Review: the predictability of the extra-tropical stratosphere on monthly timescales and its impact on the skill of tropospheric forecasts

Extreme variability of the winter- and spring-time stratospheric polar vortex has been shown to affect extratropical tropospheric weather. Therefore, reducing stratospheric forecast error may be one way to improve the skill of tropospheric weather forecasts. In this review, the basis for this idea is examined. A range of studies of different stratospheric extreme vortex events shows that they can be skilfully forecasted beyond five days and into the sub-seasonal range (0-30 days) in some cases. Separate studies show that typical errors in forecasting a stratospheric extreme vortex event can alter tropospheric forecasts skill by 5-7% in the extratropics on sub-seasonal timescales. Thus understanding what limits stratospheric predictability is of significant interest to operational forecasting centres. Both limitations in forecasting tropospheric planetary waves and stratospheric model biases have been shown to be important in this context.

Measurement of apolipoprotein B-48 in the Svedberg flotation rate (Sf) > 400, Sf 60 – 400 and Sf 20 – 60 lipoprotein fractions reveals novel findings with respect to the effects of dietary fatty acids on triacylglycerol-rich lipoproteins in postmenopausal women

The present study was designed to examine whether the type of fat ingested in an initial test meal influences the response and density distribution of dietary-derived lipoproteins in the Svedberg flotation rate (Sf)>400, Sf 60 - 400 and Sf 20 - 60 lipoprotein fractions. A single-blind randomized within-subject crossover design was used to study the effects of palm oil, safflower oil, a mixture of fish and safflower oil, and olive oil on postprandial apolipoprotein (apo) B-48, retinyl ester and triacylglycerol responses in each lipoprotein fraction following an initial test meal containing one of the oils and a second standardized test meal. For all dietary oils, late postprandial (300min) concentrations of triacylglycerol and apo B-48 were significantly higher in the Sf 60 - 400 fraction than in the Sf>400 fraction (P<0.02). Significantly greater apo B-48 incremental areas under the curve (IAUCs) were also observed in the Sf 60 - 400 fraction than in the Sf>400 fraction following palm oil, safflower oil and olive oil (P<0.04), with a similar non-significant trend for fish/safflower oil. Olive oil resulted in a significantly greater apo B-48 IAUC in the Sf>400 fraction (P<0.02) than did any of the other dietary oils, as well as a tendency for a higher IAUC in the Sf 60 - 400 fraction compared with the palm, safflower and fish/safflower oils. In conclusion, we have found that the majority of intestinally derived lipoproteins present in the circulation following meals enriched with saturated, polyunsaturated or monounsaturated fatty acids are of the density and size of small chylomicrons and chylomicron remnants. Olive oil resulted in a greater apo B-48 response compared with the other dietary oils following sequential test meals, suggesting the formation of a greater number of small (Sf 60 - 400) and large (Sf>400) apo B-48-containing lipoproteins in response to this dietary oil.

Quantitation of apolipoprotein B-48 in triacylglycerol-rich lipoproteins by a specific enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay

This paper describes the use of an antiserum, specific for apolipoprotein (apo) B-48, in a competitive, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) for apo B-48 in triacylglycerol-rich lipoprotein (TRL) fractions prepared from fasting and post-prandial plasma samples. Previously we showed the antiserum to act as an effective immunoblotting agent following sodium dodecyl sulfate polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis (SDS-PAGE). Its use in this ELISA indicates that the antiserum recognises the C-terminal region of the protein on the surface of lipoprotein particles. The ELISA had a sensitivity of less than 37 ng/ml and intra- and inter-assay coefficients of variation of 3.8% and 8.6%, respectively. There was no cross-reaction in the ELISA against serum albumin, ovalbumin, thyroglobulin, or apo B-100 (purified by immunoaffinity chromatography), and high lipid concentrations (as Intralipid) did not interfere. A low density lipoprotein fraction reacted in the ELISA but SDS-PAGE-Western blot analysis confirmed the presence, in the fraction, of a small amount of apo B-48, indicating the existence of low density dietary-derived lipoprotein particles. ELISA and SDS-PAGE-Western blot analysis were used to measure apo B-48 in 12 series of postprandial samples collected from 4 diabetic and 8 normal subjects, following test meals of varying fat content. The mean correlation between the two methods was r = 0.74. The mean fasting concentration of apo B-48 in the TRL fractions from 15 healthy men was 0.46 μg/ml of plasma.