Microarray classification using statistical learning and decision tree algorithms

This considers the challenging task of cancer prediction based on microarray data for the medical community. The research was conducted on mostly common cancers (breast, colon, long, prostate and leukemia) microarray data analysis, and suggests the use of modern machine learning techniques to predict cancer.

Decision analysis of statistically detecting distributed denial-of-service flooding attacks

There are two statistical decision making questions regarding statistically detecting sings of denial-of-service flooding attacks. One is how to represent the distributions of detection probability, false alarm probability and miss probability. The other is how to quantitatively express a decision region within which one may make a decision that has high detection probability, low false alarm probability and low miss probability. This paper gives the answers to the above questions. In addition, a case study is demonstrated.

Evaluation of Bayesian belief networks for diagnosis of psychotic disorders

The thesis examined the inter-rater reliability and procedural validity of four computerised Bayesian belief networks (BBNs) which were developed to assist with the diagnosis of psychotic disorders. The results of this research indicated that BBNs can significantly improve diagnostic reliability and may represent an important advance over current diagnostic methods. The professional portfolio investigated, through the presentation of case studies and review of literature relevant to each case study, how comorbidity and context of depression may impact on cognitive behavioural therapy treatment.

Coastal marine habitat mapping using multi-beam acoustics, video data and a decision tree classifier on the temperate south-east Australian continental shelf

In this habitat mapping study, multi-beam acoustic data are integrated with extensive, precisely geo-referenced video validation data in a GIS environment to classify benthic substrates and biota at a 33km2 site in the near shore waters of Victoria, Australia. Using an automated decision-tree classification method, 5 representative biotic groups were identified in the Cape Nelson survey area using a combination of multi-beam bathymetry, backscatter and derivative products. Rigorous error assessment of derived, classified maps produced high overall accuracies (>85%) for all mapping products. In addition, a discrete multivariate analysis technique (kappa analysis) was used to assess classification accuracy. High-resolution (2.5m cell-size) representation of sea floor morphology and textural characteristics provided by multi-beam bathymetry and backscatter datasets, allowed the interpretation of benthic substrates of the Cape Nelson site and the communities of sessile organisms that populate them. Non-parametric multivariate statistical analysis (ANOSIM) revealed a significant difference in biotic composition between depth strata, and between substrate types. Incorporated with other descriptive measures, these results indicate that depth and substrate are important factors in the distributional ecology of the biotic communities at the Cape Nelson study site. BIOENV analysis indicates that derivatives of both multi-beam datasets (bathymetry and backscatter) are correlated with distribution and density of biotic communities. Results from this study provide new tools for research and management of the coastal zone.

A brief review of recent research trends on applications of computational and statistical techniques in financial and business intelligence

Artificial neural networks and statistical techniques like decision trees, discriminant analysis, logistic regression and survival analysis play a crucial role in Business Intelligence. These predictive analytical tools exploit patterns found in historical data to make predictions about future events. In this paper we have shown some recent developments of a few of these techniques in financial and business intelligence applications like fraud detection, bankruptcy prediction and credit rating scoring.

Supporting athlete selection and strategic planning in track cycling omnium: A statistical and machine learning approach

This article describes the implementation of machine learning techniques that assist cycling experts in the crucial decision-making processes for athlete selection and strategic planning in the track cycling omnium. The omnium is a multi-event competition that was included in the Olympic Games for the first time in 2012. Presently, selectors and cycling coaches make decisions based on experience and opinion. They rarely have access to knowledge that helps predict athletic performances. The omnium presents a unique and complex decision-making challenge as it is not clear what type of athlete is best suited to the omnium (e.g., sprint or endurance specialist) and tactical decisions made by the coach and athlete during the event will have significant effects on the overall performance of the athlete. In the present work, a variety of machine learning techniques were used to analyze omnium competition data from the World Championships since 2007. The analysis indicates that sprint events have slightly more influence in determining the medalists, than endurance-based events. Using a probabilistic analysis, we created a model of performance prediction that provides an unprecedented level of supporting information that assists coaches with strategic and tactical decisions during the omnium.

Modelling and analysing track cycling Omnium performances using statistical and machine learning techniques

This article describes the utilisation of an unsupervised machine learning technique and statistical approaches (e.g., the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test) that assist cycling experts in the crucial decision-making processes for athlete selection, training, and strategic planning in the track cycling Omnium. The Omnium is a multi-event competition that will be included in the summer Olympic Games for the first time in 2012. Presently, selectors and cycling coaches make decisions based on experience and intuition. They rarely have access to objective data. We analysed both the old five-event (first raced internationally in 2007) and new six-event (first raced internationally in 2011) Omniums and found that the addition of the elimination race component to the Omnium has, contrary to expectations, not favoured track endurance riders. We analysed the Omnium data and also determined the inter-relationships between different individual events as well as between those events and the final standings of riders. In further analysis, we found that there is no maximum ranking (poorest performance) in each individual event that riders can afford whilst still winning a medal. We also found the required times for riders to finish the timed components that are necessary for medal winning. The results of this study consider the scoring system of the Omnium and inform decision-making toward successful participation in future major Omnium competitions.

A framework for mobile elearning (mLearning) with analytical decision model

Mobile eLearning (mLearning) can create a revolution in eLearning with the popularity of smart mobile devices and Application. However, contents are the king to make this revolution happen. Moreover, for an effective mLearning system, analytical aspects such as, quality of contents, quality of results, performance of learners, needs to be addressed. This paper presents a framework for personal mLearning. In this paper, we have used graph-based model called bipartite graph for content authentication and identification of the quality of results. Furthermore, we have used statistical estimation process for trustworthiness of weights in the bipartite graph using confidence interval and hypothesis test as analytical decision model tool.

A multi-objective evolutionary algorithm-based decision support system: a case study on job-shop scheduling in manufacturing

In this paper, an evolutionary algorithm is used for developing a decision support tool to undertake multi-objective job-shop scheduling problems. A modified micro genetic algorithm (MmGA) is adopted to provide optimal solutions according to the Pareto optimality principle in solving multi-objective optimisation problems. MmGA operates with a very small population size to explore a wide search space of function evaluations and to improve the convergence score towards the true Pareto optimal front. To evaluate the effectiveness of the MmGA-based decision support tool, a multi-objective job-shop scheduling problem with actual information from a manufacturing company is deployed. The statistical bootstrap method is used to evaluate the experimental results, and compared with those from the enumeration method. The outcome indicates that the decision support tool is able to achieve those optimal solutions as generated by the enumeration method. In addition, the proposed decision support tool has advantage of achieving the results within a fraction of the time.