. Como consequência, a inflação, a incerteza macroeconômica, a taxa de câmbio e o produto exibiram uma variação considerável no período. No primeiro capítulo, nós descrevemos a base de dados e apresentamos as principais estatísticas de price-setting para o Brasil. Em seguida, nos capítulos 2 e 3, nos construímos as séries de tempo destas estatísticas e das estatísticas de promoções, e as relacionamos com as variáveis macroeconômicas utilizando análises de regressões. Os resultados indicam que há uma relação substancial entre as estatísticas de price-setting e o ambiente macroeconômico para a economia brasileira.

Aspectos concorrenciais no mercado de leite fluido: um teste empírico no município de São Paulo

O objetivo deste trabalho é caracterizar o padrão de concorrência no mercado de leite fluido (longa vida e pasteurizado) na cidade de São Paulo a partir de evidências sobre os movimentos de preços no varejo e do comportamento das margens de mercado. Utilizou-se o modelo originalmente proposto por Houck (1977) acrescido das observações feitas por Carman e Sexton (2005). Essa abordagem separa as variáveis explicativas entre aumentos e diminuições de preços pagos ao produtor. Além de maior clareza na sua estrutura, essa construção permite comparar a defasagem entre esses dois movimentos e estudar a estratégia de preços dos agentes a partir das margens dos intermediários. O período analisado foi de dezembro de 1999 à dezembro de 2005, com dados de preços ao consumidor da FIPE e dados de preços ao produtor da CEPEA/ USP. Identificou-se que o padrão de concorrência do leite longa vida é bastante diverso do encontrado para o leite pasteurizado. Enquanto para o longa vida o padrão de concorrência é mais próximo do modelo competitivo, para o leite pasteurizado o padrão encontrado foi de pouca concorrência. Para compreender essas diferenças, foi discutido o aspecto locacional do varejo e a importância do mercado relevante geográfico. Os resultados permitem algumas inferências para análises setoriais e de políticas públicas voltadas à produção leiteira. O vertiginoso crescimento das vendas de leite longa vida, absorvendo grande parte do mercado antes abastecido pelo leite pasteurizado, trouxe maior concorrência nos segmentos de indústria e distribuição, assim como maior velocidade de transmissão de preços ao longo da cadeia produtiva. Entretanto, a precificação com markups com percentual fixo, observada no leite longa vida, indica que indústria e distribuição gozam de algum poder de mercado e que variações de custo da matéria-prima são repassadas mais que proporcionalmente, em termos absolutos, ao consumidor final.

EDF and the Brazilian Power Sector

Electricité de France (EDF) is a leading player in the European energy market by being both the first electricity producer in Europe and the world’s leading nuclear plant operator. EDF is also the first electricity producer and supplier in France. However, Europe, EDF’s core market, is currently underperforming: the European sovereign debt crisis is lowering significantly the growth perspective of an energy market that has already reached its maturity. As a consequence, European energy companies are now looking at international markets and especially BRIC economies where economic growth potential remains high. Among them, Brazil is expected to keep its strong economic and electricity demand growth perspectives for the coming decades. Though Brazil has not been considered as a strategic priority for EDF after the Light reversal in 2006, the current economic situation has led the Group to reconsider its position toward the country. EDF’s current presence in Brazil is limited to its stake in UTE Norte Fluminense, a thermal plant, located in the state of Rio de Janeiro. This report investigates the possibility and the feasibility of EDF’s activities expansion in Brazil and what added value it could bring for the Brazilian power market. Considering that the status quo would not allow EDF to take full advantage of Brazil’s future growth, this work is identifying the various options that are currently opened to EDF: market exit, status quo, EDF alone, local partner. For that purpose, this study collects and analyses the latest energy market data as well as generation companies’ information which are necessary to give a relevant overview of the current brazilian power sector and to present EDF strategic options for the country.