Real-time factor model forecasting and the effects of instability

Factor forecasting models are shown to deliver real-time gains over autoregressive models for US real activity variables during the recent period, but are less successful for nominal variables. The gains are largely due to the Financial Crisis period, and are primarily at the shortest (one quarter ahead) horizon. Excluding the pre-Great Moderation years from the factor forecasting model estimation period (but not from the data used to extract factors) results in a marked fillip in factor model forecast accuracy, but does the same for the AR model forecasts. The relative performance of the factor models compared to the AR models is largely unaffected by whether the exercise is in real time or is pseudo out-of-sample.

Quantification of major camel milk proteins by capillary electrophoresis

Proteins from dromedary camel milk (CM) produced in Europe were separated and quantified by capillary electrophoresis (CE). CE analysis showed that camel milk lacks b-lactoglobulin and consists of high concentration of a-lactalbumin (2.01 ± 0.02 mg mL-1), lactoferrin (1.74 ± 0.06 mg mL-1) and serum albumin (0.46 ± 0.01 mg mL-1 ). Among caseins, the concentration of b-casein (12.78 ± 0.92 mg mL-1) was found the highest followed by a-casein (2.89 ± 0.29 mg mL-1) while k-casein represented only minor amount (1.67 ± 0.01 mg mL-1). These results were in agreement with sodium dodecyl sulphatepolyacrylamide gel electrophoresis patterns. Overall, CE offers a quick and reliable method for the determination of major CM proteins, which may be responsible for the many nutritional and health properties of CM.

Capillary assay device with internal hydrophilic coating

The present invention provides assay devices having a unitary body with an exterior surface, the unitary body being substantially transparent to visible light and formed from a material having a refractive index in the range 1.26 to 1.40, the refractive index being measured at 20 °C with light of wavelength 589 nm, and wherein the unitary body is formed from a hydrophobic material, and at least two capillary bores extending internally along the unitary body, wherein at least a portion of the surface of each capillary bore includes a hydrophilic layer for retaining an assay reagent, and wherein the hydrophilic layer is also substantially transparent to visible light to allow optical interrogation of the capillary bores through the capillary wall. The present invention also provides assay systems including such assay devices, methods of performing an assay using such assay devices and method of method for manufacturing such assay devices.