The introduction, management and assessment of change process at Barwon Water, a technology based water authority

Covers managing change through a multifunctional change model linking a corporate strategy, longitudinal and cross organisational strategic drivers to a suite of change processes integrated synergistically to optimise customer service and business efficiency. Testing, analysis and benchmarking provide conclusions about the utility of the model and implementation strategies, change objective attainment, the strategic focus, learning outcomes and output achievement efficiency.

Trade and industrial policy in developing countries : what scope for interfaces between agent-based models and computable-general equilibrium models

How best to assess trade and industrial policy in developing countries is a controversial question that unlocks a host of modelling complexities. Large computable general-equilibrium (CGE) models dominate many economic policy debates, but recent developments in the field have demonstrated that it is by no means clear that they give reliable results to questions of how trade reforms affect the poor. Over the last decade or so, a new approach to modelling complex systems has emerged using agent-based models (ABMs). This paper explores the question of whether ABMs are useful for economic policy-makers seeking to quantitatively model the effects of trade and industrial policies and whether constructive interfaces could be developed between CGE models and ABMs. The paper argues that in developing economic policy, ABMs can and should be used in conjunction with CGE models and that there is much to be gained from a greater understanding of the strengths and weaknesses of different modelling approaches, and what domains are most appropriate for their use. It concludes with some reflections on the reasons for the success of CGE approaches and ways in which ABMs could be made more widely understood and used among economists.

Flight altitude of trans-Sahara migrants in autumn: a comparison of radar observations with predictions from meteorological conditions and water and energy balance models

Radar observations on the altitude of bird migration and altitudinal profiles of meteorological conditions over the Sahara desert are presented for the autumn migratory period. Migratory birds fly at an average altitude of 1016 m (a.s.l.) during the day and 571 m during the night. Weather data served to calculate flight range using two models: an energy model (EM) and an energy-and-water model (EWM). The EM assumes that fuel supply limits flight range whereas the EWM assumes that both fuel and water may limit flight range. Flight ranges estimated with the EM were generally longer than those with the EWM. This indicates that trans-Sahara migrants might have more problems balancing their water than their energy budget. However, if we assume fuel stores to consist of 70% instead of 100% fat (the remainder consisting of 9% protein and 21% water), predicted flight ranges of the EM and EWM largely overlap. Increased oxygen extraction, reduced flight costs, reduced exhaled air temperature, reduced cutaneous water loss and increased tolerance to water loss are potential physiological adaptations that would improve the water budget in migrants. Both the EM and EWM predict optimal flight altitudes in agreement with radar observations in autumn. Optimal flight altitudes are differently predicted by the EM and EWM for nocturnal spring migration. During spring, the EWM predicts moderately higher and the EM substantially higher flight altitudes than during autumn. EWM predictions are therefore in better agreement with radar observations on flight altitude of migrants over the Negev desert in spring than EM predictions.

Rational design of monolayers for improved water evaporation mitigation

Seven chemically designed monolayer compounds were synthesized and investigated with comparison to the properties and water evaporation suppression ability of 1-hexadecanol and 1-octadecanol. Increasing the molecular weight and polarity of the compound headgroup drastically altered the characteristics and performance of the monolayer at the air/water interface. Contrary to the common expectation the monolayer's lifetime on the water surface decreased with increasing number of ethylene oxy moieties, thus optimal performance for water evaporation suppression was achieved when only one ethylene oxy moiety was used. Replacing the hydroxyl headgroup with a methyl group and with multiple ethylene oxy moieties resulted in a loss of suppression capability, while an additional hydroxyl group provided a molecule with limited performance against water evaporation. Theoretical molecular simulation demonstrated that for exceptional performance, a candidate needs to possess a high equilibrium spreading pressure, the ability to sustain a highly ordered monolayer with a stable isotherm curve, and low tilt angle over the full studied range of surface pressures by simultaneously maintaining H-bonding to the water surface and between the monolayer chains.

Molecular mechanism of stabilization of thin films for improved water evaporation protection

All-atom molecular dynamics simulations and experimental characterization have been used to examine the structure and dynamics of novel evaporation-suppressing films where the addition of a water-soluble polymer to an ethylene glycol monooctadecyl ether monolayer leads to improved water evaporation resistance. Simulations and Langmuir trough experiments demonstrate the surface activity of poly(vinyl pyrrolidone) (PVP). Subsequent MD simulations performed on the thin films supported by the PVP sublayer show that, at low surface pressures, the polymer tends to concentrate at the film/water interface. The simulated atomic concentration profiles, hydrogen bonding patterns, and mobility analyses of the water-polymer-monolayer interfaces reveal that the presence of PVP increases the atomic density near the monolayer film, improves the film stability, and reduces the mobility of interfacial waters. These observations explain the molecular basis of the improved efficacy of these monolayer/polymer systems for evaporation protection of water and can be used to guide future development of organic thin films for other applications.

Method for controlling water evaporation

The present invention relates to a method for controlling evaporation from a body of water. The method of the invention uses a water insoluble compound and a water soluble polymer, which interact with each other by non-covalent bonding interactions.

Intelligent based mobility models for data management in wireless sensor networks

Wireless sensor networks (WSNs) are proposed as powerful means for fine grained monitoring in different classes of applications at very low cost and for extended periods of time. Among various solutions, supporting WSNs with intelligent mobile platforms for handling the data management, proved its benefits towards extending the network lifetime and enhancing its performance. The mobility model applied highly affects the data latency in the network as well as the sensors’ energy consumption levels. Intelligent-based models taking into consideration the network runtime conditions are adopted to overcome such problems. In this chapter, existing proposals that use intelligent mobility for managing the data in WSNs are surveyed. Different classifications are presented through the chapter to give a complete view on the solutions lying in this domain. Furthermore, these models are compared considering various metrics and design goals.

Integrated aquaculture systems approach to multi water-use in irrigated agriculture.

This study explored feasibility of an integrated agri-aquaculture systems (IAAS) approach to multiple water-use within Australian irrigated agriculture, emphasising adding value and sustainability to water resources. It focussed on development, demonstration and evaluation of a case-study of IAAS-based, open-water production of Murray cod in the Sunraysia Irrigation Region, NW Victoria.

Evaluation of SWAT for modelling the water balance of the Woady Yaloak River catchment, Victoria

Future land use change will have a profound effect on the water balance of agricultural and rural catchments in Australia. It is therefore imperative that any such consequences likely to arise from impending land use changes are predicted accurately so that strategies can be implemented to minimise or prevent undesirable impacts to the water balance of catchments. SWAT is a comprehensive hydrologic model developed to predict the impacts of land use change on water balance. SWAT has been applied in Australia but it has not yet been widely adopted. The application of SWAT to the Woady Yaloak River catchment in southwest Victoria is described in this paper. SWAT is being evaluated to determine whether it is suitable for modelling the water balance of catchments in the southwest region of Victoria and to determine if it could be adopted as a planning tool to manage land use change. The results achieved in this initial application of SWAT were very pleasing. However it is shown that the groundwater and tree growth components of the model are not entirely adequate. These shortcomings with SWAT affect its ability to accurately model the water balance of catchments in Australia. It is recommended that both these components be modified to improve model performance.

Situational and dispositional indicators of performance : competing models in education

The attainment of high grades on the Victorian Certificate of Education (VCE) is critical to the future study and employment prospects of many Australian adolescents. Thus it is important to understand the factors that contribute to performance in the VCE. The aims of this study were twofold: the main aim was to test competing models of academic performance, subsuming a range of situational and dispositional variables based on a) self-efficacy theory, b) target and purpose goals, c) cognitive skills and self-regulatory strategies, and d) positive psychology. These models were each tested in terms of English performance and mathematics performance as these units contribute proportionally the most to overall VCE scores. In order to study whether pressures peculiar to the VCE impact on performance, the competing models were tested in a sample of Victorian students prior to the VCE (year 10) and then during the VCE (year 11). A preliminary study was conducted in order to develop and test four scales required for use in the major study, using an independent sample of 302 year nine students. The results indicated that these new scales were psychometrically reliable and valid. Three-hundred and seven Australian students participated in the year 10 and 11 study. These students were successively asked to provide their final years 9, 10 and 11 English and mathematics grades at times one, three and five and to complete a series of questionnaires at times two and four. Results of the year 10 study indicated that models based on self-efficacy theory were the best predictors of both English and mathematics performance, with high past grades, high self-efficacy and low anxiety contributing most to performance. While the year 10 self-efficacy models, target goal models, positive psychology models, self-regulatory models and cognitive skill based models were each robust in the sample in year 11, a substantial increase in explained variance was observed from year 10 to year 11 in the purpose goal models. Results indicated that students’ mastery goals and their performance-approach goals became substantially more predictive in the VCE than they were prior to the VCE. This result can be taken to suggest that these students responded in very instrumental ways to the pressures, and importance, of their VCE. An integrated model based on a combination of the variables from the competing models was also tested in the VCE. Results showed that these models were comparable, both in English and mathematics, to the self-efficacy models, but explained less variance than the purpose goal models. Thus in terms of parsimony the integrated models were not preferred. The implications of these results in terms of teaching practices and school counseling practices are discussed. It is recommended that students be encouraged to maintain a positive outlook in relation to their schoolwork and that they be encouraged to set their VCE goals in terms of a combination of self-referenced (mastery) and other-referenced (performance-approach) goals.