MODELLING AND FORECASTING INFLATION RATES IN GHANA: AN APPLICATION OF SARIMA MODELS

Ghana faces a macroeconomic problem of inflation for a long period of time. The problem in somehow slows the economic growth in this country. As we all know, inflation is one of the major economic challenges facing most countries in the world especially those in African including Ghana. Therefore, forecasting inflation rates in Ghana becomes very important for its government to design economic strategies or effective monetary policies to combat any unexpected high inflation in this country. This paper studies seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model to forecast inflation rates in Ghana. Using monthly inflation data from July 1991 to December 2009, we find that ARIMA (1,1,1)(0,0,1)12 can represent the data behavior of inflation rate in Ghana well. Based on the selected model, we forecast seven (7) months inflation rates of Ghana outside the sample period (i.e. from January 2010 to July 2010). The observed inflation rate from January to April which was published by Ghana Statistical Service Department fall within the 95% confidence interval obtained from the designed model. The forecasted results show a decreasing pattern and a turning point of Ghana inflation in the month of July.

Gender Equality a case study of Sweden : Gender Equality Gender Equity and policies of combating inequality at workplace to make the society equal.

The paper analyses Gender Equality, Gender Equity and policies of combating inequality at workplace to make the society equal as a case study of Sweden. The aim of paper is see the gender equality, gender equity, discrimination against women at workplace and to describe the policies combating inequality in the welfare state of Sweden. This work highlights the gender equality in terms of institutionalizing gender equality, gender equity, gender and pay gap, parental leave, gender and the pension system and sexual behavior directed towards women and policies combating inequality to bring equality in society. For my research I used the secondary data the fact sheets, scientific literature, statistics from eurostate of Sweden and case studies about Swedish society and the theoretical explanation to explain the phenomena. To achieve my aim I used the combination of both qualitative and quantitative methods of research. I showed the empirical evidences of these phenomena from the Swedish society and theoretical analysis about equality and equity of gender in different wakes of life. I found an interesting conclusion that there are good policies and legislation to combat inequality to bring society but there are no policies to change the perception of society about male and female role.

Le Réalisme dans le roman policier : Une Analyse du réalisme des décors, des personnages et de l'enquête dans deux romans policiers

Ce mémoire a pour but de comparer deux romans policiers contemporains et ayant eu un grand succès, l’un écrit par Henning Mankell dont la traduction française a paru sous le titre Les Morts de la Saint-Jean et le second est Pars vite et reviens tard de Fred Vargas. L’objectif de la candidate est d’essayer de trouver les éléments réalistes dans le décor, les personnages et l’enquête. Pour ce qui est du premier paramètre, la candidate montre que Mankell n’essaie jamais de cacher la vérité derrière une surface idéale ; il en va de même pour Vargas qui accentue les points de vue divergents des Français sur la réalité de leur pays. En ce qui a trait aux personnages, on distingue dans le portrait qu’en fait Mankell un combat compliqué et non manichéen, proche de la réalité psychologique; idem pour ceux de Vargas, mais le réalisme est quelque peu atténué par un recours au mystère. Enfin, l’enquête menée par Wallander aboutit un peu par hasard grâce à son intuition alors qu’Adamsberg résout l’énigme grâce à sa faculté de voir, de s’imaginer et d’aller au-delà de la capacité des autres. La conclusion générale du mémoire est que ces deux œuvres sont tout à fait réalistes, mais à un degré un peu différent. Le roman de Mankell l’est sans doute davantage dans la mesure où le recours au mystère est écarté et que l’enquête est menée de façon logique alors que le roman de Vargas, tout en suivant les règles de la logique, a tendance à faire appel au merveilleux. En tout état de cause, il s’agit de deux œuvres réalistes comportant un côté romantique plus ou moins bien exprimé.

Skolkuratorns roll i arbetet mot mobbning : En kvalitativ studie

Syftet med studien var att undersöka hur skolkuratorerna upplever sitt arbete mot mobbning och hur de praktiskt arbetar mot mobbning. Metoden var kvalitativ och intervjuer genomfördes med sju skolkuratorer på olika skolor i två mindre kommuner. Studien visade att skolkuratorerna vill arbeta mer med det förebyggande arbetet mot mobbningen än det finns tid till. Deras arbete handlar mycket om att gå in och hjälpa där behovet och mobbningsproblematiken redan finns. I de metoder och program som finns att tillgå i arbetet mot mobbningen är det inget som rekommenderas utan det är upp till skolkuratorerna att själva utforma en metod som ska passa den individuella eleven. Det finns ett behov av att utveckla ett program- och metodkoncept som motsvarar dagens problematik.

Soft computing in biometrics : a pragmatic appraisal

The ever increasing spurt in digital crimes such as image manipulation, image tampering, signature forgery, image forgery, illegal transaction, etc. have hard pressed the demand to combat these forms of criminal activities. In this direction, biometrics - the computer-based validation of a persons' identity is becoming more and more essential particularly for high security systems. The essence of biometrics is the measurement of person’s physiological or behavioral characteristics, it enables authentication of a person’s identity. Biometric-based authentication is also becoming increasingly important in computer-based applications because the amount of sensitive data stored in such systems is growing. The new demands of biometric systems are robustness, high recognition rates, capability to handle imprecision, uncertainties of non-statistical kind and magnanimous flexibility. It is exactly here that, the role of soft computing techniques comes to play. The main aim of this write-up is to present a pragmatic view on applications of soft computing techniques in biometrics and to analyze its impact. It is found that soft computing has already made inroads in terms of individual methods or in combination. Applications of varieties of neural networks top the list followed by fuzzy logic and evolutionary algorithms. In a nutshell, the soft computing paradigms are used for biometric tasks such as feature extraction, dimensionality reduction, pattern identification, pattern mapping and the like.