The long term effects of Bolsa Família on child labour and school enrolment

In this paper we study the e ects of conditional cash transfers in school enrolment and tackling child labour. We develop a dynamic heterogeneous agent general equilibrium model, where households face a set of tradeo s while allocating their children's time in leisure activities, schooling and working. We calibrate the model using data from the Brazilian survey PNAD, before the policy was implemented, in order to quantify the e ects of a conditional transfer. We then evaluate the results of a policy experiment that implements a conditional cash transfer scheme similar to the Brazilian Bolsa Fam lia. Our results suggest that the program, in the long term, is able to substantially increase school registration and reduce child labour and poverty. In addition, we nd out that a progressive conditional cash transfer results is even more e ective in tackling child labour and increasing school enrolment.

Long-term goal and urgency (Dublado)

Panorama sobre mudanças climáticas exibido durante consulta pública do projeto Visões Globais do Clima (World Wide Views). A iniciativa foi realizada em 2009, para levantar recomendações de cidadãos de diversas partes do mundo aos governos de seus países sobre posições a tomar na COP-15, a Conferência do Clima da Dinamarca. No Brasil, o projeto foi realizado pelo Observatório do Clima em parceria com o GVces